# Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. (SWK)

> Source: Nexqual · https://nexqual.com/SWK · data as of 2026-10-22 20:00 UTC · cite as "Nexqual, Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. (SWK), nexqual.com/SWK" · informational, not investment advice.

**Price:** USD 98.97 (+3.70% on the day) · last close of Oct 22, 2026; US market pre market, not a live price. Prev close 95.44 · day 93.33–99.04 · 52w 61.9–104.68 · market cap $14.9B · NYQ

## Key facts
- Last four reported quarters (through Jul 4, 2026): revenue $15.2B, net income $621M (4.1% margin), free cash flow $1.29B (SEC filings).
- Valuation: P/E 24.1x (avg 35.5x at the last 2 fiscal year-ends), net debt $4.17B.
- 1 of 80 tracked superinvestors hold SWK (13F, Q2 2026): 0 new, 1 added, 0 reduced, 0 unchanged.
- Insider open-market sales, last ~7 months: 1 Form 4 filings, $105K; 1 not under a Rule 10b5-1 plan ($105K); 0 by opportunistic insiders, 0 by routine insiders (three-year test, Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski 2012).
- Analysts: Hold (mean 2.73 on a 1–5 scale) (15 analysts), mean target USD 100 (range 90–109).
- Total return with dividends: 1Y +46.6% vs S&P 500 +14.9%; 5Y -36.7% vs S&P 500 +80.3%.
- Next earnings: 2026-11-04, EPS estimate USD 1.56, revenue estimate $3.73B.

## Financials (SEC 10-K; TTM = last four 10-Q/10-K quarters)
| USD | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $15.3B | $16.9B | $15.8B | $15.4B | $15.1B | $15.2B |
| Gross profit | $5.09B | $4.28B | $3.93B | $4.51B | $4.59B | — |
| Net income | $1.69B | $1.06B | -$311M | $294M | $402M | $621M |
| EPS (diluted) | $10.16 | $6.76 | -$2.07 | $1.95 | $2.65 | — |
| Free cash flow | $144M | -$1.99B | $853M | $753M | $688M | $1.29B |
| Gross margin | 33.3% | 25.3% | 24.9% | 29.4% | 30.3% | — |
| Net margin | 11.1% | 6.3% | -2.0% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.1% |
| Revenue growth | +19.9% | +10.9% | -6.9% | -2.6% | -1.5% | — |
| Cash + short-term investments | $142M | $396M | $449M | $291M | $280M | — |
| Total debt | $4.35B | $5.35B | $6.10B | $6.10B | $5.26B | — |
Fiscal years end Jan. EPS is split-adjusted.

## Valuation (price ÷ last four quarters, through Jul 4, 2026)
P/E 24.1x · P/S 1.0x · EV/Sales 1.3x · P/FCF 11.6x · P/B 1.7x · FCF yield 8.62% · Earnings yield 4.15% · Dividend yield (paid, TTM) 3.36% · Buyback yield (TTM) 1.84% · Net debt $4.17B · EV $19.1B
P/E at fiscal year-ends: Jan 2026 29.7x, Dec 2024 41.3x.

## Superinvestors (SEC 13F-HR, Q2 2026)
1 of 80 tracked investors hold SWK. Each row is the investor's latest 13F; change is vs their prior-quarter share count.
| Investor | Firm | % of portfolio | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Van Den Berg Management I |  | 1.92% | $9.1M | Added +4.8% |

## Insider sales (SEC Form 4, open-market, last ~7 months)
0 of 1 under a Rule 10b5-1 trading plan (scheduled in advance). Unplanned sales were timed by the insider.
| Trade date | Insider | Role | Shares | Value | % of holdings sold | 10b5-1 plan | Insider type |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | Greulach Scot | Chief Accounting Officer | 1,015 | $105K | 14.7% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
% of holdings sold = shares sold ÷ (shares sold + all holdings the insider reported on that Form 4, direct and through trusts).
Insider type follows Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski (Journal of Finance, 2012). An insider who traded the stock in the same calendar month in each of the past three years is a routine trader; one who traded in each of those years without such a pattern is an opportunistic trader. In their study, trades by opportunistic insiders predicted future returns and trades by routine insiders did not. Counts open-market purchases and sales only (SEC Form 4 codes P and S) by that insider in that company. Not investment advice.

## Analysts
Consensus Hold (mean 2.73 on a 1–5 scale), 15 analysts; mean target USD 100 (low 90, high 109).
Rating changes, last 120 days:
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | Wells Fargo | Target lowered | Equal-Weight | $95 → $90 |
| 2026-10-15 | Mizuho | Target lowered | Outperform | $110 → $105 |
| 2026-09-11 | Wells Fargo | Target raised | Equal-Weight | $90 → $95 |
| 2026-07-31 | Citigroup | Target raised | Buy | $100 → $107 |

## Total return (dividends reinvested)
|  | 1Y (from 2025-10-23) | 5Y (from 2021-10-18) |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | +46.6% | -36.7% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +14.9% | +80.3% |
| Per year | +46.8% | -8.7% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 36.4% | 36.8% |
| Max drawdown | -26.1% (Feb 2026→Apr 2026) | -67.3% (Nov 2021→Apr 2025) |

## Peers (Tools & Accessories)
LECO (Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc.) USD 256.98 -2.34% · RBC (RBC Bearings Incorporated) USD 478.03 -5.24% · SNA (Snap-On Incorporated) USD 356.46 -3.37% · TTC (Toro Company (The)) USD 105.32 +1.91% · TKR (Timken Company (The)) USD 108.4 -5.71% · KMT (Kennametal Inc.) USD 29.59 -4.89%

## More
Full page: https://nexqual.com/SWK · Free keyless MCP server with the same data and citations: https://mcp.nexqual.com/mcp · Guide for agents: https://nexqual.com/agents · https://nexqual.com/llms.txt

## Supply chain and relationships (SEC annual reports)


Other companies that name SWK in their own reports (relationship from SWK's side):

| Relationship | Company | Their filing | Sentence |
|---|---|---|---|
| partner | Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM) | 10-K 2026-02-12 | "On December 22, 2025, the Company entered into an agreement with Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. ("Stanley Black & Decker") to acquire Consolidated Aerospace Manufacturing, LLC ("CAM"), a wholly owned su…" |

## Revenue by business segment (quarter ended 2026-07-04)

| Line | Revenue | Share | YoY | Operating income | Op. margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tools & Outdoor | $3.56B | 90.0% | +3.0% | $389.0M | 10.9% |
| Engineered Fastening | $396.4M | 10.0% | -18.1% | $51.6M | 13.0% |
| Total revenue | $3.96B | 100% | — | $440.6M | 11.1% |

## Revenue by region (quarter ended 2026-07-04)

| Line | Revenue | Share | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. Plans | $2.41B | 60.9% | -0.7% |
| Europe | $815.7M | 20.6% | -1.7% |
| Asia | $316.9M | 8.0% | +5.5% |
| Other Americas | $241.8M | 6.1% | +14.1% |
| Canada | $174.1M | 4.4% | +0.7% |
| Total revenue | $3.96B | 100% | — |

## Customer concentration

Period ended 2026-01-03: 15%, 12% of revenue from unnamed direct customers (10-K, filed 2026-02-24).

## Analyst estimates and revisions

| Period | EPS est. | 90d ago | Change | Revenue est. | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends 2026-09-30) | $1.56 | $1.63 | -4.5% | $3.73B | 12 |
| Next quarter (ends 2026-12-31) | $1.68 | $1.72 | -2.0% | $3.63B | 12 |
| Current fiscal year (ends 2026-12-31) | $5.60 | $5.38 | +4.2% | $15.16B | 14 |
| Next fiscal year (ends 2027-12-31) | $6.31 | $6.23 | +1.3% | $15.35B | 14 |

## Options: expected move (Cboe, 15-min delayed)

Expected move by 2026-11-20 (includes earnings 2026-11-04): ±9.4%; last 8 reports averaged ±3.7%.

| Expiration | Days | ATM IV | Expected move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-20 | 28 | 41.7% | ±9.4% |
| 2026-12-18 | 56 | 37.5% | ±12.0% |
| 2027-01-15 | 84 | 35.9% | ±13.8% |
| 2027-02-19 | 119 | 37.4% | ±17.0% |
| 2027-04-16 | 175 | 35.7% | ±19.6% |
| 2027-05-21 | 210 | 37.3% | ±22.3% |
| 2027-08-20 | 301 | 36.6% | ±25.9% |