Ero Copper Corp. (ERO) Stock Price & Analysis
Ero Copper Corp. (ERO) closed at USD 30.13 on Thursday, October 22, 2026, down 5.81% on the day. The US market is currently closed (pre-market); this is not a live price.
The prior close was USD 31.99; the Oct 22, 2026 session ranged USD 29.93–31.09 on volume of 2,277,009 shares. Market capitalization is $3.14B, with a 52-week range of USD 19.1–40.83 (NYQ). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 23, 2026 at 09:21 UTC.
Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/ERO.md
Key facts (ERO)
- 2 of 80 tracked superinvestors hold ERO (13F, Q2 2026): 0 new, 0 added, 2 reduced, 0 unchanged.
- Analysts: Buy (mean 2.44 on a 1–5 scale) (18 analysts), mean target USD 42.4 (range 35–49).
- Total return with dividends: 1Y +46.7% vs S&P 500 +14.9%; 5Y +52.7% vs S&P 500 +80.3%.
- Next earnings: 2026-11-02, EPS estimate USD 1, revenue estimate $475M.
Superinvestors (SEC 13F-HR, Q2 2026) (ERO)
2 of 80 tracked investors hold ERO. Each row is the investor's latest 13F; change is vs their prior-quarter share count.
| Investor | Firm | % of portfolio | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Van Den Berg Management I | 0.19% | $893K | Reduced -0.6% | |
| Polen Capital | Polen Capital Management | 0.01% | $1.7M | Reduced -10.8% |
Analysts (ERO)
Consensus Buy (mean 2.44 on a 1–5 scale), 18 analysts; mean target USD 42.4 (low 35, high 49).
Rating changes, last 120 days:
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | B of A Securities | Upgrade | Neutral → Buy | $30 → $34 |
Total return (dividends reinvested) (ERO)
| 1Y (from 2025-10-23) | 5Y (from 2021-10-18) | |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | +46.7% | +52.7% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +14.9% | +80.3% |
| Per year | +46.9% | +8.8% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 62.7% | 54.8% |
| Max drawdown | -38.0% (Jan 2026→Mar 2026) | -58.5% (May 2024→Mar 2025) |
ERO analyst estimates and revisions
| Period | EPS estimate | 90 days ago | Change | Revenue estimate | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends Sep 2026) | $1.00 | $1.17 | -14.2% | $474.5M | 11 |
| Next quarter (ends Dec 2026) | $1.28 | $1.18 | +8.8% | $472.0M | 6 |
| Current fiscal year (ends Dec 2026) | $4.00 | $3.77 | +6.2% | $1.78B | 13 |
| Next fiscal year (ends Dec 2027) | $4.93 | $4.72 | +4.3% | $1.94B | 13 |
ERO options: expected move
Options price a move of about ±15.1% (±$4.60) by Nov 20, 2026, which includes earnings on Nov 2, 2026.
| Expiration | Days | ATM implied volatility | Expected move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2026 | 28 | 68.0% | ±15.1% |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 56 | 61.2% | ±19.0% |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 84 | 59.7% | ±22.6% |
| Mar 19, 2027 | 147 | 59.3% | ±29.5% |
| Apr 16, 2027 | 175 | 58.5% | ±31.8% |
| Jun 17, 2027 | 237 | 59.1% | ±37.2% |
| Sep 17, 2027 | 329 | 59.7% | ±43.9% |
30-day implied volatility 64.5% vs 52% realized over the last 30 trading days. Put/call ratio (volume) 0.25. Cboe delayed quotes (15 min). Expected move = at-the-money straddle.
Key Statistics (as of October 23, 2026 at 09:21 UTC)
| Price | USD 30.13 |
|---|---|
| Change | ▼ 5.81% (down) |
| Previous Close | USD 31.99 |
| Open | USD 30.56 |
| Day Range | USD 29.93 – 31.09 |
| 52-Week Range | USD 19.1 – 40.83 |
| Volume | 2,277,009 shares |
| Market Cap | $3.14B |
| Exchange | NYQ |
Technical Analysis (ERO)
Nexqual's technical model rates ERO "SELL" based on 2 bullish and 5 bearish signals across 127 daily candles, as of October 23, 2026 at 09:21 UTC.
| Overall Signal | SELL |
|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 32.18 (neutral) |
| vs SMA50 | Below (USD 35.88) |
| MACD | -0.92 (negative) |
Analyst Ratings (ERO)
Wall Street analysts rate ERO "Buy" based on 18 analysts, with a mean price target of USD 42.4 (range USD 35–49), per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:21 UTC.
| Consensus Rating | Buy |
|---|---|
| Analyst Count | 18 |
| Mean Target | USD 42.4 |
| High Target | USD 49 |
| Low Target | USD 35 |
| Buy / Hold / Sell | 7 / 11 / 0 |
Earnings (ERO)
| Next Earnings Date | 2026-11-02 |
|---|---|
| EPS Estimate | USD 1 |
| Revenue Estimate | $474.51M |
Recent Earnings History
| Quarter | Actual vs Estimate |
|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | USD 0.83 vs est 0.71 ▲ beat |
| 2026-03-31 | USD 0.69 vs est 0.52 ▲ beat |
| 2025-12-31 | USD 1.04 vs est 1.05 ▼ miss |
| 2025-09-30 | USD 0.27 vs est 0.32 ▼ miss |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:21 UTC.
Financials & Fundamentals (ERO)
| Total Revenue | $1.04B |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (latest quarter, YoY) | +73.90% |
| Gross Margin | +42.99% |
| Operating Margin | +37.64% |
| Profit Margin | +29.79% |
| ROE | +30.81% |
| Debt / Equity | 0.47 |
| Current Ratio | 1.37 |
| Total Cash | $101.74M |
| Total Debt | $573.36M |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:21 UTC.
Financial Health Score (ERO)
Nexqual rates Ero Copper Corp.'s overall financial health "Strong" across five dimensions, as of October 23, 2026 at 09:21 UTC.
| Growth | Strong — Revenue +61% YoY (annual) |
|---|---|
| Profitability | Strong — Gross margin 43%, operating 38% (last 12 months) |
| Balance Sheet | Solid — $102M cash vs $573M debt |
| Cash Flow | Solid — Operating cash flow $470M (TTM) |
| Efficiency | Strong — ROE 31%, ROA 12.0% |
Ownership (ERO)
| Insider Ownership | +2.30% |
|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership | +76.63% |
| Shares Outstanding | 104.30M |
| Float | 101.97M |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:21 UTC.
Leadership (ERO)
Ero Copper Corp. is led by Makko DeFilippo, President, CEO & Director, per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:21 UTC.
| President, CEO & Director | Makko DeFilippo |
|---|---|
| Co-Founder & Executive Chairman | David Maxwell Strang |
| Executive VP & CFO | Wayne Drier |
| Executive VP & COO | Gelson da Silva Batista |
| Executive Vice President, External Affairs and Strategy | Courtney R. B. Lynn |
Major Backers & Investors (ERO)
Notable institutional backers of Ero Copper Corp. include FIL LTD, Mirae Asset Global ETFs Holdings Ltd., FMR, LLC, according to Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:21 UTC.
Active Investors
| Investor | Stake |
|---|---|
| FIL LTD | 8.93% |
| Mirae Asset Global ETFs Holdings Ltd. | 4.57% |
| FMR, LLC | 4.3% |
| Invesco | 3.92% |
| GLOBAL X FUNDS-Global X Copper Miners ETF | 3.66% |
| Prudential Jennison Small Co Fd., Inc.-PGIM JENNISON SMALL COMPANY Fd. | 2.77% |
| GMT Capital Corp | 2.71% |
| Cape Ann Asset Management Ltd | 1.97% |
Index Funds (Passive)
| Fund | Stake |
|---|---|
| Vanguard Group | 2.84% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:21 UTC.
Peers & Related Stocks
| Symbol | Name | Price | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| TGB | Trekor Metals Limited | USD 7.3 | ▼ 8.29% |
| IE | Ivanhoe Electric Inc. | USD 7.89 | ▼ 7.07% |
| HBM | Hudbay Minerals Inc. | USD 21.89 | ▼ 8.75% |
| TECK | Teck Resources Ltd | USD 58.9 | ▼ 6.18% |
| FCX | Freeport-McMoRan, Inc. | USD 64.59 | ▼ 6.26% |
| SCCO | Southern Copper Corporation | USD 183.59 | ▼ 7.31% |
Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 23, 2026 at 09:21 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.
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