# Riskified Ltd. (RSKD)

> Source: Nexqual · https://nexqual.com/RSKD · data as of 2026-10-28 20:00 UTC · cite as "Nexqual, Riskified Ltd. (RSKD), nexqual.com/RSKD" · informational, not investment advice.

**Price:** USD 9.04 (+0.67% on the day) · last close of Oct 28, 2026; US market closed, not a live price. Prev close 8.98 · day 8.69–9.12 · 52w 3.7–9.23 · market cap $1.19B · NYQ

## Key facts
- Analysts: Hold (mean 2.67 on a 1–5 scale) (6 analysts), mean target USD 7.65 (range 6.25–9).
- Total return with dividends: 1Y +89.0% vs S&P 500 +13.2%; 5Y -53.3% vs S&P 500 +79.8%.
- Next earnings: 2026-11-11, EPS estimate USD 0.03, revenue estimate $103M.

## Analysts
Consensus Hold (mean 2.67 on a 1–5 scale), 6 analysts; mean target USD 7.65 (low 6.25, high 9).
Rating changes, last 120 days:
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-13 | Goldman Sachs | Target raised | Sell | $5.5 → $7.5 |
| 2026-09-28 | Truist Securities | Target raised | Buy | $7.5 → $9 |
| 2026-08-24 | DA Davidson | Maintained | Buy | $7.5 |
| 2026-08-13 | DA Davidson | Target raised | Buy | $6 → $7.5 |
| 2026-08-13 | UBS | Target raised | Neutral | $5 → $6.75 |
| 2026-08-13 | Goldman Sachs | Target raised | Sell | $4.75 → $5.5 |
| 2026-08-13 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Target raised | Market Perform | $5.5 → $6.25 |
| 2026-07-13 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Target raised | Market Perform | $5.25 → $5.5 |

## Total return (dividends reinvested)
|  | 1Y (from 2025-10-29) | 5Y (from 2021-10-25) |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | +89.0% | -53.3% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +13.2% | +79.8% |
| Per year | +89.8% | -14.1% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 43.8% | 53.7% |
| Max drawdown | -25.4% (Nov 2025→Mar 2026) | -81.7% (Nov 2021→Oct 2023) |

## Peers (Software - Application)
RNG (Ringcentral, Inc.) USD 86.2 +0.70% · APPF (AppFolio, Inc.) USD 205 +1.76% · TTAN (ServiceTitan, Inc.) USD 80.86 -0.93% · DSGX (The Descartes Systems Group Inc) USD 92.36 +0.20% · IDCC (InterDigital, Inc.) USD 320.56 -2.51% · YMM (Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd.) USD 8.08 -4.04%

## More
Full page: https://nexqual.com/RSKD · Free keyless MCP server with the same data and citations: https://mcp.nexqual.com/mcp · Guide for agents: https://nexqual.com/agents · https://nexqual.com/llms.txt

## Supply chain and relationships (SEC annual reports)

Named in RSKD's own 20-F filed 2026-03-06 (https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1851112/000185111226000007/rskd-20251231.htm):

| Relationship | Company | Sentence in the filing |
|---|---|---|
| Partner | Shopify (SHOP) | "We service merchants of all sizes, from multi-billion dollar global omnichannel retailers to small pure play merchants, including via partnerships and/or integrations with Shopify and other ecommerce platforms, such as S…" |
| Partner | Salesforce (CRM) | "We service merchants of all sizes, from multi-billion dollar global omnichannel retailers to small pure play merchants, including via partnerships and/or integrations with Shopify and other ecommerce platforms, such as S…" |
| Partner | Amazon (AMZN) | "We service merchants of all sizes, from multi-billion dollar global omnichannel retailers to small pure play merchants, including via partnerships and/or integrations with Shopify and other ecommerce platforms, such as S…" |
| Partner | Adobe (ADBE) | "We service merchants of all sizes, from multi-billion dollar global omnichannel retailers to small pure play merchants, including via partnerships and/or integrations with Shopify and other ecommerce platforms, such as S…" |
| Related party | Wayfair Inc. (W) | "The Class A ordinary shares issuable to Wayfair upon exercise of the warrant are entitled to certain registration rights under the Investors' Rights Agreement as described in greater detail above in the section titled "R…" |

## Analyst estimates and revisions

| Period | EPS est. | 90d ago | Change | Revenue est. | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends 2026-09-30) | $0.03 | $0.03 | +1.6% | $103.4M | 4 |
| Next quarter (ends 2026-12-31) | $0.16 | $0.15 | +9.6% | $116.3M | 4 |
| Current fiscal year (ends 2026-12-31) | $0.26 | $0.24 | +7.1% | $406.7M | 4 |
| Next fiscal year (ends 2027-12-31) | $0.39 | $0.37 | +5.9% | $452.3M | 4 |

## Options: expected move (Cboe, 15-min delayed)

Expected move by 2026-11-20 (includes earnings 2026-11-11): ±15.8%.

| Expiration | Days | ATM IV | Expected move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-20 | 23 | 79.1% | ±15.8% |
| 2026-12-18 | 51 | 74.1% | ±21.8% |
| 2027-03-19 | 142 | 61.4% | ±29.9% |
| 2027-06-17 | 232 | 68.2% | ±41.8% |

## Earnings history and stock reaction
| Results filed | Quarter | EPS | Consensus | Surprise | Stock reaction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | Quarter ended Jun 30, 2026 | $0.02 | $0.02 | In line | — |
| — | Quarter ended Mar 31, 2026 | $0.05 | $0.03 | Beat +$0.02 | — |
| — | Quarter ended Dec 31, 2025 | $0.12 | $0.10 | Beat +20.0% | — |
| — | Quarter ended Sep 30, 2025 | $0.04 | $0.03 | Beat +$0.01 | — |
EPS as reported against the analyst consensus before the release; surprise uses the cent-rounded figures shown (in dollars when EPS and consensus have opposite signs). Stock reaction = close before the results to close after (the first close following a release after the bell or before the open).

## Recent SEC filings (last 120 days)
| Filed | Form | What it says | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | Schedule 13G/A | Feldman Assaf, Sundance NYC Holdings LLC: 9.4% of shares, passive 5%+ holder (amended) | https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1851112/000190770526000021/0001907705-26-000021-index.htm |
| 2026-10-15 | Schedule 13G/A | Gal Eido: 11.3% of shares, passive 5%+ holder (amended) | https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1851112/000190773526000020/0001907735-26-000020-index.htm |
| 2026-08-12 | 6-K | Current report (foreign issuer) · period ended Jun 30, 2026 | https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1851112/000162828026055937/0001628280-26-055937-index.htm |
| 2026-08-07 | 6-K | Current report (foreign issuer) · period ended Aug 7, 2026 | https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1851112/000185111226000026/0001851112-26-000026-index.htm |
| 2026-07-23 | Schedule 13G/A | Feldman Assaf, Sundance NYC Holdings LLC: 12.2% of shares, passive 5%+ holder (amended) | https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1851112/000190770526000013/0001907705-26-000013-index.htm |
| 2026-07-23 | Schedule 13G/A | Gal Eido: 13.7% of shares, passive 5%+ holder (amended) | https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1851112/000190773526000014/0001907735-26-000014-index.htm |
Source: SEC EDGAR. Quotes are the opening words of each item as filed.