Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. (REPX) Stock Price & Analysis
Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. (REPX) closed at USD 52.11 on Wednesday, October 28, 2026, up 0.23% on the day. The US market is currently closed (pre-market); this is not a live price.
The prior close was USD 51.99; the Oct 28, 2026 session ranged USD 51.49–52.55 on volume of 249,033 shares. Market capitalization is $1.13B, with a 52-week range of USD 24.08–54.57 (ASE). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 29, 2026 at 13:16 UTC.
Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/REPX.md
Key facts (REPX)
- Last four reported quarters (through Jun 30, 2026): revenue $484M, net income $119M (24.5% margin) (SEC filings).
- Valuation: P/E 9.5x (avg 5.3x at the last 3 fiscal year-ends), EV/EBITDA 4.7x, net debt $247M.
- 1 of 80 tracked superinvestors hold REPX (13F, Q2 2026): 0 new, 1 added, 0 reduced, 0 unchanged.
- Insider open-market sales, last ~7 months: 7 Form 4 filings, $2.5M; 3 not under a Rule 10b5-1 plan ($1.3M); 6 by opportunistic insiders (2 outside 10b5-1 plans), 0 by routine insiders (three-year test, Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski 2012).
- Analysts: Buy (mean 2.00 on a 1–5 scale) (4 analysts), mean target USD 56 (range 51–60).
- Total return with dividends: 1Y +109.3% vs S&P 500 +13.6%; 5Y +150.5% vs S&P 500 +79.8%.
- Next earnings: 2026-11-04, EPS estimate USD 2.42, revenue estimate $160M.
Financials (SEC 10-K; TTM = last four 10-Q/10-K quarters) (REPX)
| USD | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $151M | $322M | $375M | $410M | $392M | $484M |
| Operating income | $59.9M | $204M | $172M | $154M | $133M | $186M |
| Net income | -$65.7M | $118M | $112M | $88.9M | $161M | $119M |
| EPS (diluted) | -$4.19 | $5.99 | $5.58 | $4.26 | $7.59 | — |
| Operating margin | 39.6% | 63.3% | 45.8% | 37.5% | 34.0% | 38.4% |
| Net margin | -43.5% | 36.7% | 29.8% | 21.7% | 41.0% | 24.5% |
| Revenue growth | — | — | +16.6% | +9.4% | -4.4% | — |
| Cash + short-term investments | $17.1M | $13.3M | $15.3M | $13.1M | $17.9M | — |
| Total debt | — | $56.0M | $356M | $269M | $248M | — |
Fiscal years end Dec. EPS is split-adjusted.
Valuation (price ÷ last four quarters, through Jun 30, 2026) (REPX)
P/E 9.5x · P/S 2.3x · EV/EBITDA 4.7x · EV/Sales 2.9x · P/B 1.8x · Earnings yield 10.50% · Net debt $247M · EV $1.38B
P/E at fiscal year-ends: Dec 2025 3.5x, Dec 2024 7.5x, Dec 2023 4.9x.
Superinvestors (SEC 13F-HR, Q2 2026) (REPX)
1 of 80 tracked investors hold REPX. Each row is the investor's latest 13F; change is vs their prior-quarter share count.
| Investor | Firm | % of portfolio | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| First Eagle Investment | First Eagle Investment Management | 0.02% | $14.2M | Added +134.0% |
Insider sales (SEC Form 4, open-market, last ~7 months) (REPX)
4 of 7 under a Rule 10b5-1 trading plan (scheduled in advance). Unplanned sales were timed by the insider.
| Trade date | Insider | Role | Shares | Value | % of holdings sold | 10b5-1 plan | Insider type |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | Riley Philip A | CFO & EVP STRATEGY | 4,000 | $150K | 1.7% | No | Opportunistic (traded every year 2023–2025, no repeating month) |
| 2026-08-10 | Riley Corey Neil | CIO & CCO | 3,500 | $123K | 1.6% | Yes (adopted July 12, 2025) | Opportunistic (traded every year 2023–2025, no repeating month) |
| 2026-08-10 | Riley Bobby | CEO | 12,500 | $448K | 2.5% | Yes (adopted June 29, 2025) | Opportunistic (traded every year 2023–2025, no repeating month) |
| 2026-06-10 | Riley Bobby | CEO | 30,000 | $1.1M | 5.7% | No | Opportunistic (traded every year 2023–2025, no repeating month) |
| 2026-05-11 | Riley Corey Neil | CIO & CCO | 3,500 | $120K | 2.3% | Yes (adopted July 12, 2025) | Opportunistic (traded every year 2023–2025, no repeating month) |
| 2026-05-11 | Riley Bobby | CEO | 12,500 | $431K | 3.8% | Yes (adopted June 29, 2025) | Opportunistic (traded every year 2023–2025, no repeating month) |
| 2026-04-08 | Arriaga Brent Alexander | Director | 2,500 | $97K | 9.5% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2024) |
% of holdings sold = shares sold ÷ (shares sold + all holdings the insider reported on that Form 4, direct and through trusts).
Insider type follows Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski (Journal of Finance, 2012). An insider who traded the stock in the same calendar month in each of the past three years is a routine trader; one who traded in each of those years without such a pattern is an opportunistic trader. In their study, trades by opportunistic insiders predicted future returns and trades by routine insiders did not. Counts open-market purchases and sales only (SEC Form 4 codes P and S) by that insider in that company. Not investment advice.
Analysts (REPX)
Consensus Buy (mean 2.00 on a 1–5 scale), 4 analysts; mean target USD 56 (low 51, high 60).
Rating changes, last 120 days:
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 | Truist Securities | Target lowered | Buy | $47 → $41 |
| 2026-07-23 | Roth Capital | Reiterated | Buy | $45 |
Total return (dividends reinvested) (REPX)
| 1Y (from 2025-10-29) | 5Y (from 2021-10-25) | |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | +109.3% | +150.5% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +13.6% | +79.8% |
| Per year | +109.8% | +20.1% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 44.5% | 55.6% |
| Max drawdown | -23.0% (May 2026→Jul 2026) | -51.5% (Apr 2023→Jan 2024) |
REPX earnings history and stock reaction
| Results filed | Quarter | EPS | Consensus | Surprise | Stock reaction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Quarter ended Jun 30, 2026 | $1.54 | $1.63 | Miss −5.5% | +1.2% |
| May 6, 2026 | Quarter ended Mar 31, 2026 | $1.02 | $1.10 | Miss −7.3% | -7.1% |
| Mar 4, 2026 | Quarter ended Dec 31, 2025 | $1.01 | $0.83 | Beat +21.7% | +9.9% |
| Nov 5, 2025 | Quarter ended Sep 30, 2025 | $0.88 | $1.03 | Miss −14.6% | -2.6% |
| Aug 6, 2025 | — | — | — | — | +1.1% |
| May 7, 2025 | — | — | — | — | +4.9% |
| Mar 5, 2025 | — | — | — | — | +0.5% |
| Nov 6, 2024 | — | — | — | — | +16.8% |
EPS as reported against the analyst consensus before the release; surprise uses the cent-rounded figures shown (in dollars when EPS and consensus have opposite signs). Stock reaction = close before the results to close after (the first close following a release after the bell or before the open).
REPX recent SEC filings (last 120 days)
| Filed | Form | What it says |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 | 8-K | Ended a material agreement; New debt or off-balance-sheet obligation “On October 5, 2026, Riley Exploration - Permian, LLC ("REP LLC"), a wholly-owned subsidiary of Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. ("REPX," together with REP LLC, hereinafter referred to as the "Company"), voluntarily prepaid in full all of its outstanding 10.50% Senior Unsecured Notes due 2028 (the "Senior Notes") issued pursuant to that certain Note Purchase Agreement, dated as of April 3, 2023, as amended, (the "Note Purchase Agreement"), by and among REP LLC, as issuer, REPX, as parent, the subsidiaries of REP LLC…” |
| Aug 5, 2026 | 10-Q | Quarterly report · period ended Jun 30, 2026 |
| Aug 5, 2026 | 8-K | Quarterly results |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Schedule 13G | BlackRock, Inc.: 5.2% of shares, passive 5%+ holder |
Source: SEC EDGAR. Quotes are the opening words of each item as filed; each form links to the filing. Insider Form 4 filings are listed in the insider sections.
REPX revenue by product line (quarter ended Jun 30, 2026)
| Line | Revenue | Share of total | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oil sales, net | $182.2M | 109.9% | +112.1% |
| Oil and natural gas sales, net | $165.8M | 100.0% | +94.2% |
| Total revenue | $165.8M | 100% | — |
As tagged by the company in its SEC 10-Q / 10-K filings (XBRL).
REPX suppliers, customers and competitors (named in its 10-K)
| Relationship | Company | Sentence in the filing |
|---|---|---|
| Partner | RPC Power | “Currently we have a 50% interest in our joint venture, RPC Power LLC ("RPC Power").” |
| Partner | A&R | “The Company also had natural gas delivery commitments under the A&R Tolling Agreement and a remaining equity commitment under the Second Amendment to the A&R LLC Agreement to fund our portion of the capital budget for the RPC Power joint venture.” |
| Partner | Conduit Power | “RPC Power LLC ("RPC Power") is our power-focused joint venture with Conduit Power LLC, in which we have 50% ownership.” |
| Partner | Second Amended and Restated | “In May 2024, the Company entered into the Second Amended and Restated Limited Liability Company Agreement ("A&R LLC Agreement") to expand the scope of our joint venture to include the constructing, owning and operating of additional new power generation and storage assets, for the sale of energy and ancillary services to ERCOT ("Merchant Deal").” |
Quoted from the company's 10-K filed Mar 4, 2026.
REPX customer concentration
In the period ended Dec 31, 2025, 2 direct customers each accounted for at least 10% (60%, 30%) of revenue, per the company's 10-K filed Mar 4, 2026. The company does not name them.
REPX analyst estimates and revisions
| Period | EPS estimate | 90 days ago | Change | Revenue estimate | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends Sep 2026) | $2.42 | $1.74 | +39.2% | $160.0M | 4 |
| Next quarter (ends Dec 2026) | $2.21 | $1.79 | +23.5% | $140.0M | 4 |
| Current fiscal year (ends Dec 2026) | $7.23 | $6.14 | +17.8% | $579.5M | 4 |
| Next fiscal year (ends Dec 2027) | $9.29 | $8.22 | +13.0% | $621.3M | 5 |
REPX options: expected move
Options price a move of about ±10.6% (±$5.53) by Nov 20, 2026, which includes earnings on Nov 4, 2026. Over the last 8 reports the stock moved ±5.5% on average.
| Expiration | Days | ATM implied volatility | Expected move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2026 | 22 | 51.3% | ±10.6% |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 50 | 45.2% | ±13.6% |
| Mar 19, 2027 | 141 | 42.9% | ±21.1% |
| Jun 17, 2027 | 231 | 43.3% | ±26.7% |
30-day implied volatility 43.3% vs 41.7% realized over the last 30 trading days. Put/call ratio (volume) 0. Cboe delayed quotes (15 min). Expected move = at-the-money straddle.
Key Statistics (as of October 29, 2026 at 13:16 UTC)
| Price | USD 52.11 |
|---|---|
| Change | ▲ 0.23% (up) |
| Previous Close | USD 51.99 |
| Open | USD 52.44 |
| Day Range | USD 51.49 – 52.55 |
| 52-Week Range | USD 24.08 – 54.57 |
| Volume | 249,033 shares |
| Market Cap | $1.13B |
| Exchange | ASE |
Technical Analysis (REPX)
Nexqual's technical model rates REPX "STRONG BUY" based on 5 bullish and 0 bearish signals across 127 daily candles, as of October 29, 2026 at 13:16 UTC.
| Overall Signal | STRONG BUY |
|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 66.3 (neutral) |
| vs SMA50 | Above (USD 43.37) |
| MACD | 2.87 (positive) |
Analyst Ratings (REPX)
Wall Street analysts rate REPX "Buy" based on 4 analysts, with a mean price target of USD 56 (range USD 51–60), per Nexqual as of October 29, 2026 at 13:16 UTC.
| Consensus Rating | Buy |
|---|---|
| Analyst Count | 4 |
| Mean Target | USD 56 |
| High Target | USD 60 |
| Low Target | USD 51 |
| Buy / Hold / Sell | 4 / 0 / 0 |
Earnings (REPX)
| Next Earnings Date | 2026-11-04 |
|---|---|
| EPS Estimate | USD 2.42 |
| Revenue Estimate | $160.00M |
Recent Earnings History
| Quarter | Actual vs Estimate |
|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | USD 1.54 vs est 1.63 ▼ miss |
| 2026-03-31 | USD 1.02 vs est 1.1 ▼ miss |
| 2025-12-31 | USD 1.01 vs est 0.83 ▲ beat |
| 2025-09-30 | USD 0.88 vs est 1.03 ▼ miss |
Source: Nexqual, October 29, 2026 at 13:16 UTC.
Financials & Fundamentals (REPX)
| Total Revenue | $483.86M |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (latest quarter, YoY) | +94.20% |
| Gross Margin | +70.96% |
| Operating Margin | +52.60% |
| Profit Margin | +24.53% |
| ROE | +19.94% |
| Debt / Equity | 0.42 |
| Current Ratio | 0.45 |
| Total Cash | $20.69M |
| Total Debt | $267.50M |
Source: Nexqual, October 29, 2026 at 13:16 UTC.
Ownership (REPX)
| Insider Ownership | +18.27% |
|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership | +71.55% |
| Shares Outstanding | 21.70M |
| Float | 16.46M |
| Short % of Float | +6.29% |
Source: Nexqual, October 29, 2026 at 13:16 UTC.
Legal & Regulatory Risks from Riley Exploration Permian, Inc.'s Latest 10-K (filed 2026-03-04)
- We are subject to stringent federal, tribal, state and local laws and regulations related to environmental and occupational health and safety issues that could adversely affect the cost, manner or feasibility of conducting our operations or expose us to significant liabilities.
- We are subject to complex laws that can affect the cost, manner or feasibility of doing business.
- We are responsible for compliance with all applicable laws and regulations regarding the decommissioning, removal, plugging, abandonment, and reclamation of our facilities at the end of their economic life, the costs of which may be substantial.
- We may be involved in legal proceedings that could result in substantial liabilities.
Source: SEC EDGAR 10-K, Item 1A, official filing.
Peers & Related Stocks
| Symbol | Name | Price | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| BSM | Black Stone Minerals, L.P. | USD 14.86 | ▲ 0.41% |
| BTE | Baytex Energy Corp | USD 5.46 | ▲ 0.74% |
| CRK | Comstock Resources, Inc. | USD 14.87 | ▼ 0.2% |
| CRC | California Resources Corporatio | USD 54.72 | ▲ 1.13% |
| CRGY | Crescent Energy Company | USD 13.75 | ▲ 0.44% |
| CNX | CNX Resources Corporation | USD 38.05 | ▼ 1.37% |
Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 29, 2026 at 13:16 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.
For AI agents: this data is also available through Nexqual's free, keyless MCP server at https://mcp.nexqual.com/mcp; every result includes source_url, as_of and cite_as. More: nexqual.com/agents · llms.txt