Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (ARCO) Stock Price & Analysis
Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (ARCO) closed at USD 8.02 on Thursday, October 22, 2026, down 0.86% on the day. The US market is currently closed (pre-market); this is not a live price.
The prior close was USD 8.02; the Oct 22, 2026 session ranged USD 7.89–8.08 on volume of 1,136,222 shares. Market capitalization is —, with a 52-week range of USD 6.67–9.75 (NYQ). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 23, 2026 at 09:26 UTC.
Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/ARCO.md
Key facts (ARCO)
- 3 of 80 tracked superinvestors hold ARCO (13F, Q2 2026): 1 new, 1 added, 0 reduced, 1 unchanged.
- Analysts: Buy (mean 1.67 on a 1–5 scale) (9 analysts), mean target USD 11.12 (range 8.55–14).
- Total return with dividends: 1Y +15.0% vs S&P 500 +14.9%; 5Y +90.8% vs S&P 500 +80.3%.
- Next earnings: 2026-11-12, EPS estimate USD 0.16, revenue estimate $1.33B.
Superinvestors (SEC 13F-HR, Q2 2026) (ARCO)
3 of 80 tracked investors hold ARCO. Each row is the investor's latest 13F; change is vs their prior-quarter share count.
| Investor | Firm | % of portfolio | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Pzena | Pzena Investment Management | 0.26% | $87.1M | Added +0.6% |
| Sarah Ketterer | Causeway Capital Management | 0.17% | $15.8M | New position |
| Dodge & Cox Funds | Dodge & Cox | <0.01% | $911K | Unchanged |
Analysts (ARCO)
Consensus Buy (mean 1.67 on a 1–5 scale), 9 analysts; mean target USD 11.12 (low 8.55, high 14).
Rating changes, last 120 days:
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 | JP Morgan | Upgrade | Neutral → Overweight | $9 → $10.5 |
Total return (dividends reinvested) (ARCO)
| 1Y (from 2025-10-23) | 5Y (from 2021-10-18) | |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | +15.0% | +90.8% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +14.9% | +80.3% |
| Per year | +15.1% | +13.8% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 36.1% | 31.9% |
| Max drawdown | -26.0% (Apr 2026→Oct 2026) | -47.1% (Jan 2024→Jul 2025) |
ARCO analyst estimates and revisions
| Period | EPS estimate | 90 days ago | Change | Revenue estimate | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends Sep 2026) | $0.16 | $0.16 | +2.0% | $1.33B | 1 |
| Next quarter (ends Dec 2026) | $0.27 | $0.24 | +12.5% | $1.42B | 2 |
| Current fiscal year (ends Dec 2026) | $0.80 | $0.77 | +3.4% | $5.27B | 6 |
| Next fiscal year (ends Dec 2027) | $0.88 | $0.85 | +3.2% | $5.64B | 6 |
ARCO options: expected move
Options price a move of about ±14.0% (±$1.13) by Nov 20, 2026, which includes earnings on Nov 12, 2026.
| Expiration | Days | ATM implied volatility | Expected move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2026 | 28 | 60.2% | ±14.0% |
30-day implied volatility 41.7% vs 48.8% realized over the last 30 trading days. Put/call ratio (volume) 217.7. Cboe delayed quotes (15 min). Expected move = at-the-money straddle.
Key Statistics (as of October 23, 2026 at 09:26 UTC)
| Price | USD 8.02 |
|---|---|
| Change | ▼ 0.86% (down) |
| Previous Close | USD 8.02 |
| Open | USD 8.02 |
| Day Range | USD 7.89 – 8.08 |
| 52-Week Range | USD 6.67 – 9.75 |
| Volume | 1,136,222 shares |
| Market Cap | — |
| Exchange | NYQ |
Technical Analysis (ARCO)
Nexqual's technical model rates ARCO "STRONG BUY" based on 5 bullish and 0 bearish signals across 127 daily candles, as of October 23, 2026 at 09:26 UTC.
| Overall Signal | STRONG BUY |
|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 52.74 (neutral) |
| vs SMA50 | Above (USD 7.82) |
| MACD | 0.09 (positive) |
Analyst Ratings (ARCO)
Wall Street analysts rate ARCO "Buy" based on 9 analysts, with a mean price target of USD 11.12 (range USD 8.55–14), per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:26 UTC.
| Consensus Rating | Buy |
|---|---|
| Analyst Count | 9 |
| Mean Target | USD 11.12 |
| High Target | USD 14 |
| Low Target | USD 8.55 |
| Buy / Hold / Sell | 8 / 1 / 0 |
Earnings (ARCO)
| Next Earnings Date | 2026-11-12 |
|---|---|
| EPS Estimate | USD 0.16 |
| Revenue Estimate | $1.33B |
Recent Earnings History
| Quarter | Actual vs Estimate |
|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | USD 0.22 vs est 0.15 ▲ beat |
| 2026-03-31 | USD 0.17 vs est 0.1 ▲ beat |
| 2025-12-31 | USD 0.13 vs est 0.2 ▼ miss |
| 2025-09-30 | USD 0.71 vs est 0.13 ▲ beat |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:26 UTC.
Financials & Fundamentals (ARCO)
| Total Revenue | $4.98B |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (latest quarter, YoY) | +14.30% |
| Gross Margin | +12.25% |
| Operating Margin | +5.56% |
| Profit Margin | +5.16% |
| ROE | +36.36% |
| Debt / Equity | 2.64 |
| Current Ratio | 0.88 |
| Total Cash | $269.99M |
| Total Debt | $2.20B |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:26 UTC.
Financial Health Score (ARCO)
Nexqual rates Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc.'s overall financial health "Mixed" across five dimensions, as of October 23, 2026 at 09:26 UTC.
| Growth | Mixed — Revenue +4.7% YoY (annual), slow |
|---|---|
| Profitability | Weak — Gross margin 12%, operating 6% (last 12 months) |
| Balance Sheet | Critical — $270M cash vs $2.20B debt |
| Cash Flow | Solid — Operating cash flow $362M (TTM) |
| Efficiency | Strong — ROE 36%, ROA 6.9% |
Ownership (ARCO)
| Insider Ownership | +0.48% |
|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership | +53.73% |
| Shares Outstanding | 130.66M |
| Float | 129.74M |
| Short % of Float | +2.29% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:26 UTC.
Leadership (ARCO)
Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. is led by Luis Raganato, Chief Executive Officer, per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:26 UTC.
| Chief Executive Officer | Luis Raganato |
|---|---|
| Executive Chairman | Woods W. Staton |
| Chief Financial Officer | Mariano Tannenbaum |
| Chief Operating Officer | José Carlos Gonzalez-Hurtado |
| Vice President of Investor Relations | Daniel Schleiniger |
Major Backers & Investors (ARCO)
Notable institutional backers of Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. include Lazard Asset Management LLC, Pzena Investment Management LLC, LAZARD FUNDS INC-Lazard Emerging Markets Equity Portfolio, according to Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:26 UTC.
Active Investors
| Investor | Stake |
|---|---|
| Lazard Asset Management LLC | 18.89% |
| Pzena Investment Management LLC | 8.27% |
| LAZARD FUNDS INC-Lazard Emerging Markets Equity Portfolio | 4.17% |
| SPX Gestao de Recursos Ltda | 3.44% |
| Moerus Capital Management, LLC | 3.27% |
| Advisors Series Trust-Pzena Emerging Markets Value Fund | 3.09% |
| Morgan Stanley | 3.06% |
| Private Management Group, Inc. | 2.54% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:26 UTC.
Peers & Related Stocks
| Symbol | Name | Price | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| CBRL | Cracker Barrel Old Country Stor | USD 67.31 | ▲ 2.37% |
| BH | Biglari Holdings Inc. | USD 395.33 | ▼ 4.58% |
| SG | Sweetgreen, Inc. | USD 10.22 | ▲ 0.59% |
| BJRI | BJ's Restaurants, Inc. | USD 58.79 | ▲ 3.54% |
| WEN | Wendy's Company (The) | USD 6.57 | ▲ 4.62% |
| CHA | Chagee Holdings Limited | USD 12.46 | ▼ 3.78% |
Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 23, 2026 at 09:26 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.
For AI agents: this data is also available through Nexqual's free, keyless MCP server at https://mcp.nexqual.com/mcp; every result includes source_url, as_of and cite_as. More: nexqual.com/agents · llms.txt