# XPeng Inc. (XPEV)

> Source: Nexqual · https://nexqual.com/XPEV · data as of 2026-10-22 20:00 UTC · cite as "Nexqual, XPeng Inc. (XPEV), nexqual.com/XPEV" · informational, not investment advice.

**Price:** USD 9.07 (-3.10% on the day) · last close of Oct 22, 2026; US market pre market, not a live price. Prev close 9.36 · day 9.01–9.34 · 52w 9.01–28.24 · market cap $8.69B · NYQ

## Key facts
- Analysts: Buy (mean 2.16 on a 1–5 scale) (25 analysts), mean target USD 18.16 (range 11.03–25.41).
- Total return with dividends: 1Y -57.8% vs S&P 500 +14.9%; 5Y -79.0% vs S&P 500 +80.3%.
- Next earnings: 2026-11-16, EPS estimate USD -0.9, revenue estimate $23.3B.

## Analysts
Consensus Buy (mean 2.16 on a 1–5 scale), 25 analysts; mean target USD 18.16 (low 11.03, high 25.41).
Rating changes, last 120 days:
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | JP Morgan | Downgrade | Overweight → Neutral | $24 → $11.5 |
| 2026-08-26 | Barclays | Target lowered | Underweight | $15 → $14 |
| 2026-08-25 | JP Morgan | Target lowered | Overweight | $27 → $24 |
| 2026-07-16 | Barclays | Target lowered | Underweight | $16 → $15 |

## Total return (dividends reinvested)
|  | 1Y (from 2025-10-23) | 5Y (from 2021-10-18) |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | -57.8% | -79.0% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +14.9% | +80.3% |
| Per year | -57.9% | -26.7% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 53.6% | 75.2% |
| Max drawdown | -67.7% (Nov 2025→Oct 2026) | -86.6% (Nov 2021→Aug 2024) |

## Peers (Auto Manufacturers)
NIO (NIO Inc.) USD 3.31 -1.49% · VFS (VinFast Auto Ltd.) USD 2.96 -1.00% · LI (Li Auto Inc.) USD 11.47 -0.26% · STLA (Stellantis N.V.) USD 4.27 +1.18% · RIVN (Rivian Automotive, Inc.) USD 12.06 -3.21% · HMC (Honda Motor Company, Ltd.) USD 34.58 +1.80%

## More
Full page: https://nexqual.com/XPEV · Free keyless MCP server with the same data and citations: https://mcp.nexqual.com/mcp · Guide for agents: https://nexqual.com/agents · https://nexqual.com/llms.txt

## Supply chain and relationships (SEC annual reports)

Named in XPEV's own 20-F filed 2026-04-16 (https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1810997/000119312526157849/d36361d20f.htm):

| Relationship | Company | Sentence in the filing |
|---|---|---|
| Partner | DiDi Global Inc. (DIDIY) | "On August 27, 2023, we entered into a share purchase agreement with DiDi and Da Vinci Auto Co. Limited, a wholly-owned subsidiary of DiDi, to acquire, in consideration for the Company's newly issued Class A ordinary shar…" |
| Partner | Tesla (TSLA) | "For example, Tesla has constructed the Tesla Giga Shanghai factory in Shanghai without a joint venture partner." |

Other companies that name XPEV in their own reports (relationship from XPEV's side):

| Relationship | Company | Their filing | Sentence |
|---|---|---|---|
| partner | DiDi Global Inc. (DIDIY) | 20-F 2026-04-13 | "For example, in August 2023, we entered into a strategic partnership with XPeng Inc. to accelerate the adoption of smart electric vehicles and technologies." |

## Analyst estimates and revisions

| Period | EPS est. | 90d ago | Change | Revenue est. | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends 2026-09-30) | $-0.90 | $-0.56 | +60.7% | $23.25B | 2 |
| Next quarter (ends 2026-12-31) | $0.41 | $0.26 | +57.7% | $31.28B | 2 |
| Current fiscal year (ends 2026-12-31) | $-3.46 | $-1.75 | +97.5% | $86.69B | 3 |
| Next fiscal year (ends 2027-12-31) | $1.24 | $3.90 | -68.3% | $109.20B | 2 |

## Options: expected move (Cboe, 15-min delayed)

Expected move by 2026-11-20 (includes earnings 2026-11-16): ±11.7%.

| Expiration | Days | ATM IV | Expected move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | 7 | 39.5% | ±4.7% |
| 2026-11-06 | 14 | 43.6% | ±7.1% |
| 2026-11-13 | 21 | 53.8% | ±10.6% |
| 2026-11-20 | 28 | 52.1% | ±11.7% |
| 2026-11-27 | 35 | 55.0% | ±13.8% |
| 2026-12-18 | 56 | 53.8% | ±16.9% |
| 2027-01-15 | 84 | 52.6% | ±20.2% |
| 2027-04-16 | 175 | 54.6% | ±29.9% |