Vale S.A. (VALE) Stock Price & Analysis
Vale S.A. (VALE) closed at USD 11.18 on Thursday, October 29, 2026, down 2.53% on the day. The US market is currently closed (after-hours); this is not a live price.
The prior close was USD 11.47; the Oct 29, 2026 session ranged USD 11.15–11.45 on volume of 33,638,279 shares. Market capitalization is $47.58B, with a 52-week range of USD 11.15–17.94 (NYQ). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 29, 2026 at 21:19 UTC.
Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/VALE.md
Key facts (VALE)
- 2 of 80 tracked superinvestors hold VALE (13F, Q2 2026): 0 new, 0 added, 2 reduced, 0 unchanged.
- Insider open-market sales, last ~7 months: 1 Form 4 filings, $4K; 1 not under a Rule 10b5-1 plan ($4K); 0 by opportunistic insiders, 0 by routine insiders (three-year test, Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski 2012).
- Insider open-market purchases, last ~7 months: 4 Form 4 filings, $12K; 0 by opportunistic insiders, 0 by routine insiders.
- Analysts: Buy (mean 2.36 on a 1–5 scale) (25 analysts), mean target USD 16.18 (range 12–22).
- Total return with dividends: 1Y +1.8% vs S&P 500 +14.4%; 5Y +33.0% vs S&P 500 +79.1%.
- Next earnings: 2026-10-29, EPS estimate USD 0.42, revenue estimate $10.5B.
Superinvestors (SEC 13F-HR, Q2 2026) (VALE)
2 of 80 tracked investors hold VALE. Each row is the investor's latest 13F; change is vs their prior-quarter share count.
| Investor | Firm | % of portfolio | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Davis | Davis Advisors | 0.19% | $44.1M | Reduced -0.1% |
| Richard Pzena | Pzena Investment Management | <0.01% | $889K | Reduced -68.7% |
Insider sales (SEC Form 4, open-market, last ~7 months) (VALE)
0 of 1 under a Rule 10b5-1 trading plan (scheduled in advance). Unplanned sales were timed by the insider.
| Trade date | Insider | Role | Shares | Value | % of holdings sold | 10b5-1 plan | Insider type |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-16 | Quintao Lara Anelise | Director | 249 | $4K | 28.9% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
% of holdings sold = shares sold ÷ (shares sold + all holdings the insider reported on that Form 4, direct and through trusts).
Insider type follows Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski (Journal of Finance, 2012). An insider who traded the stock in the same calendar month in each of the past three years is a routine trader; one who traded in each of those years without such a pattern is an opportunistic trader. In their study, trades by opportunistic insiders predicted future returns and trades by routine insiders did not. Counts open-market purchases and sales only (SEC Form 4 codes P and S) by that insider in that company. Not investment advice.
Insider purchases (SEC Form 4, open-market, last ~7 months) (VALE)
4 purchases, $12K. Private placements, offerings, dividend reinvestment and employee stock purchase plan buys are excluded.
| Trade date | Insider | Role | Shares | Value | Avg price | Insider type |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-01…2026-08-04 | Viana Madeira Andre | Director | 11 | $0K | 14.84 | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
| 2026-07-03 | De Souza Funo Elaine Maria | Accounting Officer | 406 | $6K | 15.25 | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
| 2026-06-17 | Viana Madeira Andre | Director | 9 | $0K | 16 | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
| 2026-06-16 | Quintao Lara Anelise | Director | 338 | $5K | 16.09 | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
Analysts (VALE)
Consensus Buy (mean 2.36 on a 1–5 scale), 25 analysts; mean target USD 16.18 (low 12, high 22).
Rating changes, last 120 days:
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | UBS | Target lowered | Neutral | $15 → $14.5 |
| 2026-10-19 | Scotiabank | Upgrade | Sector Perform → Sector Outperform | $16 |
| 2026-10-13 | Barclays | Target lowered | Equal-Weight | $17 → $15 |
| 2026-09-30 | JP Morgan | Target raised | Overweight | $21 → $22 |
| 2026-09-29 | UBS | Target lowered | Neutral | $16.5 → $15 |
| 2026-09-16 | RBC Capital | Target raised | Sector Perform | $15 → $16 |
| 2026-09-09 | Bernstein | Target raised | Market Perform | $12 → $12.5 |
| 2026-08-05 | B of A Securities | Downgrade | Buy → Neutral | $18 → $16 |
| 2026-08-03 | Barclays | Target raised | Equal-Weight | $16.75 → $17 |
| 2026-07-27 | Goldman Sachs | Downgrade | Buy → Neutral | $18 → $16 |
| 2026-07-20 | Scotiabank | Target lowered | Sector Perform | $19 → $16 |
| 2026-07-09 | Wells Fargo | Target lowered | Equal-Weight | $16 → $15 |
Total return (dividends reinvested) (VALE)
| 1Y (from 2025-10-30) | 5Y (from 2021-10-25) | |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | +1.8% | +33.0% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +14.4% | +79.1% |
| Per year | +1.8% | +5.9% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 33.6% | 34.8% |
| Max drawdown | -35.5% (Apr 2026→Oct 2026) | -48.8% (Mar 2022→Jan 2025) |
VALE earnings history and stock reaction
| Results filed | Quarter | EPS | Consensus | Surprise | Stock reaction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | Quarter ended Jun 30, 2026 | $0.36 | $0.49 | Miss −26.5% | — |
| — | Quarter ended Mar 31, 2026 | $0.44 | $0.50 | Miss −12.0% | — |
| — | Quarter ended Dec 31, 2025 | $0.34 | $0.63 | Miss −46.0% | — |
| — | Quarter ended Sep 30, 2025 | $0.64 | $0.52 | Beat +23.1% | — |
EPS as reported against the analyst consensus before the release; surprise uses the cent-rounded figures shown (in dollars when EPS and consensus have opposite signs). Stock reaction = close before the results to close after (the first close following a release after the bell or before the open).
VALE recent SEC filings (last 120 days)
| Filed | Form | What it says |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | 6-K | Current report (foreign issuer) · period ended Dec 31, 2026 |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 6-K | Current report (foreign issuer) · period ended Dec 31, 2026 |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 6-K | Current report (foreign issuer) · period ended Dec 31, 2026 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | 6-K | Current report (foreign issuer) · period ended Dec 31, 2026 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | 6-K | Current report (foreign issuer) · period ended Dec 31, 2026 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | 6-K | Current report (foreign issuer) · period ended Dec 31, 2026 |
| Sep 30, 2026 | 6-K | Current report (foreign issuer) · period ended Sep 30, 2026 |
| Sep 30, 2026 | 6-K | Current report (foreign issuer) · period ended Sep 30, 2026 |
| Sep 30, 2026 | 6-K | Current report (foreign issuer) · period ended Sep 30, 2026 |
| Sep 24, 2026 | 6-K | Current report (foreign issuer) · period ended Sep 30, 2026 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | 6-K/A | Current report (foreign issuer) · period ended Sep 30, 2026 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | 6-K | Current report (foreign issuer) · period ended Sep 30, 2026 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | 6-K | Current report (foreign issuer) · period ended Sep 30, 2026 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | 6-K | Current report (foreign issuer) · period ended Sep 30, 2026 |
Source: SEC EDGAR. Quotes are the opening words of each item as filed; each form links to the filing. Insider Form 4 filings are listed in the insider sections.
VALE suppliers, customers and competitors (named in its 20-F)
| Relationship | Company | Sentence in the filing |
|---|---|---|
| Customer | Canada | “support to our customers on a global basis through an established marketing network headquartered at our head office in Toronto (Canada).” |
| Partner | BHP (BHP) | “Samarco is a joint venture equally owned by us and BHP Billiton Brasil Ltda. (BHP Brasil).” |
| Partner | Energia | “70% interest in Aliança Energia to Global Infrastructure Partners (GIP), for an amount of US$871 million, comprised” |
| Partner | Brasil | “Samarco is a joint venture equally owned by us and BHP Billiton Brasil Ltda. (BHP Brasil).” |
| Competitor | Rio Tinto (RIO) | “The largest competitors in the copper concentrate market are BHP Group, Rio Tinto,” |
Quoted from the company's 20-F filed Mar 27, 2026.
Companies that name VALE in their SEC reports
| Relationship to VALE | Company | Filing | Sentence |
|---|---|---|---|
| customer | Ternium S.A. (TX) | 20-F Mar 31, 2026 | “Our main suppliers of iron ore, in the form of lumps, pellets and sinter feed fines, are LHG Mining Corumba S.A., Vale, Samarco Mineração S.A. and Vetria Mineração S.A.” |
VALE analyst estimates and revisions
| Period | EPS estimate | 90 days ago | Change | Revenue estimate | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends Sep 2026) | $0.42 | $0.47 | -11.0% | $10.46B | 6 |
| Next quarter (ends Dec 2026) | $0.46 | $0.49 | -6.8% | $10.94B | 3 |
| Current fiscal year (ends Dec 2026) | $1.76 | $2.02 | -12.8% | $41.03B | 10 |
| Next fiscal year (ends Dec 2027) | $1.86 | $2.04 | -8.4% | $41.20B | 10 |
VALE options: expected move
Options price a move of about ±3.3% (±$0.37) by Oct 30, 2026, which includes earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
| Expiration | Days | ATM implied volatility | Expected move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | 1 | 71.4% | ±3.3% |
| Nov 6, 2026 | 8 | 45.6% | ±5.7% |
| Nov 13, 2026 | 15 | 41.0% | ±6.5% |
| Nov 20, 2026 | 22 | 38.0% | ±7.6% |
| Nov 27, 2026 | 29 | 43.4% | ±9.8% |
| Dec 4, 2026 | 36 | 41.9% | ±10.6% |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 50 | 35.8% | ±10.6% |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 78 | 35.0% | ±12.8% |
30-day implied volatility 37.2% vs 27.4% realized over the last 30 trading days. Put/call ratio (volume) 1.09. Cboe delayed quotes (15 min). Expected move = at-the-money straddle.
Key Statistics (as of October 29, 2026 at 21:19 UTC)
| Price | USD 11.18 |
|---|---|
| Change | ▼ 2.53% (down) |
| Previous Close | USD 11.47 |
| Open | USD 11.43 |
| Day Range | USD 11.15 – 11.45 |
| 52-Week Range | USD 11.15 – 17.94 |
| Volume | 33,638,279 shares |
| Market Cap | $47.58B |
| Exchange | NYQ |
Technical Analysis (VALE)
Nexqual's technical model rates VALE "SELL" based on 3 bullish and 5 bearish signals across 127 daily candles, as of October 29, 2026 at 21:19 UTC.
| Overall Signal | SELL |
|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 18.4 (oversold) |
| vs SMA50 | Below (USD 13.93) |
| MACD | -0.65 (negative) |
Analyst Ratings (VALE)
Wall Street analysts rate VALE "Buy" based on 25 analysts, with a mean price target of USD 16.18 (range USD 12–22), per Nexqual as of October 29, 2026 at 21:19 UTC.
| Consensus Rating | Buy |
|---|---|
| Analyst Count | 25 |
| Mean Target | USD 16.18 |
| High Target | USD 22 |
| Low Target | USD 12 |
| Buy / Hold / Sell | 12 / 12 / 1 |
Earnings (VALE)
| Next Earnings Date | 2026-10-29 |
|---|---|
| EPS Estimate | USD 0.42 |
| Revenue Estimate | $10.46B |
Recent Earnings History
| Quarter | Actual vs Estimate |
|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | USD 0.36 vs est 0.49 ▼ miss |
| 2026-03-31 | USD 0.44 vs est 0.5 ▼ miss |
| 2025-12-31 | USD 0.34 vs est 0.63 ▼ miss |
| 2025-09-30 | USD 0.64 vs est 0.52 ▲ beat |
Source: Nexqual, October 29, 2026 at 21:19 UTC.
Financials & Fundamentals (VALE)
| Total Revenue | $218.07B |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (latest quarter, YoY) | +6.40% |
| Gross Margin | +34.92% |
| Operating Margin | +21.95% |
| Profit Margin | +4.75% |
| ROE | +4.11% |
| Debt / Equity | 0.55 |
| Current Ratio | 1.19 |
| Total Cash | $29.84B |
| Total Debt | $110.01B |
Source: Nexqual, October 29, 2026 at 21:19 UTC.
Financial Health Score (VALE)
Nexqual rates Vale S.A.'s overall financial health "Mixed" across five dimensions, as of October 29, 2026 at 21:19 UTC.
| Growth | Mixed — Revenue +0.9% YoY (annual), slow |
|---|---|
| Profitability | Solid — Gross margin 35%, operating 22% (last 12 months) |
| Balance Sheet | Solid — BRL 29.8B cash vs BRL 110.0B debt |
| Cash Flow | Solid — Operating cash flow BRL 50.6B (TTM) |
| Efficiency | Weak — ROE 4%, ROA 7.9% |
Ownership (VALE)
| Insider Ownership | +0.00% |
|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership | +20.22% |
| Shares Outstanding | 4.26B |
| Float | 3.96B |
| Short % of Float | +1.34% |
Source: Nexqual, October 29, 2026 at 21:19 UTC.
Leadership (VALE)
Vale S.A. is led by Gustavo Duarte Pimenta, Chief Executive Officer, per Nexqual as of October 29, 2026 at 21:19 UTC.
| Chief Executive Officer | Gustavo Duarte Pimenta |
|---|---|
| Executive Vice President of Finance & Investor Relations | Marcelo Feriozzi Bacci |
| Executive Vice President of Operations | Carlos Henrique Senna Medeiros |
| Executive Vice President of Technical | Rafael Jabur Bittar |
| Director & Head of Investor Relations | Thiago Kiill Lofiego C.F.A. |
Major Backers & Investors (VALE)
Notable institutional backers of Vale S.A. include Capital Group, FMR, LLC, AMERICAN FUNDS INSURANCE SERIES-Eupac Fund, according to Nexqual as of October 29, 2026 at 21:19 UTC.
Active Investors
| Investor | Stake |
|---|---|
| Capital Group | 3.51% |
| FMR, LLC | 1.25% |
| AMERICAN FUNDS INSURANCE SERIES-Eupac Fund | 1.05% |
| Arrowstreet Capital, Limited Partnership | 0.72% |
| Principal Financial Group, Inc. | 0.66% |
| Morgan Stanley | 0.63% |
| Robeco Institutional Asset Management B.V. | 0.61% |
| Lazard Asset Management LLC | 0.54% |
Index Funds (Passive)
| Fund | Stake |
|---|---|
| BlackRock | 1.44% |
Source: Nexqual, October 29, 2026 at 21:19 UTC.
Peers & Related Stocks
| Symbol | Name | Price | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| RIO | Rio Tinto Plc | USD 83.25 | ▼ 3.12% |
| BHP | BHP Group Limited | USD 81.82 | ▼ 0.49% |
| RML | RESOLUTION MINERALS LTD | USD 3.94 | ▼ 1.99% |
| MP | MP Materials Corp. | USD 41.64 | ▲ 1.41% |
| MTRN | Materion Corporation | USD 239.81 | ▼ 0.69% |
| USAR | USA Rare Earth, Inc. | USD 10.52 | ▲ 0.38% |
Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 29, 2026 at 21:19 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.
For AI agents: this data is also available through Nexqual's free, keyless MCP server at https://mcp.nexqual.com/mcp; every result includes source_url, as_of and cite_as. More: nexqual.com/agents · llms.txt