# NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc. (NXRT)

> Source: Nexqual · https://nexqual.com/NXRT · data as of 2026-10-22 20:00 UTC · cite as "Nexqual, NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc. (NXRT), nexqual.com/NXRT" · informational, not investment advice.

**Price:** USD 19.09 (+5.53% on the day) · last close of Oct 22, 2026; US market pre market, not a live price. Prev close 18.09 · day 18.1–19.15 · 52w 17.67–32.36 · market cap $985M · NYQ

## Key facts
- Last four reported quarters (through Jun 30, 2026): revenue $253M, net income -$33.5M (-13.2% margin) (SEC filings).
- Insider open-market purchases, last ~7 months: 1 Form 4 filing, $201K; 0 by opportunistic insiders, 0 by routine insiders.
- Analysts: Hold (mean 3.00 on a 1–5 scale) (6 analysts), mean target USD 25.25 (range 18–35).
- Total return with dividends: 1Y -33.5% vs S&P 500 +14.9%; 5Y -65.4% vs S&P 500 +80.3%.
- Next earnings: 2026-11-03, EPS estimate USD -0.42, revenue estimate $64.9M.

## Financials (SEC 10-K; TTM = last four 10-Q/10-K quarters)
| USD | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $219M | $264M | $278M | $260M | $251M | $253M |
| Operating income | $64.4M | $46.3M | $113M | $83.6M | $27.9M | $28.2M |
| Net income | $23.0M | -$9.3M | $44.3M | $1.1M | -$32.0M | -$33.5M |
| EPS (diluted) | $0.89 | -$0.36 | $1.69 | $0.04 | -$1.26 | — |
| Operating margin | 29.4% | 17.5% | 40.8% | 32.2% | 11.1% | 11.1% |
| Net margin | 10.5% | -3.5% | 15.9% | 0.4% | -12.7% | -13.2% |
| Revenue growth | +7.1% | +20.4% | +5.1% | -6.4% | -3.2% | — |
| Cash + short-term investments | $49.5M | $16.8M | $12.4M | $23.1M | $13.7M | — |
| Total debt | $1.56B | $1.68B | $1.58B | — | $1.59B | — |
Fiscal years end Dec. EPS is split-adjusted.

## Valuation (price ÷ last four quarters, through Jun 30, 2026)
P/S 3.9x · EV/EBITDA 21.0x · EV/Sales 10.3x · P/B 4.0x · Earnings yield -3.40% · Dividend yield (paid, TTM) 5.54% · Net debt $1.61B · EV $2.59B
P/E at fiscal year-ends: Dec 2024 987.2x, Dec 2023 20.4x.

## Insider purchases (SEC Form 4, open-market, last ~7 months)
1 purchase, $201K. Private placements, offerings, dividend reinvestment and employee stock purchase plan buys are excluded.
| Trade date | Insider | Role | Shares | Value | Avg price | Insider type |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01…2026-10-05 | McGraner Matt | See Remarks | 10,780 | $201K | 18.65 | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
Insider type follows Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski (Journal of Finance, 2012). An insider who traded the stock in the same calendar month in each of the past three years is a routine trader; one who traded in each of those years without such a pattern is an opportunistic trader. In their study, trades by opportunistic insiders predicted future returns and trades by routine insiders did not. Counts open-market purchases and sales only (SEC Form 4 codes P and S) by that insider in that company. Not investment advice.

## Analysts
Consensus Hold (mean 3.00 on a 1–5 scale), 6 analysts; mean target USD 25.25 (low 18, high 35).
Rating changes, last 120 days:
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | Truist Securities | Target lowered | Hold | $26 → $18 |
| 2026-08-20 | Citizens | Reiterated | Market Perform |  |
| 2026-06-30 | Truist Securities | Target lowered | Hold | $27 → $26 |

## Total return (dividends reinvested)
|  | 1Y (from 2025-10-23) | 5Y (from 2021-10-18) |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | -33.5% | -65.4% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +14.9% | +80.3% |
| Per year | -33.5% | -19.1% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 31.2% | 32.2% |
| Max drawdown | -39.6% (Jan 2026→Oct 2026) | -74.6% (Mar 2022→Oct 2026) |

## Peers (REIT - Residential)
CSR (D/B/A Centerspace) USD 57.45 +2.28% · UMH (UMH Properties, Inc.) USD 15.45 +2.86% · IRT (Independence Realty Trust, Inc.) USD 15.17 +2.36% · MRP (Millrose Properties, Inc.) USD 23.97 +3.81% · JAN (Janus Living, Inc.) USD 28.64 +1.02% · CPT (Camden Property Trust) USD 102.74 +2.55%

## More
Full page: https://nexqual.com/NXRT · Free keyless MCP server with the same data and citations: https://mcp.nexqual.com/mcp · Guide for agents: https://nexqual.com/agents · https://nexqual.com/llms.txt

## Analyst estimates and revisions

| Period | EPS est. | 90d ago | Change | Revenue est. | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends 2026-09-30) | $-0.41 | $-0.47 | -11.7% | $64.9M | 2 |
| Next quarter (ends 2026-12-31) | $-0.54 | $-0.53 | +1.9% | $65.1M | 1 |
| Current fiscal year (ends 2026-12-31) | $-1.54 | $-1.64 | -6.1% | $256.7M | 1 |
| Next fiscal year (ends 2027-12-31) | $-2.21 | $-1.93 | +14.5% | $262.8M | 2 |

## Options: expected move (Cboe, 15-min delayed)

Expected move by 2026-11-20 (includes earnings 2026-11-03): ±29.1%; last 8 reports averaged ±2.7%.

| Expiration | Days | ATM IV | Expected move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-20 | 28 | 91.6% | ±29.1% |
| 2026-12-18 | 56 | 53.4% | ±18.5% |
| 2027-02-19 | 119 | 47.5% | ±21.5% |
| 2027-05-21 | 210 | 40.1% | ±25.7% |
