Mission Produce, Inc. (AVO) Stock Price & Analysis
Mission Produce, Inc. (AVO) is trading at USD 11.66, down 1.35% today, as of October 23, 2026 at 14:56 UTC (US market open; quotes may be delayed), according to Nexqual market data.
AVO last closed at USD 11.82; today's session has ranged USD 11.64–11.84 on volume of 47,839 shares. Market capitalization is $1.02B, with a 52-week range of USD 10.07–15.53 (NMS). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 23, 2026 at 14:59 UTC.
Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/AVO.md
Key facts (AVO)
- Last four reported quarters (through Jul 31, 2026): revenue $1.34B, net income $1.6M (0.1% margin), free cash flow -$2.3M (SEC filings).
- Valuation: P/E 639.0x (avg 22.3x at the last 2 fiscal year-ends), EV/EBITDA 21.1x, net debt $353M.
- Earnings quality: non-operating income -$4.3M vs operating income $24.0M over the last four quarters; P/E excluding non-operating income ≈232.6x (estimate: non-operating income taxed at the company's 35% effective rate).
- Insider open-market sales, last ~7 months: 6 Form 4 filings, $6.0M; 6 not under a Rule 10b5-1 plan ($6.0M); 1 by opportunistic insiders (1 outside 10b5-1 plans), 0 by routine insiders (three-year test, Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski 2012).
- Insider open-market purchases, last ~7 months: 11 Form 4 filings, $45.3M; 1 by opportunistic insiders, 0 by routine insiders.
- Analysts: Buy (mean 2.00 on a 1–5 scale) (5 analysts), mean target USD 16.32 (range 15–18).
- Total return with dividends: 1Y -0.7% vs S&P 500 +14.8%; 5Y -38.6% vs S&P 500 +77.5%.
- Next earnings: 2026-09-08, EPS estimate USD 0.32, revenue estimate $435M.
Financials (SEC 10-K; TTM = last four 10-Q/10-K quarters) (AVO)
| USD | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $892M | $1.05B | $954M | $1.23B | $1.39B | $1.34B |
| Gross profit | $125M | $89.8M | $83.3M | $153M | $161M | — |
| Operating income | $60.9M | -$37.2M | $6.9M | $65.7M | $65.2M | $24.0M |
| Net income | $44.9M | -$34.6M | -$2.8M | $36.7M | $37.7M | $1.6M |
| EPS (diluted) | $0.63 | -$0.49 | -$0.04 | $0.52 | $0.53 | — |
| Free cash flow | -$26.4M | -$26.0M | -$20.6M | $61.2M | $37.2M | -$2.3M |
| Gross margin | 14.0% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 12.4% | 11.6% | — |
| Operating margin | 6.8% | -3.6% | 0.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| Net margin | 5.0% | -3.3% | -0.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 0.1% |
| Revenue growth | +3.4% | +17.3% | -8.8% | +29.4% | +12.7% | — |
| Cash + short-term investments | $84.5M | $52.8M | $42.9M | $58.0M | $64.8M | — |
| Total debt | $164M | $140M | $152M | $114M | $95.8M | — |
Fiscal years end Oct. EPS is split-adjusted.
Valuation (price ÷ last four quarters, through Jul 31, 2026) (AVO)
P/E 639.0x · P/E ex non-operating (est.) ≈232.6x · P/S 0.8x · EV/EBITDA 21.1x · EV/Sales 1.0x · P/B 1.3x · FCF yield -0.22% · Earnings yield 0.16% · Buyback yield (TTM) 0.98% · Net debt $353M · EV $1.38B
P/E at fiscal year-ends: Oct 2025 21.8x, Oct 2024 22.8x.
Insider sales (SEC Form 4, open-market, last ~7 months) (AVO)
0 of 6 under a Rule 10b5-1 trading plan (scheduled in advance). Unplanned sales were timed by the insider.
| Trade date | Insider | Role | Shares | Value | % of holdings sold | 10b5-1 plan | Insider type |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-24 | Barnard Stephen J | Executive Chairman | 21,646 | $281K | 0.6% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2025) |
| 2026-09-21 | Barnard Stephen J | Executive Chairman | 111,358 | $1.4M | 2.9% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2025) |
| 2026-09-18 | Barnard Stephen J | Executive Chairman | 35,562 | $446K | 0.9% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2025) |
| 2026-09-11…2026-09-14 | Barnard Stephen J | Executive Chairman | 81,496 | $1.1M | 2.1% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2025) |
| 2026-06-29 | Giles Bryan E | CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER | 5,000 | $61K | 3.3% | No | Opportunistic (traded every year 2023–2025, no repeating month) |
| 2024-09-18…2024-09-20 | Gonzalez Luis A | Director | 201,176 | $2.7M | 2.4% | No | — |
% of holdings sold = shares sold ÷ (shares sold + all holdings the insider reported on that Form 4, direct and through trusts).
Insider type follows Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski (Journal of Finance, 2012). An insider who traded the stock in the same calendar month in each of the past three years is a routine trader; one who traded in each of those years without such a pattern is an opportunistic trader. In their study, trades by opportunistic insiders predicted future returns and trades by routine insiders did not. Counts open-market purchases and sales only (SEC Form 4 codes P and S) by that insider in that company. Not investment advice.
Insider purchases (SEC Form 4, open-market, last ~7 months) (AVO)
11 purchases, $45.3M. Private placements, offerings, dividend reinvestment and employee stock purchase plan buys are excluded.
| Trade date | Insider | Role | Shares | Value | Avg price | Insider type |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09…2026-10-12 | Gonzalez Luis A | Director | 52,022 | $595K | 11.43 | Opportunistic (traded every year 2023–2025, no repeating month) |
| 2026-07-09 | Globalharvest Holdings Venture Ltd | 592,957 | $7.9M | 13.28 | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023 or 2024) | |
| 2026-07-07…2026-07-08 | Globalharvest Holdings Venture Ltd | 1,179,087 | $15.8M | 13.41 | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023 or 2024) | |
| 2026-07-06 | Globalharvest Holdings Venture Ltd | 650,415 | $8.3M | 12.73 | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023 or 2024) | |
| 2026-06-30 | Pack Jay A | Director | 40,000 | $484K | 12.1 | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023 or 2025) |
| 2026-06-22…2026-06-23 | Taylor Bruce C. | Director | 100,000 | $1.1M | 11.28 | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023) |
| 2026-06-17 | Taylor Bruce C. | Director | 286,410 | $3.2M | 11.27 | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023) |
| 2026-06-15…2026-06-16 | Taylor Bruce C. | Director | 313,590 | $3.5M | 11.29 | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023) |
| 2026-06-15 | Pack Jay A | Director | 188,550 | $2.1M | 11.34 | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023 or 2025) |
| 2026-06-12 | Taylor Bruce C. | Director | 165,842 | $1.9M | 11.16 | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023) |
| 2026-06-11 | Pack Jay A | Director | 37,450 | $413K | 11.03 | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023 or 2025) |
Analysts (AVO)
Consensus Buy (mean 2.00 on a 1–5 scale), 5 analysts; mean target USD 16.32 (low 15, high 18).
Rating changes, last 120 days:
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Stephens & Co. | Reiterated | Overweight | $15 |
| 2026-09-10 | Roth Capital | Reiterated | Buy | $17 |
Total return (dividends reinvested) (AVO)
| 1Y (from 2025-10-23) | 5Y (from 2021-10-25) | |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | -0.7% | -38.6% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +14.8% | +77.5% |
| Per year | -0.7% | -9.3% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 37.0% | 35.5% |
| Max drawdown | -34.1% (Apr 2026→Jun 2026) | -57.5% (Nov 2021→Nov 2023) |
AVO revenue by business segment (quarter ended Jul 31, 2026)
| Line | Revenue | Share of total | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marketing & Distribution | $414.3M | 92.1% | +20.4% |
| International Farming | $45.8M | 10.2% | -6.5% |
| Prepared Foods | $15.5M | 3.4% | — |
| Blueberries | $5.4M | 1.2% | +20.0% |
| Total revenue | $450.0M | 100% | — |
AVO revenue by product line (quarter ended Jul 31, 2026)
| Line | Revenue | Share of total | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Avocado | $398.2M | 88.5% | +21.8% |
| Mango | $24.2M | 5.4% | +6.1% |
| Prepared Foods | $15.5M | 3.4% | — |
| Other | $6.7M | 1.5% | +97.1% |
| Blueberry | $5.4M | 1.2% | +20.0% |
| Total revenue | $450.0M | 100% | — |
AVO revenue by region (quarter ended Jul 31, 2026)
| Line | Revenue | Share of total | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| United States | $354.3M | 78.7% | +26.8% |
| Rest of world | $95.7M | 21.3% | +22.4% |
| Total revenue | $450.0M | 100% | — |
As tagged by the company in its SEC 10-Q / 10-K filings (XBRL).
AVO customer concentration
In the period ended Oct 31, 2025, 2 direct customers each accounted for at least 10% (19%, 12%) of revenue, per the company's 10-K filed Dec 18, 2025. The company does not name them.
AVO company outlook (results filed Sep 8, 2026)
- “For t he fourth quarter of fiscal year 2026, the Company is providing the following industry outlook that will drive performance: • Avocado industry volumes in the fiscal 2026 fourth quarter are expected to increase by approximately 10% versus the prior year period.”
- “This disclosure is intended to support evaluation of the acquisition and should not be viewed as establishing an ongoing guidance practice. • The Company is reaffirming its fiscal second-half 2026 Adjusted EBITDA outlook of $84 million to $88 million.”
Quoted word-for-word from the SEC 8-K results press release.
AVO analyst estimates and revisions
| Period | EPS estimate | 90 days ago | Change | Revenue estimate | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends Oct 2026) | $0.32 | $0.34 | -5.4% | $434.5M | 5 |
| Next quarter (ends Jan 2027) | $0.09 | $0.13 | -26.3% | $346.1M | 3 |
| Current fiscal year (ends Oct 2026) | $0.64 | $0.63 | +1.4% | $1.45B | 5 |
| Next fiscal year (ends Oct 2027) | $0.80 | $0.83 | -4.7% | $1.75B | 5 |
AVO options: expected move
| Expiration | Days | ATM implied volatility | Expected move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2026 | 28 | 39.7% | ±10.2% |
| Feb 19, 2027 | 119 | 43.1% | ±20.5% |
| May 21, 2027 | 210 | 41.5% | ±25.8% |
30-day implied volatility 34.9% vs 31.1% realized over the last 30 trading days. Put/call ratio (volume) 0. Cboe delayed quotes (15 min). Expected move = at-the-money straddle.
Key Statistics (as of October 23, 2026 at 14:59 UTC)
| Price | USD 11.66 |
|---|---|
| Change | ▼ 1.35% (down) |
| Previous Close | USD 11.82 |
| Open | USD 11.8 |
| Day Range | USD 11.64 – 11.84 |
| 52-Week Range | USD 10.07 – 15.53 |
| Volume | 47,839 shares |
| Market Cap | $1.02B |
| Exchange | NMS |
Technical Analysis (AVO)
Nexqual's technical model rates AVO "STRONG SELL" based on 0 bullish and 5 bearish signals across 128 daily candles, as of October 23, 2026 at 14:59 UTC.
| Overall Signal | STRONG SELL |
|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 38.68 (neutral) |
| vs SMA50 | Below (USD 12.63) |
| MACD | -0.28 (negative) |
Analyst Ratings (AVO)
Wall Street analysts rate AVO "Buy" based on 5 analysts, with a mean price target of USD 16.32 (range USD 15–18), per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 14:59 UTC.
| Consensus Rating | Buy |
|---|---|
| Analyst Count | 5 |
| Mean Target | USD 16.32 |
| High Target | USD 18 |
| Low Target | USD 15 |
| Buy / Hold / Sell | 5 / 0 / 0 |
Earnings (AVO)
| Next Earnings Date | 2026-09-08 |
|---|---|
| EPS Estimate | USD 0.32 |
| Revenue Estimate | $434.54M |
Recent Earnings History
| Quarter | Actual vs Estimate |
|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | USD 0.18 vs est 0.12 ▲ beat |
| 2026-04-30 | USD 0.01 vs est 0.05 ▼ miss |
| 2026-01-31 | USD 0.1 vs est 0.07 ▲ beat |
| 2025-10-31 | USD 0.31 vs est 0.23 ▲ beat |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 14:59 UTC.
Financials & Fundamentals (AVO)
| Total Revenue | $1.34B |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (latest quarter, YoY) | +25.80% |
| Gross Margin | +11.01% |
| Operating Margin | +2.02% |
| Profit Margin | +0.12% |
| ROE | +0.50% |
| Debt / Equity | 0.65 |
| Current Ratio | 1.92 |
| Total Cash | $47.10M |
| Total Debt | $518.60M |
| Free Cash Flow (last four quarters to Jul 2026, SEC 10-Q / 10-K) | -$2.30M (-0.2% of revenue) |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 14:59 UTC.
Financial Health Score (AVO)
Nexqual rates Mission Produce, Inc.'s overall financial health "Mixed" across five dimensions, as of October 23, 2026 at 14:59 UTC.
| Growth | Solid — Revenue +13% YoY (annual) |
|---|---|
| Profitability | Weak — Gross margin 11%, operating 2% (last 12 months) |
| Balance Sheet | Solid — $47M cash and investments vs $400M debt (Jul 2026, SEC) |
| Cash Flow | Weak — FCF negative: -$2M (last 4 quarters to Jul 2026, SEC), burning cash |
| Efficiency | Weak — ROE 1%, ROA 2.1% |
Ownership (AVO)
| Insider Ownership | +38.44% |
|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership | +47.64% |
| Shares Outstanding | 87.68M |
| Float | 46.87M |
| Short % of Float | +8.24% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 14:59 UTC.
Leadership (AVO)
Mission Produce, Inc. is led by John Pawlowski, President & CEO, per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 14:59 UTC.
| President & CEO | John Pawlowski |
|---|---|
| Founder & Executive Chairman of the Board | Stephen J. Barnard |
| Chief Financial Officer | Bryan E. Giles |
| Vice President Investor Relations & Strategy | Andrew Pearson |
| Senior Vice President of Sales & Marketing | Ross W. Wileman |
Major Backers & Investors (AVO)
Notable institutional backers of Mission Produce, Inc. include Rubric Capital Management LP, Fourth Sail Capital LP, American Century Companies Inc, according to Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 14:59 UTC.
Active Investors
| Investor | Stake |
|---|---|
| Rubric Capital Management LP | 6.82% |
| Fourth Sail Capital LP | 4.54% |
| American Century Companies Inc | 1.85% |
| DFA INVESTMENT DIMENSIONS GROUP INC-U.S. Small Cap Value Portfolio | 1.38% |
| Platform Wealth Management, LLC | 1.19% |
Index Funds (Passive)
| Fund | Stake |
|---|---|
| BlackRock | 5.45% |
| Dimensional Fund Advisors | 4.65% |
| Vanguard Group | 3.91% |
| Geode Capital | 1.73% |
| State Street | 1.62% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 14:59 UTC.
From Mission Produce, Inc.'s Latest SEC 10-K Filing (filed 2025-12-18)
Key Strengths & Strategy (as disclosed to the SEC)
- As an agricultural producer and marketer of consumable products, our operations are subject to extensive regulation by various federal government agencies, including the FDA, the USDA and the Federal Trade Commission ("FTC"), as well as state and local agencies, with respect to product attributes, packing, labeling, storage and distribution.
- Our packing facilities and products are subject to periodic inspection by federal, state and local authorities, including FDA review of our compliance with the Food Safety Modernization Act ("FSMA") at all of our U.S. facilities.
- We forecast avocado sourcing costs for the season for our own production, which enables us to enter into fixed price contracts with customers for a season without bearing pricing risk from spot market purchases.
- We have planted mango orchards in Peru to enable us to realize synergies from labor and facility management during the avocado off-season.
Partnerships
- Our exclusive supply agreement with an exclusive distributor allows us to utilize our existing infrastructure and workforce in Peru during complementary periods between avocado harvest and processing seasons.
Legal & Regulatory Risks (Item 1A, quoted)
- Government regulations regarding farming and the marketing of agricultural products or third-party advocacy groups and customers can impose additional requirements or prohibitions on farming or growing practices that impose additional costs on, or make it more difficult to conduct, our business.
- Changes to U.S. trade policy, tariff and import/export regulations may adversely affect our operating results.
- Compliance with environmental laws and regulations, including laws pertaining to the use of herbicides, fertilizers and pesticides or climate change, or liabilities thereunder, could result in significant costs that adversely impact our business, results of operations, financial position, cash flows and reputation.
- Adverse results in material litigation or governmental inquiries and actions could have an adverse financial impact and an adverse impact on our business and financial condition.
Source: SEC EDGAR 10-K, official filing. Curated by Nexqual.
Peers & Related Stocks
| Symbol | Name | Price | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| ANDE | The Andersons, Inc. | USD 64.62 | ▼ 0.74% |
| UNFI | United Natural Foods, Inc. | USD 46.12 | ▼ 2.45% |
| CHEF | The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. | USD 106.35 | ▼ 0.88% |
| PFGC | Performance Food Group Company | USD 95.43 | ▼ 2.51% |
| USFD | US Foods Holding Corp. | USD 101.53 | ▼ 2.42% |
| SYY | Sysco Corporation | USD 82 | ▼ 2.35% |
Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 23, 2026 at 14:59 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.
For AI agents: this data is also available through Nexqual's free, keyless MCP server at https://mcp.nexqual.com/mcp; every result includes source_url, as_of and cite_as. More: nexqual.com/agents · llms.txt