The AES Corporation (AES) Stock Price & Analysis
The AES Corporation (AES) closed at USD 14.97 on Thursday, October 22, 2026, up 0.00% on the day. The US market is currently closed (pre-market); this is not a live price.
The prior close was USD 14.97; the Oct 22, 2026 session ranged USD 14.95–14.98 on volume of 6,810,135 shares. Market capitalization is $10.68B, with a 52-week range of USD 13.21–17.65 (NYQ). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 23, 2026 at 10:11 UTC.
Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/AES.md
Key facts (AES)
- Analysts: Hold (mean 3.00 on a 1–5 scale) (9 analysts), mean target USD 15 (range 15–15).
- Total return with dividends: 1Y +10.7% vs S&P 500 +14.9%; 5Y -26.5% vs S&P 500 +80.3%.
- Next earnings: 2026-11-04, EPS estimate USD 0.73, revenue estimate $3.45B.
Analysts (AES)
Consensus Hold (mean 3.00 on a 1–5 scale), 9 analysts; mean target USD 15 (low 15, high 15).
Total return (dividends reinvested) (AES)
| 1Y (from 2025-10-23) | 5Y (from 2021-10-18) | |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | +10.7% | -26.5% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +14.9% | +80.3% |
| Per year | +10.7% | -6.0% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 27.2% | 37.5% |
| Max drawdown | -19.0% (Feb 2026→Mar 2026) | -62.3% (Dec 2022→Feb 2025) |
AES analyst estimates and revisions
| Period | EPS estimate | 90 days ago | Change | Revenue estimate | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends Sep 2026) | $0.73 | $0.73 | +0.0% | $3.45B | 2 |
| Next quarter (ends Dec 2026) | $0.59 | $0.59 | +0.0% | $3.17B | 2 |
| Current fiscal year (ends Dec 2026) | $2.29 | $2.29 | -0.0% | $13.60B | 6 |
| Next fiscal year (ends Dec 2027) | $2.38 | $2.38 | +0.2% | $13.44B | 8 |
AES options: expected move
Options price a move of about ±1.3% (±$0.19) by Nov 20, 2026, which includes earnings on Nov 4, 2026.
| Expiration | Days | ATM implied volatility | Expected move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2026 | 28 | 3.7% | ±1.3% |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 84 | 3.2% | ±1.7% |
| Feb 19, 2027 | 119 | 3.3% | ±1.6% |
| May 21, 2027 | 210 | 2.4% | ±1.7% |
| Jun 17, 2027 | 237 | 2.1% | ±2.1% |
30-day implied volatility 4.7% vs 2% realized over the last 30 trading days. Put/call ratio (volume) 0.33. Cboe delayed quotes (15 min). Expected move = at-the-money straddle.
Key Statistics (as of October 23, 2026 at 10:11 UTC)
| Price | USD 14.97 |
|---|---|
| Change | ▲ 0.00% (up) |
| Previous Close | USD 14.97 |
| Open | USD 14.97 |
| Day Range | USD 14.95 – 14.98 |
| 52-Week Range | USD 13.21 – 17.65 |
| Volume | 6,810,135 shares |
| Market Cap | $10.68B |
| Exchange | NYQ |
Technical Analysis (AES)
Nexqual's technical model rates AES "STRONG BUY" based on 5 bullish and 0 bearish signals across 127 daily candles, as of October 23, 2026 at 10:11 UTC.
| Overall Signal | STRONG BUY |
|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 66.54 (neutral) |
| vs SMA50 | Above (USD 14.84) |
| MACD | 0.04 (positive) |
Analyst Ratings (AES)
Wall Street analysts rate AES "Hold" based on 9 analysts, with a mean price target of USD 15 (range USD 15–15), per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 10:11 UTC.
| Consensus Rating | Hold |
|---|---|
| Analyst Count | 9 |
| Mean Target | USD 15 |
| High Target | USD 15 |
| Low Target | USD 15 |
| Buy / Hold / Sell | 0 / 9 / 0 |
Earnings (AES)
| Next Earnings Date | 2026-11-04 |
|---|---|
| EPS Estimate | USD 0.73 |
| Revenue Estimate | $3.45B |
Recent Earnings History
| Quarter | Actual vs Estimate |
|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | USD 0.44 vs est 0.47 ▼ miss |
| 2026-03-31 | USD 0.77 vs est 0.37 ▲ beat |
| 2025-12-31 | USD 0.81 vs est 0.61 ▲ beat |
| 2025-09-30 | USD 0.75 vs est 0.77 ▼ miss |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 10:11 UTC.
Financials & Fundamentals (AES)
| Total Revenue | $13.05B |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (latest quarter, YoY) | +19.90% |
| Gross Margin | +20.27% |
| Operating Margin | +18.67% |
| Profit Margin | +14.34% |
| ROE | +9.57% |
| Debt / Equity | 2.57 |
| Current Ratio | 0.75 |
| Total Cash | $1.85B |
| Total Debt | $32.94B |
| Free Cash Flow (fiscal year ended Dec 2025, SEC 10-K) | -$1.62B (-13.3% of revenue) |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 10:11 UTC.
Financial Health Score (AES)
Nexqual rates The AES Corporation's overall financial health "Weak" across five dimensions, as of October 23, 2026 at 10:11 UTC.
| Growth | Weak — Revenue -0% YoY (annual), declining |
|---|---|
| Profitability | Mixed — Gross margin 20%, operating 19% (last 12 months) |
| Balance Sheet | Critical — $1.85B cash vs $32.9B debt |
| Cash Flow | Weak — FCF negative: -$1.62B (FY ended Dec 2025, 10-K), burning cash |
| Efficiency | Mixed — ROE 10%, ROA 3.0% |
Ownership (AES)
| Insider Ownership | +0.58% |
|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership | +90.80% |
| Shares Outstanding | 713.44M |
| Float | 708.81M |
| Short % of Float | +3.33% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 10:11 UTC.
Leadership (AES)
The AES Corporation is led by Ricardo Manuel Falu, President, per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 10:11 UTC.
| President | Ricardo Manuel Falu |
|---|---|
| Executive VP & CFO | Stephen Coughlin |
| Executive VP & COO | Juan Ignacio Rubiolo |
| Vice President of Investor Relations | Susan Pasley Keppelman Harcourt |
Major Backers & Investors (AES)
Notable institutional backers of The AES Corporation include Balyasny Asset Management LP, Millennium Management, Morgan Stanley, according to Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 10:11 UTC.
Active Investors
| Investor | Stake |
|---|---|
| Balyasny Asset Management LP | 4.85% |
| Millennium Management | 2.99% |
| Morgan Stanley | 2.94% |
| Invesco | 2.6% |
| Goldman Sachs | 2.05% |
| SELECT SECTOR SPDR TRUST-State Street Utilities Select Sector SPDR ETF | 1.77% |
Index Funds (Passive)
| Fund | Stake |
|---|---|
| Vanguard Group | 11.48% |
| BlackRock | 6.91% |
| State Street | 6.01% |
| Geode Capital | 3.52% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 10:11 UTC.
Peers & Related Stocks
| Symbol | Name | Price | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| AQN | Algonquin Power & Utilities Cor | USD 5.45 | ▲ 2.64% |
| BIP | Brookfield Infrastructure Partn | USD 37.29 | ▲ 2.53% |
| AVA | Avista Corporation | USD 37.74 | ▲ 2.22% |
| SRE | DBA Sempra | USD 84.77 | ▲ 1.52% |
| UTL | UNITIL Corporation | USD 55.06 | ▲ 2.76% |
Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 23, 2026 at 10:11 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.
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