Target Hospitality Corp. (TH) Stock Price & Analysis

Target Hospitality Corp. (TH) closed at USD 14.11 on Wednesday, October 28, 2026, down 0.84% on the day. The US market is currently closed; this is not a live price.

The prior close was USD 14.23; the Oct 28, 2026 session ranged USD 13.91–14.29 on volume of 1,832,599 shares. Market capitalization is $1.38B, with a 52-week range of USD 5.97–21.76 (NCM). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 29, 2026 at 06:59 UTC.

Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/TH.md

Key facts (TH)

Financials (SEC 10-K; TTM = last four 10-Q/10-K quarters) (TH)

USDFY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025TTM
Revenue$291M$502M$564M$386M$321M$347M
Gross profit$101M$247M$313M$178M$42.7M—
Operating income$37.1M$174M$241M$109M-$34.7M-$38.6M
Net income-$4.6M$73.9M$174M$71.3M-$37.1M-$37.7M
EPS (diluted)-$0.05$0.74$1.56$0.70-$0.37—
Gross margin34.8%49.2%55.6%46.1%13.3%—
Operating margin12.7%34.7%42.7%28.2%-10.8%-11.1%
Net margin-1.6%14.7%30.8%18.4%-11.6%-10.8%
Revenue growth+29.4%+72.3%+12.3%-31.5%-17.0%—
Cash + short-term investments$23.4M$182M$104M$191M$8.3M—
Total debt$341M$330M$178M$182M$1.7M—

Fiscal years end Dec. EPS is split-adjusted.

Valuation (price ÷ last four quarters, through Jun 30, 2026) (TH)

P/S 4.0x · EV/EBITDA 34.9x · EV/Sales 4.1x · P/B 3.7x · Earnings yield -2.73% · Net debt $36.0M · EV $1.42B

P/E at fiscal year-ends: Dec 2024 13.8x, Dec 2023 5.9x.

Insider sales (SEC Form 4, open-market, last ~7 months) (TH)

0 of 1 under a Rule 10b5-1 trading plan (scheduled in advance). Unplanned sales were timed by the insider.

Trade dateInsiderRoleSharesValue% of holdings sold10b5-1 planInsider type
2026-10-01Tdr Capital Ii Investments Lp11,000,000$202M40.4%NoToo little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025)

% of holdings sold = shares sold ÷ (shares sold + all holdings the insider reported on that Form 4, direct and through trusts).

Insider type follows Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski (Journal of Finance, 2012). An insider who traded the stock in the same calendar month in each of the past three years is a routine trader; one who traded in each of those years without such a pattern is an opportunistic trader. In their study, trades by opportunistic insiders predicted future returns and trades by routine insiders did not. Counts open-market purchases and sales only (SEC Form 4 codes P and S) by that insider in that company. Not investment advice.

Insider purchases (SEC Form 4, open-market, last ~7 months) (TH)

2 purchases, $375K. Private placements, offerings, dividend reinvestment and employee stock purchase plan buys are excluded.

Trade dateInsiderRoleSharesValueAvg priceInsider type
2026-09-18Schrenk Troy C.Chief Commercial Officer5,907$125K21.16Too little history (no open-market trades in 2024)
2026-09-15Archer James BradleyDirector and CEO and President13,385$250K18.69Too little history (no open-market trades in 2024 or 2025)

Analysts (TH)

Consensus Buy (mean 1.80 on a 1–5 scale), 5 analysts; mean target USD 25.2 (low 23, high 27).

Rating changes, last 120 days:

DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
2026-09-14Morgan StanleyTarget raisedOverweight$22 → $25
2026-09-08OppenheimerTarget raisedOutperform$24 → $27
2026-08-17Morgan StanleyInitiatedOverweight$22
2026-07-14OppenheimerTarget raisedOutperform$21 → $24

Total return (dividends reinvested) (TH)

1Y (from 2025-10-29)5Y (from 2021-10-25)
Total return+92.0%+240.8%
S&P 500 (SPY)+13.6%+79.8%
Per year+92.4%+27.7%
Volatility (annualized)64.3%69.9%
Max drawdown-35.7% (Sep 2026→Oct 2026)-68.8% (Jan 2023→Feb 2025)

TH earnings history and stock reaction

Results filedQuarterEPSConsensusSurpriseStock reaction
Aug 10, 2026Quarter ended Jun 30, 2026−$0.05−$0.10Beat +50.0%+0.7%
May 11, 2026Quarter ended Mar 31, 2026−$0.10−$0.11Beat +9.1%+14.0%
Apr 21, 2026Quarter ended Mar 31, 2026−$0.10−$0.11Beat +9.1%-6.4%
Mar 11, 2026Quarter ended Dec 31, 2025−$0.12−$0.10Miss −20.0%+21.6%
Nov 6, 2025Quarter ended Sep 30, 2025$0.00−$0.04Beat +$0.04-17.0%
Aug 7, 2025————+15.8%
May 19, 2025————+2.1%
Mar 26, 2025————+9.6%

EPS as reported against the analyst consensus before the release; surprise uses the cent-rounded figures shown (in dollars when EPS and consensus have opposite signs). Stock reaction = close before the results to close after (the first close following a release after the bell or before the open).

TH recent SEC filings (last 120 days)

FiledFormWhat it says
Oct 26, 2026Schedule 13D/AManjit Dale, Gary Lindsay: 14.6% of shares, 5%+ holder that may seek to influence the company (amended)
Oct 5, 2026Schedule 13D/AManjit Dale, Gary Lindsay: 16.6% of shares, 5%+ holder that may seek to influence the company (amended)
Sep 28, 2026Schedule 13D/AManjit Dale, Gary Lindsay: 27.8% of shares, 5%+ holder that may seek to influence the company (amended)
Sep 14, 2026Schedule 13D/AManjit Dale, Gary Lindsay: 30.5% of shares, 5%+ holder that may seek to influence the company (amended)
Sep 9, 20268-KOther material event
“Underwriting Agreement On September 8, 2026, Target Hospitality Corp. (the "Company") entered into an underwriting agreement (the "Underwriting Agreement") with Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC, Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. and J.P. Morgan Securities LLC, as representatives of the several underwriters named therein (collectively, the "Underwriters") and Arrow Holdings S. r.l. and MFA Global S. r.l. (collectively, the "Selling Stockholders"), entities controlled by TDR Capital LLP, acting in its capacity as investment…”
Sep 1, 20268-KRegulation FD disclosure
Aug 26, 20268-KRegulation FD disclosure; Other material event
“On August 19, 2026, the Company entered into a new multi-year lease and services agreement (the "Contract") to provide comprehensive facility and hospitality services to assist the development of a data center in the Pecos region of West Texas (the "Community"). The Community will be designed to accommodate approximately 1,100 individuals, with initial occupancy in August 2026 and full completion of the Community anticipated in September 2026. The Contract has an anticipated four-year term. The Contract provides…”
Aug 10, 202610-QQuarterly report · period ended Jun 30, 2026
Aug 10, 20268-KQuarterly results
Aug 5, 20268-KDirector or executive officer change, or pay arrangement
“On August 4, 2026, the Board of Directors (the " Board ") of Target Hospitality Corp. (the " Company ") appointed each of Margaret (Peggy) Smyth, age 62, and Erich Sanchack, age 56, to serve as a member of the Board, effective immediately until their current terms expire as of the date of the Company's 2027 Annual Meeting of Stockholders. The Company announced the appointment of Ms. Smyth and Mr. Sanchack in its August 5, 2026 press release, a copy of which is filed as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form…”
Jul 27, 20268-KEntered a material agreement; New debt or off-balance-sheet obligation; Other material event
“On July 24, 2026 (the " Closing Date "), in connection with the refinancing of its existing credit facility, Arrow Bidco, LLC (" Arrow Bidco ") and certain other subsidiaries of Target Hospitality Corp. (the " Company ") entered into an ABL Credit Agreement, dated as of July 24, 2026 (the " ABL Credit Agreement "), that provides for a senior secured asset based revolving credit facility in the aggregate principal amount of up to $660 million (the " New ABL Facility "). Capitalized terms used but not defined herein…”
Jul 6, 2026Schedule 13G/Apassive 5%+ holder (amended)

Source: SEC EDGAR. Quotes are the opening words of each item as filed; each form links to the filing. Insider Form 4 filings are listed in the insider sections.

Companies that name TH in their SEC reports

Relationship to THCompanyFilingSentence
partnerLITHIUM AMERICAS CORP. (LAC)10-K Mar 19, 2026“In 2025, the Company entered into an agreement with Target Hospitality Corp. for the design, installation, maintenance and operation of Company's WFH located in Winnemucca, Nevada.”
supplierCiveo Corp (CVEO)10-K Mar 3, 2026“Dexterra Group Inc., Black Diamond Group Limited, ATCO, Ausco Modular (a subsidiary of Modulaire Group) and Target Hospitality Corp. primarily own and lease units to customers and, in some cases, provide facility management services, usually on a shorter-term basis with a more limited number of rooms, similar to our mobile assets business.”

TH company outlook (results filed Aug 10, 2026)

Quoted word-for-word from the SEC 8-K results press release.

TH analyst estimates and revisions

PeriodEPS estimate90 days agoChangeRevenue estimateAnalysts
Current quarter (ends Sep 2026)$-0.01$-0.02+$0.01$119.9M3
Next quarter (ends Dec 2026)$0.18$0.05+244.0%$161.3M3
Current fiscal year (ends Dec 2026)$-0.03$-0.19+$0.15$439.2M3
Next fiscal year (ends Dec 2027)$0.91$0.70+30.4%$751.3M3

TH options: expected move

Options price a move of about ±15.1% (±$2.13) by Nov 20, 2026, which includes earnings on Nov 5, 2026. Over the last 8 reports the stock moved ±10.9% on average.

ExpirationDaysATM implied volatilityExpected move
Nov 20, 20262374.9%±15.1%
Dec 18, 20265167.1%±20.0%
Jan 15, 20277966.5%±24.6%
Apr 16, 202717074.9%±40.2%

30-day implied volatility 69.7% vs 67.3% realized over the last 30 trading days. Put/call ratio (volume) 0. Cboe delayed quotes (15 min). Expected move = at-the-money straddle.

Key Statistics (as of October 29, 2026 at 06:59 UTC)

PriceUSD 14.11
Change▼ 0.84% (down)
Previous CloseUSD 14.23
OpenUSD 14.29
Day RangeUSD 13.91 – 14.29
52-Week RangeUSD 5.97 – 21.76
Volume1,832,599 shares
Market Cap$1.38B
ExchangeNCM

Technical Analysis (TH)

Nexqual's technical model rates TH "SELL" based on 2 bullish and 5 bearish signals across 127 daily candles, as of October 29, 2026 at 06:59 UTC.

Overall SignalSELL
RSI (14)28.99 (oversold)
vs SMA50Below (USD 18.19)
MACD-1.35 (negative)

Analyst Ratings (TH)

Wall Street analysts rate TH "Buy" based on 5 analysts, with a mean price target of USD 25.2 (range USD 23–27), per Nexqual as of October 29, 2026 at 06:59 UTC.

Consensus RatingBuy
Analyst Count5
Mean TargetUSD 25.2
High TargetUSD 27
Low TargetUSD 23
Buy / Hold / Sell5 / 0 / 0

Earnings (TH)

Next Earnings Date2026-11-05
EPS EstimateUSD -0.01
Revenue Estimate$119.86M

Recent Earnings History

QuarterActual vs Estimate
2026-06-30USD -0.05 vs est -0.1 ▲ beat
2026-03-31USD -0.1 vs est -0.11 ▲ beat
2025-12-31USD -0.12 vs est -0.1 ▼ miss
2025-09-30USD 0 vs est -0.04 ▲ beat

Source: Nexqual, October 29, 2026 at 06:59 UTC.

Financials & Fundamentals (TH)

Total Revenue$347.37M
Revenue Growth (latest quarter, YoY)+38.70%
Gross Margin+31.85%
Operating Margin-8.77%
Profit Margin-10.85%
ROE-9.77%
Debt / Equity0.13
Current Ratio0.65
Total Cash$6.07M
Total Debt$48.28M

Source: Nexqual, October 29, 2026 at 06:59 UTC.

Financial Health Score (TH)

Nexqual rates Target Hospitality Corp.'s overall financial health "Weak" across five dimensions, as of October 29, 2026 at 06:59 UTC.

GrowthCritical — Revenue -17% YoY (annual), sharp decline
ProfitabilityCritical — Gross margin 14%, operating -11% (last 4 quarters to Jun 2026, SEC)
Balance SheetSolid — $6M cash and investments vs $42M debt (Jun 2026, SEC)
Cash FlowSolid — Operating cash flow $74M (FY ended Dec 2025, 10-K)
EfficiencyCritical — ROE -10%, ROA -5.8% (last 4 quarters, SEC)

Ownership (TH)

Insider Ownership+3.54%
Institutional Ownership+66.02%
Shares Outstanding97.93M
Float77.77M
Short % of Float+12.21%

Source: Nexqual, October 29, 2026 at 06:59 UTC.

Leadership (TH)

Target Hospitality Corp. is led by James Bradley Archer, CEO, President & Non-Independent Director, per Nexqual as of October 29, 2026 at 06:59 UTC.

CEO, President & Non-Independent DirectorJames Bradley Archer
Chief Financial OfficerJason Paul Vlacich
Executive Vice President of Strategy & Corporate DevelopmentBrendan Dowhaniuk
Senior Vice President of Investor Relations & Financial PlanningMark Schuck
Senior Vice President of Marketing & CXScott John

Major Backers & Investors (TH)

Notable institutional backers of Target Hospitality Corp. include Private Capital Management, LLC, Ophir Asset Management Pty Ltd, Rubric Capital Management LP, according to Nexqual as of October 29, 2026 at 06:59 UTC.

Active Investors

InvestorStake
Private Capital Management, LLC3.27%
Ophir Asset Management Pty Ltd2.7%
Rubric Capital Management LP2.6%
Westfield Capital Management Co LP2.11%
Cooper Creek Partners Management LLC2.06%
HighTower Advisors, LLC1.85%
Arrowstreet Capital, Limited Partnership1.85%
Driehaus Capital Management, LLC1.69%

Index Funds (Passive)

FundStake
BlackRock3.17%
Vanguard Group1.53%

Source: Nexqual, October 29, 2026 at 06:59 UTC.

From Target Hospitality Corp.'s Latest SEC 10-K Filing (filed 2026-03-11)

Key Strengths & Strategy (as disclosed to the SEC)

Partnerships

Legal & Regulatory Risks (Item 1A, quoted)

Source: SEC EDGAR 10-K, official filing. Curated by Nexqual.

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Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 29, 2026 at 06:59 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.

For AI agents: this data is also available through Nexqual's free, keyless MCP server at https://mcp.nexqual.com/mcp; every result includes source_url, as_of and cite_as. More: nexqual.com/agents · llms.txt