AEVEX Corp. (AVEX) Stock Price & Analysis
AEVEX Corp. (AVEX) closed at USD 10.96 on Thursday, October 22, 2026, up 13.22% on the day. The US market is currently closed; this is not a live price.
The prior close was USD 9.68; the Oct 22, 2026 session ranged USD 9.85–11.19 on volume of 6,482,766 shares. Market capitalization is $758.41M, with a 52-week range of USD 9.64–42.34 (NYQ). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 23, 2026 at 07:55 UTC.
Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/AVEX.md
Key facts (AVEX)
- Insider open-market sales, last ~7 months: 1 Form 4 filings, $59.1M; 1 not under a Rule 10b5-1 plan ($59.1M); 0 by opportunistic insiders, 0 by routine insiders (three-year test, Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski 2012).
- Insider open-market purchases, last ~7 months: 5 Form 4 filings, $1.5M; 0 by opportunistic insiders, 0 by routine insiders.
- Analysts: Buy (mean 1.73 on a 1–5 scale) (11 analysts), mean target USD 25.8 (range 13–45).
- Total return with dividends: 1Y -59.3% vs S&P 500 +14.9%; 5Y -59.3% vs S&P 500 +80.3%.
- Next earnings: 2026-11-11, EPS estimate USD 0.1, revenue estimate $150M.
Valuation (price ÷ last four quarters, through Jun 30, 2026) (AVEX)
Earnings yield -2.09% · Net cash $116M · EV $642M
Insider sales (SEC Form 4, open-market, last ~7 months) (AVEX)
0 of 1 under a Rule 10b5-1 trading plan (scheduled in advance). Unplanned sales were timed by the insider.
| Trade date | Insider | Role | Shares | Value | % of holdings sold | 10b5-1 plan | Insider type |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-05 | Madison Dearborn Partners Llc | 2,273,843 | $59.1M | 3.8% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
% of holdings sold = shares sold ÷ (shares sold + all holdings the insider reported on that Form 4, direct and through trusts).
Insider type follows Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski (Journal of Finance, 2012). An insider who traded the stock in the same calendar month in each of the past three years is a routine trader; one who traded in each of those years without such a pattern is an opportunistic trader. In their study, trades by opportunistic insiders predicted future returns and trades by routine insiders did not. Counts open-market purchases and sales only (SEC Form 4 codes P and S) by that insider in that company. Not investment advice.
Insider purchases (SEC Form 4, open-market, last ~7 months) (AVEX)
5 purchases, $1.5M. Private placements, offerings, dividend reinvestment and employee stock purchase plan buys are excluded.
| Trade date | Insider | Role | Shares | Value | Avg price | Insider type |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-16 | Booth Todd | Chief Financial Officer | 13,000 | $260K | 20 | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
| 2026-04-16 | Jackson Michael Andrew | See Remarks | 650 | $13K | 20 | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
| 2026-04-16 | Wells Charles Roger Iv | Chief Executive Officer | 500 | $10K | 20 | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
| 2026-04-16 | Raduenz Brian | Director | 50,000 | $1.0M | 20 | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
| 2026-04-16 | Hush Brett P | See Remarks | 10,000 | $200K | 20 | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
Analysts (AVEX)
Consensus Buy (mean 1.73 on a 1–5 scale), 11 analysts; mean target USD 25.8 (low 13, high 45).
Rating changes, last 120 days:
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | Oppenheimer | Initiated | Outperform | $21 |
| 2026-10-22 | RBC Capital | Target lowered | Outperform | $26 → $22 |
| 2026-10-22 | Piper Sandler | Target lowered | Neutral | $20 → $13 |
| 2026-10-12 | RBC Capital | Target lowered | Outperform | $31 → $26 |
| 2026-09-02 | Piper Sandler | Initiated | Neutral | $20 |
| 2026-08-13 | Needham | Reiterated | Buy | $45 |
Total return (dividends reinvested) (AVEX)
| 1Y (from 2026-04-17) | 5Y (from 2026-04-13) | |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | -59.3% | -59.3% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +14.9% | +80.3% |
| Per year | — | — |
| Volatility (annualized) | 125.9% | 124.2% |
| Max drawdown | -76.1% (May 2026→Oct 2026) | -71.5% (May 2026→Oct 2026) |
AVEX revenue by business segment (quarter ended Jun 30, 2026)
| Line | Revenue | Share of total | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tactical Systems | $174.2M | 86.3% | +141.6% |
| Global Solutions | $27.6M | 13.7% | -5.0% |
| Total revenue | $201.8M | 100% | — |
AVEX revenue by product line (quarter ended Jun 30, 2026)
| Line | Revenue | Share of total | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Products | $168.7M | 83.6% | +138.1% |
| Services | $33.1M | 16.4% | +9.3% |
| Total revenue | $201.8M | 100% | — |
AVEX revenue by region (quarter ended Jun 30, 2026)
| Line | Revenue | Share of total | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| United States | $198.6M | 98.4% | +105.9% |
| Other foreign countries | $3.2M | 1.6% | -31.3% |
| Total revenue | $201.8M | 100% | — |
As tagged by the company in its SEC 10-Q / 10-K filings (XBRL).
AVEX company outlook (results filed May 20, 2026)
- “Outlook for Full Year 2026 • Total revenue of $600.0 million to $620.0 million • Adjusted EBITDA* of $88.0 million to $94.5 million * See "Non-GAAP Financial Measures" below for an explanation of this measure.”
Quoted word-for-word from the SEC 8-K results press release.
AVEX analyst estimates and revisions
| Period | EPS estimate | 90 days ago | Change | Revenue estimate | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends Sep 2026) | $0.10 | $0.04 | +127.1% | $149.7M | 5 |
| Next quarter (ends Dec 2026) | $0.14 | $0.04 | +280.6% | $180.3M | 6 |
| Current fiscal year (ends Dec 2026) | $0.52 | $0.33 | +57.0% | $749.6M | 5 |
| Next fiscal year (ends Dec 2027) | $0.69 | $0.50 | +38.5% | $871.1M | 7 |
AVEX options: expected move
Options price a move of about ±21.5% (±$2.33) by Nov 20, 2026, which includes earnings on Nov 11, 2026. Over the last 1 reports the stock moved ±1.5% on average.
| Expiration | Days | ATM implied volatility | Expected move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2026 | 29 | 93.4% | ±21.5% |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 57 | 78.8% | ±24.8% |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 85 | 69.6% | ±26.6% |
| Apr 16, 2027 | 176 | 82.6% | ±44.0% |
30-day implied volatility 81.5% vs 129.8% realized over the last 30 trading days. Put/call ratio (volume) 0.23. Cboe delayed quotes (15 min). Expected move = at-the-money straddle.
Key Statistics (as of October 23, 2026 at 07:55 UTC)
| Price | USD 10.96 |
|---|---|
| Change | ▲ 13.22% (up) |
| Previous Close | USD 9.68 |
| Open | USD 10.96 |
| Day Range | USD 9.85 – 11.19 |
| 52-Week Range | USD 9.64 – 42.34 |
| Volume | 6,482,766 shares |
| Market Cap | $758.41M |
| Exchange | NYQ |
Technical Analysis (AVEX)
Nexqual's technical model rates AVEX "SELL" based on 1 bullish and 5 bearish signals across 127 daily candles, as of October 23, 2026 at 07:55 UTC.
| Overall Signal | SELL |
|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 31.89 (neutral) |
| vs SMA50 | Below (USD 16.2) |
| MACD | -1.06 (negative) |
Analyst Ratings (AVEX)
Wall Street analysts rate AVEX "Buy" based on 11 analysts, with a mean price target of USD 25.8 (range USD 13–45), per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 07:55 UTC.
| Consensus Rating | Buy |
|---|---|
| Analyst Count | 11 |
| Mean Target | USD 25.8 |
| High Target | USD 45 |
| Low Target | USD 13 |
| Buy / Hold / Sell | 10 / 1 / 0 |
Earnings (AVEX)
| Next Earnings Date | 2026-11-11 |
|---|---|
| EPS Estimate | USD 0.1 |
| Revenue Estimate | $149.71M |
Recent Earnings History
| Quarter | Actual vs Estimate |
|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | USD 0.19 vs est 0.07 ▲ beat |
| 2026-03-31 | USD 0.19 vs est 0.17 ▲ beat |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 07:55 UTC.
Financials & Fundamentals (AVEX)
| Total Revenue | $697.03M |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (latest quarter, YoY) | +99.50% |
| Gross Margin | +25.39% |
| Operating Margin | +10.21% |
| Profit Margin | +6.53% |
| Debt / Equity | 0.16 |
| Current Ratio | 5.66 |
| Total Cash | $215.24M |
| Total Debt | $108.10M |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 07:55 UTC.
Financial Health Score (AVEX)
Nexqual rates AEVEX Corp.'s overall financial health "Mixed" across five dimensions, as of October 23, 2026 at 07:55 UTC.
| Growth | Strong — Revenue +100% YoY (latest Q) |
|---|---|
| Profitability | Weak — Pre-revenue or very early stage |
| Balance Sheet | Strong — $215M cash and investments vs $99M debt (Jun 2026, SEC), net cash |
| Cash Flow | Weak — Operating cash flow -$61M (TTM) |
| Efficiency | Mixed — No data |
Ownership (AVEX)
| Insider Ownership | +20.41% |
|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership | +86.50% |
| Shares Outstanding | 69.20M |
| Float | 19.90M |
| Short % of Float | +8.16% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 07:55 UTC.
Leadership (AVEX)
AEVEX Corp. is led by Charles Roger Wells, CEO & Director, per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 07:55 UTC.
| CEO & Director | Charles Roger Wells |
|---|---|
| Founder & Executive Chairman | Brian Raduenz |
| Senior Vice President of Global Solutions | Michael Jackson |
| Chief Financial Officer | Todd A. Booth |
| Chief Technology Officer | Manan Patel |
Major Backers & Investors (AVEX)
Notable institutional backers of AEVEX Corp. include Fidelity, First TRT Exch-Trd Fd. VI-First TRT RBA American Industrial Renaissanc, Alliancebernstein L.P., according to Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 07:55 UTC.
Active Investors
| Investor | Stake |
|---|---|
| Fidelity | 10.51% |
| First TRT Exch-Trd Fd. VI-First TRT RBA American Industrial Renaissanc | 6.11% |
| Alliancebernstein L.P. | 3.84% |
| Principal Financial Group, Inc. | 3.04% |
| Citadel | 2.56% |
| JPMorgan | 2.42% |
| AB CAP FUND, INC.-AB Small Cap Growth Portfolio | 1.8% |
| Alyeska Investment Group, L.p. | 1.69% |
Index Funds (Passive)
| Fund | Stake |
|---|---|
| BlackRock | 6.11% |
| Vanguard Group | 3.82% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 07:55 UTC.
Peers & Related Stocks
| Symbol | Name | Price | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| HXL | Hexcel Corporation | USD 81.27 | ▼ 9.54% |
| SARO | StandardAero, Inc. | USD 21.72 | ▲ 1.26% |
| KTOS | Kratos Defense & Security Solut | USD 38.27 | ▼ 1.21% |
| CAE | CAE Inc | USD 25.02 | ▲ 2.08% |
| DRS | Leonardo DRS, Inc. | USD 34.3 | ▲ 1.06% |
| HII | Huntington Ingalls Industries, | USD 278.86 | ▲ 1.79% |
Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 23, 2026 at 07:55 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.
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