MDA Space Ltd. (MDA) Stock Price & Analysis
MDA Space Ltd. (MDA) closed at USD 29.12 on Thursday, October 29, 2026, down 0.65% on the day. The US market is currently closed (after-hours); this is not a live price.
The prior close was USD 29.31; the Oct 29, 2026 session ranged USD 28.87–29.81 on volume of 442,735 shares. Market capitalization is $4.72B, with a 52-week range of USD 23.23–49.37 (NYQ). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 29, 2026 at 21:01 UTC.
Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/MDA.md
Key facts (MDA)
- Analysts: Buy (mean 1.67 on a 1–5 scale) (3 analysts), mean target USD 46.88 (range 40.86–50.02).
- Total return with dividends: 1Y -5.5% vs S&P 500 +14.4%; 5Y -2.9% vs S&P 500 +79.1%.
- Next earnings: 2026-11-05, EPS estimate USD 0.29, revenue estimate $443M.
Analysts (MDA)
Consensus Buy (mean 1.67 on a 1–5 scale), 3 analysts; mean target USD 46.88 (low 40.86, high 50.02).
Rating changes, last 120 days:
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | JP Morgan | Target raised | Overweight | $43 → $50 |
| 2026-08-17 | RBC Capital | Reiterated | Outperform | $60 |
| 2026-08-10 | RBC Capital | Target raised | Outperform | $58 → $60 |
Total return (dividends reinvested) (MDA)
| 1Y (from 2026-03-12) | 5Y (from 2026-03-09) | |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | -5.5% | -2.9% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +14.4% | +79.1% |
| Per year | — | — |
| Volatility (annualized) | 62.4% | 69.4% |
| Max drawdown | -45.0% (May 2026→Oct 2026) | -38.3% (May 2026→Oct 2026) |
MDA major shareholder filing: Schedule 13D, Oct 14, 2026
MARISELLE A.S., CZECHOSLOVAK GROUP, MIROSLAV HOLAN filed a Schedule 13D with the SEC on Oct 14, 2026, reporting up to 9.50% of the class. A Schedule 13D is filed by an owner of more than 5% who may seek to influence the company. Item 4 (Purpose of Transaction), quoted from the filing:
Mariselle a.s. entered into the Share Forward Transaction for investment purposes and to obtain economic exposure to the Shares. Mr. Holan, in his capacity as Group Investment Manager of Czechoslovak Group a.s., directs investment decisions with respect to the investment. The Share Forward Transaction provided for cash settlement only, unless the Investment Canada Act approval was obtained, in which case physical settlement would be permitted upon election by Mariselle a.s., subject to other applicable conditions. The Investment Canada Act approval was obtained on 8 October 2026 and the option to exercise physical settlement of the Share Forward Transaction was exercised on 9 October, 2026. The settlement of the Share Forward Transaction occurred on October 13, 2026. The Reporting Persons may evaluate their investment in the Issuer from time to time and may take such actions as they consider appropriate in light of market conditions, the Issuer's performance and other investment opportunities. Except as set forth herein, the Reporting Persons have no present plan or proposal which would relate to or result in any of the matters set forth in subparagraphs (a)-(j) of Item 4 of Schedule 13D, except as may occur upon or in connection with completion of, or following, any of the actions discussed herein. …
Source: SEC EDGAR, Schedule 13D filed Oct 14, 2026. Quoted word for word; Nexqual adds no interpretation.
MDA earnings history and stock reaction
| Results filed | Quarter | EPS | Consensus | Surprise | Stock reaction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | Quarter ended Jun 30, 2026 | $0.36 | $0.36 | In line | — |
| — | Quarter ended Mar 31, 2026 | $0.38 | $0.34 | Beat +11.8% | — |
EPS as reported against the analyst consensus before the release; surprise uses the cent-rounded figures shown (in dollars when EPS and consensus have opposite signs). Stock reaction = close before the results to close after (the first close following a release after the bell or before the open).
MDA recent SEC filings (last 120 days)
| Filed | Form | What it says |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Schedule 13D | MARISELLE A.S., CZECHOSLOVAK GROUP: 9.5% of shares, 5%+ holder that may seek to influence the company “Mariselle a.s. entered into the Share Forward Transaction for investment purposes and to obtain economic exposure to the Shares. Mr. Holan, in his capacity as Group Investment Manager of Czechoslovak Group a.s., directs investment decisions with respect to the investment. The…” |
| Sep 21, 2026 | 6-K | Current report (foreign issuer) · period ended Sep 21, 2026 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | 6-K | Current report (foreign issuer) · period ended Aug 7, 2026 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | 6-K | Current report (foreign issuer) · period ended Jun 30, 2026 |
| Aug 5, 2026 | 6-K | Current report (foreign issuer) · period ended Aug 5, 2026 |
| Aug 4, 2026 | 6-K | Current report (foreign issuer) · period ended Aug 4, 2026 |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Schedule 13G/A | Connor, Clark & Lunn Investment Management Ltd.: 5.6% of shares, passive 5%+ holder (amended) |
| Jul 24, 2026 | 6-K | Current report (foreign issuer) · period ended Jul 23, 2026 |
| Jul 20, 2026 | 6-K | Current report (foreign issuer) · period ended Jul 20, 2026 |
| Jul 14, 2026 | 6-K | Current report (foreign issuer) · period ended Jul 14, 2026 |
| Jul 10, 2026 | 6-K | Current report (foreign issuer) · period ended Jul 9, 2026 |
| Jul 8, 2026 | 6-K | Current report (foreign issuer) · period ended Jul 8, 2026 |
Source: SEC EDGAR. Quotes are the opening words of each item as filed; each form links to the filing. Insider Form 4 filings are listed in the insider sections.
MDA analyst estimates and revisions
| Period | EPS estimate | 90 days ago | Change | Revenue estimate | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends Sep 2026) | $0.29 | $0.37 | -21.4% | $442.8M | 2 |
| Next quarter (ends Dec 2026) | $0.30 | $0.40 | -24.3% | $466.2M | 2 |
| Current fiscal year (ends Dec 2026) | $1.32 | $1.50 | -11.6% | $1.88B | 2 |
| Next fiscal year (ends Dec 2027) | $2.16 | $1.67 | +29.9% | $2.84B | 2 |
MDA options: expected move
Options price a move of about ±13.2% (±$3.90) by Nov 20, 2026, which includes earnings on Nov 5, 2026.
| Expiration | Days | ATM implied volatility | Expected move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2026 | 22 | 66.3% | ±13.2% |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 50 | 57.6% | ±17.1% |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 78 | 49.5% | ±18.4% |
| Apr 16, 2027 | 169 | 60.3% | ±32.5% |
30-day implied volatility 63% vs 50.3% realized over the last 30 trading days. Put/call ratio (volume) 0. Cboe delayed quotes (15 min). Expected move = at-the-money straddle.
Key Statistics (as of October 29, 2026 at 21:01 UTC)
| Price | USD 29.12 |
|---|---|
| Change | ▼ 0.65% (down) |
| Previous Close | USD 29.31 |
| Open | USD 29.07 |
| Day Range | USD 28.87 – 29.81 |
| 52-Week Range | USD 23.23 – 49.37 |
| Volume | 442,735 shares |
| Market Cap | $4.72B |
| Exchange | NYQ |
Technical Analysis (MDA)
Nexqual's technical model rates MDA "SELL" based on 2 bullish and 4 bearish signals across 127 daily candles, as of October 29, 2026 at 21:01 UTC.
| Overall Signal | SELL |
|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 53.14 (neutral) |
| vs SMA50 | Below (USD 29.29) |
| MACD | -0.29 (negative) |
Analyst Ratings (MDA)
Wall Street analysts rate MDA "Buy" based on 3 analysts, with a mean price target of USD 46.88 (range USD 40.86–50.02), per Nexqual as of October 29, 2026 at 21:01 UTC.
| Consensus Rating | Buy |
|---|---|
| Analyst Count | 3 |
| Mean Target | USD 46.88 |
| High Target | USD 50.02 |
| Low Target | USD 40.86 |
| Buy / Hold / Sell | 3 / 0 / 0 |
Earnings (MDA)
| Next Earnings Date | 2026-11-05 |
|---|---|
| EPS Estimate | USD 0.29 |
| Revenue Estimate | $442.76M |
Recent Earnings History
| Quarter | Actual vs Estimate |
|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | USD 0.36 vs est 0.36 ▲ beat |
| 2026-03-31 | USD 0.38 vs est 0.34 ▲ beat |
Source: Nexqual, October 29, 2026 at 21:01 UTC.
Financials & Fundamentals (MDA)
| Total Revenue | $1.87B |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (latest quarter, YoY) | +33.60% |
| Gross Margin | +28.62% |
| Operating Margin | +6.14% |
| Profit Margin | +5.66% |
| ROE | +6.68% |
| Debt / Equity | 0.2 |
| Current Ratio | 0.75 |
| Total Cash | $397.80M |
| Total Debt | $378.30M |
Source: Nexqual, October 29, 2026 at 21:01 UTC.
Financial Health Score (MDA)
Nexqual rates MDA Space Ltd.'s overall financial health "Solid" across five dimensions, as of October 29, 2026 at 21:01 UTC.
| Growth | Strong — Revenue +51% YoY (annual) |
|---|---|
| Profitability | Solid — Gross margin 29%, operating 6% (last 12 months) |
| Balance Sheet | Solid — CAD 398M cash vs CAD 378M debt, net cash position |
| Cash Flow | Solid — Operating cash flow CAD 55M (TTM) |
| Efficiency | Mixed — ROE 7%, ROA 2.8% |
Ownership (MDA)
| Insider Ownership | +17.03% |
|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership | +60.92% |
| Shares Outstanding | 162.13M |
| Float | 144.86M |
Source: Nexqual, October 29, 2026 at 21:01 UTC.
Leadership (MDA)
MDA Space Ltd. is led by Michael Greenley M.sc. Pmp, CEO & Director, per Nexqual as of October 29, 2026 at 21:01 UTC.
| CEO & Director | Michael Greenley M.sc. Pmp |
|---|---|
| Chief Financial Officer | Guillaume Lavoie |
| Senior Vice President of Geointelligence | Minda Marie Suchan |
| Senior Vice President of Satellite Systems | Luigi Pozzebon |
| Chief Technology Officer | Cameron Ower |
Major Backers & Investors (MDA)
Notable institutional backers of MDA Space Ltd. include Connor Clark & Lunn Investment Management Ltd, SmallCap World Fund Inc, Senvest Management LLC, according to Nexqual as of October 29, 2026 at 21:01 UTC.
Active Investors
| Investor | Stake |
|---|---|
| Connor Clark & Lunn Investment Management Ltd | 4.77% |
| SmallCap World Fund Inc | 3.09% |
| Senvest Management LLC | 2.7% |
| Capital International Investors | 2.08% |
| Van Eck Associates Corporation | 2.03% |
| FMR, LLC | 2% |
| Federation Des Caisses Desjardins Du Quebec | 1.74% |
| Royal Bank of Canada | 1.69% |
Index Funds (Passive)
| Fund | Stake |
|---|---|
| Vanguard Group | 2.41% |
Source: Nexqual, October 29, 2026 at 21:01 UTC.
Peers & Related Stocks
| Symbol | Name | Price | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| SARO | StandardAero, Inc. | USD 23.79 | ▲ 7.11% |
| KTOS | Kratos Defense & Security Solut | USD 43.59 | ▲ 5.88% |
| CAE | CAE Inc | USD 26.27 | ▲ 1.98% |
| DRS | Leonardo DRS, Inc. | USD 39.64 | ▲ 11.66% |
| HII | Huntington Ingalls Industries, | USD 316.21 | ▲ 13.23% |
| MOG-B | Moog Inc. | USD 350.17 | ▼ 0% |
Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 29, 2026 at 21:01 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.
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