# ADT Inc. (ADT)

> Source: Nexqual · https://nexqual.com/ADT · data as of 2026-10-15 20:00 UTC · cite as "Nexqual, ADT Inc. (ADT), nexqual.com/ADT" · informational, not investment advice.

**Price:** USD 6.86 (+3.94% on the day) · last close of Oct 15, 2026; US market closed, not a live price. Prev close 6.6 · day 6.64–6.9 · 52w 6.03–8.89 · market cap $5.01B · NYQ

## Key facts
- Last four reported quarters (through Jun 30, 2026): revenue $5.16B, net income $613M (11.9% margin), free cash flow $1.97B (SEC filings).
- Valuation: P/E 8.2x, EV/EBITDA 4.8x, net debt $7.68B.
- 1 of 80 tracked superinvestors hold ADT (13F, Q2 2026): 0 new, 0 added, 1 reduced, 0 unchanged.
- Analysts: Hold (mean 3.00 on a 1–5 scale) (6 analysts), mean target USD 8.13 (range 7–9).
- Total return with dividends: 1Y -17.0% vs S&P 500 +18.1%; 5Y -8.1% vs S&P 500 +85.1%.
- Next earnings: 2026-11-05, EPS estimate USD 0.23, revenue estimate $1.32B.

## Financials (SEC 10-K; TTM = last four 10-Q/10-K quarters)
| USD | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $4.20B | $4.38B | $4.65B | $4.90B | $5.13B | $5.16B |
| Operating income | $9.8M | $725M | $1.18B | $1.21B | $1.31B | $1.29B |
| Net income | -$341M | $133M | $463M | $501M | $596M | $613M |
| Free cash flow | $1.48B | $1.71B | $1.48B | $1.72B | $1.71B | $1.97B |
| Operating margin | 0.2% | 16.5% | 25.3% | 24.7% | 25.5% | 25.0% |
| Net margin | -8.1% | 3.0% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 11.9% |
| Revenue growth | -20.9% | +4.3% | +6.2% | +5.3% | +4.7% | — |
| Cash + short-term investments | $24.5M | $257M | $14.6M | $96.2M | $80.8M | — |
| Total debt | $9.69B | $9.80B | $7.83B | $7.71B | $7.69B | — |
Fiscal years end Dec. EPS is split-adjusted.

## Valuation (price ÷ last four quarters, through Jun 30, 2026)
P/E 8.2x · P/S 1.0x · EV/EBITDA 4.8x · EV/Sales 2.5x · P/FCF 2.5x · P/B 1.4x · FCF yield 39.31% · Earnings yield 12.23% · Dividend yield (paid, TTM) 3.61% · Buyback yield (TTM) 14.20% · Net debt $7.68B · EV $12.7B

## Superinvestors (SEC 13F-HR, Q2 2026)
1 of 80 tracked investors hold ADT. Change is vs their prior-quarter share count.
| Investor | Firm | % of portfolio | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Rogers | Ariel Investments | 1.16% | $116M | Reduced -8.3% |

## Analysts
Consensus Hold (mean 3.00 on a 1–5 scale), 6 analysts; mean target USD 8.13 (low 7, high 9).
Rating changes, last 120 days:
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-13 | Morgan Stanley | Target lowered | Equal-Weight | $7.75 → $7.25 |
| 2026-07-31 | Morgan Stanley | Target raised | Equal-Weight | $7.5 → $7.75 |

## Total return (dividends reinvested)
|  | 1Y (from 2025-10-16) | 5Y (from 2021-10-11) |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | -17.0% | -8.1% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +18.1% | +85.1% |
| Per year | -17.1% | -1.7% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 29.5% | 32.3% |
| Max drawdown | -29.0% (Oct 2025→Sep 2026) | -40.9% (Jan 2023→Oct 2023) |

## Peers (Security & Protection Services)
BCO (Brinks Company (The)) USD 104.42 +0.28% · BRC (Brady Corporation) USD 84.03 -1.18% · GEO (Geo Group Inc (The) REIT) USD 29.33 -8.88% · MSA (MSA Safety Incorporated) USD 181.79 +0.00% · CXW (CoreCivic, Inc.) USD 31.23 -8.23% · ALLE (Allegion plc) USD 155.75 +1.68%

## More
Full page: https://nexqual.com/ADT · Free keyless MCP server with the same data and citations: https://mcp.nexqual.com/mcp · Guide for agents: https://nexqual.com/agents · https://nexqual.com/llms.txt