Adecoagro S.A. (AGRO) Stock Price & Analysis
Adecoagro S.A. (AGRO) closed at USD 9.83 on Thursday, October 22, 2026, up 3.69% on the day. The US market is currently closed (pre-market); this is not a live price.
The prior close was USD 9.48; the Oct 22, 2026 session ranged USD 9.5–9.9 on volume of 675,889 shares. Market capitalization is $1.42B, with a 52-week range of USD 6.89–15.89 (NYQ). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 23, 2026 at 10:11 UTC.
Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/AGRO.md
Key facts (AGRO)
- Analysts: Hold (mean 3.13 on a 1–5 scale) (8 analysts), mean target USD 13.26 (range 10.5–16).
- Total return with dividends: 1Y +26.0% vs S&P 500 +14.9%; 5Y +22.8% vs S&P 500 +80.3%.
- Next earnings: 2026-11-11, EPS estimate USD 0.23, revenue estimate $588M.
Analysts (AGRO)
Consensus Hold (mean 3.13 on a 1–5 scale), 8 analysts; mean target USD 13.26 (low 10.5, high 16).
Rating changes, last 120 days:
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | UBS | Target lowered | Buy | $15.2 → $13.2 |
Total return (dividends reinvested) (AGRO)
| 1Y (from 2025-10-23) | 5Y (from 2021-10-18) | |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | +26.0% | +22.8% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +14.9% | +80.3% |
| Per year | +26.1% | +4.2% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 51.8% | 42.9% |
| Max drawdown | -41.3% (May 2026→Aug 2026) | -43.8% (Apr 2022→Jul 2022) |
AGRO analyst estimates and revisions
| Period | EPS estimate | 90 days ago | Change | Revenue estimate | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends Sep 2026) | $0.23 | $0.11 | +111.9% | $588.2M | 1 |
| Next quarter (ends Dec 2026) | $0.58 | $0.57 | +1.3% | $687.4M | 1 |
| Current fiscal year (ends Dec 2026) | $1.73 | $1.91 | -9.6% | $2.25B | 4 |
| Next fiscal year (ends Dec 2027) | $1.39 | $1.25 | +11.2% | $2.24B | 3 |
AGRO options: expected move
Options price a move of about ±12.5% (±$1.23) by Nov 20, 2026, which includes earnings on Nov 11, 2026.
| Expiration | Days | ATM implied volatility | Expected move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2026 | 28 | 55.6% | ±12.5% |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 56 | 52.1% | ±16.5% |
| Mar 19, 2027 | 147 | 56.9% | ±28.7% |
| Jun 17, 2027 | 237 | 52.2% | ±33.1% |
30-day implied volatility 52.2% vs 37.6% realized over the last 30 trading days. Put/call ratio (volume) 0.01. Cboe delayed quotes (15 min). Expected move = at-the-money straddle.
Key Statistics (as of October 23, 2026 at 10:11 UTC)
| Price | USD 9.83 |
|---|---|
| Change | ▲ 3.69% (up) |
| Previous Close | USD 9.48 |
| Open | USD 9.55 |
| Day Range | USD 9.5 – 9.9 |
| 52-Week Range | USD 6.89 – 15.89 |
| Volume | 675,889 shares |
| Market Cap | $1.42B |
| Exchange | NYQ |
Technical Analysis (AGRO)
Nexqual's technical model rates AGRO "STRONG SELL" based on 0 bullish and 5 bearish signals across 127 daily candles, as of October 23, 2026 at 10:11 UTC.
| Overall Signal | STRONG SELL |
|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 38.53 (neutral) |
| vs SMA50 | Below (USD 10.73) |
| MACD | -0.31 (negative) |
Analyst Ratings (AGRO)
Wall Street analysts rate AGRO "Hold" based on 8 analysts, with a mean price target of USD 13.26 (range USD 10.5–16), per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 10:11 UTC.
| Consensus Rating | Hold |
|---|---|
| Analyst Count | 8 |
| Mean Target | USD 13.26 |
| High Target | USD 16 |
| Low Target | USD 10.5 |
| Buy / Hold / Sell | 1 / 6 / 1 |
Earnings (AGRO)
| Next Earnings Date | 2026-11-11 |
|---|---|
| Revenue Estimate | $588.25M |
Recent Earnings History
| Quarter | Actual vs Estimate |
|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | USD 0.13 vs est 0.2 ▼ miss |
| 2026-03-31 | USD 0.28 vs est 0.07 ▲ beat |
| 2025-12-31 | USD -0.15 vs est -0.09 ▼ miss |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 10:11 UTC.
Financials & Fundamentals (AGRO)
| Total Revenue | $1.65B |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (latest quarter, YoY) | +39.00% |
| Gross Margin | +25.91% |
| Operating Margin | +17.00% |
| Profit Margin | +3.00% |
| ROE | +3.69% |
| Debt / Equity | 1.24 |
| Current Ratio | 1.73 |
| Total Cash | $330.51M |
| Total Debt | $2.33B |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 10:11 UTC.
Financial Health Score (AGRO)
Nexqual rates Adecoagro S.A.'s overall financial health "Mixed" across five dimensions, as of October 23, 2026 at 10:11 UTC.
| Growth | Weak — Revenue -6% YoY (annual), declining |
|---|---|
| Profitability | Solid — Gross margin 26%, operating 17% (last 12 months) |
| Balance Sheet | Mixed — $331M cash vs $2.33B debt |
| Cash Flow | Solid — Operating cash flow $320M (TTM) |
| Efficiency | Weak — ROE 4%, ROA 2.5% |
Ownership (AGRO)
| Insider Ownership | +73.38% |
|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership | +11.98% |
| Shares Outstanding | 144.31M |
| Float | 32.84M |
| Short % of Float | +3.43% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 10:11 UTC.
Leadership (AGRO)
Adecoagro S.A. is led by Mariano Bosch, Co-Founder, CEO & Director, per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 10:11 UTC.
| Co-Founder, CEO & Director | Mariano Bosch |
|---|---|
| Chief Financial Officer | Emilio Federico Gnecco |
| Executive Chairman | Juan Jose-Pineyro Sartori |
| Sustainability Director | Alejandro López Moriena |
| Vice President of Sugar, Ethanol & Energy Business | Renato Junqueira-Santos Pereira |
Major Backers & Investors (AGRO)
Notable institutional backers of Adecoagro S.A. include Two Sigma Investments, LP, Discovery Capital Management, LLC, Mirae Asset Global ETFs Holdings Ltd., according to Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 10:11 UTC.
Active Investors
| Investor | Stake |
|---|---|
| Two Sigma Investments, LP | 1.32% |
| Discovery Capital Management, LLC | 0.97% |
| Mirae Asset Global ETFs Holdings Ltd. | 0.64% |
| Capital Wealth Planning, LLC | 0.62% |
| Amplify ETF TRT-Amplify CWP Intl Enhanced Dividend Income ETF | 0.61% |
| Hatch Cove Capital, LLC | 0.59% |
| Shaw D.E. & Co., Inc. | 0.56% |
| GLOBAL X FUNDS-Global X MSCI Argentina ETF | 0.51% |
Index Funds (Passive)
| Fund | Stake |
|---|---|
| Amundi | 0.55% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 10:11 UTC.
Peers & Related Stocks
| Symbol | Name | Price | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| DMC | Del Monte Corporation | USD 29.93 | ▲ 7.28% |
| DOLE | Dole plc | USD 13.52 | ▲ 3.13% |
| CALM | Cal-Maine Foods, Inc. | USD 63.83 | ▲ 5.31% |
| VITL | Vital Farms, Inc. | USD 9.41 | ▲ 15.18% |
| VFF | Village Farms International, In | USD 2.71 | ▼ 1.45% |
| AFRI | Forafric Global PLC | USD 12.07 | ▲ 0.84% |
Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 23, 2026 at 10:11 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.
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