BHP Group Limited (BHP) Stock Price & Analysis
BHP Group Limited (BHP) closed at USD 77.58 on Thursday, October 22, 2026, down 4.01% on the day. The US market is currently closed (pre-market); this is not a live price.
The prior close was USD 80.82; the Oct 22, 2026 session ranged USD 77.42–78.67 on volume of 4,344,155 shares. Market capitalization is $197.17B, with a 52-week range of USD 52.18–98.71 (NYQ). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 23, 2026 at 12:06 UTC.
Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/BHP.md
Key facts (BHP)
- Insider open-market sales, last ~7 months: 1 Form 4 filings, $315K; 1 not under a Rule 10b5-1 plan ($315K); 0 by opportunistic insiders, 0 by routine insiders (three-year test, Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski 2012).
- Analysts: Hold (mean 3.25 on a 1–5 scale) (8 analysts), mean target USD 78.33 (range 62–96).
- Total return with dividends: 1Y +46.2% vs S&P 500 +14.9%; 5Y +103.1% vs S&P 500 +80.3%.
- Next earnings: 2026-08-17, EPS estimate USD —, revenue estimate $0K.
Insider sales (SEC Form 4, open-market, last ~7 months) (BHP)
0 of 1 under a Rule 10b5-1 trading plan (scheduled in advance). Unplanned sales were timed by the insider.
| Trade date | Insider | Role | Shares | Value | % of holdings sold | 10b5-1 plan | Insider type |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Stone Emma Kate | Group Financial Controller | 6,774 | $315K | 59% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
% of holdings sold = shares sold ÷ (shares sold + all holdings the insider reported on that Form 4, direct and through trusts).
Insider type follows Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski (Journal of Finance, 2012). An insider who traded the stock in the same calendar month in each of the past three years is a routine trader; one who traded in each of those years without such a pattern is an opportunistic trader. In their study, trades by opportunistic insiders predicted future returns and trades by routine insiders did not. Counts open-market purchases and sales only (SEC Form 4 codes P and S) by that insider in that company. Not investment advice.
Analysts (BHP)
Consensus Hold (mean 3.25 on a 1–5 scale), 8 analysts; mean target USD 78.33 (low 62, high 96).
Total return (dividends reinvested) (BHP)
| 1Y (from 2025-10-23) | 5Y (from 2021-10-18) | |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | +46.2% | +103.1% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +14.9% | +80.3% |
| Per year | +46.4% | +15.2% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 34.1% | 30.8% |
| Max drawdown | -19.8% (Mar 2026→Mar 2026) | -33.8% (Dec 2023→Mar 2025) |
BHP suppliers, customers and competitors (named in its 20-F)
| Relationship | Company | Sentence in the filing |
|---|---|---|
| Partner | Wheaton Precious Metals International | “Net financing cash outflows of US$3.3 billion decreased by US$2.7 billion reflecting proceeds of US$4.3 billion from the Antamina silver streaming agreement with Wheaton Precious Metals International Ltd, partially offset by higher dividends paid of US$0.8 billion, and higher repayments of interest bearing liabilities of US$0.7 billion.” |
| Partner | Siemens | “So far, we have signed a Global Framework Agreement with XCMG and Memorandums of Understanding (MoUs) with Siemens Mobility, BYD and CATL.” |
| Partner | BYD | “So far, we have signed a Global Framework Agreement with XCMG and Memorandums of Understanding (MoUs) with Siemens Mobility, BYD and CATL.” |
| Partner | CATL | “So far, we have signed a Global Framework Agreement with XCMG and Memorandums of Understanding (MoUs) with Siemens Mobility, BYD and CATL.” |
| Competitor | Rio Tinto (RIO) | “Competitors include: Anglo American, Antofagasta, Codelco, Freeport, Glencore, Rio Tinto, Southern Copper, Teck.” |
Quoted from the company's 20-F filed Aug 18, 2026.
Companies that name BHP in their SEC reports
| Relationship to BHP | Company | Filing | Sentence |
|---|---|---|---|
| customer | GOLD FIELDS LTD (GFI) | 20-F Mar 30, 2026 | “reliance on gas-fired power supplied by BHP-Nickel West, which is not assured.” |
| partner | Vale S.A. (VALE) | 20-F Mar 27, 2026 | “Samarco is a joint venture equally owned by us and BHP Billiton Brasil Ltda. (BHP Brasil).” |
| partner | Lifezone Metals Ltd (LZM) | 20-F Mar 19, 2026 | “As previously discussed, on July 18, 2025, Lifezone entered into a definitive agreement with BHP to acquire BHP's 17% equity interest in KNL.” |
| customer | ArcelorMittal (AMSYF) | 20-F Mar 6, 2026 | “ArcelorMittal's principal coal suppliers include the BHP Billiton” |
| partner | Ivanhoe Electric Inc. (IE) | 10-K Feb 23, 2026 | “These include the BHP Alliance in Arizona, New Mexico, Utah, and Nevada (the "BHP Alliance"), the Bristol Project located in Nevada (the "Bristol Project"), and the Lomitas Negras, Globe-Miami and Perseverance Projects in Arizona (the "Lomitas Negras Project", "Globe-Miami Projects" and "Perseverance Project", respectively).” |
| partner | RIO TINTO PLC (RIO) | 20-F Feb 19, 2026 | “2025 in collaboration with BHP, working with haul truck manufacturer” |
BHP analyst estimates and revisions
| Period | EPS estimate | 90 days ago | Change | Revenue estimate | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter | — | — | — | $0 | — |
| Next quarter | — | — | — | $0 | — |
| Current fiscal year (ends Jun 2027) | $4.69 | $4.98 | -5.7% | $57.98B | 3 |
| Next fiscal year (ends Jun 2028) | $4.78 | $4.66 | +2.6% | $57.19B | 3 |
BHP options: expected move
| Expiration | Days | ATM implied volatility | Expected move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2026 | 28 | 34.1% | ±7.7% |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 56 | 33.2% | ±10.5% |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 84 | 32.5% | ±12.5% |
| Feb 19, 2027 | 119 | 33.0% | ±14.9% |
| Mar 19, 2027 | 147 | 32.3% | ±16.7% |
| May 21, 2027 | 210 | 34.5% | ±20.6% |
| Jun 17, 2027 | 237 | 33.2% | ±21.0% |
| Sep 17, 2027 | 329 | 33.8% | ±25.5% |
30-day implied volatility 33.5% vs 24.7% realized over the last 30 trading days. Put/call ratio (volume) 2.72. Cboe delayed quotes (15 min). Expected move = at-the-money straddle.
Key Statistics (as of October 23, 2026 at 12:06 UTC)
| Price | USD 77.58 |
|---|---|
| Change | ▼ 4.01% (down) |
| Previous Close | USD 80.82 |
| Open | USD 78.67 |
| Day Range | USD 77.42 – 78.67 |
| 52-Week Range | USD 52.18 – 98.71 |
| Volume | 4,344,155 shares |
| Market Cap | $197.17B |
| Exchange | NYQ |
Technical Analysis (BHP)
Nexqual's technical model rates BHP "SELL" based on 3 bullish and 5 bearish signals across 127 daily candles, as of October 23, 2026 at 12:06 UTC.
| Overall Signal | SELL |
|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 23.93 (oversold) |
| vs SMA50 | Below (USD 87.91) |
| MACD | -1.82 (negative) |
Analyst Ratings (BHP)
Wall Street analysts rate BHP "Hold" based on 8 analysts, with a mean price target of USD 78.33 (range USD 62–96), per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 12:06 UTC.
| Consensus Rating | Hold |
|---|---|
| Analyst Count | 8 |
| Mean Target | USD 78.33 |
| High Target | USD 96 |
| Low Target | USD 62 |
| Buy / Hold / Sell | 2 / 4 / 2 |
Earnings (BHP)
| Next Earnings Date | 2026-08-17 |
|---|
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 12:06 UTC.
Financials & Fundamentals (BHP)
| Total Revenue | $58.76B |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (latest quarter, YoY) | +18.30% |
| Gross Margin | +85.92% |
| Operating Margin | +43.34% |
| Profit Margin | +16.73% |
| ROE | +24.00% |
| Debt / Equity | 0.5 |
| Current Ratio | 1.89 |
| Total Cash | $18.56B |
| Total Debt | $28.43B |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 12:06 UTC.
Financial Health Score (BHP)
Nexqual rates BHP Group Limited's overall financial health "Solid" across five dimensions, as of October 23, 2026 at 12:06 UTC.
| Growth | Solid — Revenue +15% YoY (annual) |
|---|---|
| Profitability | Strong — Gross margin 86%, operating 43% (last 12 months) |
| Balance Sheet | Solid — $18.6B cash vs $28.4B debt |
| Cash Flow | Solid — Operating cash flow $21.8B (TTM) |
| Efficiency | Strong — ROE 24%, ROA 13.4% |
Ownership (BHP)
| Insider Ownership | +0.01% |
|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership | +4.63% |
| Shares Outstanding | 2.54B |
| Float | 2.48B |
| Short % of Float | +0.83% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 12:06 UTC.
Leadership (BHP)
BHP Group Limited is led by Brandon Craig, CEO & Director, per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 12:06 UTC.
| CEO & Director | Brandon Craig |
|---|---|
| Chief Financial Officer | Vandita Pant B.Com. |
| President of Australia | Geraldine A. Slattery B.Sc., M.Sc. |
| Vice President of Investor Relations | Dinesh Bishop |
| Vice President of Communications | James Agar |
Major Backers & Investors (BHP)
Notable institutional backers of BHP Group Limited include Fisher Asset Management, LLC, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, according to Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 12:06 UTC.
Active Investors
| Investor | Stake |
|---|---|
| Fisher Asset Management, LLC | 0.96% |
| Morgan Stanley | 0.41% |
| Goldman Sachs | 0.41% |
| FMR, LLC | 0.26% |
| Citigroup Inc. | 0.22% |
| Wellington Management | 0.14% |
| Price (T.Rowe) Associates Inc | 0.12% |
Index Funds (Passive)
| Fund | Stake |
|---|---|
| State Street | 0.25% |
| BlackRock | 0.14% |
| Dimensional Fund Advisors | 0.14% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 12:06 UTC.
Peers & Related Stocks
| Symbol | Name | Price | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| RIO | Rio Tinto Plc | USD 84.14 | ▼ 3.2% |
| VALE | VALE S.A. | USD 12.2 | ▼ 3.94% |
| RML | RESOLUTION MINERALS LTD | USD 4.35 | ▼ 3.97% |
| MP | MP Materials Corp. | USD 38.56 | ▼ 2.38% |
| MTRN | Materion Corporation | USD 219.12 | ▼ 12.43% |
| USAR | USA Rare Earth, Inc. | USD 9.63 | ▼ 5.87% |
Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 23, 2026 at 12:06 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.
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