# Rio Tinto Group (RIO)

> Source: Nexqual · https://nexqual.com/RIO · data as of 2026-10-22 20:00 UTC · cite as "Nexqual, Rio Tinto Group (RIO), nexqual.com/RIO" · informational, not investment advice.

**Price:** USD 84.14 (-3.20% on the day) · last close of Oct 22, 2026; US market pre market, not a live price. Prev close 86.92 · day 83.7–84.95 · 52w 67.74–112.58 · market cap $137B · NYQ

## Key facts
- 1 of 80 tracked superinvestors hold RIO (13F, Q2 2026): 0 new, 0 added, 0 reduced, 1 unchanged.
- Analysts: Hold (mean 2.50 on a 1–5 scale) (10 analysts), mean target USD 102.71 (range 82–117).
- Total return with dividends: 1Y +25.2% vs S&P 500 +14.9%; 5Y +80.6% vs S&P 500 +80.3%.
- Next earnings: 2026-07-28, EPS estimate USD —, revenue estimate $0K.

## Superinvestors (SEC 13F-HR, Q2 2026)
1 of 80 tracked investors hold RIO. Each row is the investor's latest 13F; change is vs their prior-quarter share count.
| Investor | Firm | % of portfolio | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dodge & Cox Funds | Dodge & Cox | <0.01% | $285K | Unchanged |

## Analysts
Consensus Hold (mean 2.50 on a 1–5 scale), 10 analysts; mean target USD 102.71 (low 82, high 117).
Rating changes, last 120 days:
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Bernstein | Target raised | Outperform | $88.5 → $89.5 |
| 2026-08-24 | Morgan Stanley | Initiated | Overweight → Underweight | $90 |

## Total return (dividends reinvested)
|  | 1Y (from 2025-10-23) | 5Y (from 2021-10-18) |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | +25.2% | +80.6% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +14.9% | +80.3% |
| Per year | +25.3% | +12.5% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 30.4% | 28.2% |
| Max drawdown | -23.3% (May 2026→Oct 2026) | -34.1% (Mar 2022→Sep 2022) |

## Peers (Other Industrial Metals & Mining)
BHP (BHP Group Limited) USD 77.58 -4.01% · VALE (VALE S.A.) USD 12.2 -3.94% · RML (RESOLUTION MINERALS LTD) USD 4.35 -3.97% · MP (MP Materials Corp.) USD 38.56 -2.38% · MTRN (Materion Corporation) USD 219.12 -12.43% · USAR (USA Rare Earth, Inc.) USD 9.63 -5.87%

## More
Full page: https://nexqual.com/RIO · Free keyless MCP server with the same data and citations: https://mcp.nexqual.com/mcp · Guide for agents: https://nexqual.com/agents · https://nexqual.com/llms.txt

## Supply chain and relationships (SEC annual reports)

Named in RIO's own 20-F filed 2026-02-19 (https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/863064/000162828026009531/rio-20251231.htm):

| Relationship | Company | Sentence in the filing |
|---|---|---|
| Partner | BHP (BHP) | "2025 in collaboration with BHP, working with haul truck manufacturer" |

Other companies that name RIO in their own reports (relationship from RIO's side):

| Relationship | Company | Their filing | Sentence |
|---|---|---|---|
| customer | 5E Advanced Materials, Inc. (FEAM) | 10-K 2026-09-17 | "There are currently only two major global suppliers: Eti Maden, a state-owned corporation in Turkey, and U.S. Borax, Inc., a subsidiary of Rio Tinto PLC, who together represent approximately 80-85% of…" |
| competitor | BHP Group Ltd (BHP) | 20-F 2026-08-18 | "Competitors include: Anglo American, Antofagasta, Codelco, Freeport, Glencore, Rio Tinto, Southern Copper, Teck." |
| competitor | CHEMICAL & MINING CO OF CHILE INC (SQM) | 20-F 2026-04-22 | "The main competitors in the lithium market with their estimated market share are: Albemarle (12%), Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium Co (6%), Tianqi Lithium Corp. (5%) and Rio Tinto (4%)." |
| partner | Aura Minerals Inc. (AUGO) | 20-F 2026-04-01 | "Bom Futuro in partnership with Western Mining Corporation (&ldquo;WMC&rdquo;) later followed by Rio Tinto (&ldquo;RTZ&rdquo;) in 2000," |
| competitor | Vale S.A. (VALE) | 20-F 2026-03-27 | "The largest competitors in the copper concentrate market are BHP Group, Rio Tinto," |
| partner | Alcoa Corp (AA) | 10-K 2026-02-26 | "ELYSIS® Limited Partnership (ELYSIS) is between wholly-owned subsidiaries of Alcoa (48.235%) and Rio Tinto Alcan Inc. (Rio Tinto) (48.235%), respectively, and Investissement Québec (3.53%), a company …" |
| partner | Ivanhoe Electric Inc. (IE) | 10-K 2026-02-23 | "Dragon's Tail comprises 169 unpatented federal lode claims near the Resolution Copper Project, owned by Resolution Copper (A Rio Tinto and BHP Joint Venture)." |
| supplier | GENCO SHIPPING & TRADING LTD (GNK) | 10-K 2026-02-18 | "For the year ended December 31, 2023, there were two customers that individually accounted for more than 10% of voyage revenues, Rio Tinto Shipping (Asia) Pte." |
| partner | FREEPORT-MCMORAN INC (FCX) | 10-K 2026-02-13 | "Pursuant to the divestment agreement and related documents, PT Mineral Industri Indonesia (MIND ID), an Indonesia state-owned enterprise, acquired all of Rio Tinto plc's (Rio Tinto) interests associat…" |
| competitor | ALBEMARLE CORP (ALB) | 10-K 2026-02-11 | "Major competitors in lithium compounds include Sociedad Quimica y Minera de Chile S.A., Sichuan Tianqi Lithium, Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium, Rio Tinto plc, Pilbara Minerals, Tesla and a large number of ad…" |

## Analyst estimates and revisions

| Period | EPS est. | 90d ago | Change | Revenue est. | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter | — | — | — | $0 | — |
| Next quarter | — | — | — | $0 | — |
| Current fiscal year (ends 2026-12-31) | $8.43 | $8.37 | +0.7% | $63.00B | 7 |
| Next fiscal year (ends 2027-12-31) | $8.51 | $8.74 | -2.7% | $64.38B | 7 |

## Options: expected move (Cboe, 15-min delayed)

| Expiration | Days | ATM IV | Expected move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-20 | 28 | 30.1% | ±6.8% |
| 2026-12-18 | 56 | 29.9% | ±9.5% |
| 2027-01-15 | 84 | 29.6% | ±11.4% |
| 2027-03-19 | 147 | 31.0% | ±16.5% |
| 2027-04-16 | 175 | 31.6% | ±17.8% |
| 2027-06-17 | 237 | 30.9% | ±19.8% |
| 2027-09-17 | 329 | 32.3% | ±24.2% |
