# Japan Tobacco Inc. (JAPAY)

> Source: Nexqual · https://nexqual.com/JAPAY · data as of 2026-10-23 16:20 UTC · cite as "Nexqual, Japan Tobacco Inc. (JAPAY), nexqual.com/JAPAY" · informational, not investment advice.

**Price:** USD 23.95 (-0.21% today) · US market open, as of October 23, 2026 at 16:20 UTC; quotes may be delayed. Prev close 24 · day 23.95–23.99 · 52w 15.74–24.03 · market cap $85.0B · PNK

## Key facts
- Analysts: Sell (mean 3.50 on a 1–5 scale) (2 analysts), mean target USD 26.5 (range 17–36).
- Total return with dividends: 1Y +46.2% vs S&P 500 +14.4%; 5Y +151.6% vs S&P 500 +77.0%.
- Next earnings: 2026-10-29, EPS estimate USD 0.36, revenue estimate $1.01T.

## Analysts
Consensus Sell (mean 3.50 on a 1–5 scale), 2 analysts; mean target USD 26.5 (low 17, high 36).

## Total return (dividends reinvested)
|  | 1Y (from 2025-10-23) | 5Y (from 2021-10-25) |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | +46.2% | +151.6% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +14.4% | +77.0% |
| Per year | +46.3% | +20.3% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 22.5% | 19.3% |
| Max drawdown | -11.5% (Feb 2026→Mar 2026) | -23.4% (Dec 2021→Oct 2022) |

## Peers (Tobacco)
MO (Altria Group, Inc.) USD 74.62 -1.91% · BTI (British American Tobacco  Indus) USD 59.32 -1.91% · PM (Philip Morris International Inc) USD 200.36 -0.68% · RLX (RLX Technology Inc.) USD 1.63 -0.91% · TPB (Turning Point Brands, Inc.) USD 64.93 -2.90% · AIIR (Air Global PLC) USD 7.64 +0.86%

## More
Full page: https://nexqual.com/JAPAY · Free keyless MCP server with the same data and citations: https://mcp.nexqual.com/mcp · Guide for agents: https://nexqual.com/agents · https://nexqual.com/llms.txt

## Analyst estimates and revisions

| Period | EPS est. | 90d ago | Change | Revenue est. | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends 2026-09-30) | $0.36 | $0.00 | — | $1.01T | 1 |
| Next quarter (ends 2026-12-31) | $0.04 | $0.00 | — | $878.27B | 1 |
| Current fiscal year (ends 2026-12-31) | $1.08 | $1.08 | +0.8% | $3.89T | 2 |
| Next fiscal year (ends 2027-12-31) | $1.19 | $1.17 | +1.6% | $4.06T | 2 |