# O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. (ORLY)

> Source: Nexqual · https://nexqual.com/ORLY · data as of 2026-10-22 20:00 UTC · cite as "Nexqual, O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. (ORLY), nexqual.com/ORLY" · informational, not investment advice.

**Price:** USD 92 (+3.14% on the day) · last close of Oct 22, 2026; US market pre market, not a live price. Prev close 89.2 · day 89.2–92.03 · 52w 82.59–102.46 · market cap $74.4B · NMS

## Key facts
- Last four reported quarters (through Jun 30, 2026): revenue $18.6B, net income $2.65B (14.3% margin), free cash flow $2.16B (SEC filings).
- Valuation: P/E 28.1x (avg 28.2x at the last 3 fiscal year-ends), EV/EBITDA 19.5x, net debt $6.75B.
- 4 of 80 tracked superinvestors hold ORLY (13F, Q2 2026): 1 new, 0 added, 3 reduced, 0 unchanged.
- Insider open-market sales, last ~7 months: 8 Form 4 filings, $10.4M; 8 not under a Rule 10b5-1 plan ($10.4M); 3 by opportunistic insiders (3 outside 10b5-1 plans), 1 by routine insiders (three-year test, Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski 2012).
- Analysts: Buy (mean 2.03 on a 1–5 scale) (29 analysts), mean target USD 107.38 (range 91–120).
- Total return with dividends: 1Y -6.4% vs S&P 500 +14.9%; 5Y +108.0% vs S&P 500 +80.3%.
- Next earnings: 2026-10-28, EPS estimate USD 0.93, revenue estimate $5.01B.

## Financials (SEC 10-K; TTM = last four 10-Q/10-K quarters)
| USD | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $13.3B | $14.4B | $15.8B | $16.7B | $17.8B | $18.6B |
| Gross profit | $7.02B | $7.38B | $8.10B | $8.55B | $9.17B | — |
| Operating income | $2.92B | $2.95B | $3.19B | $3.25B | $3.46B | $3.63B |
| Net income | $2.16B | $2.17B | $2.35B | $2.39B | $2.54B | $2.65B |
| EPS (diluted) | $2.07 | $2.23 | $2.56 | $2.71 | $2.97 | — |
| Free cash flow | $2.76B | $2.58B | $2.03B | $2.03B | $1.59B | $2.16B |
| Gross margin | 52.7% | 51.2% | 51.3% | 51.2% | 51.6% | — |
| Operating margin | 21.9% | 20.5% | 20.2% | 19.5% | 19.5% | 19.6% |
| Net margin | 16.2% | 15.1% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 14.3% |
| Revenue growth | +14.8% | +8.1% | +9.7% | +5.7% | +6.4% | — |
| Cash + short-term investments | $362M | $109M | $279M | $130M | $194M | — |
| Total debt | $3.83B | $4.37B | $5.57B | $5.52B | $6.02B | — |
Fiscal years end Dec. EPS is split-adjusted.

## Valuation (price ÷ last four quarters, through Jun 30, 2026)
P/E 28.1x · P/S 4.0x · EV/EBITDA 19.5x · EV/Sales 4.4x · P/FCF 34.5x · FCF yield 2.90% · Earnings yield 3.56% · Buyback yield (TTM) 4.51% · Net debt $6.75B · EV $81.2B
P/E at fiscal year-ends: Dec 2025 30.8x, Dec 2024 29.2x, Dec 2023 24.7x.

## Superinvestors (SEC 13F-HR, Q2 2026)
4 of 80 tracked investors hold ORLY. Each row is the investor's latest 13F; change is vs their prior-quarter share count.
| Investor | Firm | % of portfolio | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chuck Akre | Akre Capital Management | 3.90% | $199M | Reduced -44.4% |
| David Rolfe | Wedgewood Partners | 3.28% | $15.9M | Reduced -3.2% |
| Torray Funds |  | 0.76% | $5.6M | Reduced -2.5% |
| Terry Smith | Fundsmith | 0.11% | $15.0M | New position |

## Insider sales (SEC Form 4, open-market, last ~7 months)
0 of 8 under a Rule 10b5-1 trading plan (scheduled in advance). Unplanned sales were timed by the insider.
| Trade date | Insider | Role | Shares | Value | % of holdings sold | 10b5-1 plan | Insider type |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Hendrickson Thomas | Director | 1,000 | $88K | 5.1% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2024 or 2025) |
| 2026-08-12 | Sastre Maria | Director | 2,000 | $184K | 11.8% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023 or 2024) |
| 2026-08-12 | Mancini Christopher Andrew | SVP OF PROF SALES & STORE OPS | 3,000 | $279K | 62.2% | No | Routine (sold in Feb each year 2023–2025; this trade is outside those months) |
| 2026-05-29 | Hendrickson Thomas | Director | 1,200 | $106K | 5.7% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2024 or 2025) |
| 2026-05-20 | Dumas Robert Allen | SVP OF EASTERN STORE OPS/SALES | 84,600 | $7.8M | 95.3% | No | Opportunistic (traded every year 2023–2025, no repeating month) |
| 2026-05-18 | Murphy John Raymond | Director | 2,595 | $230K | 17.6% | No | Opportunistic (traded every year 2023–2025, no repeating month) |
| 2026-05-08 | Beckham Brad W | CEO | 13,635 | $1.3M | 32.3% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023) |
| 2026-05-07 | Hopper Philip M | SVP OF REAL ESTATE & EXPANSION | 3,700 | $350K | 37.8% | No | Opportunistic (traded every year 2023–2025, no repeating month) |
% of holdings sold = shares sold ÷ (shares sold + all holdings the insider reported on that Form 4, direct and through trusts).
Insider type follows Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski (Journal of Finance, 2012). An insider who traded the stock in the same calendar month in each of the past three years is a routine trader; one who traded in each of those years without such a pattern is an opportunistic trader. In their study, trades by opportunistic insiders predicted future returns and trades by routine insiders did not. Counts open-market purchases and sales only (SEC Form 4 codes P and S) by that insider in that company. Not investment advice.

## Analysts
Consensus Buy (mean 2.03 on a 1–5 scale), 29 analysts; mean target USD 107.38 (low 91, high 120).
Rating changes, last 120 days:
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-20 | RBC Capital | Target raised | Outperform | $110 → $111 |
| 2026-09-29 | Bernstein | Initiated | Market Perform | $94 |
| 2026-09-18 | DA Davidson | Maintained | Buy | $106 |
| 2026-09-16 | DA Davidson | Maintained | Buy | $106 |
| 2026-08-03 | Citigroup | Target raised | Buy | $104 → $106 |
| 2026-07-31 | TD Cowen | Target lowered | Buy | $117 → $110 |
| 2026-07-30 | Morgan Stanley | Target lowered | Overweight | $112 → $108 |
| 2026-07-22 | DA Davidson | Maintained | Buy | $114 |
| 2026-07-07 | DA Davidson | Maintained | Buy | $114 |

## Total return (dividends reinvested)
|  | 1Y (from 2025-10-23) | 5Y (from 2021-10-18) |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | -6.4% | +108.0% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +14.9% | +80.3% |
| Per year | -6.4% | +15.7% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 26.0% | 23.0% |
| Max drawdown | -18.6% (Nov 2025→Jul 2026) | -22.3% (Apr 2022→May 2022) |

## Peers (Auto Parts)
AZO (AutoZone, Inc.) USD 3,270.7 +3.61% · GPC (Genuine Parts Company) USD 127.97 +2.56% · MGA (Magna International, Inc.) USD 64.72 +1.39% · HSAI (Hesai Group) USD 12.14 -7.96% · BWA (BorgWarner Inc.) USD 55.46 -3.46% · AUR (Aurora Innovation, Inc.) USD 4.86 -2.99%

## More
Full page: https://nexqual.com/ORLY · Free keyless MCP server with the same data and citations: https://mcp.nexqual.com/mcp · Guide for agents: https://nexqual.com/agents · https://nexqual.com/llms.txt

## Analyst estimates and revisions

| Period | EPS est. | 90d ago | Change | Revenue est. | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends 2026-09-30) | $0.93 | $0.91 | +1.8% | $5.01B | 19 |
| Next quarter (ends 2026-12-31) | $0.78 | $0.77 | +1.1% | $4.67B | 19 |
| Current fiscal year (ends 2026-12-31) | $3.28 | $3.26 | +0.8% | $19.13B | 22 |
| Next fiscal year (ends 2027-12-31) | $3.65 | $3.62 | +1.0% | $20.29B | 22 |
