Bloomin' Brands, Inc. (BLMN) Stock Price & Analysis
Bloomin' Brands, Inc. (BLMN) closed at USD 10.27 on Thursday, October 22, 2026, up 2.14% on the day. The US market is currently closed (pre-market); this is not a live price.
The prior close was USD 10.05; the Oct 22, 2026 session ranged USD 9.81–10.3 on volume of 2,299,626 shares. Market capitalization is $878.90M, with a 52-week range of USD 5.19–12.63 (NMS). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 23, 2026 at 10:11 UTC.
Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/BLMN.md
Key facts (BLMN)
- Last four reported quarters (through Jun 28, 2026): revenue $3.98B, net income $27.7M (0.7% margin), free cash flow $155M (SEC filings).
- Valuation: P/E 31.8x (avg 37.5x at the last 2 fiscal year-ends), EV/EBITDA 6.6x, net debt $636M.
- 1 of 80 tracked superinvestors hold BLMN (13F, Q2 2026): 0 new, 1 added, 0 reduced, 0 unchanged.
- Analysts: Hold (mean 3.00 on a 1–5 scale) (11 analysts), mean target USD 11.81 (range 8.8–15).
- Total return with dividends: 1Y +34.3% vs S&P 500 +14.9%; 5Y -44.9% vs S&P 500 +80.3%.
- Next earnings: 2026-11-06, EPS estimate USD -0.24, revenue estimate $925M.
Financials (SEC 10-K; TTM = last four 10-Q/10-K quarters) (BLMN)
| USD | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $4.12B | $4.01B | $4.17B | $3.95B | $3.96B | $3.98B |
| Gross profit | $2.89B | $2.77B | $2.93B | $2.80B | $2.78B | — |
| Operating income | $309M | $306M | $283M | $140M | $37.2M | $47.6M |
| Net income | $216M | $102M | $247M | -$128M | $8.2M | $27.7M |
| EPS (diluted) | $2.00 | $1.03 | $2.56 | -$1.49 | $0.10 | — |
| Free cash flow | $280M | $198M | $250M | $7.4M | $96.8M | $155M |
| Gross margin | 70.2% | 69.1% | 70.2% | 70.9% | 70.2% | — |
| Operating margin | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% |
| Net margin | 5.2% | 2.5% | 5.9% | -3.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% |
| Revenue growth | +30.0% | -2.7% | +4.0% | -5.2% | +0.1% | — |
| Cash + short-term investments | $87.6M | $84.7M | $112M | $70.1M | $59.5M | — |
| Total debt | $793M | $829M | $781M | $1.03B | $787M | — |
Fiscal years end Dec. EPS is split-adjusted.
Valuation (price ÷ last four quarters, through Jun 28, 2026) (BLMN)
P/E 31.8x · P/S 0.2x · EV/EBITDA 6.6x · EV/Sales 0.4x · P/FCF 5.7x · P/B 2.0x · FCF yield 17.63% · Earnings yield 3.15% · Dividend yield (paid, TTM) 1.45% · Net debt $636M · EV $1.52B
P/E at fiscal year-ends: Dec 2025 63.9x, Dec 2023 11.0x.
Superinvestors (SEC 13F-HR, Q2 2026) (BLMN)
1 of 80 tracked investors hold BLMN. Each row is the investor's latest 13F; change is vs their prior-quarter share count.
| Investor | Firm | % of portfolio | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bill Miller | Miller Value Partners | 5.59% | $23.6M | Added +27.0% |
Analysts (BLMN)
Consensus Hold (mean 3.00 on a 1–5 scale), 11 analysts; mean target USD 11.81 (low 8.8, high 15).
Rating changes, last 120 days:
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | Freedom Capital Markets | Maintained | Buy | $15 |
| 2026-09-29 | JP Morgan | Upgrade | Underweight → Neutral | $6 → $13 |
| 2026-09-21 | Freedom Capital Markets | Maintained | Buy | $15 |
| 2026-08-10 | Piper Sandler | Target raised | Neutral | $9 → $12 |
| 2026-08-06 | Morgan Stanley | Target raised | Equal-Weight | $8 → $12 |
| 2026-07-24 | Citigroup | Target lowered | Neutral | $9.5 → $8.75 |
Total return (dividends reinvested) (BLMN)
| 1Y (from 2025-10-23) | 5Y (from 2021-10-18) | |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | +34.3% | -44.9% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +14.9% | +80.3% |
| Per year | +34.4% | -11.2% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 73.9% | 54.4% |
| Max drawdown | -34.8% (Jan 2026→Mar 2026) | -80.5% (Mar 2024→Mar 2026) |
BLMN analyst estimates and revisions
| Period | EPS estimate | 90 days ago | Change | Revenue estimate | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends Sep 2026) | $-0.24 | $-0.19 | +26.7% | $925.1M | 11 |
| Next quarter (ends Dec 2026) | $0.14 | $0.11 | +23.6% | $983.7M | 11 |
| Current fiscal year (ends Dec 2026) | $0.97 | $0.87 | +11.4% | $3.98B | 11 |
| Next fiscal year (ends Dec 2027) | $1.09 | $0.95 | +14.3% | $4.05B | 11 |
BLMN options: expected move
Options price a move of about ±17.1% (±$1.73) by Nov 20, 2026, which includes earnings on Nov 6, 2026.
| Expiration | Days | ATM implied volatility | Expected move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2026 | 28 | 75.4% | ±17.1% |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 56 | 69.0% | ±21.9% |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 84 | 64.2% | ±24.9% |
| Apr 16, 2027 | 175 | 68.7% | ±37.8% |
30-day implied volatility 69.5% vs 56.6% realized over the last 30 trading days. Put/call ratio (volume) 1.63. Cboe delayed quotes (15 min). Expected move = at-the-money straddle.
Key Statistics (as of October 23, 2026 at 10:11 UTC)
| Price | USD 10.27 |
|---|---|
| Change | ▲ 2.14% (up) |
| Previous Close | USD 10.05 |
| Open | USD 9.81 |
| Day Range | USD 9.81 – 10.3 |
| 52-Week Range | USD 5.19 – 12.63 |
| Volume | 2,299,626 shares |
| Market Cap | $878.90M |
| Exchange | NMS |
Technical Analysis (BLMN)
Nexqual's technical model rates BLMN "BUY" based on 5 bullish and 1 bearish signals across 127 daily candles, as of October 23, 2026 at 10:11 UTC.
| Overall Signal | BUY |
|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 64.53 (neutral) |
| vs SMA50 | Above (USD 9.37) |
| MACD | 0.36 (positive) |
Analyst Ratings (BLMN)
Wall Street analysts rate BLMN "Hold" based on 11 analysts, with a mean price target of USD 11.81 (range USD 8.8–15), per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 10:11 UTC.
| Consensus Rating | Hold |
|---|---|
| Analyst Count | 11 |
| Mean Target | USD 11.81 |
| High Target | USD 15 |
| Low Target | USD 8.8 |
| Buy / Hold / Sell | 2 / 8 / 1 |
Earnings (BLMN)
| Next Earnings Date | 2026-11-06 |
|---|---|
| EPS Estimate | USD -0.24 |
| Revenue Estimate | $925.11M |
Recent Earnings History
| Quarter | Actual vs Estimate |
|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | USD 0.39 vs est 0.29 ▲ beat |
| 2026-03-31 | USD 0.67 vs est 0.57 ▲ beat |
| 2025-12-31 | USD 0.26 vs est 0.24 ▲ beat |
| 2025-09-30 | USD -0.03 vs est -0.13 ▲ beat |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 10:11 UTC.
Financials & Fundamentals (BLMN)
| Total Revenue | $3.98B |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (latest quarter, YoY) | +1.30% |
| Gross Margin | +13.57% |
| Operating Margin | +4.44% |
| Profit Margin | +0.69% |
| ROE | +8.07% |
| Debt / Equity | 4.42 |
| Current Ratio | 0.25 |
| Total Cash | $66.61M |
| Total Debt | $1.92B |
| Free Cash Flow (last four quarters to Jun 2026, SEC 10-Q / 10-K) | $154.97M (3.9% of revenue) |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 10:11 UTC.
Financial Health Score (BLMN)
Nexqual rates Bloomin' Brands, Inc.'s overall financial health "Weak" across five dimensions, as of October 23, 2026 at 10:11 UTC.
| Growth | Critical — Revenue -11% YoY (annual), sharp decline |
|---|---|
| Profitability | Weak — Gross margin 14%, operating 4% (last 12 months) |
| Balance Sheet | Critical — $67M cash and investments vs $703M debt (Jun 2026, SEC) |
| Cash Flow | Mixed — FCF $155M (last 4 quarters to Jun 2026, SEC), slim 3.9% margin |
| Efficiency | Mixed — ROE 8%, ROA 2.6% |
Ownership (BLMN)
| Insider Ownership | +1.44% |
|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership | +106.42% |
| Shares Outstanding | 85.62M |
| Float | 83.14M |
| Short % of Float | +15.54% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 10:11 UTC.
Leadership (BLMN)
Bloomin' Brands, Inc. is led by Michael Spanos, CEO & Director, per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 10:11 UTC.
| CEO & Director | Michael Spanos |
|---|---|
| Executive VP & CFO | Eric Christel |
| Executive Vice President, & President of Outback Steakhouse | Patrick Hafner |
| Senior VP & President of Carrabba's Italian Grill | Kelia Bazile |
| Senior VP & President of Bonefish Grill | John T. Bettin |
Major Backers & Investors (BLMN)
Notable institutional backers of Bloomin' Brands, Inc. include Starboard Value LP, Arrowstreet Capital, Limited Partnership, AQR Capital Management, LLC, according to Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 10:11 UTC.
Active Investors
| Investor | Stake |
|---|---|
| Starboard Value LP | 4.88% |
| Arrowstreet Capital, Limited Partnership | 4.5% |
| AQR Capital Management, LLC | 3.88% |
| Nomura Holdings Inc. | 3.42% |
| LSV Asset Management | 3.36% |
| Goldman Sachs | 3.17% |
| American Century ETF Trust-Avantis U.S. Small Cap Value ETF | 3.11% |
Index Funds (Passive)
| Fund | Stake |
|---|---|
| BlackRock | 7.99% |
| Dimensional Fund Advisors | 4.08% |
| Vanguard Group | 3.98% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 10:11 UTC.
Peers & Related Stocks
| Symbol | Name | Price | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| CNNE | Cannae Holdings, Inc. | USD 16.43 | ▲ 2.05% |
| FWRG | First Watch Restaurant Group, I | USD 11.56 | ▲ 3.86% |
| WEN | Wendy's Company (The) | USD 6.57 | ▲ 4.62% |
| BJRI | BJ's Restaurants, Inc. | USD 58.79 | ▲ 3.54% |
| SG | Sweetgreen, Inc. | USD 10.22 | ▲ 0.59% |
| BH | Biglari Holdings Inc. | USD 395.33 | ▼ 4.58% |
Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 23, 2026 at 10:11 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.
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