# Li Auto Inc. (LI)

> Source: Nexqual · https://nexqual.com/LI · data as of 2026-10-22 20:00 UTC · cite as "Nexqual, Li Auto Inc. (LI), nexqual.com/LI" · informational, not investment advice.

**Price:** USD 11.47 (-0.26% on the day) · last close of Oct 22, 2026; US market pre market, not a live price. Prev close 11.5 · day 11.11–11.59 · 52w 10.66–22.44 · market cap $11.2B · NMS

## Key facts
- Analysts: Hold (mean 2.58 on a 1–5 scale) (24 analysts), mean target USD 15.04 (range 9.07–20.7).
- Total return with dividends: 1Y -48.4% vs S&P 500 +14.9%; 5Y -64.5% vs S&P 500 +80.3%.
- Next earnings: 2026-11-25, EPS estimate USD -0.84, revenue estimate $27.6B.

## Analysts
Consensus Hold (mean 2.58 on a 1–5 scale), 24 analysts; mean target USD 15.04 (low 9.07, high 20.7).
Rating changes, last 120 days:
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Piper Sandler | Target lowered | Neutral | $15 → $13 |

## Total return (dividends reinvested)
|  | 1Y (from 2025-10-23) | 5Y (from 2021-10-18) |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | -48.4% | -64.5% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +14.9% | +80.3% |
| Per year | -48.5% | -18.7% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 38.6% | 58.0% |
| Max drawdown | -51.9% (Oct 2025→Oct 2026) | -76.7% (Jul 2023→Sep 2026) |

## Peers (Auto Manufacturers)
STLA (Stellantis N.V.) USD 4.27 +1.18% · XPEV (XPeng Inc.) USD 9.07 -3.10% · NIO (NIO Inc.) USD 3.31 -1.49% · RIVN (Rivian Automotive, Inc.) USD 12.06 -3.21% · VFS (VinFast Auto Ltd.) USD 2.96 -1.00% · HMC (Honda Motor Company, Ltd.) USD 34.58 +1.80%

## More
Full page: https://nexqual.com/LI · Free keyless MCP server with the same data and citations: https://mcp.nexqual.com/mcp · Guide for agents: https://nexqual.com/agents · https://nexqual.com/llms.txt

## Analyst estimates and revisions

| Period | EPS est. | 90d ago | Change | Revenue est. | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends 2026-09-30) | $-0.84 | $0.40 | -309.7% | $27.56B | 3 |
| Next quarter (ends 2026-12-31) | $0.77 | $2.36 | -67.4% | $33.88B | 3 |
| Current fiscal year (ends 2026-12-31) | $-3.90 | $0.21 | -1966.6% | $113.06B | 4 |
| Next fiscal year (ends 2027-12-31) | $3.72 | $6.96 | -46.6% | $141.71B | 3 |

## Options: expected move (Cboe, 15-min delayed)

Expected move by 2026-11-27 (includes earnings 2026-11-25): ±11.7%.

| Expiration | Days | ATM IV | Expected move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | 7 | 48.4% | ±5.8% |
| 2026-11-06 | 14 | 51.1% | ±8.3% |
| 2026-11-13 | 21 | 52.6% | ±10.3% |
| 2026-11-20 | 28 | 54.7% | ±12.4% |
| 2026-11-27 | 35 | 46.3% | ±11.7% |
| 2026-12-18 | 56 | 47.7% | ±15.2% |
| 2027-01-15 | 84 | 45.5% | ±17.6% |
| 2027-03-19 | 147 | 49.4% | ±24.9% |