HF Sinclair Corporation (DINO) Stock Price & Analysis
HF Sinclair Corporation (DINO) closed at USD 122.32 on Thursday, October 22, 2026, down 2.59% on the day. The US market is currently closed (pre-market); this is not a live price.
The prior close was USD 125.57; the Oct 22, 2026 session ranged USD 119.83–126.76 on volume of 1,883,769 shares. Market capitalization is $21.75B, with a 52-week range of USD 45.71–129.37 (NYQ). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 23, 2026 at 09:15 UTC.
Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/DINO.md
Key facts (DINO)
- Last four reported quarters (through Jun 30, 2026): revenue $31.2B, net income $1.92B (6.1% margin), free cash flow $2.31B (SEC filings).
- Valuation: P/E 11.4x (avg 19.8x at the last 3 fiscal year-ends), EV/EBITDA 6.4x, net debt $510M.
- 3 of 80 tracked superinvestors hold DINO (13F, Q2 2026): 0 new, 1 added, 1 reduced, 1 unchanged.
- Insider open-market sales, last ~7 months: 5 Form 4 filings, $1.7M; 5 not under a Rule 10b5-1 plan ($1.7M); 2 by opportunistic insiders (2 outside 10b5-1 plans), 0 by routine insiders (three-year test, Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski 2012).
- Insider open-market purchases, last ~7 months: 3 Form 4 filings, $2.4M; 2 by opportunistic insiders, 0 by routine insiders.
- Analysts: Hold (mean 2.69 on a 1–5 scale) (16 analysts), mean target USD 122.07 (range 73–160).
- Total return with dividends: 1Y +130.3% vs S&P 500 +14.9%; 5Y +297.4% vs S&P 500 +80.3%.
- Next earnings: 2026-10-28, EPS estimate USD 7.81, revenue estimate $8.89B.
Financials (SEC 10-K; TTM = last four 10-Q/10-K quarters) (DINO)
| USD | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $18.4B | $38.2B | $32.0B | $28.6B | $26.9B | $31.2B |
| Gross profit | $2.82B | $7.52B | $6.18B | — | — | — |
| Operating income | $749M | $4.05B | $2.20B | $261M | $927M | $2.59B |
| Net income | $558M | $2.92B | $1.59B | $177M | $579M | $1.92B |
| EPS (diluted) | $3.39 | $14.28 | $8.29 | $0.91 | $3.08 | — |
| Free cash flow | -$318M | $3.25B | $1.91B | $640M | $866M | $2.31B |
| Gross margin | 15.3% | 19.7% | 19.3% | — | — | — |
| Operating margin | 4.1% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 0.9% | 3.5% | 8.3% |
| Net margin | 3.0% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 0.6% | 2.2% | 6.1% |
| Revenue growth | +64.4% | +107.8% | -16.3% | -10.6% | -6.0% | — |
| Cash + short-term investments | $234M | $1.67B | $1.35B | $800M | $978M | — |
| Total debt | $3.07B | $3.28B | $2.76B | $2.64B | $2.77B | — |
Fiscal years end Dec. EPS is split-adjusted.
Valuation (price ÷ last four quarters, through Jun 30, 2026) (DINO)
P/E 11.4x · P/S 0.7x · EV/EBITDA 6.4x · EV/Sales 0.7x · P/FCF 9.4x · P/B 2.1x · FCF yield 10.63% · Earnings yield 8.81% · Dividend yield (paid, TTM) 1.68% · Buyback yield (TTM) 2.57% · Net debt $510M · EV $22.3B
P/E at fiscal year-ends: Dec 2025 14.8x, Dec 2024 38.0x, Dec 2023 6.6x.
Superinvestors (SEC 13F-HR, Q2 2026) (DINO)
3 of 80 tracked investors hold DINO. Each row is the investor's latest 13F; change is vs their prior-quarter share count.
| Investor | Firm | % of portfolio | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Bloomstran | Semper Augustus | 1.99% | $17.6M | Reduced -30.1% |
| Tweedy Browne | 0.21% | $2.7M | Added +31.0% | |
| First Eagle Investment | First Eagle Investment Management | <0.01% | $1.2M | Unchanged |
Insider sales (SEC Form 4, open-market, last ~7 months) (DINO)
0 of 5 under a Rule 10b5-1 trading plan (scheduled in advance). Unplanned sales were timed by the insider.
| Trade date | Insider | Role | Shares | Value | % of holdings sold | 10b5-1 plan | Insider type |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | Kunneman Dale | SVP and CHRO | 8,936 | $756K | 17.4% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
| 2026-06-02 | Fernandez Manuel J | Director | 635 | $46K | 3.7% | No | Opportunistic (traded every year 2023–2025, no repeating month) |
| 2026-05-26 | Joyce Matthew | SVP, Lubricants & Specialties | 2,384 | $166K | 13.9% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
| 2026-05-19 | Garg Vivek | Acting CFO, VP, CAO & CONTR | 717 | $52K | 5.9% | No | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023 or 2024) |
| 2026-05-15 | Pompa Valerie | EVP, Operations | 10,000 | $691K | 18.8% | No | Opportunistic (traded every year 2023–2025, no repeating month) |
% of holdings sold = shares sold ÷ (shares sold + all holdings the insider reported on that Form 4, direct and through trusts).
Insider type follows Cohen, Malloy & Pomorski (Journal of Finance, 2012). An insider who traded the stock in the same calendar month in each of the past three years is a routine trader; one who traded in each of those years without such a pattern is an opportunistic trader. In their study, trades by opportunistic insiders predicted future returns and trades by routine insiders did not. Counts open-market purchases and sales only (SEC Form 4 codes P and S) by that insider in that company. Not investment advice.
Insider purchases (SEC Form 4, open-market, last ~7 months) (DINO)
3 purchases, $2.4M. Private placements, offerings, dividend reinvestment and employee stock purchase plan buys are excluded.
| Trade date | Insider | Role | Shares | Value | Avg price | Insider type |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | Myers Franklin | CEO | 15,000 | $1.3M | 85.3 | Opportunistic (traded every year 2023–2025, no repeating month) |
| 2026-06-16 | Hardy Rhoman J | Director | 1,508 | $100K | 66.32 | Too little history (no open-market trades in 2023–2025) |
| 2026-05-18 | Myers Franklin | CEO and President | 15,000 | $1.0M | 69.11 | Opportunistic (traded every year 2023–2025, no repeating month) |
Analysts (DINO)
Consensus Hold (mean 2.69 on a 1–5 scale), 16 analysts; mean target USD 122.07 (low 73, high 160).
Rating changes, last 120 days:
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | TD Cowen | Target raised | Hold | $100 → $110 |
| 2026-10-14 | Wells Fargo | Target raised | Equal-Weight | $93 → $135 |
| 2026-10-12 | Barclays | Target raised | Equal-Weight | $86 → $122 |
| 2026-10-12 | Evercore ISI Group | Target raised | In-Line | $95 → $110 |
| 2026-10-09 | Goldman Sachs | Target raised | Buy | $114 → $142 |
| 2026-10-08 | Mizuho | Target raised | Neutral | $85 → $119 |
| 2026-10-05 | UBS | Target raised | Buy | $126 → $133 |
| 2026-09-14 | Raymond James | Target raised | Strong Buy | $105 → $140 |
| 2026-09-14 | Morgan Stanley | Target raised | Overweight | $78 → $127 |
| 2026-09-08 | UBS | Target raised | Buy | $105 → $126 |
| 2026-09-01 | Wells Fargo | Target raised | Equal-Weight | $67 → $93 |
| 2026-08-04 | Mizuho | Target raised | Neutral | $79 → $85 |
Total return (dividends reinvested) (DINO)
| 1Y (from 2025-10-23) | 5Y (from 2021-10-18) | |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | +130.3% | +297.4% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +14.9% | +80.3% |
| Per year | +130.9% | +31.7% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 39.1% | 40.6% |
| Max drawdown | -17.6% (Nov 2025→Dec 2025) | -54.8% (Apr 2024→Mar 2025) |
DINO revenue by business segment (quarter ended Jun 30, 2026)
| Line | Revenue | Share of total | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Refining | $7.75B | 74.6% | +50.2% |
| Marketing | $1.37B | 13.2% | +65.9% |
| Lubricants & Specialties | $998.0M | 9.6% | +55.7% |
| Renewables | $243.0M | 2.3% | +85.5% |
| Midstream | $32.0M | 0.3% | +14.3% |
| Total revenue | $10.39B | 100% | — |
DINO revenue by product line (quarter ended Jun 30, 2026)
| Line | Revenue | Share of total | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total refined product revenues | $9.78B | 94.2% | +54.8% |
| — Transportation fuels (part of Total refined product revenues) | $8.32B | 80.1% | +55.7% |
| — Lubricants and specialty products (part of Total refined product revenues) | $879.0M | 8.5% | +50.8% |
| — Asphalt, fuel oil and other products (part of Total refined product revenues) | $587.0M | 5.6% | +49.4% |
| Excess crude oil revenues | $310.0M | 3.0% | -10.1% |
| Other revenues | $264.0M | 2.5% | +193.3% |
| RIN | $163.0M | 1.6% | — |
| Transportation and logistics services | $32.0M | 0.3% | +10.3% |
| Total revenue | $10.39B | 100% | — |
As tagged by the company in its SEC 10-Q / 10-K filings (XBRL).
DINO suppliers, customers and competitors (named in its 10-K)
| Relationship | Company | Sentence in the filing |
|---|---|---|
| Partner | Cheyenne Pipeline | “(1)During the year ended December 31, 2025, we assigned certain of our equity ownership interests to other parties, including our 50% ownership interest in Cheyenne Pipeline, LLC to our joint venture partner in exchange for the termination of certain future commitments.” |
| Partner | Green Trail Fuels | “In February 2026, we announced the formation of Green Trail Fuels, LLC, a new joint venture in which we will hold a 50% non-operating economic interest.” |
| Partner | PLAINS ALL AMERICAN PIPELINE LP (PAA) | “We, through our wholly owned subsidiary HEP Cushing LLC ("HEP Cushing"), own a 50% interest in Cushing Connect Pipeline & Terminal LLC ("Cushing Connect"), a joint venture with Plains Marketing, L.P., a wholly owned subsidiary of Plains All American Pipeline, L.P. ("Plains").” |
Quoted from the company's 10-K filed Feb 27, 2026.
Companies that name DINO in their SEC reports
| Relationship to DINO | Company | Filing | Sentence |
|---|---|---|---|
| customer | GENESIS ENERGY LP (GEL) | 10-K Feb 18, 2026 | “A majority of the NaHS we receive is sourced from refineries owned and operated by large companies, including Phillips 66, CITGO, HF Sinclair, Calumet and Ergon.” |
DINO customer concentration
In the period ended Dec 31, 2024, a single direct customer accounted for 11% of revenue, per the company's 10-K filed Feb 27, 2026. The company does not name it.
DINO company outlook (results filed Jul 28, 2026)
- “As part of this transformation, HF Sinclair has decided to retire its base oil refining assets in Mississauga, Ontario with the transition expected to be substantially completed over the course of 2027.”
- “HF Sinclair anticipates the separation of Lubricants & Specialties in a tax-efficient manner for HF Sinclair and its shareholders, and the transaction is intended to be executed over the next 12-18 months.”
Quoted word-for-word from the SEC 8-K results press release.
DINO analyst estimates and revisions
| Period | EPS estimate | 90 days ago | Change | Revenue estimate | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends Sep 2026) | $7.81 | $4.15 | +88.0% | $8.89B | 13 |
| Next quarter (ends Dec 2026) | $6.10 | $2.09 | +191.6% | $8.58B | 14 |
| Current fiscal year (ends Dec 2026) | $18.66 | $10.79 | +72.9% | $35.29B | 15 |
| Next fiscal year (ends Dec 2027) | $14.97 | $8.01 | +87.0% | $32.82B | 15 |
DINO options: expected move
Options price a move of about ±12.7% (±$15.50) by Nov 20, 2026, which includes earnings on Oct 28, 2026. Over the last 8 reports the stock moved ±5.4% on average.
| Expiration | Days | ATM implied volatility | Expected move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2026 | 28 | 56.2% | ±12.7% |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 56 | 55.3% | ±17.2% |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 84 | 54.0% | ±20.4% |
| Mar 19, 2027 | 147 | 52.6% | ±26.1% |
| May 21, 2027 | 210 | 53.1% | ±31.3% |
| Jun 17, 2027 | 237 | 52.3% | ±32.7% |
| Aug 20, 2027 | 301 | 51.3% | ±35.8% |
| Nov 19, 2027 | 392 | 51.1% | ±40.5% |
30-day implied volatility 56.8% vs 36.4% realized over the last 30 trading days. Put/call ratio (volume) 0.72. Cboe delayed quotes (15 min). Expected move = at-the-money straddle.
Key Statistics (as of October 23, 2026 at 09:15 UTC)
| Price | USD 122.32 |
|---|---|
| Change | ▼ 2.59% (down) |
| Previous Close | USD 125.57 |
| Open | USD 126.31 |
| Day Range | USD 119.83 – 126.76 |
| 52-Week Range | USD 45.71 – 129.37 |
| Volume | 1,883,769 shares |
| Market Cap | $21.75B |
| Exchange | NYQ |
Technical Analysis (DINO)
Nexqual's technical model rates DINO "STRONG BUY" based on 5 bullish and 0 bearish signals across 127 daily candles, as of October 23, 2026 at 09:15 UTC.
| Overall Signal | STRONG BUY |
|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 60.54 (neutral) |
| vs SMA50 | Above (USD 109.14) |
| MACD | 5.03 (positive) |
Analyst Ratings (DINO)
Wall Street analysts rate DINO "Hold" based on 16 analysts, with a mean price target of USD 122.07 (range USD 73–160), per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:15 UTC.
| Consensus Rating | Hold |
|---|---|
| Analyst Count | 16 |
| Mean Target | USD 122.07 |
| High Target | USD 160 |
| Low Target | USD 73 |
| Buy / Hold / Sell | 6 / 8 / 2 |
Earnings (DINO)
| Next Earnings Date | 2026-10-28 |
|---|---|
| EPS Estimate | USD 7.81 |
| Revenue Estimate | $8.89B |
Recent Earnings History
| Quarter | Actual vs Estimate |
|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | USD 5.31 vs est 4.49 ▲ beat |
| 2026-03-31 | USD 0.69 vs est -0.05 ▲ beat |
| 2025-12-31 | USD 1.2 vs est 0.45 ▲ beat |
| 2025-09-30 | USD 2.44 vs est 1.86 ▲ beat |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:15 UTC.
Financials & Fundamentals (DINO)
| Total Revenue | $31.23B |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (latest quarter, YoY) | +53.20% |
| Gross Margin | +12.89% |
| Operating Margin | +11.69% |
| Profit Margin | +6.13% |
| ROE | +19.50% |
| Debt / Equity | 0.32 |
| Current Ratio | 1.97 |
| Total Cash | $2.26B |
| Total Debt | $3.34B |
| Free Cash Flow (last four quarters to Jun 2026, SEC 10-Q / 10-K) | $2.31B (7.4% of revenue) |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:15 UTC.
Financial Health Score (DINO)
Nexqual rates HF Sinclair Corporation's overall financial health "Mixed" across five dimensions, as of October 23, 2026 at 09:15 UTC.
| Growth | Weak — Revenue -6% YoY (annual), declining |
|---|---|
| Profitability | Weak — Gross margin 13%, operating 12% (last 12 months) |
| Balance Sheet | Solid — $2.26B cash and investments vs $2.77B debt (Jun 2026, SEC) |
| Cash Flow | Solid — FCF $2.31B (last 4 quarters to Jun 2026, SEC), 7% margin |
| Efficiency | Solid — ROE 20%, ROA 9.2% |
Ownership (DINO)
| Insider Ownership | +5.49% |
|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership | +89.14% |
| Shares Outstanding | 177.78M |
| Float | 167.92M |
| Short % of Float | +4.42% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:15 UTC.
Leadership (DINO)
HF Sinclair Corporation is led by Franklin Myers, CEO & Chairman of the Board, per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:15 UTC.
| CEO & Chairman of the Board | Franklin Myers |
|---|---|
| President & COO | Steven C. Ledbetter |
| President of Growth, Technology & Transformation | Valerie Pompa |
| Acting CFO, Chief Accounting Officer, VP & Controller | Vivek Garg |
| Vice President of Investor Relations | Craig Biery |
Major Backers & Investors (DINO)
Notable institutional backers of HF Sinclair Corporation include TCTC Holdings, LLC, Charles Schwab Investment Management, Inc., Victory Capital Management Inc., according to Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:15 UTC.
Active Investors
| Investor | Stake |
|---|---|
| TCTC Holdings, LLC | 6.94% |
| Charles Schwab Investment Management, Inc. | 3.14% |
| Victory Capital Management Inc. | 2.61% |
| AQR Capital Management, LLC | 2.61% |
| Citadel | 2.4% |
| Charles Schwab | 2.1% |
Index Funds (Passive)
| Fund | Stake |
|---|---|
| BlackRock | 10.43% |
| Vanguard Group | 8.86% |
| Dimensional Fund Advisors | 5.36% |
| State Street | 3.61% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:15 UTC.
Legal & Regulatory Risks from HF Sinclair Corporation's Latest 10-K (filed 2026-02-27)
- We may incur significant costs and liabilities resulting from the performance of pipeline integrity programs and related repairs.
- Evolving attention to ESG matters may adversely impact our business, financial results, stock price or price of debt securities.
- Compliance with, or developments with respect to, renewable and low-carbon fuel blending programs, and other regulations, policies, and standards impacting the demand for low-carbon fuels could have an adverse effect on our financial condition and results of operations.
- Compliance with and changes in tax laws could materially and adversely impact our financial condition, results of operations and cash flows.
Source: SEC EDGAR 10-K, Item 1A, official filing.
Peers & Related Stocks
| Symbol | Name | Price | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| PBF | PBF Energy Inc. | USD 79.25 | ▼ 2.81% |
| UGP | Ultrapar Participacoes S.A. (Ne | USD 7.8 | ▼ 2.13% |
| CVI | CVR Energy Inc. | USD 58.63 | ▼ 3.46% |
| DK | Delek US Holdings, Inc. | USD 75.79 | ▼ 3.11% |
| IEP | Icahn Enterprises L.P. - Deposi | USD 6.13 | ▼ 0.33% |
| PSX | Phillips 66 | USD 284.63 | ▼ 1.88% |
Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 23, 2026 at 09:15 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.
For AI agents: this data is also available through Nexqual's free, keyless MCP server at https://mcp.nexqual.com/mcp; every result includes source_url, as_of and cite_as. More: nexqual.com/agents · llms.txt