MediaAlpha, Inc. (MAX) Stock Price & Analysis
MediaAlpha, Inc. (MAX) closed at USD 11.72 on Wednesday, October 28, 2026, down 0.42% on the day. The US market is currently closed; this is not a live price.
The prior close was USD 11.77; the Oct 28, 2026 session ranged USD 11.49–12.13 on volume of 917,717 shares. Market capitalization is $620.88M, with a 52-week range of USD 7.09–14.7 (NYQ). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 29, 2026 at 07:19 UTC.
Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/MAX.md
Key facts (MAX)
- Last four reported quarters (through Sep 30, 2026): revenue $1.29B, net income $108M (8.4% margin), free cash flow $54.2M (SEC filings).
- Valuation: P/E 5.7x (avg 34.9x at the last 2 fiscal year-ends), EV/EBITDA 8.3x, net debt $156M.
- Earnings quality: non-operating income -$84.8M vs operating income $93.5M over the last four quarters; P/E excluding non-operating income ≈3.2x (estimate: non-operating income taxed at the company's 0% effective rate).
- Analysts: Buy (mean 2.13 on a 1–5 scale) (8 analysts), mean target USD 14.5 (range 10.5–19).
- Total return with dividends: 1Y +5.4% vs S&P 500 +13.6%; 5Y -33.1% vs S&P 500 +79.8%.
- Next earnings: 2026-10-28, EPS estimate USD 0.39, revenue estimate $350M.
Financials (SEC 10-K; TTM = last four 10-Q/10-K quarters) (MAX)
| USD | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $645M | $459M | $388M | $865M | $1.11B | $1.29B |
| Gross profit | $102M | $70.1M | $66.7M | $144M | $168M | — |
| Operating income | $2.1M | -$35.4M | -$39.9M | $42.7M | $22.1M | $93.5M |
| Net income | -$5.3M | -$57.7M | -$40.4M | $16.6M | $25.6M | $108M |
| EPS (diluted) | -$0.19 | -$1.37 | -$0.89 | $0.31 | $0.39 | — |
| Free cash flow | $28.0M | $28.2M | $20.2M | $45.6M | $65.3M | $54.2M |
| Gross margin | 15.7% | 15.3% | 17.2% | 16.6% | 15.0% | — |
| Operating margin | 0.3% | -7.7% | -10.3% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 7.2% |
| Net margin | -0.8% | -12.6% | -10.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 8.4% |
| Revenue growth | +10.3% | -28.9% | -15.4% | +122.8% | +28.8% | — |
| Cash + short-term investments | $50.6M | $14.5M | $17.3M | $43.3M | $46.9M | — |
| Total debt | $187M | $183M | $174M | $162M | $153M | — |
Fiscal years end Dec. EPS is split-adjusted.
Valuation (price ÷ last four quarters, through Sep 30, 2026) (MAX)
P/E 5.7x · P/E ex non-operating (est.) ≈3.2x · P/S 0.5x · EV/EBITDA 8.3x · EV/Sales 0.6x · P/FCF 11.5x · P/B 12.1x · FCF yield 8.73% · Earnings yield 17.41% · Net debt $156M · EV $777M
P/E at fiscal year-ends: Dec 2025 33.8x, Dec 2024 36.0x.
Analysts (MAX)
Consensus Buy (mean 2.13 on a 1–5 scale), 8 analysts; mean target USD 14.5 (low 10.5, high 19).
Rating changes, last 120 days:
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-14 | Goldman Sachs | Target lowered | Neutral | $14 → $10.5 |
| 2026-08-05 | RBC Capital | Target raised | Outperform | $11 → $15 |
| 2026-07-30 | Goldman Sachs | Target raised | Neutral | $10 → $14 |
| 2026-07-30 | Canaccord Genuity | Target raised | Buy | $15 → $17 |
| 2026-07-08 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Target raised | Outperform | $15 → $17 |
Total return (dividends reinvested) (MAX)
| 1Y (from 2025-10-29) | 5Y (from 2021-10-25) | |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | +5.4% | -33.1% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +13.6% | +79.8% |
| Per year | +5.4% | -7.7% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 54.2% | 61.8% |
| Max drawdown | -47.7% (Dec 2025→Feb 2026) | -67.7% (Apr 2024→Feb 2026) |
MAX earnings history and stock reaction
| Results filed | Quarter | EPS | Consensus | Surprise | Stock reaction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Quarter ended Jun 30, 2026 | $0.28 | $0.30 | Miss −6.7% | -1.8% |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Quarter ended Mar 31, 2026 | $0.30 | $0.34 | Miss −11.8% | -15.0% |
| Feb 23, 2026 | Quarter ended Dec 31, 2025 | $2.33 | $0.40 | Beat +482.5% | +14.4% |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Quarter ended Sep 30, 2025 | $0.40 | $0.37 | Beat +8.1% | +8.4% |
| Aug 6, 2025 | — | — | — | — | +12.3% |
| Apr 30, 2025 | — | — | — | — | +9.6% |
| Feb 24, 2025 | — | — | — | — | -18.5% |
| Oct 30, 2024 | — | — | — | — | -12.6% |
EPS as reported against the analyst consensus before the release; surprise uses the cent-rounded figures shown (in dollars when EPS and consensus have opposite signs). Stock reaction = close before the results to close after (the first close following a release after the bell or before the open).
MAX recent SEC filings (last 120 days)
| Filed | Form | What it says |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2026 | 10-Q | Quarterly report · period ended Sep 30, 2026 |
| Oct 28, 2026 | 8-K | Quarterly results |
| Sep 9, 2026 | 8-K | Entered a material agreement “MediaAlpha, Inc. (the "Company") previously disclosed that it is a party to a Tax Receivables Agreement dated October 27, 2020 (as amended, the "TRA"), pursuant to which, among other things, the Company will pay the counterparties to the TRA 85% of the cash savings, if any, in U.S. federal, state and local income tax that the Company realizes (or in some cases is deemed to realize) as a result of increases in the tax basis of the assets of QL Holdings LLC ("QLH") due to exchanges of Class B-1 units of QLH and…” |
| Sep 3, 2026 | 8-K | Director or executive officer change, or pay arrangement; Regulation FD disclosure “(c) Appointment of Chief Financial Officer On September 2, 2026, the Board of Directors (the "Board") of MediaAlpha, Inc. (the "Company") approved the appointment of Tigran Sinanyan as Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer, principal financial officer and principal accounting officer effective October 1, 2026. The Company and Mr. Sinanyan entered into an Employment Agreement, the terms of which are described below. Tigran Sinanyan, age 44, has served as Senior Vice President, Finance and Corporate Development of…” |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Schedule 13D/A | Eugene Nonko, O.N.E. Holdings, LLC: 9.8% of shares, 5%+ holder that may seek to influence the company (amended) |
| Jul 29, 2026 | 10-Q | Quarterly report · period ended Jun 30, 2026 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | 8-K | Quarterly results |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Schedule 13G | Divisadero Street Capital Management, LP, William Zolezzi: 5.8% of shares, passive 5%+ holder |
Source: SEC EDGAR. Quotes are the opening words of each item as filed; each form links to the filing. Insider Form 4 filings are listed in the insider sections.
MAX suppliers, customers and competitors (named in its 10-K)
| Relationship | Company | Sentence in the filing |
|---|---|---|
| Supplier | Amazon (AMZN) | “We rely on Amazon Web Services to deliver our platform to our partners, and any disruption of, or interference with, our use of Amazon Web Services could adversely affect our business, financial condition, operating results, cash flows, and prospects.” |
| Partner | QL Holdings | “In connection with the IPO, we entered into the tax receivables agreement with Insignia, the Senior Executives, and White Mountains related to the tax basis step-up of the assets of QLH and certain net operating losses of Intermediate Holdco.” |
| Partner | Intermediate Holdco | “In connection with the IPO, we entered into the tax receivables agreement with Insignia, the Senior Executives, and White Mountains related to the tax basis step-up of the assets of QLH and certain net operating losses of Intermediate Holdco.” |
Quoted from the company's 10-K filed Feb 23, 2026.
Companies that name MAX in their SEC reports
| Relationship to MAX | Company | Filing | Sentence |
|---|---|---|---|
| partner | WHITE MOUNTAINS INSURANCE GROUP LTD (WTM) | 10-K Feb 27, 2026 | “White Mountains's Other Operations consists of the Company and its wholly-owned subsidiary, WM Capital, its other intermediate holding companies, its wholly-owned investment management subsidiary, WM Advisors, investment assets managed by WM Advisors, its interests in the Bamboo SPV, MediaAlpha, PassportCard/DavidShield, BroadStreet, Elementum, WTM Partners, Enterprise Solutions, the Bamboo CRVs, Other Operating B…” |
MAX company outlook (results filed Oct 28, 2026)
- “Our guidance for the fourth quarter of 2026 reflects continued strength in our Property & Casualty (P&C) insurance vertical, driven by strong carrier growth investment and continued share gains.”
- “We expect our Health insurance vertical to account for approximately 4% of revenue in the fourth quarter, reflecting the seasonal peak due to the annual enrollment periods during the quarter.”
- “For the full year, we continue to expect to generate between $90 million - $100 million in free cash flow 1 .”
- “Conference Call Information MediaAlpha will host a Q&A conference call today to discuss the Company's third quarter 2026 results and its financial outlook for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026 at 2:00 p.m.”
Quoted word-for-word from the SEC 8-K results press release.
MAX analyst estimates and revisions
| Period | EPS estimate | 90 days ago | Change | Revenue estimate | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends Sep 2026) | $0.39 | $0.34 | +15.3% | $350.1M | 3 |
| Next quarter (ends Dec 2026) | $0.41 | $0.38 | +10.5% | $329.5M | 3 |
| Current fiscal year (ends Dec 2026) | $1.51 | $1.29 | +16.9% | $1.31B | 3 |
| Next fiscal year (ends Dec 2027) | $1.68 | $1.55 | +8.3% | $1.43B | 3 |
MAX options: expected move
| Expiration | Days | ATM implied volatility | Expected move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2026 | 23 | 68.8% | ±13.5% |
| Feb 19, 2027 | 114 | 50.5% | ±20.2% |
| May 21, 2027 | 205 | 68.8% | ±35.3% |
30-day implied volatility 64% vs 64.5% realized over the last 30 trading days. Put/call ratio (volume) 0. Cboe delayed quotes (15 min). Expected move = at-the-money straddle.
Key Statistics (as of October 29, 2026 at 07:19 UTC)
| Price | USD 11.72 |
|---|---|
| Change | ▼ 0.42% (down) |
| Previous Close | USD 11.77 |
| Open | USD 12.07 |
| Day Range | USD 11.49 – 12.13 |
| 52-Week Range | USD 7.09 – 14.7 |
| Volume | 917,717 shares |
| Market Cap | $620.88M |
| Exchange | NYQ |
Technical Analysis (MAX)
Nexqual's technical model rates MAX "STRONG BUY" based on 5 bullish and 0 bearish signals across 127 daily candles, as of October 29, 2026 at 07:19 UTC.
| Overall Signal | STRONG BUY |
|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 54.98 (neutral) |
| vs SMA50 | Above (USD 11.23) |
| MACD | 0.32 (positive) |
Analyst Ratings (MAX)
Wall Street analysts rate MAX "Buy" based on 8 analysts, with a mean price target of USD 14.5 (range USD 10.5–19), per Nexqual as of October 29, 2026 at 07:19 UTC.
| Consensus Rating | Buy |
|---|---|
| Analyst Count | 8 |
| Mean Target | USD 14.5 |
| High Target | USD 19 |
| Low Target | USD 10.5 |
| Buy / Hold / Sell | 5 / 3 / 0 |
Earnings (MAX)
| Next Earnings Date | 2026-10-28 |
|---|---|
| EPS Estimate | USD 0.39 |
| Revenue Estimate | $350.09M |
Recent Earnings History
| Quarter | Actual vs Estimate |
|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | USD 0.28 vs est 0.3 ▼ miss |
| 2026-03-31 | USD 0.3 vs est 0.34 ▼ miss |
| 2025-12-31 | USD 2.33 vs est 0.4 ▲ beat |
| 2025-09-30 | USD 0.4 vs est 0.37 ▲ beat |
Source: Nexqual, October 29, 2026 at 07:19 UTC.
Financials & Fundamentals (MAX)
| Total Revenue | $1.22B |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (latest quarter, YoY) | +25.90% |
| Gross Margin | +14.71% |
| Operating Margin | +6.35% |
| Profit Margin | +7.94% |
| Current Ratio | 1.29 |
| Total Cash | $23.75M |
| Total Debt | $176.71M |
| Free Cash Flow (last four quarters to Jun 2026, SEC 10-Q / 10-K) | $56.28M (4.6% of revenue) |
Source: Nexqual, October 29, 2026 at 07:19 UTC.
Financial Health Score (MAX)
Nexqual rates MediaAlpha, Inc.'s overall financial health "Mixed" across five dimensions, as of October 29, 2026 at 07:19 UTC.
| Growth | Strong — Revenue +29% YoY (annual) |
|---|---|
| Profitability | Weak — Gross margin 15%, operating 7% (last 4 quarters to Jun 2026, SEC) |
| Balance Sheet | Mixed — $24M cash and investments vs $177M debt (Jun 2026, SEC) |
| Cash Flow | Mixed — FCF $56M (last 4 quarters to Jun 2026, SEC), slim 4.6% margin |
| Efficiency | Strong — ROE not meaningful (equity is 7.9% of assets); ROA 27.0% (last 4 quarters, SEC) |
Ownership (MAX)
| Insider Ownership | +41.98% |
|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership | +63.66% |
| Shares Outstanding | 52.98M |
| Float | 25.05M |
| Short % of Float | +10.66% |
Source: Nexqual, October 29, 2026 at 07:19 UTC.
Leadership (MAX)
MediaAlpha, Inc. is led by Steven M. Yi, Co-Founder, CEO, President & Director, per Nexqual as of October 29, 2026 at 07:19 UTC.
| Co-Founder, CEO, President & Director | Steven M. Yi |
|---|---|
| Co-Founder, Chief Architect & Director | Eugene Nonko |
| Chief Technology Officer | Amy Yeh |
| Chief Revenue Officer | Keith Cramer |
| CFO, Treasurer, Principal Financial & Accounting Officer | Tigran Sinanyan |
Major Backers & Investors (MAX)
Notable institutional backers of MediaAlpha, Inc. include White Mountains Insurance Group, Ltd., Clearline Capital, LP, JPMorgan, according to Nexqual as of October 29, 2026 at 07:19 UTC.
Active Investors
| Investor | Stake |
|---|---|
| White Mountains Insurance Group, Ltd. | 33.71% |
| Clearline Capital, LP | 5.12% |
| JPMorgan | 3.55% |
| Divisadero Street Capital Management, LP | 1.93% |
| Jacobs Levy Equity Management, Inc. | 1.83% |
| Acadian Asset Management. LLC | 1.81% |
| Jacobs Asset Management, L.L.C. | 1.74% |
Index Funds (Passive)
| Fund | Stake |
|---|---|
| BlackRock | 6.4% |
| Vanguard Group | 2.41% |
| Geode Capital | 2.02% |
Source: Nexqual, October 29, 2026 at 07:19 UTC.
From MediaAlpha, Inc.'s Latest SEC 10-K Filing (filed 2026-02-23)
Key Strengths & Strategy (as disclosed to the SEC)
- During 2025, high-intent consumers shopping for insurance products on the websites of sellers on our platform and our proprietary websites resulted in approximately 141 million Consumer Referrals acquired by Demand Partners on our platform.
- During the year ended December 31, 2025, high-intent consumers shopping for insurance products on the websites of sellers on our platform and our proprietary websites resulted in approximately 141 million Consumer Referrals being acquired by buyers on our platform.
- We believe our proprietary technology will allow us to react nimbly to growing demands and opportunities in emerging verticals.
- During 2025, consumers shopping for insurance products through the websites of our diversified group of Supply Partners and our proprietary websites drove an average of 11.8 million Consumer Referrals on our platform each month.
Partnerships
- In July 2025, we reached agreement with the staff of the FTC ("FTC Staff") on the terms of a Consent Order that fully resolved all of the FTC's claims, which became effective in October 2025 ("Consent Order").
Legal & Regulatory Risks (Item 1A, quoted)
- Laws and regulations regulating insurance activities are complex and could negatively affect us and/or our Supply and Demand Partners, which could in turn have a material and adverse effect on our business, may reduce our profitability and potentially limit our growth.
- The cost of compliance with such regulations or any non-compliance could impose material costs on us and our partners and negatively affect our or their business, marketing practices, and budgets, any of which could have a material and adverse effect on our business, financial condition, operating results, cash flows, and prospects.
- Changes and developments in the regulation of the healthcare industry could adversely affect our business, financial condition, operating results, cash flows, and prospects.
- Changes in laws or regulations relating to privacy, data protection or the protection or transfer of personal data could materially and adversely affect our business, financial condition, operating results, cash flows, and prospects.
Source: SEC EDGAR 10-K, official filing. Curated by Nexqual.
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Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 29, 2026 at 07:19 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.
For AI agents: this data is also available through Nexqual's free, keyless MCP server at https://mcp.nexqual.com/mcp; every result includes source_url, as_of and cite_as. More: nexqual.com/agents · llms.txt