# Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. (TFPM)

> Source: Nexqual · https://nexqual.com/TFPM · data as of 2026-10-22 20:00 UTC · cite as "Nexqual, Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. (TFPM), nexqual.com/TFPM" · informational, not investment advice.

**Price:** USD 29.37 (-4.52% on the day) · last close of Oct 22, 2026; US market pre market, not a live price. Prev close 30.76 · day 29.26–30 · 52w 26.61–41.7 · market cap $6.05B · NYQ

## Key facts
- Analysts: Buy (mean 2.00 on a 1–5 scale) (11 analysts), mean target USD 39.5 (range 37–41).
- Total return with dividends: 1Y +2.3% vs S&P 500 +14.9%; 5Y +143.7% vs S&P 500 +80.3%.
- Next earnings: 2026-11-03, EPS estimate USD 0.23, revenue estimate $107M.

## Analysts
Consensus Buy (mean 2.00 on a 1–5 scale), 11 analysts; mean target USD 39.5 (low 37, high 41).
Rating changes, last 120 days:
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | RBC Capital | Target raised | Sector Perform | $40 → $41 |
| 2026-07-14 | Scotiabank | Target lowered | Sector Perform | $43 → $39 |
| 2026-07-09 | B of A Securities | Target lowered | Buy | $39 → $37 |
| 2026-07-06 | Jefferies | Target lowered | Buy | $43 → $40 |

## Total return (dividends reinvested)
|  | 1Y (from 2025-10-23) | 5Y (from 2022-08-29) |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | +2.3% | +143.7% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +14.9% | +80.3% |
| Per year | +2.3% | +23.9% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 44.1% | 36.5% |
| Max drawdown | -34.9% (Feb 2026→Jun 2026) | -33.6% (Feb 2026→Jul 2026) |

## Peers (Other Precious Metals & Mining)
SBSW (D/B/A Sibanye-Stillwater Limite) USD 9.32 -4.61% · BVN (Buenaventura Mining Company Inc) USD 28.49 -6.41% · HL (Hecla Mining Company) USD 14.11 -6.80% · PPTA (Perpetua Resources Corp.) USD 17.26 -7.90% · SIND (Sinda Ltd.) USD 11.46 -0.09% · SLSR (Solaris Resources Inc.) USD 6.58 -7.06%

## More
Full page: https://nexqual.com/TFPM · Free keyless MCP server with the same data and citations: https://mcp.nexqual.com/mcp · Guide for agents: https://nexqual.com/agents · https://nexqual.com/llms.txt

## Analyst estimates and revisions

| Period | EPS est. | 90d ago | Change | Revenue est. | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends 2026-09-30) | $0.23 | $0.31 | -25.6% | $106.7M | 9 |
| Next quarter (ends 2026-12-31) | $0.25 | $0.32 | -23.6% | $98.4M | 5 |
| Current fiscal year (ends 2026-12-31) | $1.31 | $1.35 | -2.5% | $487.1M | 11 |
| Next fiscal year (ends 2027-12-31) | $1.41 | $1.38 | +2.7% | $549.4M | 11 |

## Options: expected move (Cboe, 15-min delayed)

Expected move by 2026-11-20 (includes earnings 2026-11-03): ±9.4%.

| Expiration | Days | ATM IV | Expected move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-20 | 28 | 40.5% | ±9.4% |
| 2026-12-18 | 56 | 40.1% | ±12.9% |
| 2027-01-15 | 84 | 37.7% | ±14.7% |
| 2027-04-16 | 175 | 41.5% | ±23.2% |