Aurora Innovation, Inc. (AUR) Stock Price & Analysis
Aurora Innovation, Inc. (AUR) is trading at USD 4.47, down 12.17% today, as of October 29, 2026 at 16:50 UTC (US market open; quotes may be delayed), according to Nexqual market data.
AUR last closed at USD 5.09; today's session has ranged USD 4.41–4.91 on volume of 23,165,484 shares. Market capitalization is $8.96B, with a 52-week range of USD 3.6–8.57 (NMS). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 29, 2026 at 16:50 UTC.
Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/AUR.md
Key facts (AUR)
- Last four reported quarters (through Sep 30, 2026): revenue $7.0M, net income -$933M (-13328.6% margin), free cash flow -$800M (SEC filings).
- 3 of 80 tracked superinvestors hold AUR (13F, Q2 2026): 1 new, 1 added, 0 reduced, 1 unchanged.
- Insider open-market sales, last ~7 months: 9 Form 4 filings, $1.23B; 9 not under a Rule 10b5-1 plan ($1.23B); 0 by opportunistic insiders, 0 by routine insiders (three-year test, Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski 2012).
- Insider open-market purchases, last ~7 months: 1 Form 4 filing, $498K; 0 by opportunistic insiders, 0 by routine insiders.
- Analysts: Buy (mean 2.23 on a 1–5 scale) (13 analysts), mean target USD 12.13 (range 3.59–18).
- Total return with dividends: 1Y -12.3% vs S&P 500 +13.1%; 5Y -55.5% vs S&P 500 +79.0%.
- Next earnings: 2026-10-28, EPS estimate USD -0.13, revenue estimate $2.9M.
Financials (SEC 10-K; TTM = last four 10-Q/10-K quarters) (AUR)
| USD | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $82.0M | $68.0M | $0K | $0K | $3.0M | $7.0M |
| Gross profit | — | — | $0K | $0K | -$14.0M | — |
| Operating income | -$731M | -$1.85B | -$835M | -$786M | -$901M | -$1.00B |
| Net income | -$755M | -$1.72B | -$796M | -$748M | -$816M | -$933M |
| EPS (diluted) | -$1.22 | -$1.51 | -$0.60 | -$0.46 | -$0.44 | — |
| Free cash flow | -$612M | -$523M | -$613M | -$645M | -$612M | -$800M |
| Gross margin | — | — | — | — | -466.7% | — |
| Operating margin | -891.5% | -2723.5% | — | — | -30033.3% | -14357.1% |
| Net margin | -920.7% | -2533.8% | — | — | -27200.0% | -13328.6% |
| Revenue growth | — | -17.1% | -100.0% | — | — | — |
| Cash + short-term investments | $1.61B | $1.10B | $1.20B | $1.22B | $1.28B | — |
Fiscal years end Dec. EPS is split-adjusted.
Valuation (price ÷ last four quarters, through Sep 30, 2026) (AUR)
P/S 1279.8x · P/B 5.0x · FCF yield -8.93% · Earnings yield -10.41%
Superinvestors (SEC 13F-HR, Q2 2026) (AUR)
3 of 80 tracked investors hold AUR. Each row is the investor's latest 13F; change is vs their prior-quarter share count.
| Investor | Firm | % of portfolio | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Ellenbogen | Durable Capital Partners | 0.72% | $74.3M | Added +632.8% |
| Daniel Loeb | Third Point | 0.16% | $7.6M | Unchanged |
| Polen Capital | Polen Capital Management | <0.01% | $222K | New position |
Insider sales (SEC Form 4, open-market, last ~7 months) (AUR)
0 of 9 under a Rule 10b5-1 trading plan (scheduled in advance). Unplanned sales were timed by the insider.
| Trade date | Insider | Role | Shares | Value | % of holdings sold | 10b5-1 plan | Insider type |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Uber Technologies, Inc | 29,369,611 | $182M | 15.8% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2024 or 2025) | |
| 2026-08-17 | Volpi Michelangelo | Director | 2,842,682 | $19.9M | 75.1% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
| 2026-08-17 | Uber Technologies, Inc | 72,000,000 | $472M | 27.9% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2024 or 2025) | |
| 2026-08-11…2026-08-13 | Volpi Michelangelo | Director | 1,479,266 | $10.3M | 61.1% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
| 2026-08-07…2026-08-10 | Volpi Michelangelo | Director | 1,889,023 | $13.3M | 66.7% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
| 2026-08-05 | Volpi Michelangelo | Director | 179,782 | $1.3M | 7.6% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
| 2026-06-02 | Uber Technologies, Inc | 67,500,000 | $479M | 20.7% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2024 or 2025) | |
| 2026-05-28 | Hoffman Reid | Director | 1,202,354 | $8.7M | 17.9% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023 or 2025) |
| 2026-05-15…2026-05-18 | Hoffman Reid | Director | 5,846,133 | $45.5M | 51.3% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023 or 2025) |
% of holdings sold = shares sold ÷ (shares sold + all holdings the insider reported on that Form 4, direct and through trusts).
Insider type follows Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski (Journal of Finance, 2012). An insider who traded the stock in the same calendar month in each of the past three years is a routine trader; one who traded in each of those years without such a pattern is an opportunistic trader. In their study, trades by opportunistic insiders predicted future returns and trades by routine insiders did not. Counts open-market purchases and sales only (SEC Form 4 codes P and S) by that insider in that company. Not investment advice.
Insider purchases (SEC Form 4, open-market, last ~7 months) (AUR)
1 purchase, $498K. Private placements, offerings, dividend reinvestment and employee stock purchase plan buys are excluded.
| Trade date | Insider | Role | Shares | Value | Avg price | Insider type |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-11 | Wehner David M. | Director | 82,500 | $498K | 6.04 | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
Analysts (AUR)
Consensus Buy (mean 2.23 on a 1–5 scale), 13 analysts; mean target USD 12.13 (low 3.59, high 18).
Rating changes, last 120 days:
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-29 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Target lowered | Overweight | $12 → $11 |
| 2026-10-29 | Needham | Target lowered | Buy | $13 → $10 |
| 2026-10-08 | Oppenheimer | Target raised | Outperform | $15 → $16 |
| 2026-09-25 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Reiterated | Overweight | $12 |
| 2026-09-24 | Amerx | Reiterated | Hold | |
| 2026-09-24 | Goldman Sachs | Target raised | Neutral | $6 → $7 |
| 2026-09-24 | Canaccord Genuity | Target raised | Buy | $15 → $17 |
| 2026-09-24 | Needham | Reiterated | Buy | $13 |
| 2026-09-11 | Morgan Stanley | Target raised | Overweight | $14 → $18 |
| 2026-07-23 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Reiterated | Overweight | $12 |
Total return (dividends reinvested) (AUR)
| 1Y (from 2025-10-29) | 5Y (from 2021-10-25) | |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | -12.3% | -55.5% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +13.1% | +79.0% |
| Per year | -12.4% | -14.9% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 68.0% | 89.3% |
| Max drawdown | -46.8% (May 2026→Oct 2026) | -93.0% (Nov 2021→Dec 2022) |
AUR major shareholder filing: Schedule 13D/A, Sep 17, 2026
Uber Technologies, Inc. filed a Schedule 13D/A with the SEC on Sep 17, 2026, reporting up to 9.20% of the class. A Schedule 13D is filed by an owner of more than 5% who may seek to influence the company. Item 4 (Purpose of Transaction), quoted from the filing:
On September 15, 2026, Neben Holdings, LLC, a wholly-owned subsidiary of the Reporting Person, sold 29,369,611 shares of Class A Common Stock to a financial institution in a block sale transaction at a price per share of $6.2050 (the "Block Sale").
Source: SEC EDGAR, Schedule 13D/A filed Sep 17, 2026. Quoted word for word; Nexqual adds no interpretation.
AUR earnings history and stock reaction
| Results filed | Quarter | EPS | Consensus | Surprise | Stock reaction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2026 | — | — | — | — | -12.7% |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Quarter ended Jun 30, 2026 | −$0.14 | −$0.12 | Miss −16.7% | +0.5% |
| May 6, 2026 | Quarter ended Mar 31, 2026 | −$0.11 | −$0.12 | Beat +8.3% | +9.3% |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Quarter ended Dec 31, 2025 | −$0.08 | −$0.12 | Beat +33.3% | -5.4% |
| Oct 28, 2025 | Quarter ended Sep 30, 2025 | −$0.08 | −$0.12 | Beat +33.3% | -3.2% |
| Jul 30, 2025 | — | — | — | — | -2.7% |
| May 8, 2025 | — | — | — | — | -0.4% |
| Feb 12, 2025 | — | — | — | — | +34.6% |
EPS as reported against the analyst consensus before the release; surprise uses the cent-rounded figures shown (in dollars when EPS and consensus have opposite signs). Stock reaction = close before the results to close after (the first close following a release after the bell or before the open).
AUR recent SEC filings (last 120 days)
| Filed | Form | What it says |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2026 | 10-Q | Quarterly report · period ended Sep 30, 2026 |
| Oct 28, 2026 | 8-K | Quarterly results |
| Sep 23, 2026 | 8-K | Regulation FD disclosure |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Schedule 13D/A | Uber Technologies, Inc.: 9.2% of shares, 5%+ holder that may seek to influence the company (amended) “On September 15, 2026, Neben Holdings, LLC, a wholly-owned subsidiary of the Reporting Person, sold 29,369,611 shares of Class A Common Stock to a financial institution in a block sale transaction at a price per share of $6.2050 (the "Block…” |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Schedule 13D/A | Uber Technologies, Inc.: 10.9% of shares, 5%+ holder that may seek to influence the company (amended) “and restated as follows: On August 17, 2026, Neben Holdings, LLC, a wholly-owned subsidiary of the Reporting Person, sold 72,000,000 shares of Class A Common Stock to a financial institution in a block sale transaction at a price per share of $6.55 (the "Block Sale"). The…” |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Schedule 13G/A | T. Rowe Price Investment Management, Inc.: 18.1% of shares, passive 5%+ holder (amended) |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Schedule 13G/A | Morgan Stanley, Morgan Stanley Investment Management Inc.: 11.0% of shares, passive 5%+ holder (amended) |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Schedule 13D/A | Index Ventures Growth III (Jersey), L.P., Yucca (Jersey) SLP: 2.2% of shares, 5%+ holder that may seek to influence the company (amended) |
| Jul 29, 2026 | 10-Q | Quarterly report · period ended Jun 30, 2026 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | 8-K | Quarterly results |
Source: SEC EDGAR. Quotes are the opening words of each item as filed; each form links to the filing. Insider Form 4 filings are listed in the insider sections.
AUR suppliers, customers and competitors (named in its 10-K)
| Relationship | Company | Sentence in the filing |
|---|---|---|
| Partner | Uber (UBER) | “•Uber, a leading ride hailing company globally.” |
| Partner | Toyota (TM) | “•Toyota, a leading vehicle manufacturer globally.” |
| Partner | Allen & Company | “On February 14, 2025, we entered into a sales agreement with Cantor Fitzgerald & Co., TD Securities (USA) LLC, and Allen & Company LLC, as sales agents (the "Sales Agents"), pursuant to which we may, from time to time, sell up to an aggregate amount of $500 million of the Company's Class A common stock through the Sales Agents in an "at-the-market" offering (the "ATM Program").” |
Quoted from the company's 10-K filed Feb 11, 2026.
AUR company outlook (results filed Oct 28, 2026)
- “With truck delivery expected in 2027 and 2028, Charger plans to use the Aurora Driver to add capacity on its network and drive higher utilization, starting between Dallas and Laredo, one of its busiest freight routes in the Sun Belt.”
- “With weekly output steadily improving, we now expect to achieve our targeted production rate of 20 trucks per week in early December.”
- “We expect cash use of approximately $250 million during the fourth quarter of 2026 as we continue to scale our driverless fleet.”
- “Reflecting a production ramp about six weeks behind our prior plan, we now expect 2026 revenue of approximately $9 million, which continues to represent substantial year-over-year growth.”
Quoted word-for-word from the SEC 8-K results press release.
AUR analyst estimates and revisions
| Period | EPS estimate | 90 days ago | Change | Revenue estimate | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends Sep 2026) | $-0.13 | $-0.12 | −$0.01 | $2.9M | 8 |
| Next quarter (ends Dec 2026) | $-0.13 | $-0.12 | −$0.01 | $9.0M | 8 |
| Current fiscal year (ends Dec 2026) | $-0.49 | $-0.54 | +$0.05 | $15.0M | 3 |
| Next fiscal year (ends Dec 2027) | $-0.45 | $-0.42 | −$0.03 | $187.7M | 2 |
AUR options: expected move
| Expiration | Days | ATM implied volatility | Expected move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | 1 | 97.2% | ±4.5% |
| Nov 6, 2026 | 8 | 74.3% | ±8.9% |
| Nov 13, 2026 | 15 | 71.8% | ±11.7% |
| Nov 20, 2026 | 22 | 73.7% | ±14.5% |
| Nov 27, 2026 | 29 | 74.4% | ±16.7% |
| Dec 4, 2026 | 36 | 69.0% | ±17.3% |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 50 | 69.9% | ±21.7% |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 78 | 68.0% | ±25.1% |
30-day implied volatility 72.5% vs 74.4% realized over the last 30 trading days. Put/call ratio (volume) 0.12. Cboe delayed quotes (15 min). Expected move = at-the-money straddle.
Key Statistics (as of October 29, 2026 at 16:50 UTC)
| Price | USD 4.47 |
|---|---|
| Change | ▼ 12.17% (down) |
| Previous Close | USD 5.09 |
| Open | USD 4.79 |
| Day Range | USD 4.41 – 4.91 |
| 52-Week Range | USD 3.6 – 8.57 |
| Volume | 23,165,484 shares |
| Market Cap | $8.96B |
| Exchange | NMS |
Technical Analysis (AUR)
Nexqual's technical model rates AUR "SELL" based on 2 bullish and 5 bearish signals across 128 daily candles, as of October 29, 2026 at 16:50 UTC.
| Overall Signal | SELL |
|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 29.96 (oversold) |
| vs SMA50 | Below (USD 5.73) |
| MACD | -0.3 (negative) |
Analyst Ratings (AUR)
Wall Street analysts rate AUR "Buy" based on 13 analysts, with a mean price target of USD 12.13 (range USD 3.59–18), per Nexqual as of October 29, 2026 at 16:50 UTC.
| Consensus Rating | Buy |
|---|---|
| Analyst Count | 13 |
| Mean Target | USD 12.13 |
| High Target | USD 18 |
| Low Target | USD 3.59 |
| Buy / Hold / Sell | 8 / 5 / 0 |
Earnings (AUR)
| Next Earnings Date | 2026-10-28 |
|---|---|
| Revenue Estimate | $2.94M |
Recent Earnings History
| Quarter | Actual vs Estimate |
|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | USD -0.14 vs est -0.12 ▼ miss |
| 2026-03-31 | USD -0.11 vs est -0.12 ▲ beat |
| 2025-12-31 | USD -0.08 vs est -0.12 ▲ beat |
| 2025-09-30 | USD -0.08 vs est -0.12 ▲ beat |
Source: Nexqual, October 29, 2026 at 16:50 UTC.
Financials & Fundamentals (AUR)
| Total Revenue | $5.00M |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (latest quarter, YoY) | +100.00% |
| Gross Margin | +0.00% |
| Operating Margin | -13300.00% |
| Profit Margin | +0.00% |
| ROE | -45.64% |
| Debt / Equity | 0.04 |
| Current Ratio | 11.38 |
| Total Cash | $1.22B |
| Total Debt | $82.00M |
| Free Cash Flow (last four quarters to Sep 2026, SEC 10-Q / 10-K) | -$800.00M (-11428.6% of revenue) |
Source: Nexqual, October 29, 2026 at 16:50 UTC.
Financial Health Score (AUR)
Nexqual rates Aurora Innovation, Inc.'s overall financial health "Mixed" across five dimensions, as of October 29, 2026 at 16:50 UTC.
| Growth | Strong — Revenue +100% YoY (latest Q) |
|---|---|
| Profitability | Critical — Heavily loss-making — early-stage company |
| Balance Sheet | Strong — $1.22B cash vs $82M debt, net cash position |
| Cash Flow | Weak — FCF negative: -$800M (last 4 quarters to Sep 2026, SEC), burning cash |
| Efficiency | Critical — ROE -52%, ROA -46.5% (last 4 quarters, SEC) |
Ownership (AUR)
| Insider Ownership | +10.92% |
|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership | +84.47% |
| Shares Outstanding | 1.71B |
| Float | 1.52B |
| Short % of Float | +20.46% |
Source: Nexqual, October 29, 2026 at 16:50 UTC.
Leadership (AUR)
Aurora Innovation, Inc. is led by Christopher Urmson, Co-Founder, CEO & Non-Independent Executive Chairman, per Nexqual as of October 29, 2026 at 16:50 UTC.
| Co-Founder, CEO & Non-Independent Executive Chairman | Christopher Urmson |
|---|---|
| President | Ossa Fisher |
| Chief Financial Officer | David Maday |
| Vice President of Investor Relations | Stacy Feit C.F.A. |
| Vice President of Government Relations & Public Affairs | Gerardo Interiano |
Major Backers & Investors (AUR)
Notable institutional backers of Aurora Innovation, Inc. include T. Rowe Price, Uber Technologies, Inc, Morgan Stanley, according to Nexqual as of October 29, 2026 at 16:50 UTC.
Active Investors
| Investor | Stake |
|---|---|
| T. Rowe Price | 17.53% |
| Uber Technologies, Inc | 15.13% |
| Morgan Stanley | 12.52% |
| Growth Fund of America | 7.32% |
| Capital Group | 4.86% |
| Capital International Investors | 4.55% |
| AMERICAN FUNDS FUNDAMENTAL INVESTORS | 4.5% |
| Baillie Gifford | 3.23% |
Index Funds (Passive)
| Fund | Stake |
|---|---|
| Vanguard Group | 8.96% |
| BlackRock | 4.01% |
Source: Nexqual, October 29, 2026 at 16:50 UTC.
From Aurora Innovation, Inc.'s Latest SEC 10-K Filing (filed 2026-02-11)
Key Strengths & Strategy (as disclosed to the SEC)
- Aurora's investment in long-range perception, including Aurora's proprietary FirstLight Lidar, enables us to solve this, while benefiting from the other elements that make deploying trucks on highways an advantageous initial market entry point.
- We have also built a proprietary Virtual Testing Suite, which makes our development more efficient and faster than traditional approaches that rely heavily on on-road vehicle fleets.
- Aurora's long-range, multi-modal sensing suite consists of high-resolution, high dynamic range and long-range cameras, next-generation imaging radar, and our industry-leading proprietary FirstLight Lidar.
- While many companies in the self-driving industry tout miles driven as a metric, our Virtual Testing Suite allows us to iterate faster and more efficiently, while reducing our reliance on on-road testing.
Partnerships
- In support of our partnership with Uber, and concurrent with the acquisition of Uber's self-driving unit, Uber invested $400 million in Aurora.
- As part of our partnership with Uber, we receive access to Uber data.
Legal & Regulatory Risks (Item 1A, quoted)
- We are subject to governmental export and import control laws and regulations and trade and economic sanctions. Our failure to comply with these laws and regulations could materially and adversely affect our business, prospects, financial condition and results of operations.
- We may become involved in legal and regulatory proceedings and commercial or contractual disputes, which could have an adverse effect on our profitability and consolidated financial position.
- We may be, from time to time, involved in litigation, regulatory proceedings and commercial or contractual disputes that may be significant.
- Changes to global political, regulatory and economic conditions or foreign laws and policies, or interpretation of existing foreign laws and policies, could materially and adversely affect our business, prospects, financial condition and results of operations.
Source: SEC EDGAR 10-K, official filing. Curated by Nexqual.
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| ALV | Autoliv, Inc. | USD 117.33 | ▲ 1.54% |
| MOD | Modine Manufacturing Company | USD 141.47 | ▼ 1.44% |
| BWA | BorgWarner Inc. | USD 54.16 | ▼ 3.16% |
| LEA | Lear Corporation | USD 118.2 | ▲ 1.12% |
Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 29, 2026 at 16:50 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.
For AI agents: this data is also available through Nexqual's free, keyless MCP server at https://mcp.nexqual.com/mcp; every result includes source_url, as_of and cite_as. More: nexqual.com/agents · llms.txt