# Autoliv, Inc. (ALV)

> Source: Nexqual · https://nexqual.com/ALV · data as of 2026-10-22 20:00 UTC · cite as "Nexqual, Autoliv, Inc. (ALV), nexqual.com/ALV" · informational, not investment advice.

**Price:** USD 118.88 (+2.54% on the day) · last close of Oct 22, 2026; US market pre market, not a live price. Prev close 115.94 · day 115.43–119.4 · 52w 99.16–132.17 · market cap $8.56B · NYQ

## Key facts
- Last four reported quarters (through Jun 30, 2026): revenue $11.1B, net income $642M (5.8% margin), free cash flow $757M (SEC filings).
- Valuation: P/E 13.3x (avg 14.4x at the last 3 fiscal year-ends), EV/EBITDA 7.1x, net debt $1.66B.
- 2 of 80 tracked superinvestors hold ALV (13F, Q2 2026): 0 new, 0 added, 2 reduced, 0 unchanged.
- Total return with dividends: 1Y +5.1% vs S&P 500 +14.9%; 5Y +47.6% vs S&P 500 +80.3%.
- Next earnings: 2026-10-23, EPS estimate USD 2.23, revenue estimate $2.72B.

## Financials (SEC 10-K; TTM = last four 10-Q/10-K quarters)
| USD | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $8.23B | $8.84B | $10.5B | $10.4B | $10.8B | $11.1B |
| Gross profit | $1.51B | $1.40B | $1.82B | $1.93B | $2.07B | — |
| Operating income | $675M | $659M | $690M | $979M | $1.09B | $1.01B |
| Net income | $435M | $423M | $488M | $646M | $735M | $642M |
| EPS (diluted) | $4.96 | $4.85 | $5.72 | $8.04 | $9.55 | — |
| Free cash flow | $296M | $128M | $409M | $480M | $716M | $757M |
| Gross margin | 18.4% | 15.8% | 17.4% | 18.5% | 19.2% | — |
| Operating margin | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.2% |
| Net margin | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% |
| Revenue growth | +10.5% | +7.4% | +18.5% | -0.8% | +4.1% | — |
| Cash + short-term investments | $969M | $594M | $498M | $330M | $604M | — |
| Total debt | $2.01B | $1.76B | $1.86B | $1.91B | $2.15B | — |
Fiscal years end Dec. EPS is split-adjusted.

## Valuation (price ÷ last four quarters, through Jun 30, 2026)
P/E 13.3x · P/S 0.8x · EV/EBITDA 7.1x · EV/Sales 0.9x · P/FCF 11.3x · P/B 3.4x · FCF yield 8.84% · Earnings yield 7.50% · Dividend yield (paid, TTM) 3.04% · Net debt $1.66B · EV $10.2B
P/E at fiscal year-ends: Dec 2025 12.4x, Dec 2024 11.7x, Dec 2023 19.2x.

## Superinvestors (SEC 13F-HR, Q2 2026)
2 of 80 tracked investors hold ALV. Each row is the investor's latest 13F; change is vs their prior-quarter share count.
| Investor | Firm | % of portfolio | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tweedy Browne |  | 3.37% | $44.5M | Reduced -0.1% |
| Bill Nygren | Oakmark Funds | 0.03% | $24.9M | Reduced -8.0% |

## Analysts
Rating changes, last 120 days:
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | RBC Capital | Target lowered | Outperform | $147 → $146 |
| 2026-09-23 | Jefferies | Target lowered | Hold | $134 → $119 |
| 2026-09-23 | Wolfe Research | Downgrade | Outperform → Peer Perform |  |
| 2026-09-08 | TD Cowen | Downgrade | Buy → Hold | $148 → $137 |
| 2026-07-20 | RBC Capital | Target lowered | Outperform | $148 → $147 |
| 2026-07-20 | TD Cowen | Target lowered | Buy | $150 → $148 |
| 2026-07-13 | RBC Capital | Target raised | Outperform | $138 → $148 |
| 2026-06-25 | Wells Fargo | Target raised | Equal-Weight | $116 → $122 |

## Total return (dividends reinvested)
|  | 1Y (from 2025-10-23) | 5Y (from 2021-10-18) |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | +5.1% | +47.6% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +14.9% | +80.3% |
| Per year | +5.1% | +8.1% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 28.3% | 30.4% |
| Max drawdown | -22.0% (Jan 2026→Mar 2026) | -36.7% (Jan 2022→Sep 2022) |

## Peers (Auto Parts)
ALSN (Allison Transmission Holdings, ) USD 109.57 -1.23% · APTV (Aptiv PLC) USD 43.81 -1.20% · AUR (Aurora Innovation, Inc.) USD 4.86 -2.99% · MOD (Modine Manufacturing Company) USD 135.17 -9.75% · BWA (BorgWarner Inc.) USD 55.46 -3.46% · MBLY (Mobileye Global Inc.) USD 6.95 -1.00%

## More
Full page: https://nexqual.com/ALV · Free keyless MCP server with the same data and citations: https://mcp.nexqual.com/mcp · Guide for agents: https://nexqual.com/agents · https://nexqual.com/llms.txt

## Revenue by product line (quarter ended 2026-06-30)

| Line | Revenue | Share | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Airbags Steering Wheels & Other | $1.91B | 68.0% | +5.2% |
| Seatbelt Products | $897.0M | 32.0% | -0.6% |
| Total revenue | $2.80B | 100% | — |

## Revenue by region (quarter ended 2026-06-30)

| Line | Revenue | Share | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Americas | $910.0M | 32.5% | +2.1% |
| EMEA | $832.0M | 29.7% | +0.5% |
| Asia Excluding China | $539.0M | 19.2% | +3.9% |
| China | $522.0M | 18.6% | +9.4% |
| Total revenue | $2.80B | 100% | — |

## Customer concentration

Period ended 2025-12-31: 10% of revenue from unnamed direct customers (10-K, filed 2026-02-19).

## Company outlook (8-K filed 2026-07-17)

- "We expect call-off volatility for the full year 2026 on average to be slightly improved compared to 2025 but still remain higher than pre-pandemic levels."

## Analyst estimates and revisions

| Period | EPS est. | 90d ago | Change | Revenue est. | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends 2026-09-30) | $2.23 | $2.80 | -20.3% | $2.72B | 11 |
| Next quarter (ends 2026-12-31) | $3.35 | $3.00 | +11.7% | $2.83B | 9 |
| Current fiscal year (ends 2026-12-31) | $10.24 | $10.29 | -0.5% | $11.10B | 15 |
| Next fiscal year (ends 2027-12-31) | $11.64 | $11.85 | -1.7% | $11.38B | 15 |