Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY) Stock Price & Analysis
Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY) closed at USD 20.81 on Thursday, October 29, 2026, up 1.66% on the day. The US market is currently closed (after-hours); this is not a live price.
The prior close was USD 20.47; the Oct 29, 2026 session ranged USD 17.01–21.15 on volume of 3,325,652 shares. Market capitalization is $1.74B, with a 52-week range of USD 10.4–29.75 (NCM). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 29, 2026 at 20:26 UTC.
Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/PGY.md
Key facts (PGY)
- Last four reported quarters (through Jun 30, 2026): revenue $1.39B, net income $127M (9.1% margin) (SEC filings).
- Valuation: P/E 13.7x (avg 21.3x at the last 1 fiscal year-ends).
- Earnings quality: non-operating income -$80.0M vs operating income $345M over the last four quarters; P/E excluding non-operating income ≈8.4x (estimate: non-operating income taxed at the company's 0% effective rate).
- Insider open-market sales, last ~7 months: 21 Form 4 filings, $3.2M; 18 not under a Rule 10b5-1 plan ($2.8M); 0 by opportunistic insiders, 0 by routine insiders (three-year test, Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski 2012).
- Insider open-market purchases, last ~7 months: 2 Form 4 filings, $501K; 0 by opportunistic insiders, 0 by routine insiders.
- Analysts: Buy (mean 1.82 on a 1–5 scale) (11 analysts), mean target USD 28.82 (range 23–36).
- Total return with dividends: 1Y -20.0% vs S&P 500 +14.4%; 5Y -82.7% vs S&P 500 +79.1%.
- Next earnings: 2026-10-29, EPS estimate USD 0.95, revenue estimate $376M.
Financials (SEC 10-K; TTM = last four 10-Q/10-K quarters) (PGY)
| USD | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $475M | $749M | $812M | $1.03B | $1.30B | $1.39B |
| Gross profit | $242M | $298M | $303M | $435M | $552M | — |
| Operating income | -$5.8M | -$252M | -$24.4M | $66.8M | $264M | $345M |
| Net income | -$91.2M | -$302M | -$128M | -$401M | $81.4M | $127M |
| EPS (diluted) | -$8.25 | -$8.22 | -$2.14 | -$5.66 | $0.93 | — |
| Free cash flow | $43.2M | -$62.4M | -$41.8M | $30.0M | $225M | $252M |
| Gross margin | 51.0% | 39.8% | 37.3% | 42.1% | 42.4% | — |
| Operating margin | -1.2% | -33.6% | -3.0% | 6.5% | 20.3% | 24.9% |
| Net margin | -19.2% | -40.4% | -15.8% | -38.9% | 6.3% | 9.1% |
| Revenue growth | — | +57.8% | +8.4% | +27.1% | +26.1% | — |
| Cash + short-term investments | $191M | $310M | $186M | $210M | — | — |
| Total debt | — | — | $37.7M | $321M | $149M | — |
Fiscal years end Dec. EPS is split-adjusted.
Valuation (price ÷ last four quarters, through Jun 30, 2026) (PGY)
P/E 13.7x · P/E ex non-operating (est.) ≈8.4x · P/S 1.3x · P/FCF 6.9x · P/B 2.9x · FCF yield 14.50% · Earnings yield 7.30%
P/E at fiscal year-ends: Dec 2025 21.3x.
Insider sales (SEC Form 4, open-market, last ~7 months) (PGY)
3 of 21 under a Rule 10b5-1 trading plan (scheduled in advance). Unplanned sales were timed by the insider.
| Trade date | Insider | Role | Shares | Value | % of holdings sold | 10b5-1 plan | Insider type |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | Rosen Tami | Director | 1,986 | $35K | 12.9% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023) |
| 2026-09-28 | Vieira Cory | Chief Accounting Officer | 2,170 | $37K | 7.9% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023 or 2024) |
| 2026-09-28 | Das Sanjiv | President | 14,300 | $244K | 7.6% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023) |
| 2026-09-28 | Dobres Jonathan | Chief Financial Officer | 590 | $10K | 5.5% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
| 2026-09-18 | Rosen Tami | Director | 8,504 | $173K | 35.6% | Yes | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023) |
| 2026-09-17 | Dobres Jonathan | Chief Financial Officer | 2,183 | $46K | 18.3% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
| 2026-09-12 | Rosen Tami | Director | 7,121 | $144K | 23% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023) |
| 2026-09-12 | Das Sanjiv | President | 13,301 | $269K | 7.9% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023) |
| 2026-06-25…2026-09-12 | Dobres Jonathan | Chief Financial Officer | 985 | $18K | 11.5% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
| 2026-09-03 | Rosen Tami | Director | 1,265 | $29K | 7.6% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023) |
| 2026-09-02 | Vieira Cory | Chief Accounting Officer | 3,075 | $70K | 11.5% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023 or 2024) |
| 2026-08-03 | Rosen Tami | Director | 28,181 | $619K | 62.8% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023) |
| 2026-08-03 | Das Sanjiv | President | 21,289 | $468K | 12.9% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023) |
| 2026-06-25 | Vieira Cory | Chief Accounting Officer | 1,458 | $23K | 6.5% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023 or 2024) |
| 2026-06-25 | Das Sanjiv | President | 14,000 | $222K | 7.8% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023) |
| 2026-06-22 | Rosen Tami | Director | 9,944 | $151K | 20.9% | Yes | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023) |
| 2026-06-12 | Perros Evangelos | 11,558 | $188K | 8.1% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023) | |
| 2026-06-12 | Das Sanjiv | President | 13,309 | $216K | 7.9% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023) |
| 2026-06-12 | Rosen Tami | Director | 5,681 | $92K | 10.7% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023) |
| 2026-06-02 | Vieira Cory | Chief Accounting Officer | 2,140 | $32K | 10.5% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023 or 2024) |
% of holdings sold = shares sold ÷ (shares sold + all holdings the insider reported on that Form 4, direct and through trusts).
Insider type follows Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski (Journal of Finance, 2012). An insider who traded the stock in the same calendar month in each of the past three years is a routine trader; one who traded in each of those years without such a pattern is an opportunistic trader. In their study, trades by opportunistic insiders predicted future returns and trades by routine insiders did not. Counts open-market purchases and sales only (SEC Form 4 codes P and S) by that insider in that company. Not investment advice.
Insider purchases (SEC Form 4, open-market, last ~7 months) (PGY)
2 purchases, $501K. Private placements, offerings, dividend reinvestment and employee stock purchase plan buys are excluded.
| Trade date | Insider | Role | Shares | Value | Avg price | Insider type |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-24 | Krubiner Gal | Chief Executive Officer | 16,230 | $250K | 15.43 | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023 or 2025) |
| 2026-06-02 | Krubiner Gal | Chief Executive Officer | 16,600 | $251K | 15.09 | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023 or 2025) |
Analysts (PGY)
Consensus Buy (mean 1.82 on a 1–5 scale), 11 analysts; mean target USD 28.82 (low 23, high 36).
Rating changes, last 120 days:
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-06 | TD Cowen | Target lowered | Buy | $26 → $25 |
| 2026-09-29 | StoneX | Reiterated | Buy | $33 |
| 2026-08-18 | Jefferies | Target raised | Buy | $23 → $27 |
| 2026-07-31 | B. Riley Securities | Target raised | Buy | $32 → $36 |
| 2026-07-31 | Citizens | Target raised | Market Outperform | $22 → $25 |
| 2026-07-31 | Canaccord Genuity | Target raised | Buy | $32 → $36 |
Total return (dividends reinvested) (PGY)
| 1Y (from 2025-10-30) | 5Y (from 2021-10-25) | |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | -20.0% | -82.7% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +14.4% | +79.1% |
| Per year | -20.0% | -29.5% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 74.3% | 132.5% |
| Max drawdown | -61.7% (Nov 2025→Feb 2026) | -97.5% (Jul 2022→Dec 2022) |
PGY earnings history and stock reaction
| Results filed | Quarter | EPS | Consensus | Surprise | Stock reaction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | Quarter ended Sep 30, 2026 | $1.07 | $1.00 | Beat +7.0% | — |
| — | Quarter ended Jun 30, 2026 | $1.07 | $0.72 | Beat +48.6% | — |
| — | Quarter ended Mar 31, 2026 | $0.73 | $0.56 | Beat +30.4% | — |
| — | Quarter ended Dec 31, 2025 | $0.80 | $0.77 | Beat +3.9% | — |
EPS as reported against the analyst consensus before the release; surprise uses the cent-rounded figures shown (in dollars when EPS and consensus have opposite signs). Stock reaction = close before the results to close after (the first close following a release after the bell or before the open).
PGY recent SEC filings (last 120 days)
| Filed | Form | What it says |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2026 | 8-K | Quarterly results; Regulation FD disclosure |
| Oct 5, 2026 | 8-K | Regulation FD disclosure |
| Aug 18, 2026 | 8-K | Shareholder vote results |
| Jul 30, 2026 | 10-Q | Quarterly report · period ended Jun 30, 2026 |
| Jul 30, 2026 | 8-K | Quarterly results; Regulation FD disclosure |
| Jul 6, 2026 | DEFA14A | Additional proxy material |
| Jul 6, 2026 | DEF 14A | Proxy statement (pay, board, votes) · period ended Aug 17, 2026 |
Source: SEC EDGAR. Quotes are the opening words of each item as filed; each form links to the filing. Insider Form 4 filings are listed in the insider sections.
PGY suppliers, customers and competitors (named in its 10-K)
| Relationship | Company | Sentence in the filing |
|---|---|---|
| Partner | Darwin Homes | “"Network Volume" refers to the gross dollar amount of assets originated by our Partners with the assistance of our AI technology and, with respect to single-family rental operations, the gross dollar value of services, which may include the value of newly onboarded properties onto our Darwin platform.” |
Quoted from the company's 10-K filed Mar 2, 2026.
PGY analyst estimates and revisions
| Period | EPS estimate | 90 days ago | Change | Revenue estimate | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends Dec 2026) | $0.95 | $0.82 | +16.1% | $376.1M | 8 |
| Next quarter (ends Mar 2027) | $0.82 | $0.73 | +11.3% | $368.9M | 9 |
| Current fiscal year (ends Dec 2026) | $3.70 | $3.06 | +20.7% | $1.46B | 9 |
| Next fiscal year (ends Dec 2027) | $4.10 | $3.53 | +16.2% | $1.70B | 8 |
Key Statistics (as of October 29, 2026 at 20:26 UTC)
| Price | USD 20.81 |
|---|---|
| Change | ▲ 1.66% (up) |
| Previous Close | USD 20.47 |
| Open | USD 17.02 |
| Day Range | USD 17.01 – 21.15 |
| 52-Week Range | USD 10.4 – 29.75 |
| Volume | 3,325,652 shares |
| Market Cap | $1.74B |
| Exchange | NCM |
Technical Analysis (PGY)
Nexqual's technical model rates PGY "BUY" based on 5 bullish and 2 bearish signals across 127 daily candles, as of October 29, 2026 at 20:26 UTC.
| Overall Signal | BUY |
|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 60.45 (neutral) |
| vs SMA50 | Above (USD 19.77) |
| MACD | 0.23 (positive) |
Analyst Ratings (PGY)
Wall Street analysts rate PGY "Buy" based on 11 analysts, with a mean price target of USD 28.82 (range USD 23–36), per Nexqual as of October 29, 2026 at 20:26 UTC.
| Consensus Rating | Buy |
|---|---|
| Analyst Count | 11 |
| Mean Target | USD 28.82 |
| High Target | USD 36 |
| Low Target | USD 23 |
| Buy / Hold / Sell | 11 / 0 / 0 |
Earnings (PGY)
| Next Earnings Date | 2026-10-29 |
|---|---|
| EPS Estimate | USD 0.95 |
| Revenue Estimate | $376.07M |
Recent Earnings History
| Quarter | Actual vs Estimate |
|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | USD 1.07 vs est 1 ▲ beat |
| 2026-06-30 | USD 1.07 vs est 0.72 ▲ beat |
| 2026-03-31 | USD 0.73 vs est 0.56 ▲ beat |
| 2025-12-31 | USD 0.8 vs est 0.77 ▲ beat |
Source: Nexqual, October 29, 2026 at 20:26 UTC.
Financials & Fundamentals (PGY)
| Total Revenue | $1.39B |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (latest quarter, YoY) | +18.60% |
| Gross Margin | +43.39% |
| Operating Margin | +27.33% |
| Profit Margin | +9.12% |
| ROE | +19.46% |
| Debt / Equity | 1.34 |
| Current Ratio | 14.58 |
| Total Cash | $1.29B |
| Total Debt | $907.34M |
Source: Nexqual, October 29, 2026 at 20:26 UTC.
Financial Health Score (PGY)
Nexqual rates Pagaya Technologies Ltd.'s overall financial health "Solid" across five dimensions, as of October 29, 2026 at 20:26 UTC.
| Growth | Strong — Revenue +26% YoY (annual) |
|---|---|
| Profitability | Mixed — Net margin 9% (last 4 quarters to Jun 2026, SEC); banks have no gross margin |
| Balance Sheet | N/A — Not comparable for banks: deposits and customer funds sit on the balance sheet, so cash vs debt does not measure safety (SEC industry: Finance Services) |
| Cash Flow | N/A — Not meaningful for banks and lenders: lending and trading move operating cash flow by billions each year (SEC industry: Finance Services) |
| Efficiency | Strong — ROE 21%, ROA 7.5% (last 4 quarters, SEC) |
Ownership (PGY)
| Insider Ownership | +5.30% |
|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership | +48.48% |
| Shares Outstanding | 72.14M |
| Float | 70.48M |
| Short % of Float | +14.31% |
Source: Nexqual, October 29, 2026 at 20:26 UTC.
Leadership (PGY)
Pagaya Technologies Ltd. is led by Gal Krubiner, CEO, Co-Founder & Director, per Nexqual as of October 29, 2026 at 20:26 UTC.
| CEO, Co-Founder & Director | Gal Krubiner |
|---|---|
| Co-Founder & President | Sanjiv Das |
| Co-Founder, Deputy CEO & Director | Avital Pardo |
| Co-Founder, Deputy CEO & Director | Yahav Yulzari |
| Chief Financial Officer | Jonathan Israel Dobres |
Major Backers & Investors (PGY)
Notable institutional backers of Pagaya Technologies Ltd. include Viola Ventures V.c. Management 4 Ltd. , Clal Insurance Enterprises Holdings Ltd, Millennium Management, according to Nexqual as of October 29, 2026 at 20:26 UTC.
Active Investors
| Investor | Stake |
|---|---|
| Viola Ventures V.c. Management 4 Ltd. | 18.37% |
| Clal Insurance Enterprises Holdings Ltd | 4.02% |
| Millennium Management | 1.11% |
| Ejf Capital Llc | 1.04% |
| Morgan Stanley | 0.67% |
| Yarra Square Partners, LP | 0.56% |
| Two Sigma Investments, LP | 0.56% |
| JTC Employer Solutions Trusteee Ltd | 0.52% |
Index Funds (Passive)
| Fund | Stake |
|---|---|
| Nuveen | 1.05% |
| BlackRock | 0.7% |
Source: Nexqual, October 29, 2026 at 20:26 UTC.
From Pagaya Technologies Ltd.'s Latest SEC 10-K Filing (filed 2026-03-02)
Key Strengths & Strategy (as disclosed to the SEC)
- We rely on trade secret laws in the United States and other jurisdictions, as well as license agreements and other contractual protections, to protect our proprietary technology.
- We are also a party to various license agreements with third parties that typically grant us the right to use certain third-party technology in conjunction with our proprietary technology.
- Although we currently operate our business in an effort to ensure our business itself is not subject to extensive regulation, there is a risk that certain regulations could become applicable to us, including as we expand the functionality and use of our proprietary technology and network.
- We have built and continue to enhance a network connecting financial institutions and their customers with investors, which is designed to facilitate greater access to financial products and services for consumers.
Partnerships
- We integrate with our Partners via APIs, requiring limited upfront investment and resulting in minimal latency in the processing of applications.
Legal & Regulatory Risks (Item 1A, quoted)
- Litigation, regulatory actions, consumer complaints and compliance issues could subject us to significant fines, penalties, judgments, remediation costs and/or requirements resulting in increased expenses.
- We and our Partners may not always have been, and may not always be, in compliance with these and other applicable statutes, regulations, rules and other laws.
- Changes in laws or regulations relating to privacy, cybersecurity, data protection, or the protection, use or transfer of personal information, or any actual or perceived failure by us to comply with such laws and regulations or any other obligations relating to privacy, data protection, or the protection or transfer of personal information, could adversely affect our business.
- We may use AI/ML to assist us in making certain decisions, which is regulated by certain privacy laws.
Source: SEC EDGAR 10-K, official filing. Curated by Nexqual.
Peers & Related Stocks
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| CORZ | Core Scientific, Inc. | USD 14.43 | ▼ 3.8% |
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| MBGL | Mobility Global Inc. | USD 18.92 | ▲ 3.22% |
Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 29, 2026 at 20:26 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.
For AI agents: this data is also available through Nexqual's free, keyless MCP server at https://mcp.nexqual.com/mcp; every result includes source_url, as_of and cite_as. More: nexqual.com/agents · llms.txt