Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM) Stock Price & Analysis
Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM) closed at USD 79.84 on Thursday, October 22, 2026, up 0.60% on the day. The US market is currently closed (pre-market); this is not a live price.
The prior close was USD 79.36; the Oct 22, 2026 session ranged USD 78.18–79.92 on volume of 2,648,323 shares. Market capitalization is $38.48B, with a 52-week range of USD 55.58–88.75 (NYQ). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 23, 2026 at 09:27 UTC.
Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/ADM.md
Key facts (ADM)
- Last four reported quarters (through Jun 30, 2026): revenue $82.1B, net income $1.77B (2.2% margin), free cash flow $1.68B (SEC filings).
- 2 of 80 tracked superinvestors hold ADM (13F, Q2 2026): 0 new, 0 added, 1 reduced, 1 unchanged.
- Total return with dividends: 1Y +31.5% vs S&P 500 +14.9%; 5Y +38.9% vs S&P 500 +80.3%.
- Next earnings: 2026-11-03, EPS estimate USD 1.59, revenue estimate $23.5B.
Financials (SEC 10-K; TTM = last four 10-Q/10-K quarters) (ADM)
| USD | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $85.2B | $102B | $93.9B | $85.5B | $80.3B | $82.1B |
| Gross profit | $5.99B | $7.57B | $7.51B | $5.78B | $5.03B | — |
| Net income | $2.71B | $4.34B | $3.48B | $1.80B | $1.08B | $1.77B |
| EPS (diluted) | $4.79 | $7.71 | $6.43 | $3.65 | $2.23 | — |
| Free cash flow | $5.43B | $2.16B | $2.97B | $1.23B | $4.20B | $1.68B |
| Gross margin | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | — |
| Net margin | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.2% |
| Revenue growth | +32.5% | +19.1% | -7.5% | -8.9% | -6.2% | — |
| Cash + short-term investments | $943M | $1.04B | $1.37B | $857M | $1.05B | — |
| Total debt | $8.58B | $8.68B | $8.26B | $8.25B | $7.61B | — |
Fiscal years end Dec. EPS is split-adjusted.
Valuation (price ÷ last four quarters, through Jun 30, 2026) (ADM)
P/E at fiscal year-ends: Dec 2025 25.8x, Dec 2024 13.8x, Dec 2023 11.2x.
Superinvestors (SEC 13F-HR, Q2 2026) (ADM)
2 of 80 tracked investors hold ADM. Each row is the investor's latest 13F; change is vs their prior-quarter share count.
| Investor | Firm | % of portfolio | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Gayner | Markel Group | 0.88% | $115M | Unchanged |
| Dodge & Cox Funds | Dodge & Cox | 0.57% | $1.08B | Reduced -10.0% |
Analysts (ADM)
Rating changes, last 120 days:
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | JP Morgan | Target lowered | Underweight | $77 → $75 |
| 2026-08-17 | UBS | Reiterated | Buy | $95 |
| 2026-08-05 | BMO Capital | Target raised | Market Perform | $77 → $82 |
| 2026-08-05 | Barclays | Target raised | Equal-Weight | $85 → $90 |
| 2026-08-05 | Morgan Stanley | Upgrade | Underweight → Equal-Weight | $60 → $79 |
| 2026-07-20 | Morgan Stanley | Target raised | Underweight | $58 → $60 |
Total return (dividends reinvested) (ADM)
| 1Y (from 2025-10-23) | 5Y (from 2021-10-18) | |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | +31.5% | +38.9% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +14.9% | +80.3% |
| Per year | +31.6% | +6.8% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 27.6% | 29.1% |
| Max drawdown | -12.3% (Jul 2026→Aug 2026) | -52.3% (Nov 2022→Mar 2025) |
ADM analyst estimates and revisions
| Period | EPS estimate | 90 days ago | Change | Revenue estimate | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends Sep 2026) | $1.59 | $1.28 | +24.9% | $23.49B | 7 |
| Next quarter (ends Dec 2026) | $1.37 | $1.32 | +4.4% | $22.86B | 7 |
| Current fiscal year (ends Dec 2026) | $5.53 | $4.61 | +19.8% | $86.83B | 9 |
| Next fiscal year (ends Dec 2027) | $5.67 | $5.41 | +4.7% | $91.23B | 11 |
ADM options: expected move
Options price a move of about ±7.7% (±$6.15) by Nov 20, 2026, which includes earnings on Nov 3, 2026.
| Expiration | Days | ATM implied volatility | Expected move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2026 | 28 | 33.3% | ±7.7% |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 56 | 32.3% | ±10.1% |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 84 | 31.7% | ±12.1% |
| Mar 19, 2027 | 147 | 31.4% | ±15.8% |
| Jun 17, 2027 | 237 | 31.9% | ±20.2% |
| Sep 17, 2027 | 329 | 31.1% | ±23.0% |
30-day implied volatility 32.3% vs 25.9% realized over the last 30 trading days. Put/call ratio (volume) 0.12. Cboe delayed quotes (15 min). Expected move = at-the-money straddle.
Key Statistics (as of October 23, 2026 at 09:27 UTC)
| Price | USD 79.84 |
|---|---|
| Change | ▲ 0.60% (up) |
| Previous Close | USD 79.36 |
| Open | USD 79.72 |
| Day Range | USD 78.18 – 79.92 |
| 52-Week Range | USD 55.58 – 88.75 |
| Volume | 2,648,323 shares |
| Market Cap | $38.48B |
| Exchange | NYQ |
Technical Analysis (ADM)
Nexqual's technical model rates ADM "STRONG SELL" based on 0 bullish and 5 bearish signals across 127 daily candles, as of October 23, 2026 at 09:27 UTC.
| Overall Signal | STRONG SELL |
|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 41.91 (neutral) |
| vs SMA50 | Below (USD 82.25) |
| MACD | -0.53 (negative) |
Earnings (ADM)
| Next Earnings Date | 2026-11-03 |
|---|---|
| EPS Estimate | USD 1.59 |
| Revenue Estimate | $23.49B |
Recent Earnings History
| Quarter | Actual vs Estimate |
|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | USD 1.84 vs est 1.44 ▲ beat |
| 2026-03-31 | USD 0.71 vs est 0.66 ▲ beat |
| 2025-12-31 | USD 0.87 vs est 0.8 ▲ beat |
| 2025-09-30 | USD 0.92 vs est 0.85 ▲ beat |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:27 UTC.
Financials & Fundamentals (ADM)
| Total Revenue | $82.10B |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (latest quarter, YoY) | +7.20% |
| Gross Margin | +6.87% |
| Operating Margin | +4.01% |
| Profit Margin | +2.16% |
| ROE | +7.64% |
| Debt / Equity | 0.39 |
| Current Ratio | 1.39 |
| Total Cash | $1.09B |
| Total Debt | $9.34B |
| Free Cash Flow (last four quarters to Jun 2026, SEC 10-Q / 10-K) | $1.68B (2.0% of revenue) |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:27 UTC.
Financial Health Score (ADM)
Nexqual rates Archer-Daniels-Midland Company's overall financial health "Mixed" across five dimensions, as of October 23, 2026 at 09:27 UTC.
| Growth | Weak — Revenue -6% YoY (annual), declining |
|---|---|
| Profitability | Weak — Gross margin 7%, operating 4% (last 12 months) |
| Balance Sheet | Solid — $1.09B cash and investments vs $7.60B debt (Jun 2026, SEC) |
| Cash Flow | Mixed — FCF $1.68B (last 4 quarters to Jun 2026, SEC), slim 2.0% margin |
| Efficiency | Mixed — ROE 8%, ROA 2.3% |
Ownership (ADM)
| Insider Ownership | +0.71% |
|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership | +89.22% |
| Shares Outstanding | 481.96M |
| Float | 477.84M |
| Short % of Float | +3.47% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:27 UTC.
Peers & Related Stocks
| Symbol | Name | Price | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| TSN | Tyson Foods, Inc. | USD 57.07 | ▲ 2.09% |
| BG | Bunge Limited | USD 103.15 | ▲ 0.9% |
| CALM | Cal-Maine Foods, Inc. | USD 63.83 | ▲ 5.31% |
| AGRO | Adecoagro S.A. | USD 9.83 | ▲ 3.69% |
| DMC | Del Monte Corporation | USD 29.93 | ▲ 7.28% |
| DOLE | Dole plc | USD 13.52 | ▲ 3.13% |
Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 23, 2026 at 09:27 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.
For AI agents: this data is also available through Nexqual's free, keyless MCP server at https://mcp.nexqual.com/mcp; every result includes source_url, as_of and cite_as. More: nexqual.com/agents · llms.txt