# Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. (ALRM)

> Source: Nexqual · https://nexqual.com/ALRM · data as of 2026-10-29 20:00 UTC · cite as "Nexqual, Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. (ALRM), nexqual.com/ALRM" · informational, not investment advice.

**Price:** USD 66.54 (+2.50% on the day) · last close of Oct 29, 2026; US market closed, not a live price. Prev close 64.92 · day 63.67–66.65 · 52w 41.49–66.65 · market cap $3.27B · NMS

## Key facts
- Valuation: P/E 27.1x (avg 31.8x at the last 3 fiscal year-ends), EV/EBITDA 18.8x, net debt $11.7M.
- Analysts: Hold (mean 2.67 on a 1–5 scale) (6 analysts), mean target USD 63 (range 40–85).
- Total return with dividends: 1Y +32.3% vs S&P 500 +14.8%; 5Y -21.0% vs S&P 500 +79.1%.
- Next earnings: 2026-11-05, EPS estimate USD 0.75, revenue estimate $266M. All companies reporting that day: https://nexqual.com/earnings/2026-11-05
- Dividend: ALRM paid no cash dividend in the last five years.
- Short interest: 9.53% of float (as of 2026-10-15), 6.5 days to cover.

## Valuation (price ÷ last four quarters, through Jun 30, 2026)
P/E 27.1x · P/S 3.0x · EV/EBITDA 18.8x · EV/Sales 3.0x · P/FCF 17.0x · P/B 3.7x · FCF yield 5.90% · Earnings yield 3.68% · Buyback yield (TTM) 2.40% · Net debt $11.7M · EV $3.20B
P/E at fiscal year-ends: Dec 2025 22.8x, Dec 2024 28.8x, Dec 2023 43.9x.

## Analysts
Consensus Hold (mean 2.67 on a 1–5 scale), 6 analysts; mean target USD 63 (low 40, high 85).
Rating changes, last 120 days:
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | Barclays | Target raised | Equal-Weight | $55 → $60 |

## Total return (dividends reinvested)
|  | 1Y (from 2025-10-30) | 5Y (from 2021-10-25) |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | +32.3% | -21.0% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +14.8% | +79.1% |
| Per year | +32.5% | -4.6% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 30.2% | 30.2% |
| Max drawdown | -20.7% (Dec 2025→May 2026) | -52.5% (Nov 2021→Mar 2026) |

## Dividends
ALRM paid no cash dividend in the last five years.

## Short interest
3,096,633 shares sold short, 9.53% of the float, as of Oct 15, 2026 (exchange short-interest report, published about twice a month). Prior report (Sep 15, 2026): 2,955,286 shares (+4.8%). Days to cover: 6.5 (short shares ÷ average daily volume).

## Peers (Software - Application)
CVLT (Commvault Systems, Inc.) USD 171.61 +3.09% · APPF (AppFolio, Inc.) USD 207.05 +1.00% · TTAN (ServiceTitan, Inc.) USD 80.73 -0.16% · DSGX (The Descartes Systems Group Inc) USD 92.03 -0.36% · YMM (Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd.) USD 8.09 +0.12% · IDCC (InterDigital, Inc.) USD 334.27 +4.28%

## More
Full page: https://nexqual.com/ALRM · Free keyless MCP server with the same data and citations: https://mcp.nexqual.com/mcp · Guide for agents: https://nexqual.com/agents · https://nexqual.com/llms.txt

## Analyst estimates and revisions

| Period | EPS est. | 90d ago | Change | Revenue est. | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends 2026-09-30) | $0.75 | $0.76 | -1.1% | $266.3M | 6 |
| Next quarter (ends 2026-12-31) | $0.74 | $0.73 | +2.2% | $274.1M | 6 |
| Current fiscal year (ends 2026-12-31) | $2.89 | $2.77 | +4.4% | $1.08B | 6 |
| Next fiscal year (ends 2027-12-31) | $3.07 | $2.96 | +3.6% | $1.13B | 6 |

## Earnings history and stock reaction
| Results filed | Quarter | EPS | Consensus | Surprise | Stock reaction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | Quarter ended Jun 30, 2026 | $0.77 | $0.65 | Beat +18.5% | — |
| — | Quarter ended Mar 31, 2026 | $0.65 | $0.60 | Beat +8.3% | — |
| — | Quarter ended Dec 31, 2025 | $0.72 | $0.64 | Beat +12.5% | — |
| — | Quarter ended Sep 30, 2025 | $0.76 | $0.61 | Beat +24.6% | — |
EPS as reported against the analyst consensus before the release; surprise uses the cent-rounded figures shown (in dollars when EPS and consensus have opposite signs). Stock reaction = close before the results to close after (the first close following a release after the bell or before the open).