EMCOR Group, Inc. (EME) Stock Price & Analysis
EMCOR Group, Inc. (EME) closed at USD 660.41 on Thursday, October 22, 2026, down 5.54% on the day. The US market is currently closed (pre-market); this is not a live price.
The prior close was USD 660.41; the Oct 22, 2026 session ranged USD 653.68–681 on volume of 644,512 shares. Market capitalization is —, with a 52-week range of USD 564.92–951.96 (NYQ). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 23, 2026 at 09:49 UTC.
Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/EME.md
Key facts (EME)
- Last four reported quarters (through Jun 30, 2026): revenue $18.6B, net income $1.44B (7.7% margin), free cash flow $1.17B (SEC filings).
- 1 of 80 tracked superinvestors hold EME (13F, Q2 2026): 1 new, 0 added, 0 reduced, 0 unchanged.
- Insider open-market sales, last ~7 months: 6 Form 4 filings, $11.2M; 6 not under a Rule 10b5-1 plan ($11.2M); 0 by opportunistic insiders, 0 by routine insiders (three-year test, Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski 2012).
- Insider open-market purchases, last ~7 months: 1 Form 4 filing, $2K; 0 by opportunistic insiders, 0 by routine insiders.
- Analysts: Buy (mean 2.36 on a 1–5 scale) (11 analysts), mean target USD 979.13 (range 690–1,200).
- Total return with dividends: 1Y -5.0% vs S&P 500 +14.9%; 5Y +453.7% vs S&P 500 +80.3%.
- Next earnings: 2026-10-29, EPS estimate USD 8.35, revenue estimate $5.19B.
Financials (SEC 10-K; TTM = last four 10-Q/10-K quarters) (EME)
| USD | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $9.90B | $11.1B | $12.6B | $14.6B | $17.0B | $18.6B |
| Gross profit | $1.50B | $1.60B | $2.09B | $2.77B | $3.28B | — |
| Operating income | $531M | $565M | $876M | $1.34B | $1.71B | $1.93B |
| Net income | $384M | $406M | $633M | $1.01B | $1.27B | $1.44B |
| EPS (diluted) | $7.06 | $8.10 | $13.31 | $21.52 | $28.19 | — |
| Free cash flow | $283M | $449M | $821M | $1.33B | $1.19B | $1.17B |
| Gross margin | 15.2% | 14.5% | 16.6% | 19.0% | 19.3% | — |
| Operating margin | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 10.4% |
| Net margin | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% |
| Revenue growth | +12.6% | +11.8% | +13.6% | +15.8% | +16.6% | — |
| Cash + short-term investments | $821M | $456M | $790M | $1.34B | $1.11B | — |
| Total debt | $245M | $232M | $2.8M | — | — | — |
Fiscal years end Dec. EPS is split-adjusted.
Valuation (price ÷ last four quarters, through Jun 30, 2026) (EME)
P/E at fiscal year-ends: Dec 2025 21.7x, Dec 2024 21.1x, Dec 2023 16.2x.
Superinvestors (SEC 13F-HR, Q2 2026) (EME)
1 of 80 tracked investors hold EME. Each row is the investor's latest 13F; change is vs their prior-quarter share count.
| Investor | Firm | % of portfolio | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polen Capital | Polen Capital Management | 0.74% | $85.6M | New position |
Insider sales (SEC Form 4, open-market, last ~7 months) (EME)
0 of 6 under a Rule 10b5-1 trading plan (scheduled in advance). Unplanned sales were timed by the insider.
| Trade date | Insider | Role | Shares | Value | % of holdings sold | 10b5-1 plan | Insider type |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-17 | Lowe Carol P | Director | 950 | $802K | 5.2% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023 or 2025) |
| 2026-05-11 | Reid William P | Director | 2,000 | $1.9M | 16.5% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
| 2026-05-01 | Altmeyer John W | Director | 2,500 | $2.2M | 6.9% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023 or 2024) |
| 2026-04-30 | Lind Robert Peter | VP and Controller | 675 | $604K | 13.8% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023) |
| 2026-04-30 | Nalbandian Jason R | SVP, CFO, Chief Acct. Officer | 800 | $685K | 4.2% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023) |
| 2026-04-30 | Schwarzwaelder Steven | Director | 5,602 | $5.0M | 26.1% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
% of holdings sold = shares sold ÷ (shares sold + all holdings the insider reported on that Form 4, direct and through trusts).
Insider type follows Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski (Journal of Finance, 2012). An insider who traded the stock in the same calendar month in each of the past three years is a routine trader; one who traded in each of those years without such a pattern is an opportunistic trader. In their study, trades by opportunistic insiders predicted future returns and trades by routine insiders did not. Counts open-market purchases and sales only (SEC Form 4 codes P and S) by that insider in that company. Not investment advice.
Insider purchases (SEC Form 4, open-market, last ~7 months) (EME)
1 purchase, $2K. Private placements, offerings, dividend reinvestment and employee stock purchase plan buys are excluded.
| Trade date | Insider | Role | Shares | Value | Avg price | Insider type |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-17…2026-09-01 | McEvoy M Kevin | Director | 3 | $2K | 766.63 | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
Analysts (EME)
Consensus Buy (mean 2.36 on a 1–5 scale), 11 analysts; mean target USD 979.13 (low 690, high 1,200).
Rating changes, last 120 days:
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-20 | Goldman Sachs | Target lowered | Neutral | $885 → $795 |
| 2026-08-10 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Target lowered | Overweight | $1123 → $1047 |
| 2026-07-31 | UBS | Target raised | Buy | $975 → $1065 |
| 2026-07-31 | Oppenheimer | Target raised | Outperform | $1100 → $1200 |
Total return (dividends reinvested) (EME)
| 1Y (from 2025-10-23) | 5Y (from 2021-10-18) | |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | -5.0% | +453.7% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +14.9% | +80.3% |
| Per year | -5.0% | +40.7% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 45.7% | 32.0% |
| Max drawdown | -29.9% (May 2026→Oct 2026) | -35.7% (Jan 2025→Mar 2025) |
EME company outlook (results filed Jul 30, 2026)
- “Range to $20.00 billion - $20.50 billion from $18.50 billion - $19.25 billion Increases 2026 Diluted EPS Guidance Range to $32.00 - $33.25 from $28.25 - $29.75 NORWALK, CONNECTICUT, July 30, 2026 - EMCOR Group, Inc.”
Quoted word-for-word from the SEC 8-K results press release.
EME analyst estimates and revisions
| Period | EPS estimate | 90 days ago | Change | Revenue estimate | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends Sep 2026) | $8.35 | $7.49 | +11.4% | $5.19B | 9 |
| Next quarter (ends Dec 2026) | $8.63 | $7.81 | +10.5% | $5.36B | 8 |
| Current fiscal year (ends Dec 2026) | $33.48 | $29.39 | +13.9% | $20.35B | 11 |
| Next fiscal year (ends Dec 2027) | $37.95 | $32.93 | +15.3% | $22.67B | 11 |
EME options: expected move
Options price a move of about ±12.6% (±$82.75) by Nov 20, 2026, which includes earnings on Oct 29, 2026. Over the last 8 reports the stock moved ±6.6% on average.
| Expiration | Days | ATM implied volatility | Expected move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2026 | 28 | 55.7% | ±12.6% |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 56 | 46.7% | ±14.8% |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 84 | 43.2% | ±16.7% |
| Apr 16, 2027 | 175 | 41.7% | ±23.1% |
| May 21, 2027 | 210 | 42.9% | ±26.0% |
30-day implied volatility 54.2% vs 39.2% realized over the last 30 trading days. Put/call ratio (volume) 0.14. Cboe delayed quotes (15 min). Expected move = at-the-money straddle.
Key Statistics (as of October 23, 2026 at 09:49 UTC)
| Price | USD 660.41 |
|---|---|
| Change | ▼ 5.54% (down) |
| Previous Close | USD 660.41 |
| Open | USD 660.41 |
| Day Range | USD 653.68 – 681 |
| 52-Week Range | USD 564.92 – 951.96 |
| Volume | 644,512 shares |
| Market Cap | — |
| Exchange | NYQ |
Technical Analysis (EME)
Nexqual's technical model rates EME "SELL" based on 3 bullish and 5 bearish signals across 127 daily candles, as of October 23, 2026 at 09:49 UTC.
| Overall Signal | SELL |
|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 28.32 (oversold) |
| vs SMA50 | Below (USD 761.51) |
| MACD | -18.95 (negative) |
Analyst Ratings (EME)
Wall Street analysts rate EME "Buy" based on 11 analysts, with a mean price target of USD 979.13 (range USD 690–1,200), per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:49 UTC.
| Consensus Rating | Buy |
|---|---|
| Analyst Count | 11 |
| Mean Target | USD 979.13 |
| High Target | USD 1,200 |
| Low Target | USD 690 |
| Buy / Hold / Sell | 7 / 4 / 0 |
Earnings (EME)
| Next Earnings Date | 2026-10-29 |
|---|---|
| EPS Estimate | USD 8.35 |
| Revenue Estimate | $5.19B |
Recent Earnings History
| Quarter | Actual vs Estimate |
|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | USD 9.06 vs est 7.23 ▲ beat |
| 2026-03-31 | USD 6.84 vs est 5.9 ▲ beat |
| 2025-12-31 | USD 7.19 vs est 6.68 ▲ beat |
| 2025-09-30 | USD 6.57 vs est 6.53 ▲ beat |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:49 UTC.
Financials & Fundamentals (EME)
| Total Revenue | $18.60B |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (latest quarter, YoY) | +19.80% |
| Gross Margin | +19.43% |
| Operating Margin | +10.62% |
| Profit Margin | +7.74% |
| ROE | +40.35% |
| Debt / Equity | 0.13 |
| Current Ratio | 1.28 |
| Total Cash | $924.41M |
| Total Debt | $548.03M |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:49 UTC.
Ownership (EME)
| Insider Ownership | +0.71% |
|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership | +96.29% |
| Shares Outstanding | 44.11M |
| Float | 43.77M |
| Short % of Float | +1.74% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:49 UTC.
From EMCOR Group, Inc.'s Latest SEC 10-K Filing (filed 2026-02-26)
Key Strengths & Strategy (as disclosed to the SEC)
- Within our government site-based services division, we provide building services at a number of prominent buildings in the United States, including those that house the National Archives and Records Administration, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, the Government Accountability Office, and the Departments of Transportation, Education, Health and Human Services, Energy, and Homeland Security, as well as other government facilities.
- We are one of the largest specialty contractors in the United States and a leading provider of electrical and mechanical construction and facilities services, building services, and industrial services.
Legal & Regulatory Risks (Item 1A, quoted)
- We are subject to many laws and regulations in the jurisdictions in which we operate; changes to such laws and regulations may result in additional costs and impact our operations.
- Our failure to comply with environmental laws could result in significant liabilities.
- Adverse resolution of litigation and other legal and regulatory proceedings may harm our operating results or financial position.
- We may incur liabilities or suffer negative financial impacts relating to occupational, health, and safety matters.
Source: SEC EDGAR 10-K, official filing. Curated by Nexqual.
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Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 23, 2026 at 09:49 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.
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