# Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. (AMBP)

> Source: Nexqual · https://nexqual.com/AMBP · data as of 2026-10-22 20:00 UTC · cite as "Nexqual, Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. (AMBP), nexqual.com/AMBP" · informational, not investment advice.

**Price:** USD 4.73 (+3.05% on the day) · last close of Oct 22, 2026; US market pre market, not a live price. Prev close 4.59 · day 4.62–4.88 · 52w 3.29–5.47 · market cap $2.83B · NYQ

## Key facts
- Analysts: Hold (mean 3.14 on a 1–5 scale) (7 analysts), mean target USD 5.08 (range 4.7–6).
- Total return with dividends: 1Y +26.1% vs S&P 500 +14.9%; 5Y -25.4% vs S&P 500 +80.3%.
- Next earnings: 2026-10-22, EPS estimate USD 0.02, revenue estimate $1.42B.

## Analysts
Consensus Hold (mean 3.14 on a 1–5 scale), 7 analysts; mean target USD 5.08 (low 4.7, high 6).
Rating changes, last 120 days:
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | UBS | Target lowered | Neutral | $5 → $4.5 |
| 2026-07-25 | UBS | Target raised | Neutral | $4.75 → $5 |
| 2026-07-15 | Wells Fargo | Target raised | Equal-Weight | $4 → $5 |

## Total return (dividends reinvested)
|  | 1Y (from 2025-10-23) | 5Y (from 2021-10-18) |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | +26.1% | -25.4% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +14.9% | +80.3% |
| Per year | +26.2% | -5.7% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 33.9% | 41.8% |
| Max drawdown | -19.7% (Feb 2026→Apr 2026) | -69.3% (Oct 2021→Oct 2023) |

## Peers (Packaging & Containers)
GPK (Graphic Packaging Holding Compa) USD 9.04 +7.75% · SLGN (Silgan Holdings Inc.) USD 39.76 +2.05% · GEF (Greif Inc.) USD 83.13 +1.50% · SON (Sonoco Products Company) USD 50.27 -1.35% · REYN (Reynolds Consumer Products Inc.) USD 23.61 +4.28% · TRS (TriMas Corporation) USD 39.9 +0.18%

## More
Full page: https://nexqual.com/AMBP · Free keyless MCP server with the same data and citations: https://mcp.nexqual.com/mcp · Guide for agents: https://nexqual.com/agents · https://nexqual.com/llms.txt

## Supply chain and relationships (SEC annual reports)

Named in AMBP's own 20-F filed 2026-03-05 (https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1845097/000110465926024068/ambp-20251231x20f.htm):

| Relationship | Company | Sentence in the filing |
|---|---|---|
| Partner | PepsiCo (PEP) | "For example, in 2025 Celsius made two acquisitions, purchasing Alani Nu in April 2025 and the Rockstar Energy brand in the U.S. and Canada from PepsiCo as part of a strategic partnership in August 2025." |

## Analyst estimates and revisions

| Period | EPS est. | 90d ago | Change | Revenue est. | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends 2026-12-31) | $0.02 | $0.03 | -31.7% | $1.42B | 5 |
| Next quarter (ends 2027-03-31) | $0.05 | $0.05 | -3.6% | $1.53B | 4 |
| Current fiscal year (ends 2026-12-31) | $0.26 | $0.27 | -3.7% | $6.35B | 5 |
| Next fiscal year (ends 2027-12-31) | $0.28 | $0.30 | -6.3% | $6.39B | 6 |