Accel Entertainment, Inc. (ACEL) Stock Price & Analysis
Accel Entertainment, Inc. (ACEL) is trading at USD 11.32, up 2.07% today, as of October 29, 2026 at 14:00 UTC (US market open; quotes may be delayed), according to Nexqual market data.
ACEL last closed at USD 11.09; today's session has ranged USD 11.19–11.38 on volume of 28,616 shares. Market capitalization is $919.11M, with a 52-week range of USD 9.55–14 (NYQ). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 29, 2026 at 14:03 UTC.
Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/ACEL.md
Key facts (ACEL)
- Last four reported quarters (through Jun 30, 2026): revenue $1.39B, net income $56.7M (4.1% margin), free cash flow $78.9M (SEC filings).
- Valuation: P/E 16.2x (avg 21.4x at the last 3 fiscal year-ends), EV/EBITDA 7.3x, net debt $318M.
- Insider open-market sales, last ~7 months: 7 Form 4 filings, $2.2M; 3 not under a Rule 10b5-1 plan ($1.1M); 1 by opportunistic insiders (1 outside 10b5-1 plans), 4 by routine insiders (three-year test, Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski 2012).
- Insider open-market purchases, last ~7 months: 1 Form 4 filing, $578K; 0 by opportunistic insiders, 0 by routine insiders.
- Analysts: Buy (mean 2.14 on a 1–5 scale) (7 analysts), mean target USD 15.57 (range 13–18).
- Total return with dividends: 1Y +12.3% vs S&P 500 +13.0%; 5Y -7.1% vs S&P 500 +78.9%.
- Next earnings: 2026-11-03, EPS estimate USD 0.27, revenue estimate $359M.
Financials (SEC 10-K; TTM = last four 10-Q/10-K quarters) (ACEL)
| USD | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $735M | $970M | $1.17B | $1.23B | $1.33B | $1.39B |
| Operating income | $70.2M | $96.9M | $107M | $90.9M | $108M | $114M |
| Net income | $31.6M | $74.1M | $45.6M | $35.3M | $51.5M | $56.7M |
| EPS (diluted) | $0.33 | $0.81 | $0.53 | $0.41 | $0.60 | — |
| Free cash flow | $81.0M | $60.6M | $50.8M | $54.7M | $62.0M | $78.9M |
| Operating margin | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% |
| Net margin | 4.3% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% |
| Revenue growth | +132.2% | +32.0% | +20.7% | +5.2% | +8.1% | — |
| Cash + short-term investments | $231M | $256M | $262M | — | — | — |
| Total debt | $342M | $542M | $543M | $595M | $607M | — |
Fiscal years end Dec. EPS is split-adjusted.
Valuation (price ÷ last four quarters, through Jun 30, 2026) (ACEL)
P/E 16.2x · P/S 0.7x · EV/EBITDA 7.3x · EV/Sales 0.9x · P/FCF 11.6x · P/B 3.2x · FCF yield 8.59% · Earnings yield 6.17% · Buyback yield (TTM) 4.43% · Net debt $318M · EV $1.24B
P/E at fiscal year-ends: Dec 2025 19.1x, Dec 2024 25.7x, Dec 2023 19.5x.
Insider sales (SEC Form 4, open-market, last ~7 months) (ACEL)
4 of 7 under a Rule 10b5-1 trading plan (scheduled in advance). Unplanned sales were timed by the insider.
| Trade date | Insider | Role | Shares | Value | % of holdings sold | 10b5-1 plan | Insider type |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Kozlik Christen | Chief Accounting Officer | 550 | $6K | 2.8% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023 or 2024) |
| 2026-09-11…2026-09-14 | Harmer Derek | Chief Compliance Officer | 39,486 | $459K | 20% | No | Routine (sold in Mar & Jun & Dec each year 2023–2025; this trade is outside those months) |
| 2026-08-05 | Rubenstein Andrew H. | CEO and President | 15,000 | $190K | 0.4% | Yes (adopted December 26, 2024) | Routine (sold in Aug & Dec each year 2023–2025) |
| 2026-06-15 | Harmer Derek | Chief Compliance Officer | 20,000 | $260K | 9.6% | Yes (adopted December 13, 2024) | Routine (sold in Mar & Jun & Dec each year 2023–2025) |
| 2026-06-15 | Phelan Mark T. | COO, President, U.S. Gaming | 25,000 | $325K | 9.4% | Yes (adopted March 13, 2026) | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023 or 2025) |
| 2026-06-01 | Rubenstein Andrew H. | CEO and President | 25,000 | $302K | 0.6% | Yes (adopted December 26, 2024) | Routine (sold in Aug & Dec each year 2023–2025; this trade is outside those months) |
| 2026-05-07…2026-05-08 | Rubenstein Gordon | Director | 59,277 | $675K | 100% | No | Opportunistic (traded every year 2023–2025, no repeating month) |
% of holdings sold = shares sold ÷ (shares sold + all holdings the insider reported on that Form 4, direct and through trusts).
Insider type follows Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski (Journal of Finance, 2012). An insider who traded the stock in the same calendar month in each of the past three years is a routine trader; one who traded in each of those years without such a pattern is an opportunistic trader. In their study, trades by opportunistic insiders predicted future returns and trades by routine insiders did not. Counts open-market purchases and sales only (SEC Form 4 codes P and S) by that insider in that company. Not investment advice.
Insider purchases (SEC Form 4, open-market, last ~7 months) (ACEL)
1 purchase, $578K. Private placements, offerings, dividend reinvestment and employee stock purchase plan buys are excluded.
| Trade date | Insider | Role | Shares | Value | Avg price | Insider type |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-11 | Wardinski Bruce D | Director | 50,000 | $578K | 11.55 | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
Analysts (ACEL)
Consensus Buy (mean 2.14 on a 1–5 scale), 7 analysts; mean target USD 15.57 (low 13, high 18).
Rating changes, last 120 days:
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-20 | Truist Securities | Target lowered | Hold | $14 → $13 |
| 2026-10-07 | Macquarie | Target raised | Outperform | $16 → $17 |
| 2026-08-21 | Wells Fargo | Initiated | Equal-Weight | $14 |
| 2026-08-05 | Macquarie | Maintained | Outperform | $16 |
| 2026-08-05 | Citizens | Target raised | Market Outperform | $14 → $15 |
Total return (dividends reinvested) (ACEL)
| 1Y (from 2025-10-29) | 5Y (from 2021-10-25) | |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | +12.3% | -7.1% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +13.0% | +78.9% |
| Per year | +12.3% | -1.4% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 31.5% | 29.9% |
| Max drawdown | -21.0% (Jun 2026→Oct 2026) | -44.4% (Feb 2022→Dec 2022) |
ACEL earnings history and stock reaction
| Results filed | Quarter | EPS | Consensus | Surprise | Stock reaction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | Quarter ended Jun 30, 2026 | $0.30 | $0.21 | Beat +42.9% | — |
| — | Quarter ended Mar 31, 2026 | $0.27 | $0.25 | Beat +8.0% | — |
| — | Quarter ended Dec 31, 2025 | $0.29 | $0.20 | Beat +45.0% | — |
| — | Quarter ended Sep 30, 2025 | $0.25 | $0.21 | Beat +19.0% | — |
EPS as reported against the analyst consensus before the release; surprise uses the cent-rounded figures shown (in dollars when EPS and consensus have opposite signs). Stock reaction = close before the results to close after (the first close following a release after the bell or before the open).
ACEL suppliers, customers and competitors (named in its 10-K)
| Relationship | Company | Sentence in the filing |
|---|---|---|
| Supplier | Light & Wonder, Inc. (LNWO) | “We purchase multi-game gaming terminals from leading manufacturers such as Light & Wonder, Inc., International Game Technology, Aristocrat and Novomatic.” |
| Partner | Toucan Gaming | “Concurrent with the acquisition, we entered into a redemption agreement with the noncontrolling interest holder in the form of put and call options that would allow us to eventually own 100% of Toucan Gaming.” |
Quoted from the company's 10-K filed Mar 3, 2026.
ACEL analyst estimates and revisions
| Period | EPS estimate | 90 days ago | Change | Revenue estimate | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends Sep 2026) | $0.27 | $0.22 | +20.5% | $359.0M | 2 |
| Next quarter (ends Dec 2026) | $0.27 | $0.24 | +10.2% | $365.8M | 2 |
| Current fiscal year (ends Dec 2026) | $0.88 | $0.86 | +2.0% | $1.44B | 2 |
| Next fiscal year (ends Dec 2027) | $1.14 | $0.97 | +16.4% | $1.51B | 2 |
Key Statistics (as of October 29, 2026 at 14:03 UTC)
| Price | USD 11.32 |
|---|---|
| Change | ▲ 2.07% (up) |
| Previous Close | USD 11.09 |
| Open | USD 11.23 |
| Day Range | USD 11.19 – 11.38 |
| 52-Week Range | USD 9.55 – 14 |
| Volume | 28,616 shares |
| Market Cap | $919.11M |
| Exchange | NYQ |
Technical Analysis (ACEL)
Nexqual's technical model rates ACEL "BUY" based on 4 bullish and 2 bearish signals across 128 daily candles, as of October 29, 2026 at 14:03 UTC.
| Overall Signal | BUY |
|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 55.2 (neutral) |
| vs SMA50 | Above (USD 11.3) |
| MACD | -0.03 (negative) |
Analyst Ratings (ACEL)
Wall Street analysts rate ACEL "Buy" based on 7 analysts, with a mean price target of USD 15.57 (range USD 13–18), per Nexqual as of October 29, 2026 at 14:03 UTC.
| Consensus Rating | Buy |
|---|---|
| Analyst Count | 7 |
| Mean Target | USD 15.57 |
| High Target | USD 18 |
| Low Target | USD 13 |
| Buy / Hold / Sell | 5 / 2 / 0 |
Earnings (ACEL)
| Next Earnings Date | 2026-11-03 |
|---|---|
| EPS Estimate | USD 0.27 |
| Revenue Estimate | $358.97M |
Recent Earnings History
| Quarter | Actual vs Estimate |
|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | USD 0.3 vs est 0.21 ▲ beat |
| 2026-03-31 | USD 0.27 vs est 0.25 ▲ beat |
| 2025-12-31 | USD 0.29 vs est 0.2 ▲ beat |
| 2025-09-30 | USD 0.25 vs est 0.21 ▲ beat |
Source: Nexqual, October 29, 2026 at 14:03 UTC.
Financials & Fundamentals (ACEL)
| Total Revenue | $1.39B |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (latest quarter, YoY) | +9.60% |
| Gross Margin | +31.36% |
| Operating Margin | +9.39% |
| Profit Margin | +4.07% |
| ROE | +20.47% |
| Debt / Equity | 1.99 |
| Current Ratio | 2.47 |
| Total Cash | $255.45M |
| Total Debt | $573.33M |
| Free Cash Flow (last four quarters to Jun 2026, SEC 10-Q / 10-K) | $78.94M (5.7% of revenue) |
Source: Nexqual, October 29, 2026 at 14:03 UTC.
Financial Health Score (ACEL)
Nexqual rates Accel Entertainment, Inc.'s overall financial health "Mixed" across five dimensions, as of October 29, 2026 at 14:03 UTC.
| Growth | Solid — Revenue +8% YoY (annual) |
|---|---|
| Profitability | Solid — Gross margin 31%, operating 8% (last 12 months) |
| Balance Sheet | Weak — $255M cash and investments vs $573M debt (Jun 2026, SEC) |
| Cash Flow | Solid — FCF $79M (last 4 quarters to Jun 2026, SEC), 6% margin |
| Efficiency | Solid — ROE 20%, ROA 5.2% (last 4 quarters, SEC) |
Ownership (ACEL)
| Insider Ownership | +14.45% |
|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership | +77.25% |
| Shares Outstanding | 81.19M |
| Float | 43.49M |
| Short % of Float | +4.96% |
Source: Nexqual, October 29, 2026 at 14:03 UTC.
Leadership (ACEL)
Accel Entertainment, Inc. is led by Mark T. Phelan, President, CEO & Director, per Nexqual as of October 29, 2026 at 14:03 UTC.
| President, CEO & Director | Mark T. Phelan |
|---|---|
| Co-Founder & Chairman of the Board | Andrew Harry Rubenstein |
| Vice Chairman of the Board & Co-Founder | Gordon Rubenstein |
| Chief Financial Officer | Brett Summerer |
| Chief Operating Officer | Stan W. Guidroz |
Major Backers & Investors (ACEL)
Notable institutional backers of Accel Entertainment, Inc. include DARLINGTON PARTNERS CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LP, Greenvale Capital, LLP, Hill Path Capital, LP, according to Nexqual as of October 29, 2026 at 14:03 UTC.
Active Investors
| Investor | Stake |
|---|---|
| DARLINGTON PARTNERS CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LP | 9.97% |
| Greenvale Capital, LLP | 6.94% |
| Hill Path Capital, LP | 3.44% |
| American Century Companies Inc | 2.15% |
| Arrowstreet Capital, Limited Partnership | 1.32% |
| Hotchkis & Wiley Capital Management, LLC | 1.09% |
Index Funds (Passive)
| Fund | Stake |
|---|---|
| BlackRock | 6.06% |
| Vanguard Group | 3.1% |
| Geode Capital | 1.68% |
| State Street | 1.66% |
Source: Nexqual, October 29, 2026 at 14:03 UTC.
From Accel Entertainment, Inc.'s Latest SEC 10-K Filing (filed 2026-03-03)
Key Strengths & Strategy (as disclosed to the SEC)
- We believe our efforts to procure gaming terminals from various sources better enables us to meet the needs of our location partners and players.
Legal & Regulatory Risks (Item 1A, quoted)
- We are subject to strict government regulations that are constantly evolving and may be amended, repealed, or subject to new interpretations, which may limit our existing operations, have an adverse impact on our ability to grow or may expose us to fines or other penalties.
- Our success depends on the security, integrity and regulatory compliance of our products, services and systems; technical incidents, cyber events, product defects or integrity failures could result in regulatory action, liability and reputational harm.
- We may be liable for product defects or other claims relating to our products that we provide to our location partners.
- The products that we provide to our location partners could be defective, fail to perform as designed or otherwise cause harm to players or location partners.
Source: SEC EDGAR 10-K, official filing. Curated by Nexqual.
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| RSI | Rush Street Interactive, Inc. | USD 14.98 | ▼ 0.99% |
| SGHC | Super Group (SGHC) Limited | USD 10.79 | ▲ 2.62% |
| CHDN | Churchill Downs, Incorporated | USD 89.6 | ▲ 9.33% |
| DKNG | DraftKings Inc. | USD 20.62 | ▲ 1.55% |
Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 29, 2026 at 14:03 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.
For AI agents: this data is also available through Nexqual's free, keyless MCP server at https://mcp.nexqual.com/mcp; every result includes source_url, as_of and cite_as. More: nexqual.com/agents · llms.txt