AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) Stock Price & Analysis

AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) closed at USD 8.89 on Thursday, October 22, 2026, up 1.25% on the day. The US market is currently closed (pre-market); this is not a live price.

The prior close was USD 8.78; the Oct 22, 2026 session ranged USD 8.78–9.06 on volume of 30,535,078 shares. Market capitalization is $10.54B, with a 52-week range of USD 8.38–12.19 (NMS). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 23, 2026 at 10:31 UTC.

Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/AGNC.md

Key facts (AGNC)

• Valuation: P/E 4.7x (avg 18.1x at the last 3 fiscal year-ends).
• Insider open-market sales, last ~7 months: 6 Form 4 filings, $2.8M; 5 not under a Rule 10b5-1 plan ($639K); 0 by opportunistic insiders, 5 by routine insiders (three-year test, Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski 2012).
• Analysts: Hold (mean 2.62 on a 1–5 scale) (13 analysts), mean target USD 9.66 (range 8–11).
• Total return with dividends: 1Y +0.9% vs S&P 500 +14.9%; 5Y +8.2% vs S&P 500 +80.3%.
• Next earnings: 2026-10-19, EPS estimate USD 0.37, revenue estimate $480M.

Financials (SEC 10-K; TTM = last four 10-Q/10-K quarters) (AGNC)

Fiscal years end Dec. EPS is split-adjusted.

Valuation (price ÷ last four quarters, through Jun 30, 2026) (AGNC)

P/E 4.7x · P/B 0.8x · Earnings yield 21.50% · Dividend yield (paid, TTM) 16.63%

P/E at fiscal year-ends: Dec 2025 6.6x, Dec 2024 8.4x, Dec 2023 39.2x.

Insider sales (SEC Form 4, open-market, last ~7 months) (AGNC)

1 of 6 under a Rule 10b5-1 trading plan (scheduled in advance). Unplanned sales were timed by the insider.

% of holdings sold = shares sold ÷ (shares sold + all holdings the insider reported on that Form 4, direct and through trusts).

Insider type follows Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski (Journal of Finance, 2012). An insider who traded the stock in the same calendar month in each of the past three years is a routine trader; one who traded in each of those years without such a pattern is an opportunistic trader. In their study, trades by opportunistic insiders predicted future returns and trades by routine insiders did not. Counts open-market purchases and sales only (SEC Form 4 codes P and S) by that insider in that company. Not investment advice.

Analysts (AGNC)

Consensus Hold (mean 2.62 on a 1–5 scale), 13 analysts; mean target USD 9.66 (low 8, high 11).

Rating changes, last 120 days:

Total return (dividends reinvested) (AGNC)

AGNC company outlook (results filed Oct 19, 2026)

• “Consistent with this material underperformance of our underlying asset class, AGNC's economic return on tangible common equity in the third quarter was -12.7%. "Despite the challenging macroeconomic environment, there are a number of reasons for optimism with respect to the outlook for Agency MBS once volatility in the Treasury market subsides.”
• “CONSTANT PREPAYMENT RATES The Company's weighted average projected CPR for the remaining life of its Agency securities held as of September 30, 2026 decreased to 6.7% from 8.6% as of June 30, 2026.”
• “The Company's investment portfolio generated a net premium amortization benefit of $34 million, or $0.03 per common share, for the third quarter, which includes a "catch-up" premium amortization benefit of $66 million, or $0.05 per common share, due to changes in the Company's CPR projections for certain securities acquired prior to the third quarter.”
• “The implied funding cost/benefit of TBA dollar roll transactions is determined using the "price drop" (Note 5) and market-based assumptions regarding the "cheapest-to-deliver" collateral that can be delivered to satisfy the TBA contract, such as the anticipated collateral's weighted average coupon, weighted average maturity and projected 1-month CPR.”

Quoted word-for-word from the SEC 8-K results press release.

AGNC analyst estimates and revisions

AGNC options: expected move

30-day implied volatility 27.9% vs 28.1% realized over the last 30 trading days. Put/call ratio (volume) 0.8. Cboe delayed quotes (15 min). Expected move = at-the-money straddle.

Key Statistics (as of October 23, 2026 at 10:31 UTC)

Technical Analysis (AGNC)

Nexqual's technical model rates AGNC "SELL" based on 1 bullish and 4 bearish signals across 127 daily candles, as of October 23, 2026 at 10:31 UTC.

Analyst Ratings (AGNC)

Wall Street analysts rate AGNC "Hold" based on 13 analysts, with a mean price target of USD 9.66 (range USD 8–11), per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 10:31 UTC.

Earnings (AGNC)

Recent Earnings History

Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 10:31 UTC.

Financials & Fundamentals (AGNC)

Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 10:31 UTC.

Financial Health Score (AGNC)

Nexqual rates AGNC Investment Corp.'s overall financial health "Mixed" across five dimensions, as of October 23, 2026 at 10:31 UTC.

Ownership (AGNC)

Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 10:31 UTC.

Leadership (AGNC)

AGNC Investment Corp. is led by Peter J. Federico, President, CEO & Director and Chief Investment Officer, per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 10:31 UTC.

Major Backers & Investors (AGNC)

Notable institutional backers of AGNC Investment Corp. include UBS Group AG, NORGES BANK, Equity Investment Corp, according to Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 10:31 UTC.

Active Investors

Index Funds (Passive)

Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 10:31 UTC.

From AGNC Investment Corp.'s Latest SEC 10-K Filing (filed 2026-02-23)

Key Strengths & Strategy (as disclosed to the SEC)

• Our investments in Agency RMBS benefit from asset-driven, as well as AGNC-specific, funding advantages, that enable us to enhance returns using leverage via low-cost and highly liquid collateralized borrowings structured as repurchase agreements.

Partnerships

• Utilizing sophisticated modeling techniques, we identify assets with favorable underlying loan characteristics with the objective of optimizing returns over the life of the investment. •Agency Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities.

Legal & Regulatory Risks (Item 1A, quoted)

• Failure to satisfy regulatory requirements of our captive broker-dealer subsidiary could result in our inability to access tri-party repo funding through the FICC's GCF Repo service and could be harmful to our business operations.
• New legislation or administrative or judicial action could make it more difficult or impossible for us to remain qualified as a REIT or it could otherwise adversely affect REITs and their stockholders.
• The present U.S. federal income tax treatment of REITs may be modified, possibly with retroactive effect, by legislative, judicial or administrative action at any time, which could affect our ability to maintain our REIT status and/or the federal income tax treatment of an investment in us.

Source: SEC EDGAR 10-K, official filing. Curated by Nexqual.

Peers & Related Stocks

Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 23, 2026 at 10:31 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.

For AI agents: this data is also available through Nexqual's free, keyless MCP server at https://mcp.nexqual.com/mcp; every result includes source_url, as_of and cite_as. More: nexqual.com/agents · llms.txt