Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc. (AADX) Stock Price & Analysis
Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc. (AADX) closed at USD 11.82 on Thursday, October 29, 2026, up 7.65% on the day. The US market is currently closed (after-hours); this is not a live price.
The prior close was USD 10.98; the Oct 29, 2026 session ranged USD 10.92–11.92 on volume of 2,121,025 shares. Market capitalization is $2.04B, with a 52-week range of USD 9.4–24.24 (NYQ). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 29, 2026 at 23:35 UTC.
Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/AADX.md
Key facts (AADX)
- 1 of 80 tracked superinvestors hold AADX (13F, Q2 2026): 1 new, 0 added, 0 reduced, 0 unchanged.
- Analysts: Buy (mean 2.00 on a 1–5 scale) (8 analysts), mean target USD 22.5 (range 16–30).
- Total return with dividends: 1Y -37.8% vs S&P 500 +14.4%; 5Y -32.6% vs S&P 500 +79.1%.
- Next earnings: 2026-11-11, EPS estimate USD 0.12, revenue estimate $170M. All companies reporting that day: https://nexqual.com/earnings/2026-11-11
- Dividend: AADX paid no cash dividend in the last five years.
- Short interest: 6,786,111 shares (as of 2026-10-15), 2.9 days to cover.
Valuation (price ÷ last four quarters, through Jun 30, 2026) (AADX)
P/B 2.5x · Earnings yield -8.89% · Net debt $382M · EV $2.42B
Superinvestors (SEC 13F-HR, Q2 2026) (AADX)
1 of 80 tracked investors hold AADX. Each row is the investor's latest 13F; change is vs their prior-quarter share count.
| Investor | Firm | % of portfolio | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| First Eagle Investment | First Eagle Investment Management | <0.01% | $2.8M | New position |
Analysts (AADX)
Consensus Buy (mean 2.00 on a 1–5 scale), 8 analysts; mean target USD 22.5 (low 16, high 30).
Rating changes, last 120 days:
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-28 | RBC Capital | Target lowered | Outperform | $21 → $18 |
| 2026-10-19 | Morgan Stanley | Target lowered | Equal-Weight | $24 → $16 |
| 2026-10-13 | RBC Capital | Target lowered | Outperform | $24 → $21 |
| 2026-09-15 | Guggenheim | Initiated | Buy | $30 |
| 2026-08-14 | B of A Securities | Target lowered | Buy | $24 → $23 |
| 2026-08-13 | Morgan Stanley | Target raised | Equal-Weight | $23 → $24 |
Total return (dividends reinvested) (AADX)
| 1Y (from 2026-06-03) | 5Y (from 2026-06-01) | |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | -37.8% | -32.6% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +14.4% | +79.1% |
| Per year | — | — |
| Volatility (annualized) | 82.0% | 77.9% |
| Max drawdown | -58.5% (Jul 2026→Oct 2026) | -56.6% (Jun 2026→Oct 2026) |
Dividends (AADX)
AADX paid no cash dividend in the last five years.
Short interest (AADX)
6,786,111 shares sold short, as of Oct 15, 2026 (exchange short-interest report, published about twice a month). Prior report (Sep 15, 2026): 3,268,914 shares (+107.6%). Days to cover: 2.9 (short shares ÷ average daily volume).
AADX earnings history and stock reaction
| Results filed | Quarter | EPS | Consensus | Surprise | Stock reaction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Quarter ended Jun 30, 2026 | −$0.25 | $0.01 | Miss −$0.26 | -8.7% |
EPS as reported against the analyst consensus before the release; surprise uses the cent-rounded figures shown (in dollars when EPS and consensus have opposite signs). Stock reaction = close before the results to close after (the first close following a release after the bell or before the open).
AADX recent SEC filings (last 120 days)
| Filed | Form | What it says |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 2026 | Schedule 13G | AA&D Holdings, LP: 73.5% of shares, passive 5%+ holder |
| Aug 12, 2026 | 10-Q | Quarterly report · period ended Jun 30, 2026 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | 8-K | Quarterly results |
| Aug 10, 2026 | 8-K | Director or executive officer change, or pay arrangement; Regulation FD disclosure “Appointment of President and Chief Strategy Officer On August 7, 2026 , the Board of Directors (the "Board") of Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc. (the "Company") appointed Chris Rogers, the Company's Chief Growth Officer, to the role of President and Chief Strategy Officer of the Company, effective July 27, 2026. In connection with this appointment, Mr. Rogers' prior role as Chief Growth Officer has been subsumed into the President and Chief Strategy Officer position. Mr. Rogers, age 51, has served as the…” |
Source: SEC EDGAR. Quotes are the opening words of each item as filed; each form links to the filing. Insider Form 4 filings are listed in the insider sections.
AADX revenue by product line (quarter ended Jun 30, 2026)
| Line | Revenue | Share of total | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Defense Aviation and Airborne Systems | $78.9M | 47.2% | +4.8% |
| C5ISR and Precision Strike Systems | $49.6M | 29.6% | +261.6% |
| Space and Launch Systems | $38.8M | 23.2% | +58.5% |
| Total revenue | $167.3M | 100% | — |
As tagged by the company in its SEC 10-Q / 10-K filings (XBRL).
AADX company outlook (results filed Aug 12, 2026)
- “For the full year 2026, the Company expects total revenue of between $670 million and $690 million, and non-GAAP Adjusted EBITDA of between $150 million and $155 million.”
- “Non-GAAP Adjusted EBITDA is provided in the full year 2026 Outlook on a forward-looking basis.”
Quoted word-for-word from the SEC 8-K results press release.
AADX analyst estimates and revisions
| Period | EPS estimate | 90 days ago | Change | Revenue estimate | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends Sep 2026) | $0.12 | $0.08 | +53.3% | $170.4M | 4 |
| Next quarter (ends Dec 2026) | $0.15 | $0.13 | +15.0% | $208.2M | 3 |
| Current fiscal year (ends Dec 2026) | $-0.97 | $0.10 | −$1.08 | $682.4M | 2 |
| Next fiscal year (ends Dec 2027) | $0.40 | $0.42 | -5.4% | $788.2M | 4 |
AADX options: expected move
Options price a move of about ±21.6% (±$2.38) by Nov 20, 2026, which includes earnings on Nov 11, 2026. Over the last 1 reports the stock moved ±8.7% on average.
| Expiration | Days | ATM implied volatility | Expected move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2026 | 22 | 79.5% | ±21.6% |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 50 | 91.5% | ±26.9% |
| Feb 19, 2027 | 113 | 82.2% | ±35.5% |
| May 21, 2027 | 204 | 73.8% | ±41.7% |
30-day implied volatility 77.6% vs 65% realized over the last 30 trading days. Put/call ratio (volume) 0.02. Cboe delayed quotes (15 min). Expected move = at-the-money straddle.
Key Statistics (as of October 29, 2026 at 23:35 UTC)
| Price | USD 11.82 |
|---|---|
| Change | ▲ 7.65% (up) |
| Previous Close | USD 10.98 |
| Open | USD 11.05 |
| Day Range | USD 10.92 – 11.92 |
| 52-Week Range | USD 9.4 – 24.24 |
| Volume | 2,121,025 shares |
| Market Cap | $2.04B |
| Exchange | NYQ |
Technical Analysis (AADX)
Nexqual's technical model rates AADX "SELL" based on 2 bullish and 4 bearish signals across 104 daily candles, as of October 29, 2026 at 23:35 UTC.
| Overall Signal | SELL |
|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 57.27 (neutral) |
| vs SMA50 | Below (USD 12.14) |
| MACD | -0.47 (negative) |
Analyst Ratings (AADX)
Wall Street analysts rate AADX "Buy" based on 8 analysts, with a mean price target of USD 22.5 (range USD 16–30), per Nexqual as of October 29, 2026 at 23:35 UTC.
| Consensus Rating | Buy |
|---|---|
| Analyst Count | 8 |
| Mean Target | USD 22.5 |
| High Target | USD 30 |
| Low Target | USD 16 |
| Buy / Hold / Sell | 7 / 1 / 0 |
Earnings (AADX)
| Next Earnings Date | 2026-11-11 |
|---|---|
| EPS Estimate | USD 0.12 |
| Revenue Estimate | $170.38M |
Recent Earnings History
| Quarter | Actual vs Estimate |
|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | USD -0.25 vs est 0.01 ▼ miss |
Source: Nexqual, October 29, 2026 at 23:35 UTC.
Financials & Fundamentals (AADX)
| Total Revenue | $575.91M |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (latest quarter, YoY) | +47.40% |
| Gross Margin | +25.56% |
| Operating Margin | -57.51% |
| Profit Margin | -30.24% |
| Debt / Equity | 0.52 |
| Current Ratio | 2.51 |
| Total Cash | $18.11M |
| Total Debt | $431.54M |
Source: Nexqual, October 29, 2026 at 23:35 UTC.
Financial Health Score (AADX)
Nexqual rates Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc.'s overall financial health "Mixed" across five dimensions, as of October 29, 2026 at 23:35 UTC.
| Growth | Strong — Revenue +47% YoY (latest Q) |
|---|---|
| Profitability | Weak — Not yet profitable — scaling phase |
| Balance Sheet | Strong — $18M cash and investments vs $400M debt (Jun 2026, SEC) |
| Cash Flow | Weak — Operating cash flow -$94M (TTM) |
| Efficiency | Critical — ROE -22%, ROA -12.1% (last 4 quarters, SEC) |
Ownership (AADX)
| Insider Ownership | +0.04% |
|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership | +98.78% |
| Shares Outstanding | 172.39M |
| Float | 45.54M |
Source: Nexqual, October 29, 2026 at 23:35 UTC.
Leadership (AADX)
Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc. is led by James William Ferguson, CEO & Director, per Nexqual as of October 29, 2026 at 23:35 UTC.
| CEO & Director | James William Ferguson |
|---|---|
| President & Chief Strategy Officer | Christopher B. Rogers |
| Chief Financial Officer | Jeffrey L. McRae |
| Chief Operating Officer | Kevin Bidlack |
| Senior Vice President of Marketing & Strategy | David Myers |
Major Backers & Investors (AADX)
Notable institutional backers of Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc. include Alliancebernstein L.P., Temasek Holdings (Private) Ltd, Massachusetts Financial Services Co., according to Nexqual as of October 29, 2026 at 23:35 UTC.
Active Investors
| Investor | Stake |
|---|---|
| Alliancebernstein L.P. | 1.93% |
| Temasek Holdings (Private) Ltd | 1.66% |
| Massachusetts Financial Services Co. | 1.36% |
| BAMCO Inc. | 1.26% |
| T. Rowe Price | 1.19% |
| American Century Companies Inc | 1.01% |
| BARON INVESTMENT Fd.S TRT -Baron Small Cap Fd. | 0.8% |
| Jupiter Topco LLC | 0.77% |
Index Funds (Passive)
| Fund | Stake |
|---|---|
| BlackRock | 1.12% |
| Vanguard Group | 0.74% |
Source: Nexqual, October 29, 2026 at 23:35 UTC.
Peers & Related Stocks
| Symbol | Name | Price | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| AVAV | AeroVironment, Inc. | USD 134.88 | ▲ 7.09% |
| SARO | StandardAero, Inc. | USD 23.79 | ▲ 7.11% |
| KTOS | Kratos Defense & Security Solut | USD 43.59 | ▲ 5.88% |
| CAE | CAE Inc | USD 26.27 | ▲ 1.98% |
| DRS | Leonardo DRS, Inc. | USD 39.64 | ▲ 11.66% |
| MOG-A | Moog Inc. | USD 362.81 | ▲ 4.41% |
Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 29, 2026 at 23:35 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.
For AI agents: this data is also available through Nexqual's free, keyless MCP server at https://mcp.nexqual.com/mcp; every result includes source_url, as_of and cite_as. More: nexqual.com/agents · llms.txt