# TAL Education Group (TAL)

> Source: Nexqual · https://nexqual.com/TAL · data as of 2026-10-22 20:00 UTC · cite as "Nexqual, TAL Education Group (TAL), nexqual.com/TAL" · informational, not investment advice.

**Price:** USD 10.46 (-0.85% on the day) · last close of Oct 22, 2026; US market pre market, not a live price. Prev close 10.55 · day 10.37–10.63 · 52w 8.88–13.37 · market cap $5.80B · NYQ

## Key facts
- 1 of 80 tracked superinvestors hold TAL (13F, Q2 2026): 0 new, 1 added, 0 reduced, 0 unchanged.
- Insider open-market sales, last ~7 months: 2 Form 4 filings, $1.2M; 2 not under a Rule 10b5-1 plan ($1.2M); 0 by opportunistic insiders, 0 by routine insiders (three-year test, Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski 2012).
- Analysts: Buy (mean 1.79 on a 1–5 scale) (19 analysts), mean target USD 16.1 (range 11.54–20).
- Total return with dividends: 1Y -17.4% vs S&P 500 +14.9%; 5Y +117.0% vs S&P 500 +80.3%.
- Next earnings: 2026-10-29, EPS estimate USD 0.24, revenue estimate $1.08B.

## Superinvestors (SEC 13F-HR, Q2 2026)
1 of 80 tracked investors hold TAL. Each row is the investor's latest 13F; change is vs their prior-quarter share count.
| Investor | Firm | % of portfolio | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Ketterer | Causeway Capital Management | 0.43% | $39.5M | Added +18.6% |

## Insider sales (SEC Form 4, open-market, last ~7 months)
0 of 2 under a Rule 10b5-1 trading plan (scheduled in advance). Unplanned sales were timed by the insider.
| Trade date | Insider | Role | Shares | Value | % of holdings sold | 10b5-1 plan | Insider type |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | Peng Alex Zhuangzhuang | See Remarks | 30,000 | $368K | 66.5% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
| 2026-04-27 | Peng Alex Zhuangzhuang | See Remarks | 80,000 | $868K | 63.9% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
% of holdings sold = shares sold ÷ (shares sold + all holdings the insider reported on that Form 4, direct and through trusts).
Insider type follows Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski (Journal of Finance, 2012). An insider who traded the stock in the same calendar month in each of the past three years is a routine trader; one who traded in each of those years without such a pattern is an opportunistic trader. In their study, trades by opportunistic insiders predicted future returns and trades by routine insiders did not. Counts open-market purchases and sales only (SEC Form 4 codes P and S) by that insider in that company. Not investment advice.

## Analysts
Consensus Buy (mean 1.79 on a 1–5 scale), 19 analysts; mean target USD 16.1 (low 11.54, high 20).

## Total return (dividends reinvested)
|  | 1Y (from 2025-10-23) | 5Y (from 2021-10-18) |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | -17.4% | +117.0% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +14.9% | +80.3% |
| Per year | -17.4% | +16.7% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 44.2% | 67.2% |
| Max drawdown | -30.7% (Oct 2025→Jun 2026) | -61.0% (Nov 2021→Mar 2022) |

## Peers (Education & Training Services)
LAUR (Laureate Education, Inc.) USD 38.79 +1.25% · CVSA (Covista Inc.) USD 131.62 +3.70% · LOPE (Grand Canyon Education, Inc.) USD 165.46 +3.57% · EDU (New Oriental Education & Techno) USD 58.68 -1.38% · XXI (Twenty One Capital, Inc.) USD 5.61 -4.75% · LRN (Stride, Inc.) USD 80.68 +5.62%

## More
Full page: https://nexqual.com/TAL · Free keyless MCP server with the same data and citations: https://mcp.nexqual.com/mcp · Guide for agents: https://nexqual.com/agents · https://nexqual.com/llms.txt

## Analyst estimates and revisions

| Period | EPS est. | 90d ago | Change | Revenue est. | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends 2026-08-31) | $0.24 | $0.27 | -13.4% | $1.08B | 3 |
| Next quarter (ends 2026-11-30) | $0.27 | $0.25 | +9.5% | $963.9M | 4 |
| Current fiscal year (ends 2027-02-28) | $1.33 | $0.86 | +54.5% | $3.74B | 14 |
| Next fiscal year (ends 2028-02-29) | $1.17 | $1.04 | +12.8% | $4.41B | 16 |

## Options: expected move (Cboe, 15-min delayed)

Expected move by 2026-11-20 (includes earnings 2026-10-29): ±12.7%.

| Expiration | Days | ATM IV | Expected move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-20 | 28 | 52.9% | ±12.7% |
| 2026-12-18 | 56 | 48.7% | ±15.6% |
| 2027-01-15 | 84 | 44.9% | ±17.5% |
| 2027-02-19 | 119 | 45.7% | ±20.8% |
| 2027-05-21 | 210 | 47.4% | ±28.2% |