# Brightstar Lottery PLC (BRSL)

> Source: Nexqual · https://nexqual.com/BRSL · data as of 2026-10-22 20:00 UTC · cite as "Nexqual, Brightstar Lottery PLC (BRSL), nexqual.com/BRSL" · informational, not investment advice.

**Price:** USD 9.56 (+3.58% on the day) · last close of Oct 22, 2026; US market pre market, not a live price. Prev close 9.23 · day 9.1–9.59 · 52w 9.1–17.59 · market cap $1.75B · NYQ

## Key facts
- 1 of 80 tracked superinvestors hold BRSL (13F, Q2 2026): 0 new, 0 added, 0 reduced, 1 unchanged.
- Analysts: Buy (mean 2.33 on a 1–5 scale) (9 analysts), mean target USD 15.99 (range 11–19).
- Total return with dividends: 1Y -38.8% vs S&P 500 +14.9%; 5Y -51.3% vs S&P 500 +80.3%.
- Next earnings: 2026-11-10, EPS estimate USD 0.07, revenue estimate $611M.

## Superinvestors (SEC 13F-HR, Q2 2026)
1 of 80 tracked investors hold BRSL. Each row is the investor's latest 13F; change is vs their prior-quarter share count.
| Investor | Firm | % of portfolio | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prem Watsa | Fairfax Financial Holdings | 0.03% | $738K | Unchanged |

## Analysts
Consensus Buy (mean 2.33 on a 1–5 scale), 9 analysts; mean target USD 15.99 (low 11, high 19).
Rating changes, last 120 days:
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-20 | Truist Securities | Target lowered | Hold | $13 → $11 |
| 2026-10-07 | Macquarie | Target lowered | Outperform | $21 → $18 |
| 2026-08-13 | Jefferies | Upgrade | Hold → Buy | $12 → $16 |
| 2026-07-20 | Truist Securities | Target lowered | Hold | $14 → $13 |
| 2026-07-01 | Deutsche Bank | Initiated | Buy | $15 |
| 2026-06-29 | Argus Research | Downgrade | Buy → Hold |  |

## Total return (dividends reinvested)
|  | 1Y (from 2025-10-23) | 5Y (from 2021-10-18) |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | -38.8% | -51.3% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +14.9% | +80.3% |
| Per year | -38.9% | -13.4% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 32.3% | 38.2% |
| Max drawdown | -41.6% (Oct 2025→Oct 2026) | -60.0% (Jul 2023→Oct 2026) |

## Peers (Gambling)
ACEL (Accel Entertainment, Inc.) USD 10.97 +1.76% · RSI (Rush Street Interactive, Inc.) USD 16.36 -2.91% · SGHC (Super Group (SGHC) Limited) USD 11.35 +1.98% · CHDN (Churchill Downs, Incorporated) USD 84.45 +2.01% · CDRO (Codere Online Luxembourg, S.A.) USD 9.52 +1.28% · DKNG (DraftKings Inc.) USD 20.94 +2.00%

## More
Full page: https://nexqual.com/BRSL · Free keyless MCP server with the same data and citations: https://mcp.nexqual.com/mcp · Guide for agents: https://nexqual.com/agents · https://nexqual.com/llms.txt

## Analyst estimates and revisions

| Period | EPS est. | 90d ago | Change | Revenue est. | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends 2026-09-30) | $0.07 | $0.15 | -53.0% | $611.2M | 5 |
| Next quarter (ends 2026-12-31) | $0.14 | $0.27 | -48.1% | $716.0M | 4 |
| Current fiscal year (ends 2026-12-31) | $0.52 | $0.61 | -15.3% | $2.49B | 4 |
| Next fiscal year (ends 2027-12-31) | $0.72 | $0.80 | -10.3% | $2.57B | 5 |

## Options: expected move (Cboe, 15-min delayed)

Expected move by 2026-11-20 (includes earnings 2026-11-10): ±13.3%.

| Expiration | Days | ATM IV | Expected move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-20 | 28 | 51.2% | ±13.3% |
| 2027-01-15 | 84 | 48.6% | ±19.6% |
| 2027-04-16 | 175 | 42.0% | ±24.1% |