# Coty Inc. (COTY)

> Source: Nexqual · https://nexqual.com/COTY · data as of 2026-10-22 20:00 UTC · cite as "Nexqual, Coty Inc. (COTY), nexqual.com/COTY" · informational, not investment advice.

**Price:** USD 3.21 (+5.25% on the day) · last close of Oct 22, 2026; US market pre market, not a live price. Prev close 3.05 · day 3.06–3.22 · 52w 1.82–4.25 · market cap $2.83B · NYQ

## Key facts
- Last four reported quarters (through Jun 30, 2026): revenue $5.81B, net income -$605M (-10.4% margin), free cash flow $348M (SEC filings).
- 2 of 80 tracked superinvestors hold COTY (13F, Q2 2026): 1 new, 0 added, 1 reduced, 0 unchanged.
- Analysts: Hold (mean 3.24 on a 1–5 scale) (17 analysts), mean target USD 2.7 (range 1.5–4).
- Total return with dividends: 1Y -22.1% vs S&P 500 +14.9%; 5Y -60.3% vs S&P 500 +80.3%.
- Next earnings: 2026-11-04, EPS estimate USD 0.12, revenue estimate $1.53B.

## Financials (SEC 10-K; TTM = last four 10-Q/10-K quarters)
| USD | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | FY2026 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $5.30B | $5.55B | $6.12B | $5.89B | $5.81B | $5.81B |
| Gross profit | $3.37B | $3.55B | $3.94B | $3.82B | $3.65B | — |
| Operating income | $241M | $544M | $547M | $241M | -$81.5M | -$81.5M |
| Net income | $260M | $508M | $89.4M | -$368M | -$605M | -$605M |
| EPS (diluted) | $0.08 | $0.57 | $0.09 | -$0.44 | -$0.70 | — |
| Free cash flow | $553M | $403M | $369M | $278M | $348M | $348M |
| Gross margin | 63.5% | 63.9% | 64.4% | 64.8% | 62.9% | — |
| Operating margin | 4.5% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 4.1% | -1.4% | -1.4% |
| Net margin | 4.9% | 9.1% | 1.5% | -6.2% | -10.4% | -10.4% |
| Revenue growth | +14.6% | +4.7% | +10.2% | -3.7% | -1.5% | — |
| Cash + short-term investments | $233M | $247M | $301M | $257M | $176M | — |
| Total debt | $4.50B | $4.28B | $3.91B | $4.01B | $3.09B | — |
Fiscal years end Jun. EPS is split-adjusted.

## Valuation (price ÷ last four quarters, through Jun 30, 2026)
P/S 0.5x · EV/EBITDA 14.3x · EV/Sales 1.0x · P/FCF 8.1x · P/B 0.9x · FCF yield 12.32% · Earnings yield -21.39% · Net debt $2.91B · EV $5.74B
P/E at fiscal year-ends: Jun 2024 99.0x.

## Superinvestors (SEC 13F-HR, Q2 2026)
2 of 80 tracked investors hold COTY. Each row is the investor's latest 13F; change is vs their prior-quarter share count.
| Investor | Firm | % of portfolio | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bill Miller | Miller Value Partners | 2.00% | $8.5M | New position |
| Lee Ainslie | Maverick Capital | 0.02% | $2.2M | Reduced -20.3% |

## Analysts
Consensus Hold (mean 3.24 on a 1–5 scale), 17 analysts; mean target USD 2.7 (low 1.5, high 4).
Rating changes, last 120 days:
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-19 | Jefferies | Target raised | Buy | $2.4 → $2.95 |
| 2026-10-14 | Citigroup | Target raised | Neutral | $2.8 → $3 |
| 2026-08-25 | Morgan Stanley | Target raised | Equal-Weight | $2.5 → $2.75 |

## Total return (dividends reinvested)
|  | 1Y (from 2025-10-23) | 5Y (from 2021-10-18) |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | -22.1% | -60.3% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +14.9% | +80.3% |
| Per year | -22.1% | -16.8% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 50.6% | 42.6% |
| Max drawdown | -55.3% (Oct 2025→Jun 2026) | -85.3% (Feb 2024→Jun 2026) |

## Peers (Household & Personal Products)
NWL (Newell Brands Inc.) USD 5.73 +3.06% · IPAR (Interparfums, Inc.) USD 116.07 +2.54% · SPB (Spectrum Brands Holdings, Inc.) USD 81.03 +2.62% · EPC (Edgewell Personal Care Company) USD 28.89 +7.08% · ELF (e.l.f. Beauty, Inc.) USD 114.99 +1.06% · ODD (ODDITY Tech Ltd.) USD 23.35 +4.33%

## More
Full page: https://nexqual.com/COTY · Free keyless MCP server with the same data and citations: https://mcp.nexqual.com/mcp · Guide for agents: https://nexqual.com/agents · https://nexqual.com/llms.txt

## Supply chain and relationships (SEC annual reports)

Named in COTY's own 10-K filed 2026-08-20 (https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1024305/000102430526000048/coty-20260630.htm):

| Relationship | Company | Sentence in the filing |
|---|---|---|
| Partner | Hypermarcas S.A. (HYPMY) | "We may not have adequate or any insurance coverage for some of these legacy matters, including matters assumed in the acquisition of the P&G Beauty Business, the Hypermarcas Brands and the Burberry fragrance business, an…" |

Other companies that name COTY in their own reports (relationship from COTY's side):

| Relationship | Company | Their filing | Sentence |
|---|---|---|---|
| supplier | SILGAN HOLDINGS INC (SLGN) | 10-K 2026-02-26 | "Our largest customers of our dispensing and specialty closures business include Beiersdorf AG, British American Tobacco AB, Campbell, The Coca-Cola Company, Colgate-Palmolive Company, Coty, Inc., Dair…" |

## Revenue by business segment (quarter ended 2026-06-30)

| Line | Revenue | Share | YoY | Operating income | Op. margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prestige | $771.8M | 60.8% | +1.5% | -$4.7M | -0.6% |
| Consumer Beauty | $497.4M | 39.2% | +1.1% | -$29.9M | -6.0% |
| Total revenue | $1.27B | 100% | — | -$42.7M | -3.4% |

## Company outlook (8-K filed 2026-08-19)

- "Coty expects 1Q27 LFL revenue to decline by a low- to mid-single-digit percentage."
- "While sell-out trends for both divisions are expected to be broadly consistent with the trends in the second half of FY26, the timing of customer orders and prior year comparisons are expected to contribute to fluctuations in year-over-year sales trends."
- "Adjusted gross margin in 1Q27 is expected to decline by approximately 50 to 100 basis points year-over-year, reflecting cost absorption headwinds from lower shipments, partially offset by productivity initiatives and procurement actions."
- "Coty anticipates 1Q27 adjusted EBITDA to decline by a low-teens percentage, representing a sequential improvement from the more significant declines in the second half of FY26."

## Analyst estimates and revisions

| Period | EPS est. | 90d ago | Change | Revenue est. | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends 2026-09-30) | $0.12 | $0.14 | -10.3% | $1.53B | 10 |
| Next quarter (ends 2026-12-31) | $0.16 | $0.16 | -2.0% | $1.64B | 10 |
| Current fiscal year (ends 2027-06-30) | $0.33 | $0.34 | -4.9% | $5.70B | 13 |
| Next fiscal year (ends 2028-06-30) | $0.25 | $0.38 | -34.7% | $5.23B | 13 |