Circle Internet Group (CRCL) Stock Price & Analysis
Circle Internet Group (CRCL) closed at USD 86.62 on Thursday, October 22, 2026, down 3.44% on the day. The US market is currently closed (pre-market); this is not a live price.
The prior close was USD 89.71; the Oct 22, 2026 session ranged USD 84.59–87.97 on volume of 11,897,796 shares. Market capitalization is $21.99B, with a 52-week range of USD 49.9–147.44 (NYQ). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 23, 2026 at 09:59 UTC.
Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/CRCL.md
Key facts (CRCL)
- Last four reported quarters (through Jun 30, 2026): revenue $2.91B, net income $451M (15.5% margin) (SEC filings).
- Valuation: P/E 48.7x.
- Earnings quality: non-operating income $187M vs operating income $216M over the last four quarters; P/E excluding non-operating income ≈83.1x (estimate: non-operating income taxed at the company's 0% effective rate).
- 1 of 80 tracked superinvestors hold CRCL (13F, Q2 2026): 0 new, 0 added, 0 reduced, 1 unchanged.
- Analysts: Hold (mean 2.52 on a 1–5 scale) (29 analysts), mean target USD 107.35 (range 37–243).
- Total return with dividends: 1Y -33.3% vs S&P 500 +14.9%; 5Y -19.6% vs S&P 500 +80.3%.
- Next earnings: 2026-11-04, EPS estimate USD 0.38, revenue estimate $788M.
Financials (SEC 10-K; TTM = last four 10-Q/10-K quarters) (CRCL)
| USD | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.45B | $1.68B | $2.75B | $2.91B |
| Operating income | $270M | $167M | -$96.4M | $216M |
| Net income | $268M | $156M | -$69.5M | $451M |
| EPS (diluted) | $0.78 | $0.30 | -$0.44 | — |
| Free cash flow | $139M | $326M | $530M | $762M |
| Operating margin | 18.6% | 10.0% | -3.5% | 7.4% |
| Net margin | 18.4% | 9.3% | -2.5% | 15.5% |
| Revenue growth | — | +15.6% | +63.9% | — |
| Cash + short-term investments | $369M | $751M | $1.53B | — |
| Total debt | — | $40.7M | $0K | — |
Fiscal years end Dec. EPS is split-adjusted.
Valuation (price ÷ last four quarters, through Jun 30, 2026) (CRCL)
P/E 48.7x · P/E ex non-operating (est.) ≈83.1x · P/S 7.6x · P/FCF 28.9x · P/B 6.3x · FCF yield 3.46% · Earnings yield 2.05%
Superinvestors (SEC 13F-HR, Q2 2026) (CRCL)
1 of 80 tracked investors hold CRCL. Each row is the investor's latest 13F; change is vs their prior-quarter share count.
| Investor | Firm | % of portfolio | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duan Yongping | H&H International Investment | 0.07% | $12.5M | Unchanged |
Analysts (CRCL)
Consensus Hold (mean 2.52 on a 1–5 scale), 29 analysts; mean target USD 107.35 (low 37, high 243).
Rating changes, last 120 days:
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | Needham | Target raised | Buy | $130 → $134 |
| 2026-09-17 | TD Cowen | Target raised | Buy | $87 → $92 |
| 2026-09-08 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Initiated | Market Perform | $105 |
| 2026-08-25 | Wolfe Research | Target raised | Underperform | $50 → $65 |
| 2026-08-24 | Needham | Target raised | Buy | $127 → $130 |
| 2026-08-24 | Susquehanna | Target raised | Neutral | $69 → $92 |
| 2026-08-12 | TD Cowen | Target raised | Buy | $82 → $87 |
| 2026-08-06 | Canaccord Genuity | Target lowered | Buy | $160 → $130 |
| 2026-08-06 | Morgan Stanley | Target lowered | Underweight | $38 → $37 |
| 2026-08-06 | HC Wainwright & Co. | Target lowered | Buy | $115 → $104 |
| 2026-08-06 | Needham | Target lowered | Buy | $150 → $127 |
| 2026-08-03 | TD Cowen | Initiated | Buy | $82 |
Total return (dividends reinvested) (CRCL)
| 1Y (from 2025-10-23) | 5Y (from 2025-06-02) | |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | -33.3% | -19.6% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +14.9% | +80.3% |
| Per year | -33.4% | -14.5% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 95.2% | 100.9% |
| Max drawdown | -65.0% (Oct 2025→Feb 2026) | -76.3% (Jun 2025→Feb 2026) |
CRCL revenue by product line (quarter ended Jun 30, 2026)
| Line | Revenue | Share of total | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Subscription and services | $28.2M | 83.8% | +58.3% |
| Transaction revenue | $5.3M | 15.9% | -8.5% |
| Other | $96,000 | 0.3% | -50.8% |
| Total revenue | $33.6M | 100% | — |
As tagged by the company in its SEC 10-Q / 10-K filings (XBRL).
CRCL suppliers, customers and competitors (named in its 10-K)
| Relationship | Company | Sentence in the filing |
|---|---|---|
| Partner | BlackRock, Inc. (BLK) | “Partnership with BlackRock” |
| Partner | Centre Consortium | “In 2018, we partnered with Coinbase, the leading U.S. digital asset exchange, through the Centre Consortium, a joint venture between Coinbase and us, to support the growth of USDC and promote broader adoption of stablecoins.” |
Quoted from the company's 10-K filed Mar 9, 2026.
CRCL analyst estimates and revisions
| Period | EPS estimate | 90 days ago | Change | Revenue estimate | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends Sep 2026) | $0.38 | $0.28 | +34.4% | $787.7M | 18 |
| Next quarter (ends Dec 2026) | $0.33 | $0.22 | +49.9% | $832.7M | 18 |
| Current fiscal year (ends Dec 2026) | $1.10 | $0.85 | +29.2% | $3.02B | 22 |
| Next fiscal year (ends Dec 2027) | $1.43 | $1.49 | -4.3% | $3.83B | 21 |
CRCL options: expected move
Options price a move of about ±15.2% (±$13.05) by Nov 6, 2026, which includes earnings on Nov 4, 2026; the earnings reaction alone is priced at about ±7.8%. Over the last 5 reports the stock moved ±14.4% on average.
| Expiration | Days | ATM implied volatility | Expected move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | 7 | 82.2% | ±9.6% |
| Nov 6, 2026 | 14 | 93.3% | ±15.2% |
| Nov 13, 2026 | 21 | 89.0% | ±17.5% |
| Nov 20, 2026 | 28 | 84.4% | ±19.0% |
| Nov 27, 2026 | 35 | 80.8% | ±20.1% |
| Dec 4, 2026 | 42 | 75.5% | ±20.7% |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 56 | 77.4% | ±24.3% |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 84 | 75.2% | ±28.8% |
30-day implied volatility 83.9% vs 75.4% realized over the last 30 trading days. Put/call ratio (volume) 0.51. Cboe delayed quotes (15 min). Expected move = at-the-money straddle.
Key Statistics (as of October 23, 2026 at 09:59 UTC)
| Price | USD 86.62 |
|---|---|
| Change | ▼ 3.44% (down) |
| Previous Close | USD 89.71 |
| Open | USD 85.69 |
| Day Range | USD 84.59 – 87.97 |
| 52-Week Range | USD 49.9 – 147.44 |
| Volume | 11,897,796 shares |
| Market Cap | $21.99B |
| Exchange | NYQ |
Technical Analysis (CRCL)
Nexqual's technical model rates CRCL "NEUTRAL" based on 3 bullish and 2 bearish signals across 127 daily candles, as of October 23, 2026 at 09:59 UTC.
| Overall Signal | NEUTRAL |
|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 48.03 (neutral) |
| vs SMA50 | Below (USD 86.75) |
| MACD | -0.13 (negative) |
Analyst Ratings (CRCL)
Wall Street analysts rate CRCL "Hold" based on 29 analysts, with a mean price target of USD 107.35 (range USD 37–243), per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:59 UTC.
| Consensus Rating | Hold |
|---|---|
| Analyst Count | 29 |
| Mean Target | USD 107.35 |
| High Target | USD 243 |
| Low Target | USD 37 |
| Buy / Hold / Sell | 15 / 11 / 3 |
Earnings (CRCL)
| Next Earnings Date | 2026-11-04 |
|---|---|
| EPS Estimate | USD 0.42 |
| Revenue Estimate | $787.70M |
Recent Earnings History
| Quarter | Actual vs Estimate |
|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | USD 0.18 vs est 0.16 ▲ beat |
| 2026-03-31 | USD 0.21 vs est 0.18 ▲ beat |
| 2025-12-31 | USD 0.43 vs est 0.16 ▲ beat |
| 2025-09-30 | USD 0.64 vs est 0.18 ▲ beat |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:59 UTC.
Financials & Fundamentals (CRCL)
| Total Revenue | $2.91B |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (latest quarter, YoY) | +6.60% |
| Gross Margin | +22.00% |
| Operating Margin | +4.90% |
| Profit Margin | +15.53% |
| ROE | +15.35% |
| Debt / Equity | 0 |
| Current Ratio | 1.04 |
| Total Cash | $1.73B |
| Total Debt | $15.95M |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:59 UTC.
Financial Health Score (CRCL)
Nexqual rates Circle Internet Group's overall financial health "Mixed" across five dimensions, as of October 23, 2026 at 09:59 UTC.
| Growth | Solid — Revenue +7% YoY (latest Q) |
|---|---|
| Profitability | Critical — Net margin -3% (last 12 months); banks have no gross margin |
| Balance Sheet | N/A — Not comparable for banks: deposits and customer funds sit on the balance sheet, so cash vs debt does not measure safety (SEC industry: Finance Services) |
| Cash Flow | N/A — Not meaningful for banks and lenders: lending and trading move operating cash flow by billions each year (SEC industry: Finance Services) |
| Efficiency | Solid — ROE 15%, ROA 0.2% |
Ownership (CRCL)
| Insider Ownership | +2.24% |
|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership | +68.21% |
| Shares Outstanding | 234.69M |
| Float | 206.03M |
| Short % of Float | +11.97% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:59 UTC.
Leadership (CRCL)
Circle Internet Group is led by Jeremy D. Allaire, Co-Founder, Chairman & CEO, per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:59 UTC.
| Co-Founder, Chairman & CEO | Jeremy D. Allaire |
|---|---|
| President & Chief Legal Officer | Heath P. Tarbert |
| Chief Financial Officer | Jeremy Fox-Geen |
| Chief Product & Technology Officer | Nikhil Chandhok |
| Chief Strategy Officer and Head of Global Policy & Operations | Dante A. Disparte |
Major Backers & Investors (CRCL)
Notable institutional backers of Circle Internet Group include IDG China Capital Fund III Associates L.P., Morgan Stanley, Idg-accel China Capital II Associates L.P., according to Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:59 UTC.
Active Investors
| Investor | Stake |
|---|---|
| IDG China Capital Fund III Associates L.P. | 3.79% |
| Morgan Stanley | 3.54% |
| Idg-accel China Capital II Associates L.P. | 2.97% |
| ARK Invest | 1.94% |
| UBS Group AG | 1.77% |
| Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Group, Inc. | 1.36% |
Index Funds (Passive)
| Fund | Stake |
|---|---|
| Vanguard Group | 4.61% |
| BlackRock | 3.56% |
| State Street | 1.42% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:59 UTC.
From Circle Internet Group's Latest SEC 10-K Filing (filed 2026-03-09)
Key Strengths & Strategy (as disclosed to the SEC)
- Circle Liquidity Services, including Circle Mint and xReserve, provide institutional minting, reserving, redemption, and foreign exchange services for Circle Digital Assets.
- Treasury Department's Financial Crimes Enforcement Network, and certain state virtual currency licensing requirements, including those imposed by the New York Department of Financial Services ("NYDFS") due to Circle Internet Financial, LLC's holding of a virtual currency license ("BitLicense").
- We have an active program of establishing, maintaining, and protecting our intellectual property and proprietary rights, including our proprietary technology, through the filing of patents, registration of trademarks, and use of contractual measures and other intellectual property rights.
- The three pillars of our platform are designed to reinforce one another: Arc is expected to provide an enterprise-grade foundation for stablecoin finance and economic activity at internet scale; Circle Digital Assets and related services supply trusted units of value and liquidity infrastructure; and Circle Applications translate that infrastructure into real-world utility for institutions, developers, and end-users.
Partnerships
- In August 2025, we entered into an expanded agreement with Binance (the "August Binance Agreement") relating to promotion of USDC held through our Modular Smart Contract Wallet infrastructure services, under which we agreed to pay monthly incentive fees based on USDC balances held through those services.
- In 2018, we partnered with Coinbase, the leading U.S. digital asset exchange, through the Centre Consortium, a joint venture between Coinbase and us, to support the growth of USDC and promote broader adoption of stablecoins.
Legal & Regulatory Risks (Item 1A, quoted)
- We are subject to laws, regulations, and executive orders regarding economic and trade sanctions, anti-bribery, AML, and counter-terrorism financing that could impair our ability to compete in international markets or subject us to criminal or civil liability if we violate them.
- We may operate our business in foreign countries where companies often engage in business practices that are prohibited by the U.S. and other jurisdictions' regulations applicable to us.
- Our Consolidated Balance Sheets may not contain sufficient amounts or types of regulatory capital to meet the changing requirements of our various regulators worldwide.
- Regulators also may increase the amount of fiat currency reserves that we are required to maintain for our operations.
Source: SEC EDGAR 10-K, official filing. Curated by Nexqual.
Peers & Related Stocks
| Symbol | Name | Price | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| LPLA | LPL Financial Holdings Inc. | USD 318.85 | ▼ 0.68% |
| TW | Tradeweb Markets Inc. | USD 121.89 | ▲ 1.57% |
| NMR | Nomura Holdings Inc | USD 9.04 | ▼ 1.95% |
| XP | XP Inc. | USD 29.35 | ▼ 3.52% |
| FUTU | Futu Holdings Limited | USD 98.92 | ▼ 5.82% |
| BMNR | BitMine Immersion Technologies, | USD 22.5 | ▼ 6.09% |
Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 23, 2026 at 09:59 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.
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