Nakamoto Inc. (NAKA) Stock Price & Analysis
Nakamoto Inc. (NAKA) closed at USD 7.36 on Friday, October 23, 2026, down 4.29% on the day. The US market is currently closed; this is not a live price.
The prior close was USD 7.36; the Oct 23, 2026 session ranged USD 7.31–7.87 on volume of 122,754 shares. Market capitalization is —, with a 52-week range of USD 3.33–42 (NGM). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 24, 2026 at 05:55 UTC.
Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/NAKA.md
Key facts (NAKA)
- Last four reported quarters (through Jun 30, 2026): revenue $39.4M, net income -$421M (-1067.9% margin) (SEC filings).
- Insider open-market sales, last ~7 months: 1 Form 4 filings, $7K; 1 not under a Rule 10b5-1 plan ($7K); 0 by opportunistic insiders, 0 by routine insiders (three-year test, Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski 2012).
- Insider open-market purchases, last ~7 months: 4 Form 4 filings, $1.2M; 0 by opportunistic insiders, 0 by routine insiders.
- Total return with dividends: 1Y -78.1% vs S&P 500 +13.4%; 5Y -93.9% vs S&P 500 +76.9%.
- Next earnings: 2026-11-16, EPS estimate USD -0.49, revenue estimate $17.4M.
Financials (SEC 10-K; TTM = last four 10-Q/10-K quarters) (NAKA)
| USD | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $3.8M | $2.7M | $1.8M | $39.4M |
| Operating income | -$1.6M | -$3.3M | -$197M | -$469M |
| Net income | -$1.6M | -$3.6M | -$52.2M | -$421M |
| EPS (diluted) | -$14.40 | -$26.80 | -$10.40 | — |
| Free cash flow | -$464K | -$3.1M | — | — |
| Operating margin | -43.0% | -123.1% | -10824.0% | -1190.8% |
| Net margin | -42.9% | -133.0% | -2867.6% | -1067.9% |
| Revenue growth | — | -27.8% | -33.0% | — |
| Cash + short-term investments | $526K | $2.3M | $21.1M | — |
| Total debt | $229K | $149K | — | — |
Fiscal years end Dec. EPS is split-adjusted.
Valuation (price ÷ last four quarters, through Jun 30, 2026) (NAKA)
Insider sales (SEC Form 4, open-market, last ~7 months) (NAKA)
0 of 1 under a Rule 10b5-1 trading plan (scheduled in advance). Unplanned sales were timed by the insider.
| Trade date | Insider | Role | Shares | Value | % of holdings sold | 10b5-1 plan | Insider type |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Evans Tyler Matthew | Chief Investment Officer | 982 | $7K | 0.2% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
% of holdings sold = shares sold ÷ (shares sold + all holdings the insider reported on that Form 4, direct and through trusts).
Insider type follows Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski (Journal of Finance, 2012). An insider who traded the stock in the same calendar month in each of the past three years is a routine trader; one who traded in each of those years without such a pattern is an opportunistic trader. In their study, trades by opportunistic insiders predicted future returns and trades by routine insiders did not. Counts open-market purchases and sales only (SEC Form 4 codes P and S) by that insider in that company. Not investment advice.
Insider purchases (SEC Form 4, open-market, last ~7 months) (NAKA)
4 purchases, $1.2M. Private placements, offerings, dividend reinvestment and employee stock purchase plan buys are excluded.
| Trade date | Insider | Role | Shares | Value | Avg price | Insider type |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19…2026-08-20 | Bailey David F | Chief Executive Officer | 36,986 | $210K | 5.68 | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
| 2026-08-18 | Bailey David F | Chief Executive Officer | 4,918 | $25K | 5.12 | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
| 2026-05-28 | Bailey David F | Chief Executive Officer | 55,115 | $310K | 5.62 | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
| 2026-05-26…2026-05-27 | Bailey David F | Chief Executive Officer | 136,333 | $683K | 5.01 | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
Analysts (NAKA)
Rating changes, last 120 days:
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | B. Riley Securities | Target raised | Buy | $11 → $13 |
| 2026-09-03 | B. Riley Securities | Target raised | Buy | $9 → $11 |
| 2026-07-27 | TD Cowen | Target raised | Buy | $1 → $17 |
Total return (dividends reinvested) (NAKA)
| 1Y (from 2025-10-24) | 5Y (from 2024-05-27) | |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | -78.1% | -93.9% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +13.4% | +76.9% |
| Per year | -78.2% | -68.7% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 104.5% | 172.1% |
| Max drawdown | -91.7% (Oct 2025→Jul 2026) | -99.6% (May 2025→Jul 2026) |
NAKA revenue by product line (quarter ended Jun 30, 2026)
| Line | Revenue | Share of total | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Media | $24.1M | 67.1% | — |
| Derivatives | $10.4M | 29.0% | — |
| Advisory | $930,000 | 2.6% | — |
| Asset Management | $466,000 | 1.3% | — |
| Total revenue | $35.9M | 100% | — |
As tagged by the company in its SEC 10-Q / 10-K filings (XBRL).
NAKA analyst estimates and revisions
| Period | EPS estimate | 90 days ago | Change | Revenue estimate | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends Sep 2026) | $-0.48 | $-0.41 | +16.9% | $17.4M | 2 |
| Next quarter (ends Dec 2026) | $-0.53 | $-0.50 | +5.0% | $15.9M | 2 |
| Current fiscal year (ends Dec 2026) | $-21.06 | $-9.13 | +130.7% | $71.6M | 1 |
| Next fiscal year (ends Dec 2027) | $-1.92 | $-1.72 | +11.3% | $65.6M | 2 |
Key Statistics (as of October 24, 2026 at 05:55 UTC)
| Price | USD 7.36 |
|---|---|
| Change | ▼ 4.29% (down) |
| Previous Close | USD 7.36 |
| Open | USD 7.36 |
| Day Range | USD 7.31 – 7.87 |
| 52-Week Range | USD 3.33 – 42 |
| Volume | 122,754 shares |
| Market Cap | — |
| Exchange | NGM |
Technical Analysis (NAKA)
Nexqual's technical model rates NAKA "SELL" based on 1 bullish and 5 bearish signals across 127 daily candles, as of October 24, 2026 at 05:55 UTC.
| Overall Signal | SELL |
|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 42.8 (neutral) |
| vs SMA50 | Below (USD 8.08) |
| MACD | -0.24 (negative) |
Earnings (NAKA)
| Next Earnings Date | 2026-11-16 |
|---|---|
| Revenue Estimate | $17.41M |
Recent Earnings History
| Quarter | Actual vs Estimate |
|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | USD -6.65 vs est -0.61 ▼ miss |
| 2026-03-31 | USD -15.2 vs est -0.2 ▼ miss |
| 2025-12-31 | USD 2.8 vs est -0.6 ▲ beat |
| 2025-09-30 | USD -2.19 vs est -0.4 ▼ miss |
Source: Nexqual, October 24, 2026 at 05:55 UTC.
Financials & Fundamentals (NAKA)
| Total Revenue | $28.40M |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (latest quarter, YoY) | +8680.10% |
| Gross Margin | -39.96% |
| Operating Margin | -25.13% |
| Profit Margin | +0.00% |
| ROE | -343.26% |
| Debt / Equity | 0.7 |
| Current Ratio | 0.15 |
| Total Cash | $19.07M |
| Total Debt | $165.06M |
Source: Nexqual, October 24, 2026 at 05:55 UTC.
Ownership (NAKA)
| Insider Ownership | +40.42% |
|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership | +15.40% |
| Shares Outstanding | 17.89M |
| Float | 11.45M |
| Short % of Float | +13.66% |
Source: Nexqual, October 24, 2026 at 05:55 UTC.
From Nakamoto Inc.'s Latest SEC 10-K Filing (filed 2026-03-30)
Source: SEC EDGAR 10-K, official filing. Curated by Nexqual.
Peers & Related Stocks
| Symbol | Name | Price | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| ASST | Strive, Inc. | USD 28.97 | ▼ 0.21% |
| GPUS | Hyperscale Data, Inc. | USD 0.17 | ▲ 30% |
| DFDV | DeFi Development Corp. | USD 3.71 | ▼ 1.33% |
| MTPLF | Metaplanet Inc. | USD 1.66 | ▲ 0.3% |
| NXTT | Next Technology Holding Inc. | USD 5.13 | ▼ 1.16% |
Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 24, 2026 at 05:55 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.
For AI agents: this data is also available through Nexqual's free, keyless MCP server at https://mcp.nexqual.com/mcp; every result includes source_url, as_of and cite_as. More: nexqual.com/agents · llms.txt