# Rockwell Automation, Inc. (ROK)

> Source: Nexqual · https://nexqual.com/ROK · data as of 2026-10-23 16:58 UTC · cite as "Nexqual, Rockwell Automation, Inc. (ROK), nexqual.com/ROK" · informational, not investment advice.

**Price:** USD 427.33 (+0.82% today) · US market open, as of October 23, 2026 at 16:58 UTC; quotes may be delayed. Prev close 423.87 · day 415.71–428.5 · 52w 347.53–497.36 · market cap $47.6B · NYQ

## Key facts
- Last four reported quarters (through Jun 30, 2026): revenue $8.97B, net income $1.20B (13.4% margin), free cash flow $1.50B (SEC filings).
- 2 of 80 tracked superinvestors hold ROK (13F, Q2 2026): 0 new, 0 added, 1 reduced, 1 unchanged.
- Insider open-market sales, last ~7 months: 15 Form 4 filings, $6.5M; 2 not under a Rule 10b5-1 plan ($2.3M); 0 by opportunistic insiders, 11 by routine insiders (three-year test, Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski 2012).
- Analysts: Hold (mean 2.54 on a 1–5 scale) (28 analysts), mean target USD 474.88 (range 282–550).
- Total return with dividends: 1Y +21.3% vs S&P 500 +14.6%; 5Y +45.5% vs S&P 500 +77.3%.
- Next earnings: 2026-11-05, EPS estimate USD 3.69, revenue estimate $2.41B.

## Financials (SEC 10-K; TTM = last four 10-Q/10-K quarters)
| USD | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $7.00B | $7.76B | $9.06B | $8.26B | $8.34B | $8.97B |
| Gross profit | $2.90B | $3.10B | $4.42B | $3.85B | $4.02B | — |
| Operating income | — | — | $1.93B | $1.59B | $1.70B | $2.04B |
| Net income | $1.36B | $932M | $1.39B | $953M | $869M | $1.20B |
| EPS (diluted) | $11.58 | $7.97 | $11.95 | $8.28 | $7.67 | — |
| Free cash flow | $1.14B | $682M | $1.21B | $639M | $1.36B | $1.50B |
| Gross margin | 41.4% | 40.0% | 48.8% | 46.6% | 48.1% | — |
| Operating margin | — | — | 21.3% | 19.3% | 20.4% | 22.7% |
| Net margin | 19.4% | 12.0% | 15.3% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 13.4% |
| Revenue growth | +10.5% | +10.9% | +16.7% | -8.8% | +0.9% | — |
| Cash + short-term investments | $663M | $503M | $1.07B | $471M | — | — |
| Total debt | $3.47B | $3.48B | $2.87B | $2.87B | $2.62B | — |
Fiscal years end Sep. EPS is split-adjusted.

## Valuation (price ÷ last four quarters, through Jun 30, 2026)

P/E at fiscal year-ends: Sep 2025 45.5x, Sep 2024 32.3x, Sep 2023 23.8x.

## Superinvestors (SEC 13F-HR, Q2 2026)
2 of 80 tracked investors hold ROK. Each row is the investor's latest 13F; change is vs their prior-quarter share count.
| Investor | Firm | % of portfolio | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mairs & Power | Mairs & Power Funds | 1.17% | $128M | Reduced -9.1% |
| Thomas Gayner | Markel Group | 0.58% | $76.7M | Unchanged |

## Insider sales (SEC Form 4, open-market, last ~7 months)
13 of 15 under a Rule 10b5-1 trading plan (scheduled in advance). Unplanned sales were timed by the insider.
| Trade date | Insider | Role | Shares | Value | % of holdings sold | 10b5-1 plan | Insider type |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Woods Isaac | Vice President and Treasurer | 154 | $67K | 6.2% | Yes | Routine (sold in Feb & Jun & Dec each year 2023–2025; this trade is outside those months) |
| 2026-08-31…2026-09-02 | Bulho Matheus De A G Viera | SVP Software and Control | 867 | $367K | 49.8% | Yes | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023) |
| 2026-08-27 | Watson Patricia A | Director | 1,100 | $475K | 14.7% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
| 2026-08-20 | Rothe Christian E | Sr. VP and CFO | 590 | $256K | 5.4% | Yes | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023 or 2025) |
| 2026-07-16 | Riesterer Terry L. | Vice President and Controller | 281 | $127K | 11.2% | Yes | Routine (sold in Dec each year 2023–2025; this trade is outside those months) |
| 2026-06-04 | Fordenwalt Matthew W. | SVP Lifecycle Services | 377 | $174K | 7.7% | Yes | Routine (sold in Dec each year 2023–2025; this trade is outside those months) |
| 2026-06-02 | Fordenwalt Matthew W. | SVP Lifecycle Services | 218 | $99K | 4.3% | Yes | Routine (sold in Dec each year 2023–2025; this trade is outside those months) |
| 2026-05-20 | Miller John M | VP and Chief IP Counsel | 1,054 | $449K | 14.7% | Yes | Routine (sold in May & Dec each year 2023–2025) |
| 2026-05-07 | Riesterer Terry L. | Vice President and Controller | 4,024 | $1.8M | 70.7% | No | Routine (sold in Dec each year 2023–2025; this trade is outside those months) |
| 2026-05-05 | Fordenwalt Matthew W. | SVP Lifecycle Services | 600 | $270K | 11.7% | Yes | Routine (sold in Dec each year 2023–2025; this trade is outside those months) |
| 2026-05-05 | Nardecchia Christopher | SVP, Chief Information Officer | 2,538 | $1.1M | 15.1% | Yes | Routine (sold in Jun & Dec each year 2023–2025; this trade is outside those months) |
| 2026-05-05 | Genereux Scott | Sr.VP, Chief Revenue Officer | 550 | $246K | 16.6% | Yes | Routine (sold in Feb & Dec each year 2023–2025; this trade is outside those months) |
| 2026-04-13 | Fordenwalt Matthew W. | SVP Lifecycle Services | 1,200 | $480K | 21% | Yes | Routine (sold in Dec each year 2023–2025; this trade is outside those months) |
| 2026-04-10 | Perducat Cyril | SVP, Chief Technology Officer | 198 | $78K | 3.1% | Yes | Routine (sold in Dec each year 2023–2025; this trade is outside those months) |
| 2026-04-08 | Bulho Matheus De A G Viera | SVP Software and Control | 1,250 | $484K | 41.8% | Yes | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023) |
% of holdings sold = shares sold ÷ (shares sold + all holdings the insider reported on that Form 4, direct and through trusts).
Insider type follows Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski (Journal of Finance, 2012). An insider who traded the stock in the same calendar month in each of the past three years is a routine trader; one who traded in each of those years without such a pattern is an opportunistic trader. In their study, trades by opportunistic insiders predicted future returns and trades by routine insiders did not. Counts open-market purchases and sales only (SEC Form 4 codes P and S) by that insider in that company. Not investment advice.

## Analysts
Consensus Hold (mean 2.54 on a 1–5 scale), 28 analysts; mean target USD 474.88 (low 282, high 550).
Rating changes, last 120 days:
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | Mizuho | Target lowered | Neutral | $445 → $430 |
| 2026-09-25 | Wells Fargo | Initiated | Equal-Weight | $426 |
| 2026-09-02 | Morgan Stanley | Target raised | Overweight | $525 → $545 |
| 2026-08-21 | DA Davidson | Target lowered | Neutral | $500 → $490 |
| 2026-08-14 | Bernstein | Target raised | Market Perform | $501 → $514 |
| 2026-08-05 | Citigroup | Target lowered | Buy | $555 → $536 |
| 2026-08-05 | Evercore ISI Group | Target raised | In-Line | $480 → $485 |
| 2026-07-13 | Citigroup | Target raised | Buy | $500 → $555 |

## Total return (dividends reinvested)
|  | 1Y (from 2025-10-23) | 5Y (from 2021-10-25) |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | +21.3% | +45.5% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +14.6% | +77.3% |
| Per year | +21.3% | +7.8% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 31.0% | 30.3% |
| Max drawdown | -18.7% (Feb 2026→Mar 2026) | -45.0% (Dec 2021→Jun 2022) |

## Peers (Specialty Industrial Machinery)
AME (AMETEK, Inc.) USD 240.35 +0.64% · CMI (Cummins Inc.) USD 520.69 +0.22% · OTIS (Otis Worldwide Corporation) USD 75.26 -0.45% · IR (Ingersoll Rand Inc.) USD 73.6 -0.69% · ITW (Illinois Tool Works Inc.) USD 275.54 -1.33% · DOV (Dover Corporation) USD 196.67 +0.60%

## More
Full page: https://nexqual.com/ROK · Free keyless MCP server with the same data and citations: https://mcp.nexqual.com/mcp · Guide for agents: https://nexqual.com/agents · https://nexqual.com/llms.txt

## Supply chain and relationships (SEC annual reports)

Named in ROK's own 10-K filed 2025-11-12 (https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1024478/000102447825000116/rok-20250930.htm):

| Relationship | Company | Sentence in the filing |
|---|---|---|
| Competitor | Siemens | "Major competitors include Siemens AG, ABB Ltd, Schneider Electric SA, Emerson Electric Co., Mitsubishi Electric Corp., Honeywell International Inc., and Dassault Systemes." |

## Revenue by business segment (quarter ended 2026-06-30)

| Line | Revenue | Share | YoY | Operating income | Op. margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Intelligent Devices | $1.08B | 46.7% | +11.6% | $216.0M | 20.0% |
| Software & Control | $751.0M | 32.5% | +19.4% | $261.0M | 34.8% |
| Lifecycle Services | $482.0M | 20.8% | -11.9% | $73.0M | 15.1% |
| Total revenue | $2.31B | 100% | — | $550.0M | 23.8% |

## Revenue by product line (quarter ended 2026-06-30)

| Line | Revenue | Share | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Products and solutions | $2.07B | 89.4% | +9.0% |
| Services | $245.0M | 10.6% | -0.8% |
| Total revenue | $2.31B | 100% | — |

## Revenue by region (quarter ended 2026-06-30)

| Line | Revenue | Share | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| North America | $1.48B | 64.1% | +9.5% |
| UNITED STATES | $1.38B | 59.5% | +15.7% |
| Europe, Middle East, and Africa | $404.0M | 17.5% | +3.1% |
| Asia Pacific | $288.0M | 12.5% | +8.3% |
| Latin America | $139.0M | 6.0% | +5.3% |
| Total revenue | $2.31B | 100% | — |
The lines above cover 159.5% of total revenue.

## Analyst estimates and revisions

| Period | EPS est. | 90d ago | Change | Revenue est. | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends 2026-09-30) | $3.69 | $3.58 | +3.0% | $2.41B | 23 |
| Next quarter (ends 2026-12-31) | $3.13 | $3.08 | +1.7% | $2.21B | 11 |
| Current fiscal year (ends 2026-09-30) | $13.24 | $13.03 | +1.6% | $9.06B | 28 |
| Next fiscal year (ends 2027-09-30) | $14.91 | $14.63 | +1.9% | $9.58B | 28 |

## Options: expected move (Cboe, 15-min delayed)

Expected move by 2026-11-20 (includes earnings 2026-11-05): ±10.0%; last 8 reports averaged ±8.4%.

| Expiration | Days | ATM IV | Expected move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-20 | 28 | 44.7% | ±10.0% |
| 2026-12-18 | 56 | 36.8% | ±11.5% |
| 2027-01-15 | 84 | 33.8% | ±13.0% |
| 2027-02-19 | 119 | 35.0% | ±16.0% |
| 2027-04-16 | 175 | 32.5% | ±17.9% |
| 2027-05-21 | 210 | 33.8% | ±20.3% |
| 2027-08-20 | 301 | 32.5% | ±23.3% |
| 2027-11-19 | 392 | 32.7% | ±26.6% |
