Lithia Motors, Inc. (LAD) Stock Price & Analysis
Lithia Motors, Inc. (LAD) closed at USD 291.07 on Thursday, October 22, 2026, up 8.15% on the day. The US market is currently closed (pre-market); this is not a live price.
The prior close was USD 269.13; the Oct 22, 2026 session ranged USD 264.22–291.53 on volume of 879,914 shares. Market capitalization is $6.40B, with a 52-week range of USD 239.78–439.49 (NYQ). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 23, 2026 at 09:49 UTC.
Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/LAD.md
Key facts (LAD)
- Last four reported quarters (through Jun 30, 2026): revenue $37.9B, net income $714M (1.9% margin), free cash flow -$504M (SEC filings).
- Valuation: P/E 9.0x (avg 10.5x at the last 3 fiscal year-ends).
- 6 of 80 tracked superinvestors hold LAD (13F, Q2 2026): 0 new, 2 added, 2 reduced, 2 unchanged.
- Insider open-market sales, last ~7 months: 6 Form 4 filings, $377K; 4 not under a Rule 10b5-1 plan ($325K); 0 by opportunistic insiders, 2 by routine insiders (three-year test, Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski 2012).
- Analysts: Buy (mean 2.07 on a 1–5 scale) (15 analysts), mean target USD 391.2 (range 305–490).
- Total return with dividends: 1Y -9.7% vs S&P 500 +14.9%; 5Y -10.9% vs S&P 500 +80.3%.
- Next earnings: 2026-10-21, EPS estimate USD 8.39, revenue estimate $9.43B.
Financials (SEC 10-K; TTM = last four 10-Q/10-K quarters) (LAD)
| USD | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $22.8B | $28.2B | $31.0B | $36.2B | $37.6B | $37.9B |
| Gross profit | $4.26B | $5.15B | $5.23B | $5.56B | $5.73B | — |
| Operating income | $1.66B | $1.94B | $1.69B | $1.57B | $1.59B | $1.55B |
| Net income | $1.06B | $1.25B | $1.00B | $797M | $820M | $714M |
| EPS (diluted) | $36.54 | $44.17 | $36.29 | $29.45 | $32.32 | — |
| Free cash flow | $1.54B | -$913M | -$703M | $73.7M | $5.8M | -$504M |
| Gross margin | 18.7% | 18.3% | 16.8% | 15.4% | 15.2% | — |
| Operating margin | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% |
| Net margin | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% |
| Revenue growth | +73.9% | +23.5% | +10.1% | +16.6% | +4.0% | — |
| Cash + short-term investments | $153M | $272M | $972M | $446M | $391M | — |
| Total debt | $2.40B | $5.51B | $7.16B | $8.17B | $9.68B | — |
Fiscal years end Dec. EPS is split-adjusted.
Valuation (price ÷ last four quarters, through Jun 30, 2026) (LAD)
P/E 9.0x · P/S 0.2x · P/B 1.0x · FCF yield -7.88% · Earnings yield 11.16% · Dividend yield (paid, TTM) 0.83% · Buyback yield (TTM) 19.25%
P/E at fiscal year-ends: Dec 2025 10.3x, Dec 2024 12.2x, Dec 2023 9.1x.
Superinvestors (SEC 13F-HR, Q2 2026) (LAD)
6 of 80 tracked investors hold LAD. Each row is the investor's latest 13F; change is vs their prior-quarter share count.
| Investor | Firm | % of portfolio | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Abrams | Abrams Capital Management | 13.20% | $723M | Unchanged |
| Leon Cooperman | Omega Family Office | 2.78% | $98.8M | Unchanged |
| Bill Nygren | Oakmark Funds | 0.74% | $556M | Reduced -2.1% |
| Bill Miller | Miller Value Partners | 0.19% | $788K | Added +2.2% |
| First Eagle Investment | First Eagle Investment Management | 0.03% | $19.2M | Added +51.0% |
| Ruane Cunniff | Ruane Cunniff LP | 0.01% | $852K | Reduced -1.8% |
Insider sales (SEC Form 4, open-market, last ~7 months) (LAD)
2 of 6 under a Rule 10b5-1 trading plan (scheduled in advance). Unplanned sales were timed by the insider.
| Trade date | Insider | Role | Shares | Value | % of holdings sold | 10b5-1 plan | Insider type |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Loretz Congdon Stacy | Director | 75 | $28K | 3.2% | Yes | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023 or 2024) |
| 2026-09-08 | Stork David | Chief Administrative Officer | 320 | $120K | 5.6% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2025) |
| 2026-06-12 | Loretz Congdon Stacy | Director | 75 | $24K | 3.1% | Yes | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023 or 2024) |
| 2026-06-10 | McIntyre Shauna | Director | 165 | $50K | 8.9% | No | Routine (sold in May each year 2023–2025; this trade is outside those months) |
| 2026-05-26 | Bailey Richard J Jr | Director | 297 | $83K | 28.1% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
| 2026-05-11 | McIntyre Shauna | Director | 245 | $72K | 11.7% | No | Routine (sold in May each year 2023–2025) |
% of holdings sold = shares sold ÷ (shares sold + all holdings the insider reported on that Form 4, direct and through trusts).
Insider type follows Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski (Journal of Finance, 2012). An insider who traded the stock in the same calendar month in each of the past three years is a routine trader; one who traded in each of those years without such a pattern is an opportunistic trader. In their study, trades by opportunistic insiders predicted future returns and trades by routine insiders did not. Counts open-market purchases and sales only (SEC Form 4 codes P and S) by that insider in that company. Not investment advice.
Analysts (LAD)
Consensus Buy (mean 2.07 on a 1–5 scale), 15 analysts; mean target USD 391.2 (low 305, high 490).
Rating changes, last 120 days:
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | UBS | Target lowered | Neutral | $335 → $305 |
| 2026-10-22 | JP Morgan | Target lowered | Neutral | $320 → $315 |
| 2026-10-12 | Evercore ISI Group | Target lowered | Outperform | $470 → $440 |
| 2026-10-07 | UBS | Target lowered | Neutral | $440 → $335 |
| 2026-10-06 | JP Morgan | Target lowered | Neutral | $340 → $320 |
| 2026-10-06 | Barclays | Target lowered | Overweight | $415 → $375 |
| 2026-10-05 | Morgan Stanley | Target lowered | Equal-Weight | $358 → $310 |
| 2026-09-22 | Citigroup | Target lowered | Buy | $455 → $409 |
| 2026-08-19 | Barclays | Target raised | Overweight | $360 → $415 |
| 2026-08-04 | JP Morgan | Target raised | Neutral | $325 → $340 |
| 2026-08-04 | Evercore ISI Group | Target raised | Outperform | $400 → $470 |
| 2026-08-03 | Citigroup | Target raised | Buy | $365 → $455 |
Total return (dividends reinvested) (LAD)
| 1Y (from 2025-10-23) | 5Y (from 2021-10-18) | |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | -9.7% | -10.9% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +14.9% | +80.3% |
| Per year | -9.7% | -2.3% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 40.2% | 37.1% |
| Max drawdown | -36.9% (Jul 2026→Oct 2026) | -45.2% (Mar 2022→Oct 2022) |
LAD revenue by product line (quarter ended Jun 30, 2026)
| Line | Revenue | Share of total | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| New vehicle | $4.83B | 49.3% | +2.7% |
| Used vehicles | $3.53B | 36.0% | +1.4% |
| Aftersales | $1.07B | 10.9% | +3.9% |
| Finance and insurance | $366.4M | 3.7% | -2.0% |
| Total revenue | $9.79B | 100% | — |
LAD revenue by region (quarter ended Jun 30, 2026)
| Line | Revenue | Share of total | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| United States | $7.58B | 77.4% | +1.2% |
| United Kingdom | $1.83B | 18.7% | +4.8% |
| Canada | $382.9M | 3.9% | +11.2% |
| Total revenue | $9.79B | 100% | — |
As tagged by the company in its SEC 10-Q / 10-K filings (XBRL).
LAD company outlook (results filed Oct 21, 2026)
- “Corporate Development In the third quarter of 2026, LAD acquired two stores, which are expected to generate $150 million in annualized revenues, and divested two stores representing $115 million in annualized revenues.”
- “These additions add $250 million of expected annualized revenue.”
- “LAD has acquired $1.17 billion in expected annualized revenues year to date.”
- “The dividend is expected to be paid on November 20, 2026 to shareholders of record on November 6, 2026.”
Quoted word-for-word from the SEC 8-K results press release.
LAD analyst estimates and revisions
| Period | EPS estimate | 90 days ago | Change | Revenue estimate | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends Dec 2026) | $8.39 | $8.85 | -5.2% | $9.43B | 12 |
| Next quarter (ends Mar 2027) | $8.79 | $8.67 | +1.3% | $9.48B | 8 |
| Current fiscal year (ends Dec 2026) | $36.01 | $34.53 | +4.3% | $38.42B | 13 |
| Next fiscal year (ends Dec 2027) | $40.33 | $40.75 | -1.0% | $39.53B | 14 |
LAD options: expected move
| Expiration | Days | ATM implied volatility | Expected move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2026 | 28 | 40.9% | ±9.2% |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 56 | 39.4% | ±12.4% |
| Mar 19, 2027 | 147 | 39.6% | ±20.0% |
| May 21, 2027 | 210 | 40.1% | ±24.0% |
| Jun 17, 2027 | 237 | 39.2% | ±25.0% |
30-day implied volatility 39.8% vs 54.4% realized over the last 30 trading days. Put/call ratio (volume) 1.42. Cboe delayed quotes (15 min). Expected move = at-the-money straddle.
Key Statistics (as of October 23, 2026 at 09:49 UTC)
| Price | USD 291.07 |
|---|---|
| Change | ▲ 8.15% (up) |
| Previous Close | USD 269.13 |
| Open | USD 265.44 |
| Day Range | USD 264.22 – 291.53 |
| 52-Week Range | USD 239.78 – 439.49 |
| Volume | 879,914 shares |
| Market Cap | $6.40B |
| Exchange | NYQ |
Technical Analysis (LAD)
Nexqual's technical model rates LAD "STRONG SELL" based on 0 bullish and 5 bearish signals across 127 daily candles, as of October 23, 2026 at 09:49 UTC.
| Overall Signal | STRONG SELL |
|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 39.97 (neutral) |
| vs SMA50 | Below (USD 331.71) |
| MACD | -11.79 (negative) |
Analyst Ratings (LAD)
Wall Street analysts rate LAD "Buy" based on 15 analysts, with a mean price target of USD 391.2 (range USD 305–490), per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:49 UTC.
| Consensus Rating | Buy |
|---|---|
| Analyst Count | 15 |
| Mean Target | USD 391.2 |
| High Target | USD 490 |
| Low Target | USD 305 |
| Buy / Hold / Sell | 11 / 4 / 0 |
Earnings (LAD)
| Next Earnings Date | 2026-10-21 |
|---|---|
| EPS Estimate | USD 8.39 |
| Revenue Estimate | $9.43B |
Recent Earnings History
| Quarter | Actual vs Estimate |
|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | USD 10.34 vs est 9.68 ▲ beat |
| 2026-06-30 | USD 10.03 vs est 8.72 ▲ beat |
| 2026-03-31 | USD 7.34 vs est 6.86 ▲ beat |
| 2025-12-31 | USD 6.74 vs est 8.1 ▼ miss |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:49 UTC.
Financials & Fundamentals (LAD)
| Total Revenue | $38.21B |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (latest quarter, YoY) | +2.80% |
| Gross Margin | +15.44% |
| Operating Margin | +4.23% |
| Profit Margin | +2.06% |
| ROE | +11.83% |
| Debt / Equity | 2.43 |
| Current Ratio | 1 |
| Total Cash | $108.10M |
| Total Debt | $16.14B |
| Free Cash Flow (last four quarters to Jun 2026, SEC 10-Q / 10-K) | -$504.30M (-1.3% of revenue) |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:49 UTC.
Financial Health Score (LAD)
Nexqual rates Lithia Motors, Inc.'s overall financial health "Weak" across five dimensions, as of October 23, 2026 at 09:49 UTC.
| Growth | Mixed — Revenue +3.9% YoY (annual), slow |
|---|---|
| Profitability | Weak — Gross margin 15%, operating 4% (last 12 months) |
| Balance Sheet | Critical — $391M cash and investments vs $9.68B debt (Dec 2025, SEC) |
| Cash Flow | Weak — FCF negative: -$504M (last 4 quarters to Jun 2026, SEC), burning cash |
| Efficiency | Mixed — ROE 12%, ROA 3.8% |
Ownership (LAD)
| Insider Ownership | +1.20% |
|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership | +115.69% |
| Shares Outstanding | 21.98M |
| Float | 19.19M |
| Short % of Float | +13.80% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:49 UTC.
Leadership (LAD)
Lithia Motors, Inc. is led by Jardon Jaramillo, Senior Director of Finance & Investor Relations, per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:49 UTC.
| Senior Director of Finance & Investor Relations | Jardon Jaramillo |
|---|---|
| Chief Marketing Officer | Thomas M. Dobry |
| Operations President | Bryan L. Osterhout |
| Senior Vice President of DCH Operations | Chun-Wai C. Liang |
Major Backers & Investors (LAD)
Notable institutional backers of Lithia Motors, Inc. include Abrams Capital Management, L.P., FMR, LLC, Harris Associates L.P., according to Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:49 UTC.
Active Investors
| Investor | Stake |
|---|---|
| Abrams Capital Management, L.P. | 11.33% |
| FMR, LLC | 9.97% |
| Harris Associates L.P. | 8.71% |
| River Road Asset Management, LLC | 3.11% |
| Lyrical Asset Management LP | 2.27% |
| American Century ETF Trust-Avantis U.S. Small Cap Value ETF | 1.51% |
Index Funds (Passive)
| Fund | Stake |
|---|---|
| BlackRock | 10.91% |
| Vanguard Group | 9.76% |
| Dimensional Fund Advisors | 6.41% |
| State Street | 3.52% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:49 UTC.
From Lithia Motors, Inc.'s Latest SEC 10-K Filing (filed 2026-02-25)
Key Strengths & Strategy (as disclosed to the SEC)
- We seek to increase market share and optimize profitability by focusing on the consumer experience and applying proprietary performance measurement systems fueled by data science.
- We invested $751.0 million, net of floor plan debt, to acquire these stores and we anticipate these acquisitions to add nearly $2.4 billion in annualized revenues.
- With the industry transitioning to more sustainable practices and alternative-fuel vehicles, we are excited that GreenCars, our online education resource for sustainable mobility, had approximately 9.0 million unique visitors in 2025 at GreenCars.com, of which we saw a 50% increase in direct and organic traffic.
- Our Driveway and GreenCars brands and online customer portal complement our in-store experiences in the United States and provide convenient, simple, and transparent platforms that serve as our e-commerce home solutions and allow us to deliver differentiated, proprietary digital experiences.
Partnerships
- Each of our stores operates under a separate franchise agreement with the manufacturer of the new vehicle brand it sells.
Legal & Regulatory Risks (Item 1A, quoted)
- Our dealerships and our new vehicle sales model may not be protected if U.S. or Canadian state or provincial dealer laws are repealed or weakened, a manufacturer becomes bankrupt, or there is a shift to other sales models.
- Our U.K. dealerships are subject to different regulatory frameworks than our U.S. and Canada operations, and changes to these regulatory frameworks could negatively affect our results of operations.
- Changes to laws or regulatory frameworks applicable to automotive consumer financing transactions could negatively affect our results of operations.
- Our operations are subject to extensive governmental laws and regulations. If we are found to be in violation of or subject to liabilities under any of these laws, or if new laws or regulations are enacted that adversely affect our operations, our business, operating results, and prospects could suffer.
Source: SEC EDGAR 10-K, official filing. Curated by Nexqual.
Peers & Related Stocks
| Symbol | Name | Price | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| RUSHB | Rush Enterprises, Inc. | USD 57.89 | ▼ 1.14% |
| KMX | CarMax Inc | USD 52.96 | ▲ 2.85% |
| AN | AutoNation, Inc. | USD 161.84 | ▲ 5.77% |
| OPLN | OPENLANE, Inc. | USD 38.05 | ▲ 1.63% |
| VVV | Valvoline Inc. | USD 32.44 | ▲ 4.24% |
| ABG | Asbury Automotive Group Inc | USD 173.43 | ▲ 5.72% |
Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 23, 2026 at 09:49 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.
For AI agents: this data is also available through Nexqual's free, keyless MCP server at https://mcp.nexqual.com/mcp; every result includes source_url, as_of and cite_as. More: nexqual.com/agents · llms.txt