Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL) Stock Price & Analysis
Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL) closed at USD 102.69 on Thursday, October 22, 2026, up 2.40% on the day. The US market is currently closed (pre-market); this is not a live price.
The prior close was USD 100.28; the Oct 22, 2026 session ranged USD 100.39–103.84 on volume of 2,260,695 shares. Market capitalization is $35.04B, with a 52-week range of USD 82.45–107.09 (NMS). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 23, 2026 at 10:11 UTC.
Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/ACGL.md
Key facts (ACGL)
- Last four reported quarters (through Jun 30, 2026): revenue $19.2B, net income $4.69B (24.4% margin), free cash flow $6.05B (SEC filings).
- Valuation: P/E 7.5x (avg 7.6x at the last 3 fiscal year-ends), net debt $3.18B.
- Analysts: Hold (mean 2.50 on a 1–5 scale) (20 analysts), mean target USD 110.13 (range 95–131).
- Total return with dividends: 1Y +17.4% vs S&P 500 +14.9%; 5Y +149.9% vs S&P 500 +80.3%.
- Next earnings: 2026-10-27, EPS estimate USD 2.3, revenue estimate $3.79B.
Financials (SEC 10-K; TTM = last four 10-Q/10-K quarters) (ACGL)
| USD | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $9.25B | $9.61B | $13.6B | $17.4B | $19.9B | $19.2B |
| Net income | $2.16B | $1.48B | $4.44B | $4.31B | $4.40B | $4.69B |
| EPS (diluted) | $5.23 | $3.80 | $11.62 | $11.19 | $11.60 | — |
| Free cash flow | $3.38B | $3.77B | $5.70B | $6.62B | $6.13B | $6.05B |
| Net margin | 23.3% | 15.4% | 32.6% | 24.7% | 22.1% | 24.4% |
| Revenue growth | +8.7% | +3.9% | +41.8% | +27.9% | +14.3% | — |
| Cash + short-term investments | $859M | $855M | $917M | $979M | $993M | — |
| Total debt | $2.72B | $2.73B | $2.73B | $2.73B | $2.73B | — |
Fiscal years end Dec. EPS is split-adjusted.
Valuation (price ÷ last four quarters, through Jun 30, 2026) (ACGL)
P/E 7.5x · P/S 1.8x · EV/Sales 2.0x · P/FCF 5.8x · P/B 1.5x · FCF yield 17.28% · Earnings yield 13.39% · Buyback yield (TTM) 9.93% · Net debt $3.18B · EV $38.2B
P/E at fiscal year-ends: Dec 2025 8.2x, Dec 2024 8.2x, Dec 2023 6.3x.
Analysts (ACGL)
Consensus Hold (mean 2.50 on a 1–5 scale), 20 analysts; mean target USD 110.13 (low 95, high 131).
Rating changes, last 120 days:
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-13 | Morgan Stanley | Downgrade | Overweight → Equal-Weight | $105 → $100 |
| 2026-10-12 | Wells Fargo | Target lowered | Overweight | $117 → $107 |
| 2026-10-12 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Target lowered | Market Perform | $99 → $95 |
| 2026-10-09 | JP Morgan | Target lowered | Neutral | $118 → $113 |
| 2026-10-07 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Target lowered | Neutral | $110 → $105 |
| 2026-10-06 | Morgan Stanley | Target lowered | Overweight | $111 → $105 |
| 2026-09-16 | Mizuho | Target lowered | Neutral | $104 → $100 |
| 2026-08-11 | JP Morgan | Target raised | Neutral | $116 → $118 |
| 2026-08-11 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintained | Market Perform | $99 |
| 2026-08-05 | BMO Capital | Target raised | Market Perform | $95 → $102 |
| 2026-08-03 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Target raised | Neutral | $102 → $110 |
| 2026-08-03 | Morgan Stanley | Target raised | Overweight | $110 → $111 |
Total return (dividends reinvested) (ACGL)
| 1Y (from 2025-10-23) | 5Y (from 2021-10-18) | |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | +17.4% | +149.9% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +14.9% | +80.3% |
| Per year | +17.5% | +20.1% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 20.5% | 22.6% |
| Max drawdown | -14.1% (Feb 2026→Jun 2026) | -21.0% (Sep 2024→Oct 2025) |
ACGL analyst estimates and revisions
| Period | EPS estimate | 90 days ago | Change | Revenue estimate | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends Sep 2026) | $2.30 | $1.84 | +25.4% | $3.79B | 19 |
| Next quarter (ends Dec 2026) | $2.48 | $2.48 | -0.2% | $3.52B | 18 |
| Current fiscal year (ends Dec 2026) | $9.80 | $9.28 | +5.6% | $15.78B | 20 |
| Next fiscal year (ends Dec 2027) | $9.80 | $9.81 | -0.0% | $15.77B | 20 |
ACGL options: expected move
Options price a move of about ±6.4% (±$6.60) by Nov 20, 2026, which includes earnings on Oct 27, 2026.
| Expiration | Days | ATM implied volatility | Expected move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2026 | 28 | 27.2% | ±6.4% |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 56 | 24.1% | ±7.8% |
| Mar 19, 2027 | 147 | 22.9% | ±11.8% |
| Jun 17, 2027 | 237 | 23.8% | ±15.5% |
30-day implied volatility 26% vs 19.1% realized over the last 30 trading days. Put/call ratio (volume) 0.31. Cboe delayed quotes (15 min). Expected move = at-the-money straddle.
Key Statistics (as of October 23, 2026 at 10:11 UTC)
| Price | USD 102.69 |
|---|---|
| Change | ▲ 2.40% (up) |
| Previous Close | USD 100.28 |
| Open | USD 101.14 |
| Day Range | USD 100.39 – 103.84 |
| 52-Week Range | USD 82.45 – 107.09 |
| Volume | 2,260,695 shares |
| Market Cap | $35.04B |
| Exchange | NMS |
Technical Analysis (ACGL)
Nexqual's technical model rates ACGL "BUY" based on 5 bullish and 1 bearish signals across 127 daily candles, as of October 23, 2026 at 10:11 UTC.
| Overall Signal | BUY |
|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 67.1 (neutral) |
| vs SMA50 | Above (USD 97.42) |
| MACD | 1.31 (positive) |
Analyst Ratings (ACGL)
Wall Street analysts rate ACGL "Hold" based on 20 analysts, with a mean price target of USD 110.13 (range USD 95–131), per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 10:11 UTC.
| Consensus Rating | Hold |
|---|---|
| Analyst Count | 20 |
| Mean Target | USD 110.13 |
| High Target | USD 131 |
| Low Target | USD 95 |
| Buy / Hold / Sell | 9 / 10 / 1 |
Earnings (ACGL)
| Next Earnings Date | 2026-10-27 |
|---|---|
| EPS Estimate | USD 2.3 |
| Revenue Estimate | $3.79B |
Recent Earnings History
| Quarter | Actual vs Estimate |
|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | USD 2.56 vs est 2.46 ▲ beat |
| 2026-03-31 | USD 2.5 vs est 2.46 ▲ beat |
| 2025-12-31 | USD 2.98 vs est 2.57 ▲ beat |
| 2025-09-30 | USD 2.77 vs est 2.25 ▲ beat |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 10:11 UTC.
Financials & Fundamentals (ACGL)
| Total Revenue | $19.23B |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (latest quarter, YoY) | -10.50% |
| Gross Margin | +38.76% |
| Operating Margin | +26.58% |
| Profit Margin | +24.40% |
| ROE | +19.94% |
| Debt / Equity | 0.18 |
| Current Ratio | 0.59 |
| Total Cash | $4.46B |
| Total Debt | $4.29B |
| Free Cash Flow (last four quarters to Jun 2026, SEC 10-Q / 10-K) | $6.05B (31.5% of revenue) |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 10:11 UTC.
Financial Health Score (ACGL)
Nexqual rates Arch Capital Group Ltd.'s overall financial health "Solid" across five dimensions, as of October 23, 2026 at 10:11 UTC.
| Growth | Mixed — Revenue +4.7% YoY (annual), slow |
|---|---|
| Profitability | Solid — Gross margin 39%, operating 27% (last 12 months) |
| Balance Sheet | Solid — $1.11B cash and investments vs $4.29B debt (Jun 2026, SEC) |
| Cash Flow | Strong — FCF $6.05B (last 4 quarters to Jun 2026, SEC), 31% margin |
| Efficiency | Solid — ROE 20%, ROA 4.1% |
Ownership (ACGL)
| Insider Ownership | +2.79% |
|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership | +94.28% |
| Shares Outstanding | 341.23M |
| Float | 326.91M |
| Short % of Float | +2.64% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 10:11 UTC.
Leadership (ACGL)
Arch Capital Group Ltd. is led by Nicolas Alain Emmanuel Papadopoulo, CEO & Director, per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 10:11 UTC.
| CEO & Director | Nicolas Alain Emmanuel Papadopoulo |
|---|---|
| President | Maamoun Jamil Rajeh |
| Executive VP, CFO & Treasurer | Francois Morin |
| Executive VP & COO | Prashant Nema |
| Executive Vice President of Financial Services | Donald S. Watson |
Major Backers & Investors (ACGL)
Notable institutional backers of Arch Capital Group Ltd. include Artisan Partners Limited Partnership, BAMCO Inc., WCM Investment Management, LLC, according to Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 10:11 UTC.
Active Investors
| Investor | Stake |
|---|---|
| Artisan Partners Limited Partnership | 6.33% |
| BAMCO Inc. | 4.65% |
| WCM Investment Management, LLC | 3.51% |
| JPMorgan | 2.05% |
| BARON SELECT FUNDS-Baron Partners Fund | 1.9% |
| Invesco | 1.45% |
Index Funds (Passive)
| Fund | Stake |
|---|---|
| Vanguard Group | 10.77% |
| BlackRock | 8.86% |
| State Street | 4.76% |
| Geode Capital | 3.08% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 10:11 UTC.
Peers & Related Stocks
| Symbol | Name | Price | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| HIG | The Hartford Insurance Group, I | USD 139.45 | ▲ 2.67% |
| AIG | American International Group, I | USD 83.03 | ▲ 1.57% |
| SLF | Sun Life Financial Inc. | USD 80.81 | ▲ 0.12% |
| AEG | Aegon Ltd. New York Registry Sh | USD 8.21 | ▼ 2.15% |
| BNT | Brookfield Wealth Solutions Ltd | USD 38.26 | ▲ 2.05% |
| PLGO | Pelagos Insurance Capital Limit | USD 26.21 | ▲ 2.26% |
Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 23, 2026 at 10:11 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.
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