# Groupon, Inc. (GRPN)

> Source: Nexqual · https://nexqual.com/GRPN · data as of 2026-10-28 20:00 UTC · cite as "Nexqual, Groupon, Inc. (GRPN), nexqual.com/GRPN" · informational, not investment advice.

**Price:** USD 16.42 (-0.61% on the day) · last close of Oct 28, 2026; US market closed, not a live price. Prev close 16.52 · day 15.95–16.65 · 52w 9.17–29.9 · market cap $668M · NMS

## Key facts
- Last four reported quarters (through Jun 30, 2026): revenue $497M, net income -$126M (-25.3% margin), free cash flow $29.9M (SEC filings).
- Analysts: Hold (mean 2.67 on a 1–5 scale) (3 analysts), mean target USD 28.67 (range 16–40).
- Total return with dividends: 1Y -20.0% vs S&P 500 +13.2%; 5Y -22.6% vs S&P 500 +79.8%.
- Next earnings: 2026-11-05, EPS estimate USD -0.01, revenue estimate $129M.

## Financials (SEC 10-K; TTM = last four 10-Q/10-K quarters)
| USD | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $967M | $599M | $515M | $493M | $498M | $497M |
| Gross profit | $737M | $523M | $451M | $444M | $453M | — |
| Operating income | -$4.7M | -$168M | -$18.3M | $8.8M | $23.6M | $4.7M |
| Net income | $119M | -$238M | -$55.4M | -$59.0M | -$83.5M | -$126M |
| EPS (diluted) | $3.68 | -$7.88 | -$1.77 | -$1.51 | -$2.08 | — |
| Free cash flow | -$174M | -$172M | -$97.3M | $40.6M | $49.9M | $29.9M |
| Gross margin | 76.2% | 87.3% | 87.5% | 90.2% | 90.8% | — |
| Operating margin | -0.5% | -28.0% | -3.5% | 1.8% | 4.7% | 0.9% |
| Net margin | 12.3% | -39.7% | -10.8% | -12.0% | -16.8% | -25.3% |
| Revenue growth | -31.7% | -38.1% | -14.1% | -4.3% | +1.2% | — |
| Cash + short-term investments | $499M | $281M | $142M | $229M | $296M | — |
| Total debt | $323M | $300M | $269M | $246M | $343M | — |
Fiscal years end Dec. EPS is split-adjusted.

## Valuation (price ÷ last four quarters, through Jun 30, 2026)
P/S 1.3x · EV/EBITDA 37.2x · EV/Sales 1.5x · P/FCF 22.3x · FCF yield 4.49% · Earnings yield -18.82% · Net debt $81.1M · EV $749M

## Analysts
Consensus Hold (mean 2.67 on a 1–5 scale), 3 analysts; mean target USD 28.67 (low 16, high 40).

## Total return (dividends reinvested)
|  | 1Y (from 2025-10-29) | 5Y (from 2021-10-25) |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | -20.0% | -22.6% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +13.2% | +79.8% |
| Per year | -20.1% | -5.0% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 75.3% | 91.0% |
| Max drawdown | -55.3% (Nov 2025→Mar 2026) | -88.1% (Nov 2021→May 2023) |

## Peers (Internet Content & Information)
UPWK (Upwork Inc.) USD 9 -0.77% · WBTN (WEBTOON Entertainment Inc.) USD 9.52 +2.70% · WB (Weibo Corporation) USD 6.18 +0.00% · OPRA (Opera Limited) USD 18.64 +1.53% · DJT (Trump Media & Technology Group ) USD 5.97 -6.13% · GENI (Genius Sports Limited) USD 6.35 +0.47%

## More
Full page: https://nexqual.com/GRPN · Free keyless MCP server with the same data and citations: https://mcp.nexqual.com/mcp · Guide for agents: https://nexqual.com/agents · https://nexqual.com/llms.txt

## Supply chain and relationships (SEC annual reports)

Named in GRPN's own 10-K filed 2026-03-10 (https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1490281/000162828026016429/grpn-20251231.htm):

| Relationship | Company | Sentence in the filing |
|---|---|---|
| Supplier | Alphabet (Google) (GOOGL) | "We rely on "Gatekeeper" platforms (Apple App Store and Google Play) to distribute our application." |
| Supplier | Apple (AAPL) | "We rely on "Gatekeeper" platforms (Apple App Store and Google Play) to distribute our application." |
| Related party | Uptake | "We subleased a portion of 600 West Chicago to Uptake, Inc., a Lightbank LLC portfolio company as a related party transaction." |
| Related party | Lightbank | "We subleased a portion of 600 West Chicago to Uptake, Inc., a Lightbank LLC portfolio company as a related party transaction." |
| Competitor | Meta Platforms (META) | "•Global Technology Platforms: Large companies such as Google, Meta, and ByteDance/TikTok, which not only offer local business advertising solutions but also control key digital channels we use to acquire customers." |
| Competitor | ByteDance | "•Global Technology Platforms: Large companies such as Google, Meta, and ByteDance/TikTok, which not only offer local business advertising solutions but also control key digital channels we use to acquire customers." |

## Company outlook (8-K filed 2026-08-06)

- "The outlook above reflects management's current expectations for 2026 and includes forward-looking statements regarding the Company's anticipated financial performance and operating priorities."

## Analyst estimates and revisions

| Period | EPS est. | 90d ago | Change | Revenue est. | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends 2026-09-30) | $-0.01 | $0.03 | −$0.04 | $129.4M | 2 |
| Next quarter (ends 2026-12-31) | $0.23 | $0.22 | +1.5% | $147.4M | 3 |
| Current fiscal year (ends 2026-12-31) | $-0.16 | $-0.13 | −$0.03 | $518.6M | 2 |
| Next fiscal year (ends 2027-12-31) | $0.86 | $0.83 | +3.2% | $560.3M | 3 |

## Earnings history and stock reaction
| Results filed | Quarter | EPS | Consensus | Surprise | Stock reaction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | Quarter ended Jun 30, 2026 | −$0.04 | −$0.06 | Beat +33.3% | — |
| — | Quarter ended Mar 31, 2026 | −$0.32 | −$0.04 | Miss −$0.28 | — |
| — | Quarter ended Dec 31, 2025 | $0.17 | $0.14 | Beat +21.4% | — |
| — | Quarter ended Sep 30, 2025 | −$2.92 | $0.03 | Miss −$2.95 | — |
EPS as reported against the analyst consensus before the release; surprise uses the cent-rounded figures shown (in dollars when EPS and consensus have opposite signs). Stock reaction = close before the results to close after (the first close following a release after the bell or before the open).

## Recent SEC filings (last 120 days)
| Filed | Form | What it says | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-27 | Schedule 13G/A | BlackRock, Inc.: 4.1% of shares, passive 5%+ holder (amended) | https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1490281/000201238326003903/0002012383-26-003903-index.htm |
| 2026-08-17 | Schedule 13G | Millennium Management LLC, Millennium Group Management LLC: 5.0% of shares, passive 5%+ holder | https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1490281/000110465926097934/0001104659-26-097934-index.htm |
| 2026-08-13 | Schedule 13G/A | CONTINENTAL GENERAL INSURANCE CO, Continental Insurance Group, Ltd.: 6.5% of shares, passive 5%+ holder (amended) | https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1490281/000092189526002113/0000921895-26-002113-index.htm |
| 2026-08-10 | Schedule 13D/A | Pale Fire Capital SICAV a.s., Pale Fire Capital investicni spolecnost a.s.: 32.0% of shares, 5%+ holder that may seek to influence the company (amended) | https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1490281/000092189526002024/0000921895-26-002024-index.htm |
| 2026-08-06 | 8-K | Quarterly results | https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1490281/000162828026054320/0001628280-26-054320-index.htm |
| 2026-08-06 | 10-Q | Quarterly report · period ended Jun 30, 2026 | https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1490281/000162828026054304/0001628280-26-054304-index.htm |
| 2026-07-28 | Schedule 13G | BlackRock, Inc.: 5.3% of shares, passive 5%+ holder | https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1490281/000201238326002584/0002012383-26-002584-index.htm |
Source: SEC EDGAR. Quotes are the opening words of each item as filed.
