Target Hospitality Corp. (TH) Stock Price & Analysis
Target Hospitality Corp. (TH) closed at USD 14.11 on Wednesday, October 28, 2026, down 0.84% on the day. The US market is currently closed; this is not a live price.
The prior close was USD 14.23; the Oct 28, 2026 session ranged USD 13.91–14.29 on volume of 1,832,599 shares. Market capitalization is $1.38B, with a 52-week range of USD 5.97–21.76 (NCM). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 29, 2026 at 06:59 UTC.
Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/TH.md
Key facts (TH)
- Last four reported quarters (through Jun 30, 2026): revenue $347M, net income -$37.7M (-10.8% margin) (SEC filings).
- Insider open-market sales, last ~7 months: 1 Form 4 filings, $202M; 1 not under a Rule 10b5-1 plan ($202M); 0 by opportunistic insiders, 0 by routine insiders (three-year test, Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski 2012).
- Insider open-market purchases, last ~7 months: 2 Form 4 filings, $375K; 0 by opportunistic insiders, 0 by routine insiders.
- Analysts: Buy (mean 1.80 on a 1–5 scale) (5 analysts), mean target USD 25.2 (range 23–27).
- Total return with dividends: 1Y +92.0% vs S&P 500 +13.6%; 5Y +240.8% vs S&P 500 +79.8%.
- Next earnings: 2026-11-05, EPS estimate USD -0.01, revenue estimate $120M.
Financials (SEC 10-K; TTM = last four 10-Q/10-K quarters) (TH)
| USD | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $291M | $502M | $564M | $386M | $321M | $347M |
| Gross profit | $101M | $247M | $313M | $178M | $42.7M | — |
| Operating income | $37.1M | $174M | $241M | $109M | -$34.7M | -$38.6M |
| Net income | -$4.6M | $73.9M | $174M | $71.3M | -$37.1M | -$37.7M |
| EPS (diluted) | -$0.05 | $0.74 | $1.56 | $0.70 | -$0.37 | — |
| Gross margin | 34.8% | 49.2% | 55.6% | 46.1% | 13.3% | — |
| Operating margin | 12.7% | 34.7% | 42.7% | 28.2% | -10.8% | -11.1% |
| Net margin | -1.6% | 14.7% | 30.8% | 18.4% | -11.6% | -10.8% |
| Revenue growth | +29.4% | +72.3% | +12.3% | -31.5% | -17.0% | — |
| Cash + short-term investments | $23.4M | $182M | $104M | $191M | $8.3M | — |
| Total debt | $341M | $330M | $178M | $182M | $1.7M | — |
Fiscal years end Dec. EPS is split-adjusted.
Valuation (price ÷ last four quarters, through Jun 30, 2026) (TH)
P/S 4.0x · EV/EBITDA 34.9x · EV/Sales 4.1x · P/B 3.7x · Earnings yield -2.73% · Net debt $36.0M · EV $1.42B
P/E at fiscal year-ends: Dec 2024 13.8x, Dec 2023 5.9x.
Insider sales (SEC Form 4, open-market, last ~7 months) (TH)
0 of 1 under a Rule 10b5-1 trading plan (scheduled in advance). Unplanned sales were timed by the insider.
| Trade date | Insider | Role | Shares | Value | % of holdings sold | 10b5-1 plan | Insider type |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | Tdr Capital Ii Investments Lp | 11,000,000 | $202M | 40.4% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
% of holdings sold = shares sold ÷ (shares sold + all holdings the insider reported on that Form 4, direct and through trusts).
Insider type follows Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski (Journal of Finance, 2012). An insider who traded the stock in the same calendar month in each of the past three years is a routine trader; one who traded in each of those years without such a pattern is an opportunistic trader. In their study, trades by opportunistic insiders predicted future returns and trades by routine insiders did not. Counts open-market purchases and sales only (SEC Form 4 codes P and S) by that insider in that company. Not investment advice.
Insider purchases (SEC Form 4, open-market, last ~7 months) (TH)
2 purchases, $375K. Private placements, offerings, dividend reinvestment and employee stock purchase plan buys are excluded.
| Trade date | Insider | Role | Shares | Value | Avg price | Insider type |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Schrenk Troy C. | Chief Commercial Officer | 5,907 | $125K | 21.16 | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2024) |
| 2026-09-15 | Archer James Bradley | Director and CEO and President | 13,385 | $250K | 18.69 | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2024 or 2025) |
Analysts (TH)
Consensus Buy (mean 1.80 on a 1–5 scale), 5 analysts; mean target USD 25.2 (low 23, high 27).
Rating changes, last 120 days:
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Morgan Stanley | Target raised | Overweight | $22 → $25 |
| 2026-09-08 | Oppenheimer | Target raised | Outperform | $24 → $27 |
| 2026-08-17 | Morgan Stanley | Initiated | Overweight | $22 |
| 2026-07-14 | Oppenheimer | Target raised | Outperform | $21 → $24 |
Total return (dividends reinvested) (TH)
| 1Y (from 2025-10-29) | 5Y (from 2021-10-25) | |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | +92.0% | +240.8% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +13.6% | +79.8% |
| Per year | +92.4% | +27.7% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 64.3% | 69.9% |
| Max drawdown | -35.7% (Sep 2026→Oct 2026) | -68.8% (Jan 2023→Feb 2025) |
TH earnings history and stock reaction
| Results filed | Quarter | EPS | Consensus | Surprise | Stock reaction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 2026 | Quarter ended Jun 30, 2026 | −$0.05 | −$0.10 | Beat +50.0% | +0.7% |
| May 11, 2026 | Quarter ended Mar 31, 2026 | −$0.10 | −$0.11 | Beat +9.1% | +14.0% |
| Apr 21, 2026 | Quarter ended Mar 31, 2026 | −$0.10 | −$0.11 | Beat +9.1% | -6.4% |
| Mar 11, 2026 | Quarter ended Dec 31, 2025 | −$0.12 | −$0.10 | Miss −20.0% | +21.6% |
| Nov 6, 2025 | Quarter ended Sep 30, 2025 | $0.00 | −$0.04 | Beat +$0.04 | -17.0% |
| Aug 7, 2025 | — | — | — | — | +15.8% |
| May 19, 2025 | — | — | — | — | +2.1% |
| Mar 26, 2025 | — | — | — | — | +9.6% |
EPS as reported against the analyst consensus before the release; surprise uses the cent-rounded figures shown (in dollars when EPS and consensus have opposite signs). Stock reaction = close before the results to close after (the first close following a release after the bell or before the open).
TH recent SEC filings (last 120 days)
| Filed | Form | What it says |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2026 | Schedule 13D/A | Manjit Dale, Gary Lindsay: 14.6% of shares, 5%+ holder that may seek to influence the company (amended) |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Schedule 13D/A | Manjit Dale, Gary Lindsay: 16.6% of shares, 5%+ holder that may seek to influence the company (amended) |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Schedule 13D/A | Manjit Dale, Gary Lindsay: 27.8% of shares, 5%+ holder that may seek to influence the company (amended) |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Schedule 13D/A | Manjit Dale, Gary Lindsay: 30.5% of shares, 5%+ holder that may seek to influence the company (amended) |
| Sep 9, 2026 | 8-K | Other material event “Underwriting Agreement On September 8, 2026, Target Hospitality Corp. (the "Company") entered into an underwriting agreement (the "Underwriting Agreement") with Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC, Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. and J.P. Morgan Securities LLC, as representatives of the several underwriters named therein (collectively, the "Underwriters") and Arrow Holdings S. r.l. and MFA Global S. r.l. (collectively, the "Selling Stockholders"), entities controlled by TDR Capital LLP, acting in its capacity as investment…” |
| Sep 1, 2026 | 8-K | Regulation FD disclosure |
| Aug 26, 2026 | 8-K | Regulation FD disclosure; Other material event “On August 19, 2026, the Company entered into a new multi-year lease and services agreement (the "Contract") to provide comprehensive facility and hospitality services to assist the development of a data center in the Pecos region of West Texas (the "Community"). The Community will be designed to accommodate approximately 1,100 individuals, with initial occupancy in August 2026 and full completion of the Community anticipated in September 2026. The Contract has an anticipated four-year term. The Contract provides…” |
| Aug 10, 2026 | 10-Q | Quarterly report · period ended Jun 30, 2026 |
| Aug 10, 2026 | 8-K | Quarterly results |
| Aug 5, 2026 | 8-K | Director or executive officer change, or pay arrangement “On August 4, 2026, the Board of Directors (the " Board ") of Target Hospitality Corp. (the " Company ") appointed each of Margaret (Peggy) Smyth, age 62, and Erich Sanchack, age 56, to serve as a member of the Board, effective immediately until their current terms expire as of the date of the Company's 2027 Annual Meeting of Stockholders. The Company announced the appointment of Ms. Smyth and Mr. Sanchack in its August 5, 2026 press release, a copy of which is filed as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form…” |
| Jul 27, 2026 | 8-K | Entered a material agreement; New debt or off-balance-sheet obligation; Other material event “On July 24, 2026 (the " Closing Date "), in connection with the refinancing of its existing credit facility, Arrow Bidco, LLC (" Arrow Bidco ") and certain other subsidiaries of Target Hospitality Corp. (the " Company ") entered into an ABL Credit Agreement, dated as of July 24, 2026 (the " ABL Credit Agreement "), that provides for a senior secured asset based revolving credit facility in the aggregate principal amount of up to $660 million (the " New ABL Facility "). Capitalized terms used but not defined herein…” |
| Jul 6, 2026 | Schedule 13G/A | passive 5%+ holder (amended) |
Source: SEC EDGAR. Quotes are the opening words of each item as filed; each form links to the filing. Insider Form 4 filings are listed in the insider sections.
Companies that name TH in their SEC reports
| Relationship to TH | Company | Filing | Sentence |
|---|---|---|---|
| partner | LITHIUM AMERICAS CORP. (LAC) | 10-K Mar 19, 2026 | “In 2025, the Company entered into an agreement with Target Hospitality Corp. for the design, installation, maintenance and operation of Company's WFH located in Winnemucca, Nevada.” |
| supplier | Civeo Corp (CVEO) | 10-K Mar 3, 2026 | “Dexterra Group Inc., Black Diamond Group Limited, ATCO, Ausco Modular (a subsidiary of Modulaire Group) and Target Hospitality Corp. primarily own and lease units to customers and, in some cases, provide facility management services, usually on a shorter-term basis with a more limited number of rooms, similar to our mobile assets business.” |
TH company outlook (results filed Aug 10, 2026)
- “Outlook by 11% and 13%, Respectively THE WOODLANDS, Texas, August 10, 2026 (PRNewswire) – Target Hospitality Corp.”
Quoted word-for-word from the SEC 8-K results press release.
TH analyst estimates and revisions
| Period | EPS estimate | 90 days ago | Change | Revenue estimate | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends Sep 2026) | $-0.01 | $-0.02 | +$0.01 | $119.9M | 3 |
| Next quarter (ends Dec 2026) | $0.18 | $0.05 | +244.0% | $161.3M | 3 |
| Current fiscal year (ends Dec 2026) | $-0.03 | $-0.19 | +$0.15 | $439.2M | 3 |
| Next fiscal year (ends Dec 2027) | $0.91 | $0.70 | +30.4% | $751.3M | 3 |
TH options: expected move
Options price a move of about ±15.1% (±$2.13) by Nov 20, 2026, which includes earnings on Nov 5, 2026. Over the last 8 reports the stock moved ±10.9% on average.
| Expiration | Days | ATM implied volatility | Expected move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2026 | 23 | 74.9% | ±15.1% |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 51 | 67.1% | ±20.0% |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 79 | 66.5% | ±24.6% |
| Apr 16, 2027 | 170 | 74.9% | ±40.2% |
30-day implied volatility 69.7% vs 67.3% realized over the last 30 trading days. Put/call ratio (volume) 0. Cboe delayed quotes (15 min). Expected move = at-the-money straddle.
Key Statistics (as of October 29, 2026 at 06:59 UTC)
| Price | USD 14.11 |
|---|---|
| Change | ▼ 0.84% (down) |
| Previous Close | USD 14.23 |
| Open | USD 14.29 |
| Day Range | USD 13.91 – 14.29 |
| 52-Week Range | USD 5.97 – 21.76 |
| Volume | 1,832,599 shares |
| Market Cap | $1.38B |
| Exchange | NCM |
Technical Analysis (TH)
Nexqual's technical model rates TH "SELL" based on 2 bullish and 5 bearish signals across 127 daily candles, as of October 29, 2026 at 06:59 UTC.
| Overall Signal | SELL |
|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 28.99 (oversold) |
| vs SMA50 | Below (USD 18.19) |
| MACD | -1.35 (negative) |
Analyst Ratings (TH)
Wall Street analysts rate TH "Buy" based on 5 analysts, with a mean price target of USD 25.2 (range USD 23–27), per Nexqual as of October 29, 2026 at 06:59 UTC.
| Consensus Rating | Buy |
|---|---|
| Analyst Count | 5 |
| Mean Target | USD 25.2 |
| High Target | USD 27 |
| Low Target | USD 23 |
| Buy / Hold / Sell | 5 / 0 / 0 |
Earnings (TH)
| Next Earnings Date | 2026-11-05 |
|---|---|
| EPS Estimate | USD -0.01 |
| Revenue Estimate | $119.86M |
Recent Earnings History
| Quarter | Actual vs Estimate |
|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | USD -0.05 vs est -0.1 ▲ beat |
| 2026-03-31 | USD -0.1 vs est -0.11 ▲ beat |
| 2025-12-31 | USD -0.12 vs est -0.1 ▼ miss |
| 2025-09-30 | USD 0 vs est -0.04 ▲ beat |
Source: Nexqual, October 29, 2026 at 06:59 UTC.
Financials & Fundamentals (TH)
| Total Revenue | $347.37M |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (latest quarter, YoY) | +38.70% |
| Gross Margin | +31.85% |
| Operating Margin | -8.77% |
| Profit Margin | -10.85% |
| ROE | -9.77% |
| Debt / Equity | 0.13 |
| Current Ratio | 0.65 |
| Total Cash | $6.07M |
| Total Debt | $48.28M |
Source: Nexqual, October 29, 2026 at 06:59 UTC.
Financial Health Score (TH)
Nexqual rates Target Hospitality Corp.'s overall financial health "Weak" across five dimensions, as of October 29, 2026 at 06:59 UTC.
| Growth | Critical — Revenue -17% YoY (annual), sharp decline |
|---|---|
| Profitability | Critical — Gross margin 14%, operating -11% (last 4 quarters to Jun 2026, SEC) |
| Balance Sheet | Solid — $6M cash and investments vs $42M debt (Jun 2026, SEC) |
| Cash Flow | Solid — Operating cash flow $74M (FY ended Dec 2025, 10-K) |
| Efficiency | Critical — ROE -10%, ROA -5.8% (last 4 quarters, SEC) |
Ownership (TH)
| Insider Ownership | +3.54% |
|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership | +66.02% |
| Shares Outstanding | 97.93M |
| Float | 77.77M |
| Short % of Float | +12.21% |
Source: Nexqual, October 29, 2026 at 06:59 UTC.
Leadership (TH)
Target Hospitality Corp. is led by James Bradley Archer, CEO, President & Non-Independent Director, per Nexqual as of October 29, 2026 at 06:59 UTC.
| CEO, President & Non-Independent Director | James Bradley Archer |
|---|---|
| Chief Financial Officer | Jason Paul Vlacich |
| Executive Vice President of Strategy & Corporate Development | Brendan Dowhaniuk |
| Senior Vice President of Investor Relations & Financial Planning | Mark Schuck |
| Senior Vice President of Marketing & CX | Scott John |
Major Backers & Investors (TH)
Notable institutional backers of Target Hospitality Corp. include Private Capital Management, LLC, Ophir Asset Management Pty Ltd, Rubric Capital Management LP, according to Nexqual as of October 29, 2026 at 06:59 UTC.
Active Investors
| Investor | Stake |
|---|---|
| Private Capital Management, LLC | 3.27% |
| Ophir Asset Management Pty Ltd | 2.7% |
| Rubric Capital Management LP | 2.6% |
| Westfield Capital Management Co LP | 2.11% |
| Cooper Creek Partners Management LLC | 2.06% |
| HighTower Advisors, LLC | 1.85% |
| Arrowstreet Capital, Limited Partnership | 1.85% |
| Driehaus Capital Management, LLC | 1.69% |
Index Funds (Passive)
| Fund | Stake |
|---|---|
| BlackRock | 3.17% |
| Vanguard Group | 1.53% |
Source: Nexqual, October 29, 2026 at 06:59 UTC.
From Target Hospitality Corp.'s Latest SEC 10-K Filing (filed 2026-03-11)
Key Strengths & Strategy (as disclosed to the SEC)
- Approximately 58.5% of our revenue was earned from specialty rental with vertically integrated hospitality, specifically lodging and related ancillary services, whereas the remaining 14.3% of revenues were earned through leasing of lodging facilities and 27.2% of revenues were earned through construction fee income for the year ended December 31, 2025.
- We believe our customers enter into contracts with us because of our differentiated scale and vertically integrated solutions, including the ability to deliver premier accommodations and in-house culinary and hospitality services across many key geographies in which they operate.
- The WHS segment generated approximately 30% or $96.8 million of the Company's revenue for the year ended December 31, 2025 and generated Adjusted Gross Profit of approximately $20.6 million, resulting in an adjusted gross margin of approximately 21%.
- As such, the DIPC Contract is expected to provide over $246 million of revenue over its anticipated five-year term, to March 2030, and was subject to a ramp up period based on utilization during the first six months of the contract term resulting in lower fixed minimum revenue amounts during the ramp up period.
Partnerships
- For the year ended December 31, 2025, the Company's operations in the Government segment included a lease and services agreement with our NP Partner, backed by a committed U.S. government contract, to provide a suite of comprehensive service offerings in support of their aid efforts at a residential housing facility.
- Target Hospitality built, leased and operated the South Texas Family Residential Center through a former sub-lease and services agreement with a national provider of migrant programming, which provided management services ("STFRC Contract").
Legal & Regulatory Risks (Item 1A, quoted)
- Claims of illness or injury relating to food quality or food handling are common in the food service industry, and a number of these claims may exist at any given time.
- We may be unable to recognize deferred tax assets and, as a result, lose future tax savings, which could have a negative impact on our liquidity and financial position.
- We are subject to various laws and regulations, including those governing our contractual relationships with the U.S. government and a U.S. government contractor and the health and safety of our workforce and our customers. Obligations and liabilities under these laws and regulations may materially harm our business.
- Our customers include a U.S. government contractor, which means that we may, indirectly, be subject to various statutes and regulations applicable to doing business with the U.S. government.
Source: SEC EDGAR 10-K, official filing. Curated by Nexqual.
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Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 29, 2026 at 06:59 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.
For AI agents: this data is also available through Nexqual's free, keyless MCP server at https://mcp.nexqual.com/mcp; every result includes source_url, as_of and cite_as. More: nexqual.com/agents · llms.txt