Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited (CP) Stock Price & Analysis
Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited (CP) closed at USD 90.62 on Thursday, October 22, 2026, up 2.86% on the day. The US market is currently closed (pre-market); this is not a live price.
The prior close was USD 88.1; the Oct 22, 2026 session ranged USD 87.85–91.21 on volume of 4,199,165 shares. Market capitalization is $79.66B, with a 52-week range of USD 68.42–96.9 (NYQ). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 23, 2026 at 09:13 UTC.
Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/CP.md
Key facts (CP)
- 7 of 80 tracked superinvestors hold CP (13F, Q2 2026): 0 new, 2 added, 4 reduced, 1 unchanged.
- Analysts: Buy (mean 2.00 on a 1–5 scale) (30 analysts), mean target USD 99.35 (range 75.08–106.55).
- Total return with dividends: 1Y +20.1% vs S&P 500 +14.9%; 5Y +23.7% vs S&P 500 +80.3%.
- Next earnings: 2026-10-28, EPS estimate USD 1.31, revenue estimate $4.21B.
Superinvestors (SEC 13F-HR, Q2 2026) (CP)
7 of 80 tracked investors hold CP. Each row is the investor's latest 13F; change is vs their prior-quarter share count.
| Investor | Firm | % of portfolio | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Hohn | TCI Fund Management | 7.44% | $3.93B | Reduced -2.6% |
| Sarah Ketterer | Causeway Capital Management | 6.30% | $582M | Reduced -23.7% |
| AKO Capital | 4.90% | $210M | Reduced -11.7% | |
| William Von Mueffling | Cantillon Capital Management | 2.60% | $17.3M | Reduced -95.4% |
| Lindsell Train | 0.10% | $2.6M | Unchanged | |
| Thomas Gayner | Markel Group | 0.05% | $6.3M | Added +22.7% |
| First Eagle Investment | First Eagle Investment Management | <0.01% | $305K | Added +4.0% |
Analysts (CP)
Consensus Buy (mean 2.00 on a 1–5 scale), 30 analysts; mean target USD 99.35 (low 75.08, high 106.55).
Rating changes, last 120 days:
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | Citigroup | Target lowered | Buy | $109 → $102 |
| 2026-10-02 | Susquehanna | Target lowered | Positive | $106 → $98 |
| 2026-07-30 | Citigroup | Target raised | Buy | $106 → $109 |
| 2026-07-30 | RBC Capital | Target raised | Outperform | $139 → $145 |
| 2026-07-30 | Evercore ISI Group | Target raised | Outperform | $91 → $99 |
| 2026-07-14 | Susquehanna | Target raised | Positive | $104 → $106 |
| 2026-07-09 | Citigroup | Target raised | Buy | $97 → $106 |
| 2026-07-08 | Wells Fargo | Target raised | Overweight | $90 → $100 |
| 2026-06-25 | Barclays | Target raised | Overweight | $99 → $102 |
| 2026-06-25 | CIBC | Target raised | Outperformer | $140 → $143 |
| 2026-06-25 | Evercore ISI Group | Target lowered | Outperform | $92 → $91 |
Total return (dividends reinvested) (CP)
| 1Y (from 2025-10-23) | 5Y (from 2021-10-18) | |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | +20.1% | +23.7% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +14.9% | +80.3% |
| Per year | +20.2% | +4.3% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 22.6% | 22.3% |
| Max drawdown | -13.3% (Aug 2026→Oct 2026) | -21.9% (Mar 2024→Mar 2025) |
CP revenue by product line (quarter ended Jun 30, 2026)
| Line | Revenue | Share of total | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Freight | $4.09B | 98.2% | +12.6% |
| — Grain Revenue (part of Freight) | $925.0M | 22.2% | +24.5% |
| — Energy Chemicalsand Plastic Revenue (part of Freight) | $777.0M | 18.7% | +9.1% |
| — Intermodal (part of Freight) | $758.0M | 18.2% | +10.8% |
| — Metals Mineralsand Consumer Products Revenue (part of Freight) | $524.0M | 12.6% | +18.0% |
| — Automotive (part of Freight) | $403.0M | 9.7% | +22.1% |
| — Coal Revenue (part of Freight) | $209.0M | 5.0% | -18.4% |
| — Forest Products Revenue (part of Freight) | $198.0M | 4.8% | +1.5% |
| — Potash Revenue (part of Freight) | $184.0M | 4.4% | +10.2% |
| — Fertilizerand Sulphur Revenue (part of Freight) | $110.0M | 2.6% | +12.2% |
| Non-freight | $76.0M | 1.8% | +8.6% |
| Nonfreightexcludingleasingrevenues | $49.0M | 1.2% | +11.4% |
| Total revenue | $4.16B | 100% | — |
CP revenue by region (fiscal year ended Dec 31, 2025)
| Line | Revenue | Share of total | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Canada | $7.24B | 48.0% | +4.4% |
| United States | $5.12B | 34.0% | +2.7% |
| Mexico | $2.71B | 18.0% | +3.4% |
| Total revenue | $15.08B | 100% | — |
As tagged by the company in its SEC 10-Q / 10-K filings (XBRL).
CP company outlook (results filed Jul 29, 2026)
- “Performance share unit plans During the six months ended June 30, 2026, the Company issued 629,722 Performance Share Units ("PSUs") with a grant date fair value of $66 million and 20,386 Performance Deferred Share Units ("PDSUs") with a grant date fair value, including the fair value of expected future matching units, of $3 million.”
- “Payments are expected to be made over 10 years through 2035.”
- “(4) Fuel consumed includes gallons from freight, yard and commuter service but excludes fuel used in capital projects and other non-freight activities.”
Quoted word-for-word from the SEC 8-K results press release.
CP analyst estimates and revisions
| Period | EPS estimate | 90 days ago | Change | Revenue estimate | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends Sep 2026) | $1.31 | $1.33 | -1.4% | $4.21B | 25 |
| Next quarter (ends Dec 2026) | $1.53 | $1.55 | -1.0% | $4.44B | 21 |
| Current fiscal year (ends Dec 2026) | $5.15 | $5.15 | +0.1% | $16.48B | 28 |
| Next fiscal year (ends Dec 2027) | $5.96 | $5.94 | +0.3% | $17.48B | 28 |
CP options: expected move
Options price a move of about ±5.2% (±$4.68) by Nov 20, 2026, which includes earnings on Oct 28, 2026. Over the last 8 reports the stock moved ±2.2% on average.
| Expiration | Days | ATM implied volatility | Expected move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2026 | 28 | 22.8% | ±5.2% |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 56 | 21.2% | ±6.7% |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 84 | 20.0% | ±7.8% |
| Mar 19, 2027 | 147 | 23.4% | ±11.9% |
| May 21, 2027 | 210 | 22.4% | ±13.6% |
| Jun 17, 2027 | 237 | 22.8% | ±14.7% |
30-day implied volatility 22.4% vs 17.7% realized over the last 30 trading days. Put/call ratio (volume) 0.99. Cboe delayed quotes (15 min). Expected move = at-the-money straddle.
Key Statistics (as of October 23, 2026 at 09:13 UTC)
| Price | USD 90.62 |
|---|---|
| Change | ▲ 2.86% (up) |
| Previous Close | USD 88.1 |
| Open | USD 88.09 |
| Day Range | USD 87.85 – 91.21 |
| 52-Week Range | USD 68.42 – 96.9 |
| Volume | 4,199,165 shares |
| Market Cap | $79.66B |
| Exchange | NYQ |
Technical Analysis (CP)
Nexqual's technical model rates CP "NEUTRAL" based on 4 bullish and 3 bearish signals across 127 daily candles, as of October 23, 2026 at 09:13 UTC.
| Overall Signal | NEUTRAL |
|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 63.16 (neutral) |
| vs SMA50 | Above (USD 89.25) |
| MACD | -0.05 (negative) |
Analyst Ratings (CP)
Wall Street analysts rate CP "Buy" based on 30 analysts, with a mean price target of USD 99.35 (range USD 75.08–106.55), per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:13 UTC.
| Consensus Rating | Buy |
|---|---|
| Analyst Count | 30 |
| Mean Target | USD 99.35 |
| High Target | USD 106.55 |
| Low Target | USD 75.08 |
| Buy / Hold / Sell | 23 / 6 / 1 |
Earnings (CP)
| Next Earnings Date | 2026-10-28 |
|---|---|
| EPS Estimate | USD 1.31 |
| Revenue Estimate | $4.21B |
Recent Earnings History
| Quarter | Actual vs Estimate |
|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | USD 1.27 vs est 1.24 ▲ beat |
| 2026-03-31 | USD 1.04 vs est 1.07 ▼ miss |
| 2025-12-31 | USD 1.33 vs est 1.35 ▼ miss |
| 2025-09-30 | USD 1.1 vs est 1.11 ▼ miss |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:13 UTC.
Financials & Fundamentals (CP)
| Total Revenue | $15.45B |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (latest quarter, YoY) | +12.60% |
| Gross Margin | +53.40% |
| Operating Margin | +38.98% |
| Profit Margin | +25.03% |
| ROE | +8.15% |
| Debt / Equity | 0.53 |
| Current Ratio | 0.59 |
| Total Cash | $366.00M |
| Total Debt | $25.15B |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:13 UTC.
Financial Health Score (CP)
Nexqual rates Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited's overall financial health "Mixed" across five dimensions, as of October 23, 2026 at 09:13 UTC.
| Growth | Mixed — Revenue +3.7% YoY (annual), slow |
|---|---|
| Profitability | Strong — Gross margin 53%, operating 39% (last 12 months) |
| Balance Sheet | Mixed — CAD 366M cash vs CAD 25.1B debt |
| Cash Flow | Solid — Operating cash flow CAD 5.50B (TTM) |
| Efficiency | Mixed — ROE 8%, ROA 4.4% |
Ownership (CP)
| Insider Ownership | +0.04% |
|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership | +75.96% |
| Shares Outstanding | 879.08M |
| Float | 832.39M |
| Short % of Float | +2.21% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:13 UTC.
Leadership (CP)
Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited is led by Keith E. Creel, CEO, President & Director, per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:13 UTC.
| CEO, President & Director | Keith E. Creel |
|---|---|
| Executive VP & CFO | Nadeem S. Velani |
| Executive VP & COO | Mark A. Redd |
| Executive VP & Chief Marketing Officer | John Kenneth Brooks |
| Executive Vice-President of Strategic Planning & Corporate Services | James Dominic Luther Clements |
Major Backers & Investors (CP)
Notable institutional backers of Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited include Royal Bank of Canada, TCI Fund Management Ltd, JPMorgan, according to Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:13 UTC.
Active Investors
| Investor | Stake |
|---|---|
| Royal Bank of Canada | 6.2% |
| TCI Fund Management Ltd | 5.18% |
| JPMorgan | 3.01% |
| FMR, LLC | 2.78% |
| FIL LTD | 2.42% |
| Invesco | 2.34% |
| Bank of Montreal /CAN/ | 2.27% |
| Mackenzie Financial Corporation | 1.95% |
Index Funds (Passive)
| Fund | Stake |
|---|---|
| Vanguard Group | 2.81% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:13 UTC.
Legal & Regulatory Risks from Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited's Latest 10-K (filed 2026-02-26)
- The Company is subject to environmental laws and regulations that may result in significant costs.
- The Company is subject to claims and litigation that could result in significant expenditures.
- The Company is dependent on certain key suppliers of core railway equipment and materials that could result in increased price volatility or significant shortages of materials, which could adversely affect results of operations, financial condition, and liquidity.
Source: SEC EDGAR 10-K, Item 1A, official filing.
Peers & Related Stocks
| Symbol | Name | Price | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| CNI | Canadian National Railway Compa | USD 124.93 | ▲ 2.36% |
| NSC | Norfolk Southern Corporation | USD 338.23 | ▲ 3.09% |
| CSX | CSX Corporation | USD 51.67 | ▲ 6.76% |
| WAB | Westinghouse Air Brake Technolo | USD 276.47 | ▼ 4.32% |
| UNP | Union Pacific Corporation | USD 298.09 | ▲ 3.55% |
| TRN | Trinity Industries, Inc. | USD 25.82 | ▲ 2.34% |
Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 23, 2026 at 09:13 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.
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