# Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV)

> Source: Nexqual · https://nexqual.com/HGV · data as of 2026-10-22 20:00 UTC · cite as "Nexqual, Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV), nexqual.com/HGV" · informational, not investment advice.

**Price:** USD 37.08 (+3.03% on the day) · last close of Oct 22, 2026; US market pre market, not a live price. Prev close 37.08 · day 35.63–37.27 · 52w 33.99–55.4 · market cap null · NYQ

## Key facts
- Last four reported quarters (through Jun 30, 2026): revenue $5.28B, net income $151M (2.9% margin), free cash flow $413M (SEC filings).
- 2 of 80 tracked superinvestors hold HGV (13F, Q2 2026): 1 new, 0 added, 1 reduced, 0 unchanged.
- Analysts: Hold (mean 2.55 on a 1–5 scale) (11 analysts), mean target USD 50.64 (range 38–74).
- Total return with dividends: 1Y -17.9% vs S&P 500 +14.9%; 5Y -24.9% vs S&P 500 +80.3%.
- Next earnings: 2026-10-29, EPS estimate USD 1.11, revenue estimate $1.42B.

## Financials (SEC 10-K; TTM = last four 10-Q/10-K quarters)
| USD | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $2.33B | $3.83B | $3.98B | $4.98B | $5.05B | $5.28B |
| Net income | $176M | $352M | $313M | $47.0M | $81.0M | $151M |
| EPS (diluted) | $1.75 | $2.93 | $2.80 | $0.45 | $0.89 | — |
| Free cash flow | $150M | $689M | $281M | $267M | $230M | $413M |
| Net margin | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.9% |
| Revenue growth | +161.2% | +64.2% | +3.7% | +25.2% | +1.3% | — |
| Cash + short-term investments | $432M | $223M | $589M | $328M | $239M | — |
| Total debt | $2.91B | $2.65B | $3.05B | $4.60B | $4.54B | — |
Fiscal years end Dec. EPS is split-adjusted.

## Valuation (price ÷ last four quarters, through Jun 30, 2026)

P/E at fiscal year-ends: Dec 2025 50.6x, Dec 2024 85.4x, Dec 2023 14.3x.

## Superinvestors (SEC 13F-HR, Q2 2026)
2 of 80 tracked investors hold HGV. Each row is the investor's latest 13F; change is vs their prior-quarter share count.
| Investor | Firm | % of portfolio | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clifford Sosin | CAS Investment Partners | 14.48% | $273M | Reduced -0.6% |
| Ruane Cunniff | Ruane Cunniff LP | <0.01% | $219K | New position |

## Analysts
Consensus Hold (mean 2.55 on a 1–5 scale), 11 analysts; mean target USD 50.64 (low 38, high 74).
Rating changes, last 120 days:
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-19 | Wells Fargo | Target lowered | Equal-Weight | $51 → $38 |
| 2026-10-16 | Goldman Sachs | Target lowered | Neutral | $47 → $40 |
| 2026-10-15 | Susquehanna | Target lowered | Neutral | $50 → $39 |
| 2026-10-08 | JP Morgan | Initiated | Neutral | $39 |
| 2026-09-10 | Truist Securities | Target lowered | Buy | $71 → $69 |
| 2026-08-18 | Morgan Stanley | Target lowered | Equal-Weight | $58 → $54 |
| 2026-08-03 | Goldman Sachs | Target lowered | Neutral | $55 → $47 |
| 2026-07-31 | Mizuho | Target lowered | Outperform | $75 → $74 |
| 2026-07-31 | Barclays | Target lowered | Equal-Weight | $51 → $46 |
| 2026-07-17 | Morgan Stanley | Target raised | Equal-Weight | $55 → $58 |

## Total return (dividends reinvested)
|  | 1Y (from 2025-10-23) | 5Y (from 2021-10-18) |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | -17.9% | -24.9% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +14.9% | +80.3% |
| Per year | -18.0% | -5.6% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 39.3% | 36.8% |
| Max drawdown | -37.7% (Jun 2026→Oct 2026) | -39.9% (Nov 2021→Sep 2022) |

## Peers (Resorts & Casinos)
VAC (Marriott Vacations Worldwide Co) USD 112.93 -0.16% · PENN (PENN Entertainment, Inc.) USD 15.46 +3.83% · MCRI (Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc.) USD 113.5 +0.30% · RRR (Red Rock Resorts, Inc.) USD 50.43 +2.38% · BYD (Boyd Gaming Corporation) USD 72.27 +2.35% · MTN (Vail Resorts, Inc.) USD 148.23 +0.83%

## More
Full page: https://nexqual.com/HGV · Free keyless MCP server with the same data and citations: https://mcp.nexqual.com/mcp · Guide for agents: https://nexqual.com/agents · https://nexqual.com/llms.txt

## Supply chain and relationships (SEC annual reports)


Other companies that name HGV in their own reports (relationship from HGV's side):

| Relationship | Company | Their filing | Sentence |
|---|---|---|---|
| partner | Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) | 10-K 2026-02-11 | "Revenues from this segment include: (i) management and franchise fees charged to third-party hotel owners; (ii) licensing fees from our strategic partners, including co-branded credit card providers a…" |

## Analyst estimates and revisions

| Period | EPS est. | 90d ago | Change | Revenue est. | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends 2026-09-30) | $1.11 | $1.43 | -21.9% | $1.42B | 11 |
| Next quarter (ends 2026-12-31) | $1.74 | $1.77 | -1.3% | $1.50B | 11 |
| Current fiscal year (ends 2026-12-31) | $4.76 | $5.23 | -9.0% | $5.59B | 11 |
| Next fiscal year (ends 2027-12-31) | $5.13 | $5.52 | -7.1% | $5.77B | 10 |
