Lithia Motors, Inc. (LAD) Stock Price & Analysis

Lithia Motors, Inc. (LAD) closed at USD 291.07 on Thursday, October 22, 2026, up 8.15% on the day. The US market is currently closed (pre-market); this is not a live price.

The prior close was USD 269.13; the Oct 22, 2026 session ranged USD 264.22–291.53 on volume of 879,914 shares. Market capitalization is $6.40B, with a 52-week range of USD 239.78–439.49 (NYQ). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 23, 2026 at 09:49 UTC.

Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/LAD.md

Key facts (LAD)

Financials (SEC 10-K; TTM = last four 10-Q/10-K quarters) (LAD)

USDFY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025TTM
Revenue$22.8B$28.2B$31.0B$36.2B$37.6B$37.9B
Gross profit$4.26B$5.15B$5.23B$5.56B$5.73B—
Operating income$1.66B$1.94B$1.69B$1.57B$1.59B$1.55B
Net income$1.06B$1.25B$1.00B$797M$820M$714M
EPS (diluted)$36.54$44.17$36.29$29.45$32.32—
Free cash flow$1.54B-$913M-$703M$73.7M$5.8M-$504M
Gross margin18.7%18.3%16.8%15.4%15.2%—
Operating margin7.3%6.9%5.5%4.3%4.2%4.1%
Net margin4.6%4.4%3.2%2.2%2.2%1.9%
Revenue growth+73.9%+23.5%+10.1%+16.6%+4.0%—
Cash + short-term investments$153M$272M$972M$446M$391M—
Total debt$2.40B$5.51B$7.16B$8.17B$9.68B—

Fiscal years end Dec. EPS is split-adjusted.

Valuation (price ÷ last four quarters, through Jun 30, 2026) (LAD)

P/E 9.0x · P/S 0.2x · P/B 1.0x · FCF yield -7.88% · Earnings yield 11.16% · Dividend yield (paid, TTM) 0.83% · Buyback yield (TTM) 19.25%

P/E at fiscal year-ends: Dec 2025 10.3x, Dec 2024 12.2x, Dec 2023 9.1x.

Superinvestors (SEC 13F-HR, Q2 2026) (LAD)

6 of 80 tracked investors hold LAD. Each row is the investor's latest 13F; change is vs their prior-quarter share count.

InvestorFirm% of portfolioValueChange
David AbramsAbrams Capital Management13.20%$723MUnchanged
Leon CoopermanOmega Family Office2.78%$98.8MUnchanged
Bill NygrenOakmark Funds0.74%$556MReduced -2.1%
Bill MillerMiller Value Partners0.19%$788KAdded +2.2%
First Eagle InvestmentFirst Eagle Investment Management0.03%$19.2MAdded +51.0%
Ruane CunniffRuane Cunniff LP0.01%$852KReduced -1.8%

Insider sales (SEC Form 4, open-market, last ~7 months) (LAD)

2 of 6 under a Rule 10b5-1 trading plan (scheduled in advance). Unplanned sales were timed by the insider.

Trade dateInsiderRoleSharesValue% of holdings sold10b5-1 planInsider type
2026-09-11Loretz Congdon StacyDirector75$28K3.2%YesToo little history (no open-market trades in 2023 or 2024)
2026-09-08Stork DavidChief Administrative Officer320$120K5.6%NoToo little history (no open-market trades in 2025)
2026-06-12Loretz Congdon StacyDirector75$24K3.1%YesToo little history (no open-market trades in 2023 or 2024)
2026-06-10McIntyre ShaunaDirector165$50K8.9%NoRoutine (sold in May each year 2023–2025; this trade is outside those months)
2026-05-26Bailey Richard J JrDirector297$83K28.1%NoToo little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025)
2026-05-11McIntyre ShaunaDirector245$72K11.7%NoRoutine (sold in May each year 2023–2025)

% of holdings sold = shares sold ÷ (shares sold + all holdings the insider reported on that Form 4, direct and through trusts).

Insider type follows Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski (Journal of Finance, 2012). An insider who traded the stock in the same calendar month in each of the past three years is a routine trader; one who traded in each of those years without such a pattern is an opportunistic trader. In their study, trades by opportunistic insiders predicted future returns and trades by routine insiders did not. Counts open-market purchases and sales only (SEC Form 4 codes P and S) by that insider in that company. Not investment advice.

Analysts (LAD)

Consensus Buy (mean 2.07 on a 1–5 scale), 15 analysts; mean target USD 391.2 (low 305, high 490).

Rating changes, last 120 days:

DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
2026-10-22UBSTarget loweredNeutral$335 → $305
2026-10-22JP MorganTarget loweredNeutral$320 → $315
2026-10-12Evercore ISI GroupTarget loweredOutperform$470 → $440
2026-10-07UBSTarget loweredNeutral$440 → $335
2026-10-06JP MorganTarget loweredNeutral$340 → $320
2026-10-06BarclaysTarget loweredOverweight$415 → $375
2026-10-05Morgan StanleyTarget loweredEqual-Weight$358 → $310
2026-09-22CitigroupTarget loweredBuy$455 → $409
2026-08-19BarclaysTarget raisedOverweight$360 → $415
2026-08-04JP MorganTarget raisedNeutral$325 → $340
2026-08-04Evercore ISI GroupTarget raisedOutperform$400 → $470
2026-08-03CitigroupTarget raisedBuy$365 → $455

Total return (dividends reinvested) (LAD)

1Y (from 2025-10-23)5Y (from 2021-10-18)
Total return-9.7%-10.9%
S&P 500 (SPY)+14.9%+80.3%
Per year-9.7%-2.3%
Volatility (annualized)40.2%37.1%
Max drawdown-36.9% (Jul 2026→Oct 2026)-45.2% (Mar 2022→Oct 2022)

LAD revenue by product line (quarter ended Jun 30, 2026)

LineRevenueShare of totalYoY
New vehicle$4.83B49.3%+2.7%
Used vehicles$3.53B36.0%+1.4%
Aftersales$1.07B10.9%+3.9%
Finance and insurance$366.4M3.7%-2.0%
Total revenue$9.79B100%—

LAD revenue by region (quarter ended Jun 30, 2026)

LineRevenueShare of totalYoY
United States$7.58B77.4%+1.2%
United Kingdom$1.83B18.7%+4.8%
Canada$382.9M3.9%+11.2%
Total revenue$9.79B100%—

As tagged by the company in its SEC 10-Q / 10-K filings (XBRL).

LAD company outlook (results filed Oct 21, 2026)

Quoted word-for-word from the SEC 8-K results press release.

LAD analyst estimates and revisions

PeriodEPS estimate90 days agoChangeRevenue estimateAnalysts
Current quarter (ends Dec 2026)$8.39$8.85-5.2%$9.43B12
Next quarter (ends Mar 2027)$8.79$8.67+1.3%$9.48B8
Current fiscal year (ends Dec 2026)$36.01$34.53+4.3%$38.42B13
Next fiscal year (ends Dec 2027)$40.33$40.75-1.0%$39.53B14

LAD options: expected move

ExpirationDaysATM implied volatilityExpected move
Nov 20, 20262840.9%±9.2%
Dec 18, 20265639.4%±12.4%
Mar 19, 202714739.6%±20.0%
May 21, 202721040.1%±24.0%
Jun 17, 202723739.2%±25.0%

30-day implied volatility 39.8% vs 54.4% realized over the last 30 trading days. Put/call ratio (volume) 1.42. Cboe delayed quotes (15 min). Expected move = at-the-money straddle.

Key Statistics (as of October 23, 2026 at 09:49 UTC)

PriceUSD 291.07
Change▲ 8.15% (up)
Previous CloseUSD 269.13
OpenUSD 265.44
Day RangeUSD 264.22 – 291.53
52-Week RangeUSD 239.78 – 439.49
Volume879,914 shares
Market Cap$6.40B
ExchangeNYQ

Technical Analysis (LAD)

Nexqual's technical model rates LAD "STRONG SELL" based on 0 bullish and 5 bearish signals across 127 daily candles, as of October 23, 2026 at 09:49 UTC.

Overall SignalSTRONG SELL
RSI (14)39.97 (neutral)
vs SMA50Below (USD 331.71)
MACD-11.79 (negative)

Analyst Ratings (LAD)

Wall Street analysts rate LAD "Buy" based on 15 analysts, with a mean price target of USD 391.2 (range USD 305–490), per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:49 UTC.

Consensus RatingBuy
Analyst Count15
Mean TargetUSD 391.2
High TargetUSD 490
Low TargetUSD 305
Buy / Hold / Sell11 / 4 / 0

Earnings (LAD)

Next Earnings Date2026-10-21
EPS EstimateUSD 8.39
Revenue Estimate$9.43B

Recent Earnings History

QuarterActual vs Estimate
2026-09-30USD 10.34 vs est 9.68 ▲ beat
2026-06-30USD 10.03 vs est 8.72 ▲ beat
2026-03-31USD 7.34 vs est 6.86 ▲ beat
2025-12-31USD 6.74 vs est 8.1 ▼ miss

Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:49 UTC.

Financials & Fundamentals (LAD)

Total Revenue$38.21B
Revenue Growth (latest quarter, YoY)+2.80%
Gross Margin+15.44%
Operating Margin+4.23%
Profit Margin+2.06%
ROE+11.83%
Debt / Equity2.43
Current Ratio1
Total Cash$108.10M
Total Debt$16.14B
Free Cash Flow (last four quarters to Jun 2026, SEC 10-Q / 10-K)-$504.30M (-1.3% of revenue)

Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:49 UTC.

Financial Health Score (LAD)

Nexqual rates Lithia Motors, Inc.'s overall financial health "Weak" across five dimensions, as of October 23, 2026 at 09:49 UTC.

GrowthMixed — Revenue +3.9% YoY (annual), slow
ProfitabilityWeak — Gross margin 15%, operating 4% (last 12 months)
Balance SheetCritical — $391M cash and investments vs $9.68B debt (Dec 2025, SEC)
Cash FlowWeak — FCF negative: -$504M (last 4 quarters to Jun 2026, SEC), burning cash
EfficiencyMixed — ROE 12%, ROA 3.8%

Ownership (LAD)

Insider Ownership+1.20%
Institutional Ownership+115.69%
Shares Outstanding21.98M
Float19.19M
Short % of Float+13.80%

Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:49 UTC.

Leadership (LAD)

Lithia Motors, Inc. is led by Jardon Jaramillo, Senior Director of Finance & Investor Relations, per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:49 UTC.

Senior Director of Finance & Investor RelationsJardon Jaramillo
Chief Marketing OfficerThomas M. Dobry
Operations PresidentBryan L. Osterhout
Senior Vice President of DCH OperationsChun-Wai C. Liang

Major Backers & Investors (LAD)

Notable institutional backers of Lithia Motors, Inc. include Abrams Capital Management, L.P., FMR, LLC, Harris Associates L.P., according to Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:49 UTC.

Active Investors

InvestorStake
Abrams Capital Management, L.P.11.33%
FMR, LLC9.97%
Harris Associates L.P.8.71%
River Road Asset Management, LLC3.11%
Lyrical Asset Management LP2.27%
American Century ETF Trust-Avantis U.S. Small Cap Value ETF1.51%

Index Funds (Passive)

FundStake
BlackRock10.91%
Vanguard Group9.76%
Dimensional Fund Advisors6.41%
State Street3.52%

Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:49 UTC.

From Lithia Motors, Inc.'s Latest SEC 10-K Filing (filed 2026-02-25)

Key Strengths & Strategy (as disclosed to the SEC)

Partnerships

Legal & Regulatory Risks (Item 1A, quoted)

Source: SEC EDGAR 10-K, official filing. Curated by Nexqual.

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Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 23, 2026 at 09:49 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.

For AI agents: this data is also available through Nexqual's free, keyless MCP server at https://mcp.nexqual.com/mcp; every result includes source_url, as_of and cite_as. More: nexqual.com/agents · llms.txt