Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. (LLYVA) Stock Price & Analysis
Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. (LLYVA) closed at USD 97.24 on Thursday, October 22, 2026, up 0.74% on the day. The US market is currently closed (pre-market); this is not a live price.
The prior close was USD 97.24; the Oct 22, 2026 session ranged USD 95.82–98.18 on volume of 207,872 shares. Market capitalization is —, with a 52-week range of USD 74.38–106.06 (NMS). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 23, 2026 at 11:23 UTC.
Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/LLYVA.md
Key facts (LLYVA)
- Last four reported quarters (through Jun 30, 2026): revenue $407M, net income -$440M (-108.1% margin) (SEC filings).
- Insider open-market sales, last ~7 months: 1 Form 4 filings, $2.9M; 1 not under a Rule 10b5-1 plan ($2.9M); 0 by opportunistic insiders, 0 by routine insiders (three-year test, Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski 2012).
- Total return with dividends: 1Y +8.7% vs S&P 500 +14.9%; 5Y +172.2% vs S&P 500 +80.3%.
- Next earnings: 2026-11-05, EPS estimate USD —, revenue estimate $75.3M.
Financials (SEC 10-K; TTM = last four 10-Q/10-K quarters) (LLYVA)
| USD | FY2024 | FY2025 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $340M | $382M | $407M |
| Gross profit | $54.4M | $73.5M | — |
| Operating income | -$116M | -$51.7M | -$49.4M |
| Net income | -$113M | -$87.0M | -$440M |
| Gross margin | 16.0% | 19.2% | — |
| Operating margin | -34.1% | -13.5% | -12.1% |
| Net margin | -33.1% | -22.8% | -108.1% |
| Revenue growth | — | +12.2% | — |
| Cash + short-term investments | $403M | $545M | — |
| Total debt | $1.56B | $3.33B | — |
Fiscal years end Dec. EPS is split-adjusted.
Valuation (price ÷ last four quarters, through Jun 30, 2026) (LLYVA)
Insider sales (SEC Form 4, open-market, last ~7 months) (LLYVA)
0 of 1 under a Rule 10b5-1 trading plan (scheduled in advance). Unplanned sales were timed by the insider.
| Trade date | Insider | Role | Shares | Value | % of holdings sold | 10b5-1 plan | Insider type |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-24 | Malone John C | 29,593 | $2.9M | 0.8% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
% of holdings sold = shares sold ÷ (shares sold + all holdings the insider reported on that Form 4, direct and through trusts).
Insider type follows Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski (Journal of Finance, 2012). An insider who traded the stock in the same calendar month in each of the past three years is a routine trader; one who traded in each of those years without such a pattern is an opportunistic trader. In their study, trades by opportunistic insiders predicted future returns and trades by routine insiders did not. Counts open-market purchases and sales only (SEC Form 4 codes P and S) by that insider in that company. Not investment advice.
Total return (dividends reinvested) (LLYVA)
| 1Y (from 2025-10-23) | 5Y (from 2023-07-31) | |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | +8.7% | +172.2% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +14.9% | +80.3% |
| Per year | +8.7% | +36.3% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 31.7% | 29.5% |
| Max drawdown | -17.3% (Oct 2025→Nov 2025) | -21.0% (Sep 2025→Nov 2025) |
LLYVA revenue by region (fiscal year ended Dec 31, 2025)
| Line | Revenue | Share of total | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| United States | $336.0M | 88.0% | +10.5% |
| Non Us | $46.0M | 12.0% | +26.5% |
| Total revenue | $382.0M | 100% | — |
As tagged by the company in its SEC 10-Q / 10-K filings (XBRL).
LLYVA suppliers, customers and competitors (named in its 10-K)
| Relationship | Company | Sentence in the filing |
|---|---|---|
| Partner | Liberty Media Corp (FWONA) | “As described above, Liberty Live is party to a services agreement with Liberty Media, pursuant to which 74 Liberty Media corporate employees provide certain management services to Liberty Live for a determined fee.” |
Quoted from the company's 10-K filed Feb 26, 2026.
Companies that name LLYVA in their SEC reports
| Relationship to LLYVA | Company | Filing | Sentence |
|---|---|---|---|
| partner | Liberty Media Corp (FWONA) | 10-K Feb 26, 2026 | “Under our tax sharing agreement with Liberty Live Holdings, Liberty Live Holdings is generally responsible for, and is required to indemnify us for, taxes and certain losses resulting from the Liberty Sirius XM Holdings Split-Off which are not allocated to and paid by Liberty Sirius XM Holdings pursuant to our tax sharing agreement with Liberty Sirius XM Holdings, subject to certain exceptions.” |
LLYVA customer concentration
In the period ended Dec 31, 2025, a single direct customer accounted for 83% of revenue, per the company's 10-K filed Feb 26, 2026. The company does not name it.
LLYVA analyst estimates and revisions
| Period | EPS estimate | 90 days ago | Change | Revenue estimate | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends Sep 2026) | — | — | — | $75.3M | — |
| Next quarter (ends Dec 2026) | — | — | — | $141.0M | — |
| Current fiscal year (ends Dec 2026) | — | — | — | $427.0M | — |
| Next fiscal year (ends Dec 2027) | — | — | — | $457.6M | — |
LLYVA options: expected move
Options price a move of about ±7.4% (±$7.15) by Nov 20, 2026, which includes earnings on Nov 5, 2026.
| Expiration | Days | ATM implied volatility | Expected move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2026 | 28 | 31.8% | ±7.4% |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 56 | 28.1% | ±9.0% |
| Feb 19, 2027 | 119 | 28.5% | ±13.1% |
| May 21, 2027 | 210 | 29.1% | ±17.6% |
30-day implied volatility 28.1% vs 20.4% realized over the last 30 trading days. Put/call ratio (volume) —. Cboe delayed quotes (15 min). Expected move = at-the-money straddle.
Key Statistics (as of October 23, 2026 at 11:23 UTC)
| Price | USD 97.24 |
|---|---|
| Change | ▲ 0.74% (up) |
| Previous Close | USD 97.24 |
| Open | USD 97.24 |
| Day Range | USD 95.82 – 98.18 |
| 52-Week Range | USD 74.38 – 106.06 |
| Volume | 207,872 shares |
| Market Cap | — |
| Exchange | NMS |
Technical Analysis (LLYVA)
Nexqual's technical model rates LLYVA "BUY" based on 4 bullish and 1 bearish signals across 127 daily candles, as of October 23, 2026 at 11:23 UTC.
| Overall Signal | BUY |
|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 56.03 (neutral) |
| vs SMA50 | Above (USD 97.17) |
| MACD | -0.05 (negative) |
Earnings (LLYVA)
| Next Earnings Date | 2026-11-05 |
|---|---|
| Revenue Estimate | $75.30M |
Recent Earnings History
| Quarter | Actual vs Estimate |
|---|---|
| 2026-03-31 | USD -3.2 vs est 0.01 ▼ miss |
| 2025-12-31 | USD 1.94 vs est -1.24 ▲ beat |
| 2025-09-30 | USD -0.85 vs est 1.17 ▼ miss |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 11:23 UTC.
Financials & Fundamentals (LLYVA)
| Total Revenue | $406.97M |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (latest quarter, YoY) | +6.10% |
| Gross Margin | +20.16% |
| Operating Margin | -0.64% |
| Profit Margin | -108.11% |
| Current Ratio | 0.25 |
| Total Cash | $523.35M |
| Total Debt | $2.13B |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 11:23 UTC.
Ownership (LLYVA)
| Insider Ownership | +23.66% |
|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership | +82.70% |
| Shares Outstanding | 25.57M |
| Float | 58.45M |
| Short % of Float | +8.42% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 11:23 UTC.
From Liberty Live Holdings, Inc.'s Latest SEC 10-K Filing (filed 2026-02-26)
Key Strengths & Strategy (as disclosed to the SEC)
- The following are our more significant subsidiaries and minority investments: Live Nation believes it is the largest live entertainment company in the world, connecting over 805 million fans across all of its concerts and ticketing platforms in 55 countries during 2025.
Partnerships
- Agreements with promoter clients in other international markets generally grant Live Nation the right to an allocation of tickets for events presented by a given promoter at any venue, unless that venue is already covered by an existing exclusive agreement with Live Nation's ticketing business or another ticketing service provider.
Source: SEC EDGAR 10-K, official filing. Curated by Nexqual.
Peers & Related Stocks
| Symbol | Name | Price | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| SIRI | SiriusXM Holdings Inc. | USD 27.54 | ▲ 2.15% |
| MSGS | Madison Square Garden Sports Co | USD 389.48 | ▼ 5.55% |
| WMG | Warner Music Group Corp. | USD 31.69 | ▲ 0.8% |
| CNK | Cinemark Holdings Inc Cinemark | USD 39.61 | ▼ 0.78% |
| VSNT | Versant Media Group, Inc. | USD 32.29 | ▲ 3% |
| NWS | News Corporation | USD 33.95 | ▲ 2.01% |
Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 23, 2026 at 11:23 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.
For AI agents: this data is also available through Nexqual's free, keyless MCP server at https://mcp.nexqual.com/mcp; every result includes source_url, as_of and cite_as. More: nexqual.com/agents · llms.txt