Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (OLLI) Stock Price & Analysis
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (OLLI) closed at USD 92.63 on Thursday, October 22, 2026, up 0.84% on the day. The US market is currently closed (pre-market); this is not a live price.
The prior close was USD 91.86; the Oct 22, 2026 session ranged USD 89.85–93.69 on volume of 1,474,641 shares. Market capitalization is $5.50B, with a 52-week range of USD 60.29–130.4 (NGM). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 23, 2026 at 09:59 UTC.
Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/OLLI.md
Key facts (OLLI)
- Last four reported quarters (through Aug 1, 2026): revenue $2.79B, net income $274M (9.8% margin), free cash flow $223M (SEC filings).
- Valuation: P/E 20.1x (avg 29.2x at the last 3 fiscal year-ends), EV/EBITDA 13.4x, net cash $119M.
- Insider open-market sales, last ~7 months: 1 Form 4 filings, $319K; 0 not under a Rule 10b5-1 plan ($0K); 1 by opportunistic insiders (0 outside 10b5-1 plans), 0 by routine insiders (three-year test, Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski 2012).
- Analysts: Buy (mean 2.07 on a 1–5 scale) (15 analysts), mean target USD 101.6 (range 76–130).
- Total return with dividends: 1Y -23.6% vs S&P 500 +14.9%; 5Y +38.3% vs S&P 500 +80.3%.
- Next earnings: 2026-09-02, EPS estimate USD 0.77, revenue estimate $675M.
Financials (SEC 10-K; TTM = last four 10-Q/10-K quarters) (OLLI)
| USD | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | FY2026 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.75B | $1.83B | $2.10B | $2.27B | $2.65B | $2.79B |
| Gross profit | $681M | $656M | $832M | $914M | $1.07B | — |
| Operating income | $205M | $131M | $228M | $250M | $298M | $343M |
| Net income | $157M | $103M | $181M | $200M | $241M | $274M |
| EPS (diluted) | $2.43 | $1.64 | $2.92 | $3.23 | $3.89 | — |
| Free cash flow | $10.0M | $62.7M | $130M | $107M | $195M | $223M |
| Gross margin | 38.9% | 35.9% | 39.6% | 40.3% | 40.5% | — |
| Operating margin | 11.7% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 12.3% |
| Net margin | 9.0% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.8% |
| Revenue growth | -3.1% | +4.2% | +15.1% | +8.0% | +16.6% | — |
| Cash + short-term investments | $247M | $211M | $266M | $205M | $260M | — |
| Total debt | $719K | $858K | $1.0M | $1.0M | $974K | — |
Fiscal years end Jan. EPS is split-adjusted.
Valuation (price ÷ last four quarters, through Aug 1, 2026) (OLLI)
P/E 20.1x · P/S 2.0x · EV/EBITDA 13.4x · EV/Sales 1.9x · P/FCF 24.6x · P/B 2.9x · FCF yield 4.06% · Earnings yield 4.97% · Buyback yield (TTM) 3.32% · Net cash $119M · EV $5.38B
P/E at fiscal year-ends: Jan 2026 28.3x, Feb 2025 32.0x, Feb 2024 27.4x.
Insider sales (SEC Form 4, open-market, last ~7 months) (OLLI)
1 of 1 under a Rule 10b5-1 trading plan (scheduled in advance). Unplanned sales were timed by the insider.
| Trade date | Insider | Role | Shares | Value | % of holdings sold | 10b5-1 plan | Insider type |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-07 | Swygert John W | Executive Chairman | 3,330 | $319K | 6.5% | Yes (adopted June 23, 2025) | Opportunistic (traded every year 2023–2025, no repeating month) |
% of holdings sold = shares sold ÷ (shares sold + all holdings the insider reported on that Form 4, direct and through trusts).
Insider type follows Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski (Journal of Finance, 2012). An insider who traded the stock in the same calendar month in each of the past three years is a routine trader; one who traded in each of those years without such a pattern is an opportunistic trader. In their study, trades by opportunistic insiders predicted future returns and trades by routine insiders did not. Counts open-market purchases and sales only (SEC Form 4 codes P and S) by that insider in that company. Not investment advice.
Analysts (OLLI)
Consensus Buy (mean 2.07 on a 1–5 scale), 15 analysts; mean target USD 101.6 (low 76, high 130).
Rating changes, last 120 days:
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-13 | Gordon Haskett | Upgrade | Accumulate → Buy | $105 |
| 2026-09-04 | Citigroup | Target lowered | Buy | $100 → $98 |
| 2026-09-03 | Goldman Sachs | Target lowered | Buy | $112 → $100 |
| 2026-09-03 | Piper Sandler | Target lowered | Overweight | $113 → $100 |
| 2026-09-03 | Truist Securities | Target raised | Buy | $80 → $85 |
| 2026-09-03 | Morgan Stanley | Target lowered | Equal-Weight | $108 → $98 |
| 2026-09-03 | RBC Capital | Target raised | Outperform | $121 → $124 |
| 2026-09-03 | Wells Fargo | Target lowered | Overweight | $100 → $90 |
| 2026-08-27 | UBS | Target lowered | Neutral | $87 → $85 |
| 2026-08-26 | Citigroup | Target lowered | Buy | $111 → $100 |
| 2026-08-25 | RBC Capital | Reiterated | Outperform | $121 |
| 2026-08-18 | Piper Sandler | Target lowered | Overweight | $114 → $113 |
Total return (dividends reinvested) (OLLI)
| 1Y (from 2025-10-23) | 5Y (from 2021-10-18) | |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | -23.6% | +38.3% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +14.9% | +80.3% |
| Per year | -23.6% | +6.7% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 41.6% | 41.9% |
| Max drawdown | -51.9% (Nov 2025→Jul 2026) | -53.0% (Jul 2025→Jul 2026) |
OLLI suppliers, customers and competitors (named in its 10-K)
| Relationship | Company | Sentence in the filing |
|---|---|---|
| Partner | Visa (V) | “On July 23, 2024, we announced our partnership with Sunbit, a leading financial technology company, to launch a co-branded Visa® credit card, our first-ever co-branded credit card program.” |
Quoted from the company's 10-K filed Mar 19, 2026.
OLLI company outlook (results filed Sep 2, 2026)
- “Outlook for Fiscal 2026 HARRISBURG, PA – September 2, 2026 – Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.”
Quoted word-for-word from the SEC 8-K results press release.
OLLI analyst estimates and revisions
| Period | EPS estimate | 90 days ago | Change | Revenue estimate | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends Oct 2026) | $0.77 | $0.83 | -7.4% | $675.4M | 15 |
| Next quarter (ends Jan 2027) | $1.52 | $1.59 | -4.4% | $859.6M | 15 |
| Current fiscal year (ends Jan 2027) | $4.61 | $4.46 | +3.3% | $2.93B | 15 |
| Next fiscal year (ends Jan 2028) | $4.95 | $5.07 | -2.4% | $3.26B | 15 |
OLLI options: expected move
| Expiration | Days | ATM implied volatility | Expected move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2026 | 28 | 48.6% | ±11.2% |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 56 | 50.3% | ±16.1% |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 84 | 49.2% | ±18.8% |
| Mar 19, 2027 | 147 | 47.1% | ±24.1% |
| Apr 16, 2027 | 175 | 47.2% | ±26.3% |
| Sep 17, 2027 | 329 | 47.4% | ±35.9% |
30-day implied volatility 47% vs 37% realized over the last 30 trading days. Put/call ratio (volume) 0.34. Cboe delayed quotes (15 min). Expected move = at-the-money straddle.
Key Statistics (as of October 23, 2026 at 09:59 UTC)
| Price | USD 92.63 |
|---|---|
| Change | ▲ 0.84% (up) |
| Previous Close | USD 91.86 |
| Open | USD 91.16 |
| Day Range | USD 89.85 – 93.69 |
| 52-Week Range | USD 60.29 – 130.4 |
| Volume | 1,474,641 shares |
| Market Cap | $5.50B |
| Exchange | NGM |
Technical Analysis (OLLI)
Nexqual's technical model rates OLLI "STRONG BUY" based on 5 bullish and 0 bearish signals across 127 daily candles, as of October 23, 2026 at 09:59 UTC.
| Overall Signal | STRONG BUY |
|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 63.93 (neutral) |
| vs SMA50 | Above (USD 81.09) |
| MACD | 3.57 (positive) |
Analyst Ratings (OLLI)
Wall Street analysts rate OLLI "Buy" based on 15 analysts, with a mean price target of USD 101.6 (range USD 76–130), per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:59 UTC.
| Consensus Rating | Buy |
|---|---|
| Analyst Count | 15 |
| Mean Target | USD 101.6 |
| High Target | USD 130 |
| Low Target | USD 76 |
| Buy / Hold / Sell | 12 / 3 / 0 |
Earnings (OLLI)
| Next Earnings Date | 2026-09-02 |
|---|---|
| EPS Estimate | USD 0.77 |
| Revenue Estimate | $675.42M |
Recent Earnings History
| Quarter | Actual vs Estimate |
|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | USD 1.42 vs est 1.12 ▲ beat |
| 2026-04-30 | USD 0.91 vs est 0.87 ▲ beat |
| 2026-01-31 | USD 1.39 vs est 1.41 ▼ miss |
| 2025-10-31 | USD 0.75 vs est 0.73 ▲ beat |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:59 UTC.
Financials & Fundamentals (OLLI)
| Total Revenue | $2.79B |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (latest quarter, YoY) | +9.10% |
| Gross Margin | +40.61% |
| Operating Margin | +10.81% |
| Profit Margin | +9.80% |
| ROE | +14.86% |
| Debt / Equity | 0.38 |
| Current Ratio | 2.23 |
| Total Cash | $187.50M |
| Total Debt | $725.65M |
| Free Cash Flow (last four quarters to Aug 2026, SEC 10-Q / 10-K) | $223.24M (8.0% of revenue) |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:59 UTC.
Financial Health Score (OLLI)
Nexqual rates Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.'s overall financial health "Solid" across five dimensions, as of October 23, 2026 at 09:59 UTC.
| Growth | Strong — Revenue +17% YoY (annual) |
|---|---|
| Profitability | Strong — Gross margin 41%, operating 11% (last 12 months) |
| Balance Sheet | Strong — $121M cash and investments vs $1M debt (Aug 2026, SEC), net cash |
| Cash Flow | Solid — FCF $223M (last 4 quarters to Aug 2026, SEC), 8% margin |
| Efficiency | Mixed — ROE 15%, ROA 6.7% |
Ownership (OLLI)
| Insider Ownership | +0.34% |
|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership | +122.93% |
| Shares Outstanding | 59.40M |
| Float | 59.14M |
| Short % of Float | +17.76% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:59 UTC.
Leadership (OLLI)
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. is led by Eric van der Valk, President, CEO & Director, per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:59 UTC.
| President, CEO & Director | Eric van der Valk |
|---|---|
| Executive Chairman | John W. Swygert |
| Executive VP & CFO | Robert F. Helm |
| Executive VP & COO | Christopher M. Zender |
| Managing Director of Corporate Communications & Business Development | John P. Rouleau |
Major Backers & Investors (OLLI)
Notable institutional backers of Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. include FMR, LLC, Wasatch Advisors LP, SmallCap World Fund Inc, according to Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:59 UTC.
Active Investors
| Investor | Stake |
|---|---|
| FMR, LLC | 14.75% |
| Wasatch Advisors LP | 8.65% |
| SmallCap World Fund Inc | 6.55% |
| Fidelity | 5.2% |
| Capital Group | 4.08% |
| Summit Trail Advisors, LLC | 2.72% |
Index Funds (Passive)
| Fund | Stake |
|---|---|
| BlackRock | 9.42% |
| Vanguard Group | 8.89% |
| State Street | 3.34% |
| Dimensional Fund Advisors | 2.92% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:59 UTC.
From Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.'s Latest SEC 10-K Filing (filed 2026-03-19)
Key Strengths & Strategy (as disclosed to the SEC)
- We rely on trademark, copyright, and patent laws, trade-secret protection, and confidentiality and/or license agreements to protect our proprietary rights.
- We believe our buying approach, coupled with long-standing and newly formed relationships, enable us to find the best deals from major manufacturers, and pass drastically reduced prices along to our customers.
- Our flexible business model, opportunistic buying strategy, and ever-changing mixture of goods allows us to move in and out of products and select the deals that we believe deliver the most value to our customers.
- We utilize a rigorous site selection and real estate approval process in order to leverage our infrastructure, marketing investments, and brand awareness.
Partnerships
- Each opportunity is unique, and our merchants negotiate directly with the supplier to lock in a particular deal.
Legal & Regulatory Risks (Item 1A, quoted)
- Our current insurance program may expose us to unexpected costs and negatively affect our financial performance.
Source: SEC EDGAR 10-K, official filing. Curated by Nexqual.
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| BJ | BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, I | USD 106.63 | ▲ 4.12% |
| DLTR | Dollar Tree, Inc. | USD 131.04 | ▲ 4.43% |
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Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 23, 2026 at 09:59 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.
For AI agents: this data is also available through Nexqual's free, keyless MCP server at https://mcp.nexqual.com/mcp; every result includes source_url, as_of and cite_as. More: nexqual.com/agents · llms.txt