# MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. (MSM)

> Source: Nexqual · https://nexqual.com/MSM · data as of 2026-10-22 20:00 UTC · cite as "Nexqual, MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. (MSM), nexqual.com/MSM" · informational, not investment advice.

**Price:** USD 112.43 (-15.35% on the day) · last close of Oct 22, 2026; US market pre market, not a live price. Prev close 132.82 · day 111.78–126.5 · 52w 78.8–133.95 · market cap null · NYQ

## Key facts
- Last four reported quarters (through Aug 29, 2026): revenue $4.01B, net income $223M (5.6% margin), free cash flow $225M (SEC filings).
- 1 of 80 tracked superinvestors hold MSM (13F, Q2 2026): 0 new, 0 added, 1 reduced, 0 unchanged.
- Analysts: Hold (mean 2.55 on a 1–5 scale) (11 analysts), mean target USD 133.75 (range 73–155).
- Total return with dividends: 1Y +30.0% vs S&P 500 +14.9%; 5Y +65.8% vs S&P 500 +80.3%.
- Next earnings: 2027-01-06, EPS estimate USD 1.27, revenue estimate $1.06B.

## Financials (SEC 10-K; TTM = last four 10-Q/10-K quarters)
| USD | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | FY2026 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $3.69B | $4.01B | $3.82B | $3.77B | $4.01B | $4.01B |
| Gross profit | $1.56B | $1.64B | $1.57B | $1.54B | $1.64B | — |
| Operating income | $469M | $484M | $390M | $302M | $321M | $321M |
| Net income | $340M | $343M | $259M | $199M | $223M | $223M |
| EPS (diluted) | $6.06 | $6.11 | $4.58 | $3.57 | $3.98 | — |
| Free cash flow | $185M | $607M | $311M | $241M | $225M | $225M |
| Gross margin | 42.2% | 41.0% | 41.2% | 40.8% | 40.9% | — |
| Operating margin | 12.7% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% |
| Net margin | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% |
| Revenue growth | +13.8% | +8.6% | -4.7% | -1.3% | +6.4% | — |
| Cash + short-term investments | $43.5M | $50.1M | $29.6M | $56.2M | $65.0M | — |
| Total debt | $793M | $454M | $508M | $485M | $476M | — |
Fiscal years end Aug. EPS is split-adjusted.

## Valuation (price ÷ last four quarters, through Aug 29, 2026)

P/E at fiscal year-ends: Aug 2026 29.9x, Aug 2025 25.3x, Aug 2024 17.9x.

## Superinvestors (SEC 13F-HR, Q2 2026)
1 of 80 tracked investors hold MSM. Each row is the investor's latest 13F; change is vs their prior-quarter share count.
| Investor | Firm | % of portfolio | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Pzena | Pzena Investment Management | 0.13% | $44.4M | Reduced -16.0% |

## Analysts
Consensus Hold (mean 2.55 on a 1–5 scale), 11 analysts; mean target USD 133.75 (low 73, high 155).
Rating changes, last 120 days:
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-13 | Barclays | Initiated | Overweight | $152 |
| 2026-07-13 | Rothschild & Co | Initiated | Buy | $155 |
| 2026-07-02 | Keybanc | Target raised | Overweight | $132 → $145 |
| 2026-07-02 | DA Davidson | Target raised | Buy | $145 → $150 |

## Total return (dividends reinvested)
|  | 1Y (from 2025-10-23) | 5Y (from 2021-10-18) |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | +30.0% | +65.8% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +14.9% | +80.3% |
| Per year | +30.1% | +10.6% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 31.7% | 24.7% |
| Max drawdown | -15.3% (Oct 2026→Oct 2026) | -27.8% (Dec 2023→Mar 2025) |

## Peers (Industrial Distribution)
POOL (Pool Corporation) USD 197.21 +14.36% · XMTR (Xometry, Inc.) USD 89.16 +0.25% · CNM (Core & Main, Inc.) USD 42.33 +2.17% · SITE (SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc.) USD 103.17 +5.87% · QXO (QXO, Inc.) USD 11.02 +6.89% · AIT (Applied Industrial Technologies) USD 319.4 -5.75%

## More
Full page: https://nexqual.com/MSM · Free keyless MCP server with the same data and citations: https://mcp.nexqual.com/mcp · Guide for agents: https://nexqual.com/agents · https://nexqual.com/llms.txt

## Customer concentration

Period ended 2026-08-29: 58%, 9%, 9%, 7%, 4% of revenue from unnamed direct customers (10-K, filed 2026-10-22).

## Analyst estimates and revisions

| Period | EPS est. | 90d ago | Change | Revenue est. | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends 2026-11-30) | $1.27 | $1.21 | +4.6% | $1.06B | 8 |
| Next quarter (ends 2027-02-28) | $1.14 | $1.08 | +5.9% | $1.02B | 8 |
| Current fiscal year (ends 2027-08-31) | $5.57 | $5.45 | +2.3% | $4.33B | 10 |
| Next fiscal year (ends 2028-08-31) | $6.48 | $6.23 | +4.0% | $4.59B | 9 |