Burlington Stores, Inc. (BURL) Stock Price & Analysis
Burlington Stores, Inc. (BURL) closed at USD 252.62 on Thursday, October 22, 2026, up 1.81% on the day. The US market is currently closed (pre-market); this is not a live price.
The prior close was USD 248.13; the Oct 22, 2026 session ranged USD 246.95–254.34 on volume of 1,313,352 shares. Market capitalization is $15.87B, with a 52-week range of USD 226.85–378.33 (NYQ). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 23, 2026 at 10:37 UTC.
Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/BURL.md
Key facts (BURL)
- Last four reported quarters (through Aug 1, 2026): revenue $12.2B, net income $714M (5.8% margin), free cash flow $413M (SEC filings).
- Valuation: P/E 22.2x (avg 34.1x at the last 3 fiscal year-ends), net debt $1.21B.
- Insider open-market sales, last ~7 months: 10 Form 4 filings, $14.3M; 4 not under a Rule 10b5-1 plan ($11.9M); 0 by opportunistic insiders, 5 by routine insiders (three-year test, Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski 2012).
- Total return with dividends: 1Y -5.8% vs S&P 500 +14.9%; 5Y -9.2% vs S&P 500 +80.3%.
- Next earnings: 2026-11-27, EPS estimate USD 1.73, revenue estimate $2.99B.
Financials (SEC 10-K; TTM = last four 10-Q/10-K quarters) (BURL)
| USD | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | FY2026 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $9.32B | $8.70B | $9.73B | $10.6B | $11.6B | $12.2B |
| Gross profit | $3.89B | $3.53B | $4.14B | $4.61B | $5.08B | — |
| Net income | $230M | $230M | $340M | $504M | $610M | $714M |
| EPS (diluted) | $6.00 | $3.49 | $5.23 | $7.80 | $9.51 | — |
| Free cash flow | $481M | $149M | $376M | -$17.0M | $172M | $413M |
| Gross margin | 41.7% | 40.6% | 42.6% | 43.3% | 43.9% | — |
| Net margin | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% |
| Revenue growth | +61.7% | -6.6% | +11.8% | +9.3% | +8.8% | — |
| Cash + short-term investments | $1.09B | $873M | $925M | $995M | $1.23B | — |
| Total debt | $1.53B | $1.49B | $1.39B | $1.70B | $2.08B | — |
Fiscal years end Jan. EPS is split-adjusted.
Valuation (price ÷ last four quarters, through Aug 1, 2026) (BURL)
P/E 22.2x · P/S 1.3x · EV/Sales 1.4x · P/FCF 38.5x · P/B 7.9x · FCF yield 2.60% · Earnings yield 4.50% · Buyback yield (TTM) 2.18% · Net debt $1.21B · EV $17.1B
P/E at fiscal year-ends: Jan 2026 31.1x, Feb 2025 32.0x, Feb 2024 39.2x.
Insider sales (SEC Form 4, open-market, last ~7 months) (BURL)
6 of 10 under a Rule 10b5-1 trading plan (scheduled in advance). Unplanned sales were timed by the insider.
| Trade date | Insider | Role | Shares | Value | % of holdings sold | 10b5-1 plan | Insider type |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | Vecchio Jennifer | Group President and CMO | 1,678 | $456K | 2.2% | Yes | Routine (sold in Mar each year 2023–2025; this trade is outside those months) |
| 2026-09-01 | Vecchio Jennifer | Group President and CMO | 1,678 | $436K | 2.2% | Yes | Routine (sold in Mar each year 2023–2025; this trade is outside those months) |
| 2026-08-03 | Vecchio Jennifer | Group President and CMO | 1,678 | $619K | 2.1% | Yes | Routine (sold in Mar each year 2023–2025; this trade is outside those months) |
| 2026-07-01 | Vecchio Jennifer | Group President and CMO | 1,678 | $529K | 2.1% | Yes | Routine (sold in Mar each year 2023–2025; this trade is outside those months) |
| 2026-06-17 | Wolfe Kristin | Chief Financial Officer | 8,200 | $2.8M | 23.4% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
| 2026-06-12 | Vecchio Jennifer | Group President and CMO | 20,920 | $7.1M | 20.5% | No | Routine (sold in Mar each year 2023–2025; this trade is outside those months) |
| 2026-06-11 | Ferroni Stephen | SVP, Chief Accounting Officer | 2,343 | $790K | 62.7% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023) |
| 2026-06-05 | Pasch Matthew | Chief Human Resources Officer | 3,773 | $1.2M | 36.6% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023 or 2025) |
| 2026-05-05 | Marquette Travis | President and COO | 190 | $60K | 0.7% | Yes | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023) |
| 2026-05-04 | Marquette Travis | President and COO | 894 | $277K | 3.1% | Yes | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023) |
% of holdings sold = shares sold ÷ (shares sold + all holdings the insider reported on that Form 4, direct and through trusts).
Insider type follows Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski (Journal of Finance, 2012). An insider who traded the stock in the same calendar month in each of the past three years is a routine trader; one who traded in each of those years without such a pattern is an opportunistic trader. In their study, trades by opportunistic insiders predicted future returns and trades by routine insiders did not. Counts open-market purchases and sales only (SEC Form 4 codes P and S) by that insider in that company. Not investment advice.
Analysts (BURL)
Rating changes, last 120 days:
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | Wolfe Research | Initiated | Outperform | $356 |
| 2026-08-31 | Goldman Sachs | Target lowered | Buy | $394 → $382 |
| 2026-08-31 | Deutsche Bank | Target lowered | Hold | $367 → $323 |
| 2026-08-28 | Citigroup | Target lowered | Neutral | $380 → $318 |
| 2026-08-28 | Bernstein | Target lowered | Outperform | $365 → $355 |
| 2026-08-28 | Morgan Stanley | Target lowered | Overweight | $438 → $432 |
| 2026-08-17 | Evercore ISI Group | Target raised | Outperform | $375 → $400 |
| 2026-08-17 | UBS | Target raised | Buy | $435 → $440 |
| 2026-08-14 | Jefferies | Target raised | Buy | $365 → $410 |
| 2026-08-05 | Citigroup | Downgrade | Buy → Neutral | $380 |
Total return (dividends reinvested) (BURL)
| 1Y (from 2025-10-23) | 5Y (from 2021-10-18) | |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | -5.8% | -9.2% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +14.9% | +80.3% |
| Per year | -5.8% | -1.9% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 40.4% | 43.5% |
| Max drawdown | -38.9% (Jul 2026→Sep 2026) | -62.8% (Nov 2021→Oct 2022) |
BURL suppliers, customers and competitors (named in its 10-K)
| Relationship | Company | Sentence in the filing |
|---|---|---|
| Partner | Meta Platforms (META) | “Information that we post on our website or on social media channels could be deemed material; therefore, we encourage investors, the media, our customers, business partners and others interested in the Company to review the information posted on our website, as well as the following social media channels: Facebook (www.facebook.com/BurlingtonStores) and X (formerly Twitter) (www.x.com/burlington).” |
Quoted from the company's 10-K filed Mar 19, 2026.
Companies that name BURL in their SEC reports
| Relationship to BURL | Company | Filing | Sentence |
|---|---|---|---|
| partner | SITE Centers Corp. (SITC) | 10-K Feb 26, 2026 | “The Company's five largest tenants based on the Company's aggregate annualized base rental revenues, including its proportionate share of joint venture aggregate annualized base rental revenues, are The Kroger Co., Burlington Stores, Inc., Fitness International, LLC, Cinemark Holdings, Inc. and AMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc., representing 9.7%, 4.5%, 4.2%, 3.6% and 2.9%, respectively, of the Company's aggregate …” |
BURL company outlook (results filed Aug 27, 2026)
- “Please note that guidance now includes the benefit of $55 million in tariff refunds, which were recognized in the second quarter of fiscal 2026.”
- “In addition, guidance also includes the reinvestment of approximately 40% of such refunds in the third quarter and approximately 60% in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026.”
- “Tariff refunds therefore have a neutral impact on full fiscal year 2026 earnings guidance.”
- “Excluding the $55 million planned tariff refund reinvestment, our underlying Fall guidance assumptions for EBIT margin improvement and earnings growth are unchanged versus prior guidance, estimated EBIT margin improvement of 10 to 30 basis points and EPS growth of 7% to 10%.”
Quoted word-for-word from the SEC 8-K results press release.
BURL analyst estimates and revisions
| Period | EPS estimate | 90 days ago | Change | Revenue estimate | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends Oct 2026) | $1.73 | $2.04 | -15.3% | $2.99B | 17 |
| Next quarter (ends Jan 2027) | $5.22 | $5.53 | -5.6% | $3.98B | 17 |
| Current fiscal year (ends Jan 2027) | $11.80 | $11.80 | -0.0% | $12.83B | 18 |
| Next fiscal year (ends Jan 2028) | $13.69 | $13.79 | -0.8% | $13.97B | 18 |
BURL options: expected move
Options price a move of about ±12.7% (±$32.15) by Nov 27, 2026, which includes earnings on Nov 27, 2026; the earnings reaction alone is priced at about ±7.2%. Over the last 8 reports the stock moved ±4.3% on average.
| Expiration | Days | ATM implied volatility | Expected move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | 7 | 44.5% | ±5.3% |
| Nov 6, 2026 | 14 | 41.9% | ±6.8% |
| Nov 13, 2026 | 21 | 42.3% | ±8.4% |
| Nov 20, 2026 | 28 | 42.4% | ±9.5% |
| Nov 27, 2026 | 35 | 50.6% | ±12.7% |
| Dec 4, 2026 | 42 | 49.7% | ±13.7% |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 56 | 47.5% | ±15.1% |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 84 | 44.2% | ±17.0% |
30-day implied volatility 43.8% vs 36.7% realized over the last 30 trading days. Put/call ratio (volume) 0.35. Cboe delayed quotes (15 min). Expected move = at-the-money straddle.
Key Statistics (as of October 23, 2026 at 10:37 UTC)
| Price | USD 252.62 |
|---|---|
| Change | ▲ 1.81% (up) |
| Previous Close | USD 248.13 |
| Open | USD 247.46 |
| Day Range | USD 246.95 – 254.34 |
| 52-Week Range | USD 226.85 – 378.33 |
| Volume | 1,313,352 shares |
| Market Cap | $15.87B |
| Exchange | NYQ |
Technical Analysis (BURL)
Nexqual's technical model rates BURL "SELL" based on 1 bullish and 5 bearish signals across 127 daily candles, as of October 23, 2026 at 10:37 UTC.
| Overall Signal | SELL |
|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 40.23 (neutral) |
| vs SMA50 | Below (USD 273.8) |
| MACD | -4.22 (negative) |
Earnings (BURL)
| Next Earnings Date | 2026-11-27 |
|---|---|
| EPS Estimate | USD 1.73 |
| Revenue Estimate | $2.99B |
Recent Earnings History
| Quarter | Actual vs Estimate |
|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | USD 2.96 vs est 2.19 ▲ beat |
| 2026-04-30 | USD 2.01 vs est 1.8 ▲ beat |
| 2026-01-31 | USD 4.89 vs est 4.75 ▲ beat |
| 2025-10-31 | USD 1.68 vs est 1.64 ▲ beat |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 10:37 UTC.
Financials & Fundamentals (BURL)
| Total Revenue | $12.21B |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (latest quarter, YoY) | +11.00% |
| Gross Margin | +44.08% |
| Operating Margin | +6.72% |
| Profit Margin | +5.85% |
| ROE | +41.41% |
| Debt / Equity | 2.95 |
| Current Ratio | 1.17 |
| Total Cash | $703.69M |
| Total Debt | $5.91B |
| Free Cash Flow (last four quarters to Aug 2026, SEC 10-Q / 10-K) | $412.54M (3.4% of revenue) |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 10:37 UTC.
Financial Health Score (BURL)
Nexqual rates Burlington Stores, Inc.'s overall financial health "Solid" across five dimensions, as of October 23, 2026 at 10:37 UTC.
| Growth | Solid — Revenue +9% YoY (annual) |
|---|---|
| Profitability | Strong — Gross margin 44%, operating 7% (last 12 months) |
| Balance Sheet | Weak — $704M cash and investments vs $1.91B debt (Aug 2026, SEC) |
| Cash Flow | Mixed — FCF $413M (last 4 quarters to Aug 2026, SEC), slim 3.4% margin |
| Efficiency | Strong — ROE 41%, ROA 6.1% |
Ownership (BURL)
| Insider Ownership | +0.56% |
|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership | +104.88% |
| Shares Outstanding | 62.82M |
| Float | 62.45M |
| Short % of Float | +9.41% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 10:37 UTC.
Leadership (BURL)
Burlington Stores, Inc. is led by Michael B. O'Sullivan, CEO & Director, per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 10:37 UTC.
| CEO & Director | Michael B. O'Sullivan |
|---|---|
| Group President & Chief Merchandising Officer | Jennifer Vecchio |
| President & COO | Travis R. Marquette |
| Executive VP & CFO | Kristin Wolfe |
| Executive Vice President of Planning & Allocation and MIO | Eric Seeger |
Major Backers & Investors (BURL)
Notable institutional backers of Burlington Stores, Inc. include JPMorgan, Capital International Investors, Growth Fund of America, according to Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 10:37 UTC.
Active Investors
| Investor | Stake |
|---|---|
| JPMorgan | 10% |
| Capital International Investors | 8.7% |
| Growth Fund of America | 4.84% |
| T. Rowe Price | 4.06% |
| Morgan Stanley | 3.36% |
| AQR Capital Management, LLC | 2.31% |
Index Funds (Passive)
| Fund | Stake |
|---|---|
| BlackRock | 10.84% |
| Vanguard Group | 9.46% |
| State Street | 3.73% |
| Geode Capital | 2.03% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 10:37 UTC.
From Burlington Stores, Inc.'s Latest SEC 10-K Filing (filed 2026-03-19)
Key Strengths & Strategy (as disclosed to the SEC)
- We believe that our ability to chase sales within the off-price model enables us to provide our customers with products that are nationally branded, fashionable, high quality and at a compelling value.
- Our merchandising model allows us to provide our customers with a wide breadth of product categories.
Legal & Regulatory Risks (Item 1A, quoted)
- The insurance we carry may not always pay, or be sufficient to pay or reimburse us, for our losses.
- We rely on our vendors to provide quality merchandise that complies with applicable product safety laws and other applicable laws, but they may not comply with their obligations to do so.
- Compliance with increasingly rigorous privacy and data security regulations could be costly, affect or limit our business opportunities and how we collect and/or use data, and potentially subject us to fines and lawsuits.
- Legal and regulatory proceedings could have an adverse impact on our results of operations.
Source: SEC EDGAR 10-K, official filing. Curated by Nexqual.
Peers & Related Stocks
| Symbol | Name | Price | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| ROST | Ross Stores, Inc. | USD 236.67 | ▲ 1.06% |
| FIVE | Five Below, Inc. | USD 225.87 | ▲ 0.79% |
| OLLI | Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings | USD 92.63 | ▲ 0.84% |
| BOOT | Boot Barn Holdings, Inc. | USD 119.76 | ▲ 3.16% |
| PVH | PVH Corp. | USD 84.26 | ▲ 0.8% |
Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 23, 2026 at 10:37 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.
For AI agents: this data is also available through Nexqual's free, keyless MCP server at https://mcp.nexqual.com/mcp; every result includes source_url, as_of and cite_as. More: nexqual.com/agents · llms.txt