Ferguson Enterprises Inc. (FERG) Stock Price & Analysis
Ferguson Enterprises Inc. (FERG) closed at USD 227.31 on Thursday, October 22, 2026, down 0.29% on the day. The US market is currently closed (pre-market); this is not a live price.
The prior close was USD 227.96; the Oct 22, 2026 session ranged USD 223.19–228.9 on volume of 1,372,590 shares. Market capitalization is $43.97B, with a 52-week range of USD 212.13–271.64 (NYQ). Source: Nexqual, retrieved October 23, 2026 at 09:23 UTC.
Also available as compact Markdown for AI agents: nexqual.com/FERG.md
Key facts (FERG)
- Last four reported quarters (through Jun 30, 2026): revenue $32.9B, net income $2.35B (7.1% margin), free cash flow $1.26B (SEC filings).
- Valuation: P/E 18.7x (avg 22.6x at the last 3 fiscal year-ends), EV/EBITDA 13.5x, net debt $4.47B.
- 10 of 80 tracked superinvestors hold FERG (13F, Q2 2026 (1 investor on Q3 2026, filed early)): 0 new, 6 added, 2 reduced, 2 unchanged.
- Analysts: Buy (mean 2.25 on a 1–5 scale) (24 analysts), mean target USD 283.23 (range 235–325).
- Total return with dividends: 1Y -5.8% vs S&P 500 +14.9%; 5Y +68.7% vs S&P 500 +80.3%.
- Next earnings: 2026-11-09, EPS estimate USD 3.29, revenue estimate $8.68B.
Financials (SEC 10-K; TTM = last four 10-Q/10-K quarters) (FERG)
| USD | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $28.6B | $29.7B | $29.6B | $30.8B | $32.9B |
| Gross profit | $8.76B | $9.03B | $9.05B | $9.44B | — |
| Operating income | $2.82B | $2.66B | $2.65B | $2.61B | $3.20B |
| Net income | $2.12B | $1.89B | $1.74B | $1.86B | $2.35B |
| EPS (diluted) | $9.69 | $9.12 | $8.53 | $9.32 | — |
| Free cash flow | $859M | $2.28B | $1.50B | $1.60B | $1.26B |
| Gross margin | 30.7% | 30.4% | 30.5% | 30.7% | — |
| Operating margin | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.7% |
| Net margin | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% |
| Revenue growth | — | +4.1% | -0.3% | +3.8% | — |
| Cash + short-term investments | $771M | $601M | $571M | $674M | — |
| Total debt | — | $3.77B | $3.95B | $4.17B | — |
Fiscal years end Jul. EPS is split-adjusted.
Valuation (price ÷ last four quarters, through Jun 30, 2026) (FERG)
P/E 18.7x · P/S 1.3x · EV/EBITDA 13.5x · EV/Sales 1.5x · P/FCF 34.8x · P/B 7.1x · FCF yield 2.88% · Earnings yield 5.34% · Dividend yield (paid, TTM) 1.54% · Buyback yield (TTM) 1.90% · Net debt $4.47B · EV $48.4B
P/E at fiscal year-ends: Jul 2025 24.0x, Jul 2024 26.1x, Jul 2023 17.7x.
Superinvestors (SEC 13F-HR, Q2 2026) (FERG)
10 of 80 tracked investors hold FERG (1 investor on Q3 2026, filed early). Each row is the investor's latest 13F; change is vs their prior-quarter share count.
| Investor | Firm | % of portfolio | Value | Change | Quarter |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Ellenbogen | Durable Capital Partners | 6.88% | $707M | Added +35.9% | Q2 2026 |
| Seth Klarman | Baupost Group | 6.36% | $344M | Added +0.6% | Q2 2026 |
| William Von Mueffling | Cantillon Capital Management | 2.87% | $19.1M | Reduced -95.4% | Q2 2026 |
| John Armitage | Egerton Capital | 2.40% | $236M | Added +5.4% | Q3 2026 |
| First Pacific Advisors | 2.34% | $187M | Reduced -3.7% | Q2 2026 | |
| Thomas Gayner | Markel Group | 0.33% | $42.8M | Added +5.6% | Q2 2026 |
| Francois Rochon | Giverny Capital | 0.30% | $8.9M | Added +1.8% | Q2 2026 |
| First Eagle Investment | First Eagle Investment Management | 0.26% | $156M | Added +4.1% | Q2 2026 |
| Wallace Weitz | Weitz Investment Management | 0.09% | $1.2M | Unchanged | Q2 2026 |
| Ruane Cunniff | Ruane Cunniff LP | <0.01% | $237K | Unchanged | Q2 2026 |
Analysts (FERG)
Consensus Buy (mean 2.25 on a 1–5 scale), 24 analysts; mean target USD 283.23 (low 235, high 325).
Rating changes, last 120 days:
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | RBC Capital | Target lowered | Outperform | $290 → $286 |
| 2026-08-11 | UBS | Target raised | Neutral | $252 → $256 |
| 2026-08-11 | Bernstein | Target raised | Outperform | $310 → $325 |
| 2026-08-11 | RBC Capital | Target raised | Outperform | $281 → $290 |
| 2026-08-11 | Barclays | Target raised | Overweight | $297 → $313 |
| 2026-08-11 | Oppenheimer | Target raised | Outperform | $280 → $288 |
| 2026-08-11 | Wells Fargo | Target raised | Overweight | $285 → $295 |
| 2026-08-11 | Baird | Target raised | Outperform | $285 → $288 |
| 2026-07-17 | Zelman & Assoc | Upgrade | Neutral → Outperform | $285 |
| 2026-07-07 | Goldman Sachs | Downgrade | Buy → Neutral | $315 → $265 |
Total return (dividends reinvested) (FERG)
| 1Y (from 2025-10-23) | 5Y (from 2021-10-18) | |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | -5.8% | +68.7% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) | +14.9% | +80.3% |
| Per year | -5.8% | +11.0% |
| Volatility (annualized) | 29.8% | 29.5% |
| Max drawdown | -19.4% (Apr 2026→Sep 2026) | -42.3% (Dec 2021→Sep 2022) |
FERG revenue by business segment (quarter ended Jun 30, 2026)
| Line | Revenue | Share of total | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| United States | $8.34B | 95.3% | +5.0% |
| Canada | $408.0M | 4.7% | -1.9% |
| Total revenue | $8.75B | 100% | — |
As tagged by the company in its SEC 10-Q / 10-K filings (XBRL).
FERG customer concentration
In the period ended Jun 30, 2026, 8 direct customers each accounted for at least 10% (24%, 20%, 16%, 14%, 13%, 7%, 4%, 2%) of revenue, per the company's 10-Q filed Aug 10, 2026. The company does not name them.
FERG company outlook (results filed Aug 10, 2026)
- “We remain confident in our ability to capitalize on these growth drivers as we provide essential water and air solutions for the complex project needs of the specialized professional." Calendar 2026 Guidance Updated guidance does not include the expected impact of the FloWorks acquisition, expected to close during the third quarter.”
- “Prior 2026 Guidance January 1 - December 31, 2026 Updated 2026 Guidance J”
Quoted word-for-word from the SEC 8-K results press release.
FERG analyst estimates and revisions
| Period | EPS estimate | 90 days ago | Change | Revenue estimate | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current quarter (ends Sep 2026) | $3.29 | $3.29 | -0.2% | $8.68B | 13 |
| Next quarter (ends Dec 2026) | $2.46 | $2.45 | +0.4% | $8.22B | 13 |
| Current fiscal year (ends Dec 2026) | $11.41 | $11.25 | +1.4% | $33.09B | 15 |
| Next fiscal year (ends Dec 2027) | $12.68 | $12.53 | +1.2% | $35.52B | 15 |
FERG options: expected move
Options price a move of about ±9.0% (±$20.40) by Nov 20, 2026, which includes earnings on Nov 9, 2026. Over the last 8 reports the stock moved ±7.1% on average.
| Expiration | Days | ATM implied volatility | Expected move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2026 | 28 | 39.5% | ±9.0% |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 56 | 35.3% | ±11.2% |
| Feb 19, 2027 | 119 | 33.1% | ±15.2% |
| May 21, 2027 | 210 | 32.8% | ±19.8% |
30-day implied volatility 39.2% vs 22.5% realized over the last 30 trading days. Put/call ratio (volume) 0.01. Cboe delayed quotes (15 min). Expected move = at-the-money straddle.
Key Statistics (as of October 23, 2026 at 09:23 UTC)
| Price | USD 227.31 |
|---|---|
| Change | ▼ 0.29% (down) |
| Previous Close | USD 227.96 |
| Open | USD 227.31 |
| Day Range | USD 223.19 – 228.9 |
| 52-Week Range | USD 212.13 – 271.64 |
| Volume | 1,372,590 shares |
| Market Cap | $43.97B |
| Exchange | NYQ |
Technical Analysis (FERG)
Nexqual's technical model rates FERG "STRONG BUY" based on 5 bullish and 0 bearish signals across 127 daily candles, as of October 23, 2026 at 09:23 UTC.
| Overall Signal | STRONG BUY |
|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 53.25 (neutral) |
| vs SMA50 | Above (USD 226.35) |
| MACD | 0.87 (positive) |
Analyst Ratings (FERG)
Wall Street analysts rate FERG "Buy" based on 24 analysts, with a mean price target of USD 283.23 (range USD 235–325), per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:23 UTC.
| Consensus Rating | Buy |
|---|---|
| Analyst Count | 24 |
| Mean Target | USD 283.23 |
| High Target | USD 325 |
| Low Target | USD 235 |
| Buy / Hold / Sell | 15 / 9 / 0 |
Earnings (FERG)
| Next Earnings Date | 2026-11-09 |
|---|---|
| EPS Estimate | USD 3.29 |
| Revenue Estimate | $8.68B |
Recent Earnings History
| Quarter | Actual vs Estimate |
|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | USD 3.39 vs est 3.3 ▲ beat |
| 2026-03-31 | USD 2.28 vs est 2.19 ▲ beat |
| 2025-12-31 | USD 2.1 vs est 2.09 ▲ beat |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:23 UTC.
Financials & Fundamentals (FERG)
| Total Revenue | $31.45B |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (latest quarter, YoY) | +4.60% |
| Gross Margin | +30.63% |
| Operating Margin | +10.16% |
| Profit Margin | +6.32% |
| Debt / Equity | 1.11 |
| Current Ratio | 1.73 |
| Total Cash | $437.00M |
| Total Debt | $6.89B |
| Free Cash Flow (last four quarters to Jun 2026, SEC 10-Q / 10-K) | $1.26B (3.8% of revenue) |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:23 UTC.
Financial Health Score (FERG)
Nexqual rates Ferguson Enterprises Inc.'s overall financial health "Mixed" across five dimensions, as of October 23, 2026 at 09:23 UTC.
| Growth | Solid — Revenue +6% YoY (annual) |
|---|---|
| Profitability | Solid — Gross margin 31%, operating 10% (last 12 months) |
| Balance Sheet | Mixed — $437M cash and investments vs $4.90B debt (Jun 2026, SEC) |
| Cash Flow | Mixed — FCF $1.26B (last 4 quarters to Jun 2026, SEC), slim 3.8% margin |
| Efficiency | Mixed — No data |
Ownership (FERG)
| Insider Ownership | +0.17% |
|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership | +98.51% |
| Shares Outstanding | 193.45M |
| Float | 192.95M |
| Short % of Float | +4.05% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:23 UTC.
Leadership (FERG)
Ferguson Enterprises Inc. is led by Kevin M. Murphy, CEO, President & Director, per Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:23 UTC.
| CEO, President & Director | Kevin M. Murphy |
|---|---|
| CFO, Treasurer & Director | William Brundage |
| Chief Operating Officer | William T. Thees |
| Chief Strategy Officer | Jake Schlicher |
| Senior Vice President of Waterworks | Bo Camposano |
Major Backers & Investors (FERG)
Notable institutional backers of Ferguson Enterprises Inc. include FMR, LLC, Jupiter Topco LLC, Wellington Management, according to Nexqual as of October 23, 2026 at 09:23 UTC.
Active Investors
| Investor | Stake |
|---|---|
| FMR, LLC | 3.91% |
| Jupiter Topco LLC | 3.9% |
| Wellington Management | 3.73% |
| Fidelity | 2.59% |
| WCM Investment Management, LLC | 2.16% |
| Franklin Resources, Inc. | 1.99% |
Index Funds (Passive)
| Fund | Stake |
|---|---|
| Vanguard Group | 9.25% |
| BlackRock | 5.94% |
| BNY Mellon | 2.5% |
| State Street | 2.39% |
Source: Nexqual, October 23, 2026 at 09:23 UTC.
From Ferguson Enterprises Inc.'s Latest SEC 10-K Filing (filed 2025-09-26)
Key Strengths & Strategy (as disclosed to the SEC)
- We rely on a combination of intellectual property laws, confidentiality procedures and contractual provisions to protect our proprietary assets and our brands.
- Conversely, if competitive pressures allow us to hold prices despite relevant raw material prices falling, profitability can increase.
- Our network also includes six MDCs which provide greater access to key strategic markets and allows us to bring our products closer to our customers.
Legal & Regulatory Risks (Item 1A, quoted)
- We are required to maintain the privacy and security of personal information in compliance with U.S. and certain international privacy and data protection regulations. Failure to meet the requirements could harm our business and damage our reputation with customers, suppliers, and associates.
- Our private label products subject us to certain increased risks such as regulatory, product liability and reputational risks that could have an adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
- We are and may continue to be involved in legal proceedings in the ordinary course of our business, and while we cannot predict the outcomes of those proceedings and other contingencies with certainty, some of these outcomes may adversely impact our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows.
- We are subject to various risks related to the local and international nature of our business, including domestic and foreign laws, regulations and standards. Failure to comply with such laws and regulations or the occurrence of unforeseen developments such as litigation, investigations, governmental proceedings or enforcement actions could adversely affect our business.
Source: SEC EDGAR 10-K, official filing. Curated by Nexqual.
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Data source: Nexqual — market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, earnings, SEC EDGAR filings. Last updated: October 23, 2026 at 09:23 UTC. This page is informational and not investment advice.
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